HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090

Current stock price

8.32 USD
-0.1 (-1.19%)
At close:
8.24 USD
-0.08 (-0.96%)
Pre-Market:

This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLMN was profitable.
  • In the past year HLMN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years HLMN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 1.71%, HLMN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 3.28%, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 60.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.70%, HLMN is doing worse than 61.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.86%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.17%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.70%) for HLMN is above the 3 year average (2.86%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN has a Profit Margin (2.60%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HLMN's Operating Margin of 7.34% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 46.56% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of HLMN (48.73%) is better than 90.08% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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3

2. HLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HLMN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HLMN has more shares outstanding
  • HLMN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that HLMN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HLMN's Altman-Z score of 1.78 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 71.76% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 19.47, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 19.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 19.47, HLMN is doing worse than 63.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 44.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Altman-Z 1.78
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC9.77%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HLMN has a Current Ratio of 2.51. This indicates that HLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.51, HLMN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.62 indicates that HLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.62, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 85.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. HLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.46% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.00% on average per year.
  • HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.41%.
  • Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%

3.2 Future

  • HLMN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.13% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year5.03%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y4.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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4

4. HLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.10, the valuation of HLMN can be described as correct.
  • HLMN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HLMN is cheaper than 89.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper.
  • HLMN is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.02.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.21% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.51, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.1
Fwd PE 14.02
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLMN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HLMN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. HLMN is more expensive than 61.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.62
EV/EBITDA 8.98
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLMN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)24.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (3/26/2026, 8:27:21 PM)

Premarket: 8.24 -0.08 (-0.96%)

8.32

-0.1 (-1.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners105.18%
Inst Owner Change3.28%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change2.47%
Market Cap1.64B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.39 (48.92%)
Short Float %2.18%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-0.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-17.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.1
Fwd PE 14.02
P/S 1.05
P/FCF 46.62
P/OCF 15.55
P/B 1.33
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.98
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.09%
EPS(NY)0.59
Fwd EY7.13%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.15%
OCF(TTM)0.54
OCFY6.43%
SpS7.9
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)24.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROCE 5.43%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 11.18%
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
FCFM 2.26%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.62
Cap/Depr 49.68%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 41.24%
Profit Quality 87.05%
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 1.78
F-Score9
WACC9.77%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year5.03%
Revenue Next 2Y4.82%
Revenue Next 3Y4.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year145.2%
EBIT Next 3Y42.52%
EBIT Next 5Y27.12%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 0.57% in the next year.