HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033
Current stock price
301.7 USD
-1.46 (-0.48%)
At close:
301.7 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HLT was profitable.
- In the past year HLT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years HLT has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HLT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.69%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of HLT (17.22%) is better than 87.30% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLT is significantly above the industry average of 10.65%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.03%) for HLT is below the current ROIC(17.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
1.3 Margins
- HLT has a better Profit Margin (12.10%) than 80.16% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.37%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLT has declined.
- HLT's Gross Margin of 37.29% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLT is outperformed by 70.63% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% |
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
2. HLT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLT is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HLT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- HLT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.89 indicates that HLT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- HLT has a Altman-Z score of 2.89. This is in the better half of the industry: HLT outperforms 75.40% of its industry peers.
- HLT has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLT would need 6.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- HLT's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.36 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLT outperforms 70.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.89 |
ROIC/WACC2.08
WACC8.29%
2.3 Liquidity
- HLT has a Current Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.66, HLT is doing worse than 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT has a Quick Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.66, HLT is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 |
3. HLT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.90%, which is quite good.
- HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 146.01% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.74% in the past year.
- HLT shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.82% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
3.2 Future
- HLT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.38% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HLT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 37.20, the valuation of HLT can be described as expensive.
- HLT's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- HLT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.04 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HLT.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HLT.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HLT to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.51), we can say HLT is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.04 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HLT indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: HLT is more expensive than 74.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- HLT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 35.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.09 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- The decent profitability rating of HLT may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
5. HLT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.20%, HLT is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- HLT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.09.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.20, HLT pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HLT is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 32.04%!
- HLT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- HLT has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- HLT pays out 9.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of HLT is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
301.7
-1.46 (-0.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners99.86%
Inst Owner Change-2.09%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change0.39%
Market Cap69.18B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.2 (9.78%)
Short Float %2.71%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)8.47%
PT rev (3m)15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.04 | ||
| P/S | 5.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 35.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 32.49 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.09 |
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.69%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY3.03%
FCF(TTM)8.48
FCFY2.81%
OCF(TTM)9.29
OCFY3.08%
SpS52.51
BVpS-23.5
TBVpS-74.88
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)0.25
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% | ||
| FCFM | 16.15% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.89 |
F-Score5
WACC8.29%
ROIC/WACC2.08
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.31%
EBIT Next 3Y16.13%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.6% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?
The dividend rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 9.81%.