HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HMY • US4132163001

Current stock price

15.77 USD
+0.71 (+4.71%)
At close:
15.61 USD
-0.16 (-1.01%)
Pre-Market:

This HMY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. HMY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HMY was profitable.
  • HMY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HMY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • HMY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HMY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHMY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 14.20%, HMY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 31.37%, HMY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 21.77%, HMY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HMY is significantly below the industry average of 58.77%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.58%) for HMY is below the current ROIC(21.77%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.2%
ROE 31.37%
ROIC 21.77%
ROA(3y)13.73%
ROA(5y)9.87%
ROE(3y)21.58%
ROE(5y)15.51%
ROIC(3y)17.58%
ROIC(5y)14.04%
HMY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHMY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 20.06%, HMY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HMY has a better Operating Margin (31.85%) than 77.30% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HMY has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 36.53%, HMY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HMY's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 31.85%
PM (TTM) 20.06%
GM 36.53%
OM growth 3Y44.29%
OM growth 5Y28.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.66%
GM growth 5Y23.45%
HMY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHMY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

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6

2. HMY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HMY is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HMY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HMY has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HMY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HMY Yearly Shares OutstandingHMY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
HMY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHMY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • HMY has an Altman-Z score of 3.12. This indicates that HMY is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HMY has a Altman-Z score of 3.12. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HMY outperforms 46.01% of its industry peers.
  • HMY has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.16. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.16 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.16, HMY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.03 indicates that HMY is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.03, HMY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF 1.16
Altman-Z 3.12
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC17.64%
HMY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHMY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.54 indicates that HMY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HMY has a Current ratio of 0.54. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HMY underperforms 90.18% of its industry peers.
  • HMY has a Quick Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that HMY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HMY has a worse Quick ratio (0.38) than 90.80% of its industry peers.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for HMY is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.38
HMY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHMY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. HMY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HMY shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 53.72%, which is quite impressive.
  • Looking at the last year, HMY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 20.94%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 20.37% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)53.72%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%22.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.94%
Revenue growth 3Y20.11%
Revenue growth 5Y20.37%
Sales Q2Q%19.54%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.48% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • HMY is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 20.40% yearly.
EPS Next Y44.53%
EPS Next 2Y53.36%
EPS Next 3Y33.48%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year34.51%
Revenue Next 2Y30.93%
Revenue Next 3Y20.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
HMY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHMY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
HMY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHMY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 20 40 60

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10

4. HMY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.17 indicates a reasonable valuation of HMY.
  • 96.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HMY, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HMY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.77), we can say HMY is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 3.53, the valuation of HMY can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HMY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 99.39% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HMY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.17
Fwd PE 3.53
HMY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHMY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HMY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HMY is valued cheaper than 93.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.84
EV/EBITDA 5.43
HMY Per share dataHMY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of HMY may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HMY's earnings are expected to grow with 33.48% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y53.36%
EPS Next 3Y33.48%

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5

5. HMY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HMY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.50%.
  • The stock price of HMY dropped by -26.10% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • HMY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.99. HMY pays more dividend than 88.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, HMY pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.5%

5.2 History

  • HMY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • HMY has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
HMY Yearly Dividends per shareHMY Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • HMY pays out 15.38% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP15.38%
EPS Next 2Y53.36%
EPS Next 3Y33.48%
HMY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHMY Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
HMY Dividend Payout.HMY Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HMY Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HMY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR

NYSE:HMY (4/30/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 15.61 -0.16 (-1.01%)

15.77

+0.71 (+4.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Industry StrengthN/A
Industry GrowthN/A
Earnings (Last)03-11
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners56.21%
Inst Owner Change-0.83%
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.85B
Revenue(TTM)81.16B
Net Income(TTM)16.28B
Analysts78.18
Price Target25.93 (64.43%)
Short Float %0.98%
Short Ratio0.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.5%
Yearly Dividend0.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP15.38%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date04-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-11.88%
PT rev (3m)14.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.91%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.17
Fwd PE 3.53
P/S 2.04
P/FCF 14.84
P/OCF 6.29
P/B 3.19
P/tB 3.19
EV/EBITDA 5.43
EPS(TTM)1.55
EY9.83%
EPS(NY)4.46
Fwd EY28.3%
FCF(TTM)1.06
FCFY6.74%
OCF(TTM)2.51
OCFY15.9%
SpS7.74
BVpS4.95
TBVpS4.95
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number13.1329 (-16.72%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.2%
ROE 31.37%
ROCE 30.57%
ROIC 21.77%
ROICexc 23.84%
ROICexgc 23.84%
OM 31.85%
PM (TTM) 20.06%
GM 36.53%
FCFM 13.73%
ROA(3y)13.73%
ROA(5y)9.87%
ROE(3y)21.58%
ROE(5y)15.51%
ROIC(3y)17.58%
ROIC(5y)14.04%
ROICexc(3y)20.33%
ROICexc(5y)15.92%
ROICexgc(3y)20.33%
ROICexgc(5y)15.95%
ROCE(3y)24.69%
ROCE(5y)19.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y57.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y38.89%
ROICexc growth 3Y57.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y39.38%
OM growth 3Y44.29%
OM growth 5Y28.6%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y39.66%
GM growth 5Y23.45%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.03
Debt/FCF 1.16
Debt/EBITDA 0.05
Cap/Depr 268.19%
Cap/Sales 18.69%
Interest Coverage 37.68
Cash Conversion 83.52%
Profit Quality 68.48%
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 3.12
F-Score5
WACC17.64%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)215.65%
Cap/Depr(5y)189.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)15.08%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.42%
Profit Quality(3y)69.12%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)53.72%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%22.71%
EPS Next Y44.53%
EPS Next 2Y53.36%
EPS Next 3Y33.48%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.94%
Revenue growth 3Y20.11%
Revenue growth 5Y20.37%
Sales Q2Q%19.54%
Revenue Next Year34.51%
Revenue Next 2Y30.93%
Revenue Next 3Y20.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y49.81%
EBIT growth 3Y73.31%
EBIT growth 5Y54.8%
EBIT Next Year105.44%
EBIT Next 3Y40.87%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y85.27%
FCF growth 3Y147.71%
FCF growth 5Y57.51%
OCF growth 1Y89.6%
OCF growth 3Y48.44%
OCF growth 5Y36.82%

HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR / HMY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 8 / 10 to HMY.


What is the valuation status for HMY stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 10 / 10 to HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR?

HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR?

The financial health rating of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) is 6 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) stock?

The dividend rating of HARMONY GOLD MNG-SPON ADR (HMY) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.38%.