HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090

Current stock price

8.36 USD
+0.47 (+5.96%)
At close:
8.36 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLMN was profitable.
  • In the past year HLMN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLMN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLMN's Return On Assets of 1.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 40.46% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Return On Equity of 3.28% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 60.31% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.70%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLMN underperforms 61.07% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.02%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.70%) for HLMN is above the 3 year average (2.86%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN has a Profit Margin of 2.60%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 40.46% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.34%, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin of 48.73% is amongst the best of the industry. HLMN outperforms 90.08% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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3

2. HLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HLMN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • HLMN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.74, we must say that HLMN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.74, HLMN is doing worse than 71.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 19.47, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 19.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 19.47, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 62.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.54) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Altman-Z 1.74
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC9.84%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HLMN has a Current Ratio of 2.51. This indicates that HLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HLMN's Current ratio of 2.51 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 67.18% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.51. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.62, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 86.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. HLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.46% over the past year.
  • HLMN shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.00% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.41% in the last year.
  • HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HLMN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.13% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HLMN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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4

4. HLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.17 indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 90.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.91, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.09, HLMN is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 85.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.69. HLMN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.17
Fwd PE 14.09
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 88.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLMN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: HLMN is more expensive than 60.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.84
EV/EBITDA 8.65
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (4/8/2026, 6:41:15 PM)

After market: 8.36 0 (0%)

8.36

+0.47 (+5.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners105.18%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap1.64B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.37 (47.97%)
Short Float %2.65%
Short Ratio3.02
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.21%
PT rev (3m)-0.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.17
Fwd PE 14.09
P/S 1.06
P/FCF 46.84
P/OCF 15.62
P/B 1.34
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.65
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.06%
EPS(NY)0.59
Fwd EY7.1%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.13%
OCF(TTM)0.54
OCFY6.4%
SpS7.9
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROCE 5.43%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 11.18%
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
FCFM 2.26%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.62
Cap/Depr 49.68%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 41.24%
Profit Quality 87.05%
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 1.74
F-Score9
WACC9.84%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year145.2%
EBIT Next 3Y42.52%
EBIT Next 5Y27.12%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 14.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.34.


What is the financial health of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

The financial health rating of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 3 / 10.