HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033
Current stock price
302.16 USD
-4.72 (-1.54%)
At close:
307.87 USD
+5.71 (+1.89%)
After Hours:
This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HLT had positive earnings in the past year.
- HLT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years HLT has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HLT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.69%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 17.22%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLT is significantly above the industry average of 10.56%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.03%) for HLT is below the current ROIC(17.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 12.10%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HLT's Operating Margin of 22.37% is amongst the best of the industry. HLT outperforms 84.13% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLT has declined.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 37.29%, HLT is doing worse than 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% |
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
2. HLT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HLT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HLT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- HLT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- HLT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.92 indicates that HLT is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.92, HLT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLT has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLT would need 6.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.36, HLT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.92 |
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.3%
2.3 Liquidity
- HLT has a Current Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of HLT (0.66) is worse than 73.81% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.66 indicates that HLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- HLT has a Quick ratio of 0.66. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLT underperforms 69.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 |
3. HLT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.90% over the past year.
- HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 146.01% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HLT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.74% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, HLT shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. HLT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 37.26, the valuation of HLT can be described as expensive.
- HLT's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, HLT is valued a bit more expensive.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.09, HLT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- HLT's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.10. HLT is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 73.81% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- HLT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 35.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- HLT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.96
PEG (5Y)0.26
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
5. HLT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLT has a yearly dividend return of 0.20%, which is pretty low.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.14, HLT has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, HLT's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of HLT is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 32.04%!
- HLT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- HLT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- HLT pays out 9.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- HLT's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
302.16
-4.72 (-1.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners99.86%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change2.87%
Market Cap69.28B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.86 (9.83%)
Short Float %2.55%
Short Ratio2.82
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)0.2%
PT rev (3m)14.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.09 | ||
| P/S | 5.75 | ||
| P/FCF | 35.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 32.54 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 28.51 |
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.68%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY3.02%
FCF(TTM)8.48
FCFY2.81%
OCF(TTM)9.29
OCFY3.07%
SpS52.51
BVpS-23.5
TBVpS-74.88
PEG (NY)2.96
PEG (5Y)0.26
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% | ||
| FCFM | 16.15% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.92 |
F-Score5
WACC8.3%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.31%
EBIT Next 3Y16.13%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HLT stock?
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
The financial health rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.6% in the next year.