HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HMY - US4132163001 - ADR
21.47 USD
+0.8 (+3.87%)
21.47 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to HMY. HMY was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HMY scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. HMY has both an excellent growth and valuation score. This means it is growing and it is still cheap. This is a rare combination! These ratings could make HMY a good candidate for value and growth and quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HMY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HMY had a positive cash flow from operations.
HMY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
HMY had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 15.28%, HMY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.59% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of HMY (22.97%) is better than 93.59% of its industry peers.
HMY has a better Return On Invested Capital (20.62%) than 94.23% of its industry peers.
HMY had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.52%. This is above the industry average of 13.25%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.52%) for HMY is below the current ROIC(20.62%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.28% | ||
| ROE | 22.97% | ||
| ROIC | 20.62% |
ROA(3y)13.73%
ROA(5y)9.87%
ROE(3y)21.58%
ROE(5y)15.51%
ROIC(3y)17.52%
ROIC(5y)14%
1.3 Margins
HMY has a Profit Margin of 15.68%. This is in the better half of the industry: HMY outperforms 79.49% of its industry peers.
HMY has a Operating Margin of 25.71%. This is in the better half of the industry: HMY outperforms 74.36% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HMY has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of HMY (30.55%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
HMY's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.71% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.68% | ||
| GM | 30.55% |
OM growth 3Y43.91%
OM growth 5Y28.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.66%
GM growth 5Y23.45%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HMY is creating some value.
HMY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
HMY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
HMY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 7.83 indicates that HMY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HMY's Altman-Z score of 7.83 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HMY outperforms 73.72% of its industry peers.
HMY has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.22. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HMY has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.22) than 92.95% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.04 indicates that HMY is not too dependend on debt financing.
HMY's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.04 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HMY outperforms 66.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.83 |
ROIC/WACC1.35
WACC15.28%
2.3 Liquidity
HMY has a Current Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that HMY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.84, HMY is not doing good in the industry: 64.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 1.46 indicates that HMY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HMY has a Quick ratio (1.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for HMY is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.46 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 66.97% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 20.39% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, HMY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 20.37% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)66.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%147.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.39%
Revenue growth 3Y20.11%
Revenue growth 5Y20.37%
Sales Q2Q%22.66%
3.2 Future
HMY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.45% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.33% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y60.56%
EPS Next 2Y43%
EPS Next 3Y25.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year36.55%
Revenue Next 2Y24.8%
Revenue Next 3Y14.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.56, the valuation of HMY can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HMY indicates a rather cheap valuation: HMY is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.39, HMY is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.03, the valuation of HMY can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HMY indicates a rather cheap valuation: HMY is cheaper than 96.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. HMY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.03 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HMY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.85% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HMY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of HMY may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HMY's earnings are expected to grow with 25.45% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43%
EPS Next 3Y25.45%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.12%, HMY has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.02, HMY pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, HMY's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.12% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HMY is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 47.94%!
HMY has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of HMY decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.94%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
14.98% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HMY. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of HMY is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP14.98%
EPS Next 2Y43%
EPS Next 3Y25.45%
21.47
+0.8 (+3.87%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners55.9%
Inst Owner Change-2.52%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.41B
Revenue(TTM)73.90B
Net Income(TTM)10.52B
Analysts72.73
Price Target22.07 (2.79%)
Short Float %1.17%
Short Ratio1.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.12% |
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)47.94%
DP14.98%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)19.28%
PT rev (3m)46.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)14.3%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)12.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.03 | ||
| P/S | 3.35 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.94 | ||
| P/B | 4.91 | ||
| P/tB | 4.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.54 |
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY6.43%
EPS(NY)3.05
Fwd EY14.22%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY4.22%
OCF(TTM)1.8
OCFY8.37%
SpS6.4
BVpS4.37
TBVpS4.37
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.28% | ||
| ROE | 22.97% | ||
| ROCE | 28.96% | ||
| ROIC | 20.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 24.48% | ||
| ROICexgc | 24.49% | ||
| OM | 25.71% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.68% | ||
| GM | 30.55% | ||
| FCFM | 14.16% |
ROA(3y)13.73%
ROA(5y)9.87%
ROE(3y)21.58%
ROE(5y)15.51%
ROIC(3y)17.52%
ROIC(5y)14%
ROICexc(3y)20.25%
ROICexc(5y)15.88%
ROICexgc(3y)20.26%
ROICexgc(5y)15.9%
ROCE(3y)24.6%
ROCE(5y)19.67%
ROICexgc growth 3Y57.48%
ROICexgc growth 5Y38.67%
ROICexc growth 3Y57.54%
ROICexc growth 5Y39.15%
OM growth 3Y43.91%
OM growth 5Y28.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.66%
GM growth 5Y23.45%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.97
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.09 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 199.1% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 13.91% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 55.48 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | 90.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.83 |
F-Score8
WACC15.28%
ROIC/WACC1.35
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)66.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%147.07%
EPS Next Y60.56%
EPS Next 2Y43%
EPS Next 3Y25.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.39%
Revenue growth 3Y20.11%
Revenue growth 5Y20.37%
Sales Q2Q%22.66%
Revenue Next Year36.55%
Revenue Next 2Y24.8%
Revenue Next 3Y14.33%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y40.71%
EBIT growth 3Y72.85%
EBIT growth 5Y54.55%
EBIT Next Year114.78%
EBIT Next 3Y31.75%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y57.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.75%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR / HMY FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to HMY.
Can you provide the valuation status for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) stock?
HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the valuation of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) is 15.56 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.91.
Is the dividend of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR sustainable?
The dividend rating of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 14.98%.