HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033
Current stock price
323.43 USD
+0.92 (+0.29%)
At close:
323.43 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HLT had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year HLT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- HLT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HLT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- HLT has a better Return On Assets (8.69%) than 80.16% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 17.22%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLT is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (17.22%) for HLT is above the 3 year average (16.03%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.10%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HLT has declined.
- HLT has a better Operating Margin (22.37%) than 84.13% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HLT has a Gross Margin of 37.29%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLT underperforms 70.63% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLT has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% |
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
2. HLT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLT is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLT has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, HLT has less shares outstanding
- HLT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.02 indicates that HLT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of HLT (3.02) is better than 76.19% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLT is 6.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLT, 6.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.36, HLT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.02 |
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.32%
2.3 Liquidity
- HLT has a Current Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.66, HLT is doing worse than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT has a Quick Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HLT has a worse Quick ratio (0.66) than 69.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 |
3. HLT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.90% over the past year.
- HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 146.01% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HLT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.74% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.82% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y12.82%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. HLT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 39.88 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HLT.
- HLT's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.86, HLT is valued a bit more expensive.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 35.35 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HLT.
- HLT's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.39, HLT is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 35.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 73.81% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than HLT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HLT.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 38.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 29.77 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of HLT may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)3.11
PEG (5Y)0.27
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
5. HLT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLT has a yearly dividend return of 0.19%, which is pretty low.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, HLT has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.19, HLT pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.19% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of HLT grows each year by 32.04%, which is quite nice.
- HLT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- HLT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- HLT pays out 9.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- HLT's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
323.43
+0.92 (+0.29%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28/bmo
Inst Owners100.09%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change2.85%
Market Cap74.00B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.9 (2.62%)
Short Float %2.55%
Short Ratio2.82
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.19% |
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)0.21%
PT rev (3m)14.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 35.35 | ||
| P/S | 6.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 38.07 | ||
| P/OCF | 34.76 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 29.77 |
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.51%
EPS(NY)9.15
Fwd EY2.83%
FCF(TTM)8.5
FCFY2.63%
OCF(TTM)9.31
OCFY2.88%
SpS52.62
BVpS-23.55
TBVpS-75.04
PEG (NY)3.11
PEG (5Y)0.27
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% | ||
| FCFM | 16.15% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.02 |
F-Score5
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.82%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.44%
EBIT Next 3Y16.21%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HLT stock?
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
The financial health rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.82% in the next year.