HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033
Current stock price
297.83 USD
+3.27 (+1.11%)
At close:
297.83 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HLT was profitable.
- HLT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years HLT has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HLT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.69%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 17.22%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.03%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.59%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.03%) for HLT is below the current ROIC(17.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
1.3 Margins
- HLT has a better Profit Margin (12.10%) than 80.16% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HLT has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.37%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLT has declined.
- HLT's Gross Margin of 37.29% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLT is outperformed by 70.63% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% |
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
2. HLT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLT is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLT has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for HLT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- HLT has an Altman-Z score of 2.84. This is not the best score and indicates that HLT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.84, HLT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLT would need 6.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLT (6.36) is better than 70.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.84 |
ROIC/WACC2.11
WACC8.17%
2.3 Liquidity
- HLT has a Current Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HLT's Current ratio of 0.66 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLT is outperformed by 73.02% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.66 indicates that HLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.66, HLT is not doing good in the industry: 67.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 |
3. HLT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.90%, which is quite good.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 146.01% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.74% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.93%
Revenue Next 3Y8.56%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. HLT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- HLT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.72.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HLT.
- HLT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 25.79.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.61, HLT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- HLT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- HLT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 23.80.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.40% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HLT.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 35.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- HLT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.92
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
5. HLT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.20%, HLT is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- HLT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.12.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.20, HLT pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HLT is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 32.04%!
- HLT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- HLT has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- HLT pays out 9.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- HLT's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
297.83
+3.27 (+1.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners99.86%
Inst Owner Change-2.09%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change0.39%
Market Cap68.29B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.2 (11.2%)
Short Float %2.71%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)8.47%
PT rev (3m)15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.63%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 32.61 | ||
| P/S | 5.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 35.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 32.08 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.52 |
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.72%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY3.07%
FCF(TTM)8.48
FCFY2.85%
OCF(TTM)9.29
OCFY3.12%
SpS52.51
BVpS-23.5
TBVpS-74.88
PEG (NY)2.92
PEG (5Y)0.25
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% | ||
| FCFM | 16.15% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.84 |
F-Score5
WACC8.17%
ROIC/WACC2.11
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.48%
Revenue Next 2Y8.93%
Revenue Next 3Y8.56%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.31%
EBIT Next 3Y16.13%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.6% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?
The dividend rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 9.81%.