HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090

Current stock price

8.66 USD
-0.14 (-1.59%)
Last:

This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HLMN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years HLMN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of HLMN (1.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 3.28%, HLMN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HLMN (3.70%) is worse than 61.07% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.00%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.86%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN has a Profit Margin (2.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.34%, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin of 48.73% is amongst the best of the industry. HLMN outperforms 90.08% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

3

2. HLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLMN is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HLMN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.83. This is not the best score and indicates that HLMN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of HLMN (1.83) is worse than 69.47% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a debt to FCF ratio of 19.47. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLMN would need 19.47 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 19.47, HLMN is doing worse than 62.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 44.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Altman-Z 1.83
ROIC/WACC0.36
WACC10.14%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • HLMN has a Current Ratio of 2.51. This indicates that HLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HLMN has a Current ratio of 2.51. This is in the better half of the industry: HLMN outperforms 67.18% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.51. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.62, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 86.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

5

3. HLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.46% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.00% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.41% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.13% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • HLMN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.76% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.44%
EPS Next 3Y13.09%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

5

4. HLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • HLMN is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.68.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 90.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.70, the valuation of HLMN can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 87.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 37.96. HLMN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.68
Fwd PE 14.7
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 89.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 61.07% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than HLMN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.52
EV/EBITDA 9.35
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 13.09% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.44%
EPS Next 3Y13.09%

0

5. HLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (4/14/2026, 3:54:55 PM)

8.66

-0.14 (-1.59%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners105.72%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners1.13%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap1.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.37 (42.84%)
Short Float %2.75%
Short Ratio3.04
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.21%
PT rev (3m)-0.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.68
Fwd PE 14.7
P/S 1.1
P/FCF 48.52
P/OCF 16.19
P/B 1.39
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.35
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY6.81%
EPS(NY)0.59
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.06%
OCF(TTM)0.54
OCFY6.18%
SpS7.9
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROCE 5.43%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 11.18%
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
FCFM 2.26%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.62
Cap/Depr 49.68%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 41.24%
Profit Quality 87.05%
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 1.83
F-Score9
WACC10.14%
ROIC/WACC0.36
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-0.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.44%
EPS Next 3Y13.09%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year144.89%
EBIT Next 3Y42.38%
EBIT Next 5Y27.12%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 14.68 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.39.


What is the financial health of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

The financial health rating of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 3 / 10.