Logo image of HLMN

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:HLMN - US4316361090 - Common Stock

9.95 USD
-0.02 (-0.2%)
Last: 1/16/2026, 8:25:38 PM
9.95 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/16/2026, 8:25:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HLMN. HLMN was compared to 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While HLMN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HLMN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLMN was profitable.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HLMN had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLMN has a worse Return On Assets (1.56%) than 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a worse Return On Equity (3.05%) than 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Return On Invested Capital of 3.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 65.91% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.24%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.94%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.40%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.56%
ROE 3.05%
ROIC 3.4%
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN has a Profit Margin of 2.44%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 40.15% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Operating Margin of 7.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 44.70% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 48.76%, HLMN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.24%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 48.76%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLMN is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HLMN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that HLMN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.90, HLMN is doing worse than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.01. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLMN would need 17.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.01, HLMN is doing worse than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.56) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.56
Debt/FCF 17.01
Altman-Z 1.9
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC8.94%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.46 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • HLMN has a better Current ratio (2.46) than 65.15% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.77 indicates that HLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HLMN's Quick ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 78.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.77
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • HLMN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.46%, which is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.47% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.88% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y14.33%
EPS Next 2Y8.08%
EPS Next 3Y10.53%
EPS Next 5Y14.88%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.06%
Revenue Next 5Y5.1%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.86, the valuation of HLMN can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.09% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.47), we can say HLMN is valued slightly cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.38, which indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 80.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.26, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.86
Fwd PE 16.38
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HLMN indicates a rather cheap valuation: HLMN is cheaper than 80.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • HLMN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. HLMN is more expensive than 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 47.8
EV/EBITDA 10.51
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HLMN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.08%
EPS Next 3Y10.53%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (1/16/2026, 8:25:38 PM)

After market: 9.95 0 (0%)

9.95

-0.02 (-0.2%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)02-16
Inst Owners103.68%
Inst Owner Change-0.07%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change-0.11%
Market Cap1.96B
Revenue(TTM)1.54B
Net Income(TTM)37.48M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.46 (25.23%)
Short Float %2.69%
Short Ratio5.39
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.58%
Min EPS beat(2)5.21%
Max EPS beat(2)15.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.7%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)29.74%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)288.57%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.61%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.5%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.09%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-0.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.86
Fwd PE 16.38
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 47.8
P/OCF 16.72
P/B 1.6
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.51
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY5.93%
EPS(NY)0.61
Fwd EY6.11%
FCF(TTM)0.21
FCFY2.09%
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY5.98%
SpS7.79
BVpS6.24
TBVpS-0.82
PEG (NY)1.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.1
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.56%
ROE 3.05%
ROCE 5.24%
ROIC 3.4%
ROICexc 3.47%
ROICexgc 10.4%
OM 7.24%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 48.76%
FCFM 2.67%
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
ROICexc(3y)1.97%
ROICexc(5y)1.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.76%
ROICexgc(5y)6%
ROCE(3y)2.98%
ROCE(5y)2.49%
ROICexgc growth 3Y110.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y37.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y112.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y43.98%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.56
Debt/FCF 17.01
Debt/EBITDA 2.73
Cap/Depr 54.99%
Cap/Sales 4.97%
Interest Coverage 2.14
Cash Conversion 46.95%
Profit Quality 109.56%
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.77
Altman-Z 1.9
F-Score9
WACC8.94%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)59.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
EPS Next Y14.33%
EPS Next 2Y8.08%
EPS Next 3Y10.53%
EPS Next 5Y14.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.06%
Revenue Next 5Y5.1%
EBIT growth 1Y40.62%
EBIT growth 3Y105.05%
EBIT growth 5Y41.6%
EBIT Next Year165.47%
EBIT Next 3Y43.39%
EBIT Next 5Y27.55%
FCF growth 1Y-73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y28.46%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 14.33% in the next year.