HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLT • US43300A2033
Current stock price
340.21 USD
-2.68 (-0.78%)
At close:
342.02 USD
+1.81 (+0.53%)
After Hours:
This HLT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HLT had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year HLT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- HLT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HLT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- HLT has a better Return On Assets (8.69%) than 80.16% of its industry peers.
- HLT has a Return On Invested Capital of 17.22%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLT outperforms 88.10% of its industry peers.
- HLT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.03%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.03%) for HLT is below the current ROIC(17.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.10%, HLT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HLT has declined.
- HLT's Operating Margin of 22.37% is amongst the best of the industry. HLT outperforms 84.13% of its industry peers.
- HLT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 37.29%, HLT is doing worse than 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLT has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% |
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
2. HLT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLT is creating value.
- HLT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for HLT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.14 indicates that HLT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- HLT's Altman-Z score of 3.14 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLT outperforms 76.98% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLT is 6.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLT, 6.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.36, HLT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.14 |
ROIC/WACC2.07
WACC8.3%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.66 indicates that HLT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.66, HLT is not doing good in the industry: 73.81% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- HLT has a Quick Ratio of 0.66. This is a bad value and indicates that HLT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.66, HLT is doing worse than 69.84% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 |
3. HLT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.90% over the past year.
- Measured over the past years, HLT shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 146.01% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.74% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, HLT shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.82% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- HLT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.82%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue Next Year9.71%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3Y8.68%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HLT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- HLT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 41.95.
- HLT's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.71, HLT is valued quite expensively.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.18, HLT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HLT.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.09. HLT is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 37.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLT is valued a bit more expensive than 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HLT.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 40.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 31.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- HLT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLT's earnings are expected to grow with 14.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)3.27
PEG (5Y)0.29
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
5. HLT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLT has a yearly dividend return of 0.18%, which is pretty low.
- HLT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.04.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, HLT's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.18% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of HLT grows each year by 32.04%, which is quite nice.
- HLT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- HLT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- HLT pays out 9.81% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of HLT is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP9.81%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
HLT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
340.21
-2.68 (-0.78%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28/bmo
Inst Owners100.09%
Inst Owner Change0.31%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change2.85%
Market Cap77.84B
Revenue(TTM)12.04B
Net Income(TTM)1.46B
Analysts73.13
Price Target331.9 (-2.44%)
Short Float %2.64%
Short Ratio3.04
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.18% |
Yearly Dividend0.61
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.04%
DP9.81%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-27 2026-02-27 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.77%
Min EPS beat(2)1.57%
Max EPS beat(2)1.98%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4%
Min EPS beat(4)1.57%
Max EPS beat(4)6.76%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)3.9%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.94%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)7.04%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.48%
PT rev (1m)0.21%
PT rev (3m)13.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.72%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 37.18 | ||
| P/S | 6.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 40.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 36.56 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 31.32 |
EPS(TTM)8.11
EY2.38%
EPS(NY)9.15
Fwd EY2.69%
FCF(TTM)8.5
FCFY2.5%
OCF(TTM)9.31
OCFY2.74%
SpS52.62
BVpS-23.55
TBVpS-75.04
PEG (NY)3.27
PEG (5Y)0.29
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.69% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 21.96% | ||
| ROIC | 17.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.61% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 22.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 37.29% | ||
| FCFM | 16.15% |
ROA(3y)8.46%
ROA(5y)7.24%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.03%
ROIC(5y)13.66%
ROICexc(3y)17.52%
ROICexc(5y)15.04%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.45%
ROCE(5y)17.43%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y7.4%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-2.14%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-5.42%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4%
GM growth 5Y5.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.72
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.52% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.14 |
F-Score5
WACC8.3%
ROIC/WACC2.07
Cap/Depr(3y)136.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.65%
Profit Quality(3y)133.52%
Profit Quality(5y)106.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.9%
EPS 3Y18.29%
EPS 5Y146.01%
EPS Q2Q%18.18%
EPS Next Y12.82%
EPS Next 2Y14.03%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5Y16.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.74%
Revenue growth 3Y11.13%
Revenue growth 5Y22.82%
Sales Q2Q%10.92%
Revenue Next Year9.71%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3Y8.68%
Revenue Next 5Y8.58%
EBIT growth 1Y13.87%
EBIT growth 3Y8.75%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year32.44%
EBIT Next 3Y16.21%
EBIT Next 5Y13.14%
FCF growth 1Y7.11%
FCF growth 3Y7.18%
FCF growth 5Y25.84%
OCF growth 1Y5.76%
OCF growth 3Y8.19%
OCF growth 5Y24.63%
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN / HLT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HLT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HLT.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HLT stock?
HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
How financially healthy is HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN?
The financial health rating of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for HLT stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS IN (HLT) is expected to grow by 12.82% in the next year.