HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033

Current stock price

294.04 USD
-7.66 (-2.54%)
At close:
294.04 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. HLT Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLT was profitable.
  • In the past year HLT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • HLT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HLT had a positive operating cash flow.
HLT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • HLT's Return On Assets of 8.69% is amongst the best of the industry. HLT outperforms 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • HLT's Return On Invested Capital of 17.22% is amongst the best of the industry. HLT outperforms 87.30% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLT is significantly above the industry average of 10.65%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.03%) for HLT is below the current ROIC(17.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.69%
ROE N/A
ROIC 17.22%
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
HLT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.10%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HLT has declined.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 22.37%, HLT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HLT has a Gross Margin of 37.29%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLT underperforms 70.63% of its industry peers.
  • HLT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.37%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 37.29%
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
HLT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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3

2. HLT Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HLT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLT has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HLT has less shares outstanding
  • HLT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HLT Yearly Shares OutstandingHLT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
HLT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

  • HLT has an Altman-Z score of 2.89. This is not the best score and indicates that HLT is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HLT's Altman-Z score of 2.89 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLT outperforms 75.40% of its industry peers.
  • HLT has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLT would need 6.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.36, HLT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 6.36
Altman-Z 2.89
ROIC/WACC2.06
WACC8.37%
HLT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.66 indicates that HLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.66, HLT is doing worse than 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLT has a Quick Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.66, HLT is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.66
Quick Ratio 0.66
HLT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. HLT Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HLT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.90%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 146.01% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.74% in the past year.
  • HLT shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.82% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%

3.2 Future

  • HLT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.38% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.58% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HLT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
HLT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15 20

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2

4. HLT Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 36.26, the valuation of HLT can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HLT.
  • HLT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 24.88.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.20 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HLT.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HLT.
  • HLT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.19.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.26
Fwd PE 32.2
HLT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLT is valued a bit more expensive than 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.68
EV/EBITDA 28.09
HLT Per share dataHLT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • HLT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)0.25
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. HLT Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.20%, HLT is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • HLT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.09.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, HLT's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.2%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of HLT grows each year by 32.04%, which is quite nice.
  • HLT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • HLT has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
HLT Yearly Dividends per shareHLT Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 9.81% of the earnings are spent on dividend by HLT. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of HLT is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
HLT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHLT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B
HLT Dividend Payout.HLT Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HLT Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN

NYSE:HLT (3/27/2026, 8:23:40 PM)

After market: 294.04 0 (0%)

294.04

-7.66 (-2.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners99.86%
Inst Owner Change-2.09%
Ins Owners2.13%
Ins Owner Change0.39%
Market Cap67.42B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.2 (12.64%)
Short Float %2.71%
Short Ratio2.98
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.2%
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)8.47%
PT rev (3m)15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 36.26
Fwd PE 32.2
P/S 5.6
P/FCF 34.68
P/OCF 31.67
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 28.09
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.76%
EPS(NY)9.13
Fwd EY3.11%
FCF(TTM)8.48
FCFY2.88%
OCF(TTM)9.29
OCFY3.16%
SpS52.51
BVpS-23.5
TBVpS-74.88
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)0.25
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.69%
ROE N/A
ROCE 21.96%
ROIC 17.22%
ROICexc 18.61%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 22.37%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 37.29%
FCFM 16.15%
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 6.36
Debt/EBITDA 4.3
Cap/Depr 104.52%
Cap/Sales 1.54%
Interest Coverage 4.16
Cash Conversion 74.18%
Profit Quality 133.43%
Current Ratio 0.66
Quick Ratio 0.66
Altman-Z 2.89
F-Score5
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC2.06
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.6%
EPS Next 2Y13.81%
EPS Next 3Y14.37%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.63%
Revenue Next 2Y9%
Revenue Next 3Y8.64%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.31%
EBIT Next 3Y16.13%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%

HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.


Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?

HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.6% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) stock?

The dividend rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 9.81%.