HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HMY • US4132163001

Current stock price

15.13 USD
-0.84 (-5.26%)
At close:
15.15 USD
+0.02 (+0.13%)
After Hours:

This HMY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. HMY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HMY was profitable.
  • HMY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HMY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years HMY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HMY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHMY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of HMY (18.56%) is better than 94.27% of its industry peers.
  • HMY has a better Return On Equity (29.82%) than 94.90% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 22.66%, HMY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HMY is significantly above the industry average of 11.54%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.58%) for HMY is below the current ROIC(22.66%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.56%
ROE 29.82%
ROIC 22.66%
ROA(3y)13.73%
ROA(5y)9.87%
ROE(3y)21.58%
ROE(5y)15.51%
ROIC(3y)17.58%
ROIC(5y)14.04%
HMY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHMY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 19.47%, HMY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HMY's Operating Margin of 28.04% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HMY outperforms 77.07% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HMY has grown nicely.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 33.10%, HMY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HMY's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.04%
PM (TTM) 19.47%
GM 33.1%
OM growth 3Y44.29%
OM growth 5Y28.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.66%
GM growth 5Y23.45%
HMY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHMY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. HMY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HMY is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HMY has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HMY has more shares outstanding
  • HMY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HMY Yearly Shares OutstandingHMY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
HMY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHMY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.63 indicates that HMY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HMY's Altman-Z score of 5.63 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HMY outperforms 64.97% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HMY is 0.18, which is an excellent value as it means it would take HMY, only 0.18 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.18, HMY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.04 indicates that HMY is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.04, HMY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.04
Debt/FCF 0.18
Altman-Z 5.63
ROIC/WACC1.43
WACC15.85%
HMY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHMY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.72 indicates that HMY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.72, HMY is not doing good in the industry: 63.69% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HMY has a Quick Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that HMY is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of HMY (1.41) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HMY does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.72
Quick Ratio 1.41
HMY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHMY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. HMY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HMY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 66.97%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, HMY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 20.39%.
  • HMY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 20.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)66.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%147.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.39%
Revenue growth 3Y20.11%
Revenue growth 5Y20.37%
Sales Q2Q%22.66%

3.2 Future

  • HMY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 36.10% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 18.68% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y55.75%
EPS Next 2Y56.22%
EPS Next 3Y36.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year37.36%
Revenue Next 2Y29.49%
Revenue Next 3Y18.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
HMY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHMY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
HMY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHMY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 20 40 60 80

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10

4. HMY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.81, the valuation of HMY can be described as very reasonable.
  • 96.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HMY, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.70. HMY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.04, the valuation of HMY can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HMY is valued cheaper than 96.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HMY to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say HMY is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.81
Fwd PE 5.04
HMY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHMY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HMY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HMY is cheaper than 92.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HMY is valued cheaper than 94.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.48
EV/EBITDA 6.02
HMY Per share dataHMY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HMY's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of HMY may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HMY's earnings are expected to grow with 36.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y56.22%
EPS Next 3Y36.1%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. HMY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HMY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.52%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • In the last 3 months the price of HMY has falen by -25.83%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • HMY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.06. HMY pays more dividend than 88.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HMY's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.52%

5.2 History

  • HMY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • HMY has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
HMY Yearly Dividends per shareHMY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • HMY pays out 14.60% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP14.6%
EPS Next 2Y56.22%
EPS Next 3Y36.1%
HMY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHMY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
HMY Dividend Payout.HMY Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HMY Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HMY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR

NYSE:HMY (3/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 15.15 +0.02 (+0.13%)

15.13

-0.84 (-5.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners56.6%
Inst Owner Change-17.21%
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.45B
Revenue(TTM)73.90B
Net Income(TTM)14.38B
Analysts76.36
Price Target29.43 (94.51%)
Short Float %1.16%
Short Ratio1.3
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.52%
Yearly Dividend0.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP14.6%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-2.83%
PT rev (3m)33.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.81
Fwd PE 5.04
P/S 2.12
P/FCF 14.48
P/OCF 6.9
P/B 3.24
P/tB 3.24
EV/EBITDA 6.02
EPS(TTM)1.4
EY9.25%
EPS(NY)3
Fwd EY19.85%
FCF(TTM)1.04
FCFY6.9%
OCF(TTM)2.19
OCFY14.49%
SpS7.15
BVpS4.67
TBVpS4.67
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.56%
ROE 29.82%
ROCE 31.83%
ROIC 22.66%
ROICexc 28.37%
ROICexgc 28.37%
OM 28.04%
PM (TTM) 19.47%
GM 33.1%
FCFM 14.6%
ROA(3y)13.73%
ROA(5y)9.87%
ROE(3y)21.58%
ROE(5y)15.51%
ROIC(3y)17.58%
ROIC(5y)14.04%
ROICexc(3y)20.33%
ROICexc(5y)15.92%
ROICexgc(3y)20.33%
ROICexgc(5y)15.95%
ROCE(3y)24.69%
ROCE(5y)19.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y57.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y38.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y57.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y39.38%
OM growth 3Y44.29%
OM growth 5Y28.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.66%
GM growth 5Y23.45%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.95
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.04
Debt/FCF 0.18
Debt/EBITDA 0.07
Cap/Depr 244.84%
Cap/Sales 16.04%
Interest Coverage 80.32
Cash Conversion 88.59%
Profit Quality 75.03%
Current Ratio 1.72
Quick Ratio 1.41
Altman-Z 5.63
F-Score7
WACC15.85%
ROIC/WACC1.43
Cap/Depr(3y)215.65%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.08%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.42%
Profit Quality(3y)69.12%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)66.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%147.05%
EPS Next Y55.75%
EPS Next 2Y56.22%
EPS Next 3Y36.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.39%
Revenue growth 3Y20.11%
Revenue growth 5Y20.37%
Sales Q2Q%22.66%
Revenue Next Year37.36%
Revenue Next 2Y29.49%
Revenue Next 3Y18.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y47.97%
EBIT growth 3Y73.31%
EBIT growth 5Y54.8%
EBIT Next Year113.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y48.81%
FCF growth 3Y147.71%
FCF growth 5Y57.51%
OCF growth 1Y44.71%
OCF growth 3Y48.44%
OCF growth 5Y36.82%

HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR / HMY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 8 / 10 to HMY.


What is the valuation status for HMY stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 10 / 10 to HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of HMY stock?

HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for HMY stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) is 10.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.24.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for HMY stock?

The dividend rating of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 14.6%.