HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090

Current stock price

7.915 USD
-0.25 (-3%)
Last:

This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLMN was profitable.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLMN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLMN has a Return On Assets of 1.71%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 40.46% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Return On Equity of 3.28%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 40.46% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HLMN (3.70%) is worse than 61.07% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.86%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.06%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.70%) for HLMN is above the 3 year average (2.86%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN has a Profit Margin (2.60%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HLMN has a Operating Margin (7.34%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 48.73%, HLMN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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3

2. HLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLMN is destroying value.
  • HLMN has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HLMN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.76, we must say that HLMN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.76, HLMN is doing worse than 69.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 19.47, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 19.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 19.47, HLMN is doing worse than 62.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 42.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Altman-Z 1.76
ROIC/WACC0.36
WACC10.15%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.51 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.51, HLMN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.62 indicates that HLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of HLMN (0.62) is worse than 86.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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5

3. HLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HLMN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.46%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.41% in the last year.
  • HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%

3.2 Future

  • HLMN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.29% yearly.
  • HLMN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y-0.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.44%
EPS Next 3Y13.09%
EPS Next 5Y16.29%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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5

4. HLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 13.42, the valuation of HLMN can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HLMN indicates a rather cheap valuation: HLMN is cheaper than 92.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.44 indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 88.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.42
Fwd PE 13.44
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 90.84% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLMN is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 44.35
EV/EBITDA 8.86
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 13.09% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.44%
EPS Next 3Y13.09%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (5/1/2026, 3:04:33 PM)

7.915

-0.25 (-3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Industry Strength61.49
Industry Growth56.52
Earnings (Last)04-28
Earnings (Next)08-03
Inst Owners105.72%
Inst Owner Change-2.55%
Ins Owners1.13%
Ins Owner Change2.22%
Market Cap1.56B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.37 (56.29%)
Short Float %2.81%
Short Ratio3.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.21%
PT rev (3m)-0.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.42
Fwd PE 13.44
P/S 1
P/FCF 44.35
P/OCF 14.79
P/B 1.27
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.86
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.45%
EPS(NY)0.59
Fwd EY7.44%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.25%
OCF(TTM)0.54
OCFY6.76%
SpS7.9
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.10805 (15.07%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROCE 5.43%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 11.18%
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
FCFM 2.26%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.62
Cap/Depr 49.68%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 41.24%
Profit Quality 87.05%
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 1.76
F-Score9
WACC10.15%
ROIC/WACC0.36
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-0.17%
EPS Next 2Y8.44%
EPS Next 3Y13.09%
EPS Next 5Y16.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.88%
Revenue Next 3Y4.91%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year144.89%
EBIT Next 3Y42.38%
EBIT Next 5Y28.35%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 13.42 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.27.


What is the financial health of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

The financial health rating of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 3 / 10.