HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:HOLI • VGG456671053
Current stock price
26.42 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
At close:
26.48 USD
+0.06 (+0.23%)
After Hours:
This HOLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HOLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HOLI was profitable.
- In the past year HOLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years HOLI has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HOLI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.19%, HOLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.14% of the companies in the same industry.
- HOLI has a Return On Equity of 6.13%. This is in the better half of the industry: HOLI outperforms 60.63% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.57%, HOLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- HOLI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.19%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.09%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.19% | ||
| ROE | 6.13% | ||
| ROIC | 4.57% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)6.47%
ROE(3y)8.04%
ROE(5y)9.09%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)7.91%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 9.52%, HOLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- HOLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HOLI has a better Operating Margin (8.63%) than 75.59% of its industry peers.
- HOLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.07%, HOLI is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.97% of the companies in the same industry.
- HOLI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.52% | ||
| GM | 31.07% |
OM growth 3Y-16.97%
OM growth 5Y-11.65%
PM growth 3Y-4.47%
PM growth 5Y-7.05%
GM growth 3Y-4.62%
GM growth 5Y-2.9%
2. HOLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HOLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HOLI remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HOLI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- HOLI has an Altman-Z score of 3.81. This indicates that HOLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- HOLI has a Altman-Z score of 3.81. This is in the better half of the industry: HOLI outperforms 67.72% of its industry peers.
- HOLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.59. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.59 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.59, HOLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.04 indicates that HOLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
- HOLI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.04) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC7.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 3.02 indicates that HOLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- HOLI has a Current ratio of 3.02. This is in the better half of the industry: HOLI outperforms 63.78% of its industry peers.
- HOLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.80. This indicates that HOLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.80, HOLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.02% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.8 |
3. HOLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HOLI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.98%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.30% on average over the past years.
- HOLI shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.60%.
- Measured over the past years, HOLI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.98%
EPS 3Y9.58%
EPS 5Y-0.3%
EPS Q2Q%-66.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.6%
Revenue growth 3Y15.59%
Revenue growth 5Y7.53%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.20% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HOLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 15.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.79%
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y12.33%
Revenue Next 3Y15.31%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. HOLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.83, HOLI is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HOLI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HOLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.47), we can say HOLI is valued slightly cheaper.
- HOLI is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.40.
- HOLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HOLI is cheaper than 87.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.62, HOLI is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 72.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HOLI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- HOLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 39.84 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HOLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- HOLI's earnings are expected to grow with 17.20% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. HOLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.93%, HOLI has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.44, HOLI pays a better dividend. On top of this HOLI pays more dividend than 94.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- HOLI's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
5.2 History
- HOLI has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
HOLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.42
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryElectronic Equipment, Instruments & Components
Earnings (Last)05-13 2024-05-13/amc
Earnings (Next)08-13 2024-08-13/amc
Inst Owners10.59%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.64B
Revenue(TTM)792.05M
Net Income(TTM)75.41M
Analysts43.33
Price Target24.74 (-6.36%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.93% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.03%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.4 | ||
| P/S | 2.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 39.84 | ||
| P/OCF | 23.19 | ||
| P/B | 1.34 | ||
| P/tB | 1.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.54 |
EPS(TTM)1.21
EY4.58%
EPS(NY)2.32
Fwd EY8.77%
FCF(TTM)0.66
FCFY2.51%
OCF(TTM)1.14
OCFY4.31%
SpS12.73
BVpS19.78
TBVpS19.33
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.19% | ||
| ROE | 6.13% | ||
| ROCE | 5.26% | ||
| ROIC | 4.57% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.52% | ||
| OM | 8.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.52% | ||
| GM | 31.07% | ||
| FCFM | 5.21% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)6.47%
ROE(3y)8.04%
ROE(5y)9.09%
ROIC(3y)6.19%
ROIC(5y)7.91%
ROICexc(3y)14.59%
ROICexc(5y)17.88%
ROICexgc(3y)15.16%
ROICexgc(5y)18.66%
ROCE(3y)7.13%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.4%
OM growth 3Y-16.97%
OM growth 5Y-11.65%
PM growth 3Y-4.47%
PM growth 5Y-7.05%
GM growth 3Y-4.62%
GM growth 5Y-2.9%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 276.05% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.74% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 89.61% | ||
| Profit Quality | 54.69% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.81 |
F-Score2
WACC7.49%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)270.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)206.75%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.1%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.98%
EPS 3Y9.58%
EPS 5Y-0.3%
EPS Q2Q%-66.37%
EPS Next Y24.79%
EPS Next 2Y17.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.6%
Revenue growth 3Y15.59%
Revenue growth 5Y7.53%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year9.43%
Revenue Next 2Y12.33%
Revenue Next 3Y15.31%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.02%
EBIT growth 5Y-5%
EBIT Next Year41.62%
EBIT Next 3Y17.8%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y103.99%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y52.83%
OCF growth 3Y-49.04%
OCF growth 5Y-26.18%
HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO / HOLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HOLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of HOLI stock?
HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) is 21.83 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.34.
What is the financial health of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) stock?
The financial health rating of HOLLYSYS AUTOMATION TECHNOLO (HOLI) is 7 / 10.