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HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:HLMN - US4316361090 - Common Stock

9.95 USD
+0.28 (+2.9%)
Last: 1/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM
9.95 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall HLMN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HLMN against 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While HLMN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HLMN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HLMN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HLMN had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.56%, HLMN is doing worse than 60.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 3.05%, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 60.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.40%, HLMN is doing worse than 65.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.24%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.94%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.40%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.56%
ROE 3.05%
ROIC 3.4%
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN's Profit Margin of 2.44% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 40.15% of its industry peers.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 7.24%, HLMN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
  • HLMN has a better Gross Margin (48.76%) than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.24%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 48.76%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLMN is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HLMN has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.90. This is not the best score and indicates that HLMN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • HLMN's Altman-Z score of 1.90 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 68.94% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 17.01, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 17.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • HLMN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.01. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLMN underperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56. This is a neutral value indicating HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.56) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.56
Debt/FCF 17.01
Altman-Z 1.9
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC9.16%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.46 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 2.46, HLMN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.46. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of HLMN (0.77) is worse than 78.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.77
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.46% over the past year.
  • HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.47%.
  • Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.88% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y14.33%
EPS Next 2Y8.08%
EPS Next 3Y10.53%
EPS Next 5Y14.88%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.06%
Revenue Next 5Y5.1%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.86, HLMN is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.32, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.38 indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 80.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.30, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.86
Fwd PE 16.38
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 81.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HLMN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.12% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 47.8
EV/EBITDA 10.49
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HLMN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.08%
EPS Next 3Y10.53%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (1/21/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 9.95 0 (0%)

9.95

+0.28 (+2.9%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)11-04
Earnings (Next)02-17
Inst Owners103.68%
Inst Owner Change-0.15%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change-0.11%
Market Cap1.96B
Revenue(TTM)1.54B
Net Income(TTM)37.48M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.46 (25.23%)
Short Float %2.51%
Short Ratio4.62
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.58%
Min EPS beat(2)5.21%
Max EPS beat(2)15.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.7%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)29.74%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)288.57%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.61%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.5%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.09%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-0.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.86
Fwd PE 16.38
P/S 1.28
P/FCF 47.8
P/OCF 16.72
P/B 1.6
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.49
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY5.93%
EPS(NY)0.61
Fwd EY6.11%
FCF(TTM)0.21
FCFY2.09%
OCF(TTM)0.6
OCFY5.98%
SpS7.79
BVpS6.24
TBVpS-0.82
PEG (NY)1.18
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.1
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.56%
ROE 3.05%
ROCE 5.24%
ROIC 3.4%
ROICexc 3.47%
ROICexgc 10.4%
OM 7.24%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 48.76%
FCFM 2.67%
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
ROICexc(3y)1.97%
ROICexc(5y)1.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.76%
ROICexgc(5y)6%
ROCE(3y)2.98%
ROCE(5y)2.49%
ROICexgc growth 3Y110.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y37.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y112.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y43.98%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.56
Debt/FCF 17.01
Debt/EBITDA 2.73
Cap/Depr 54.99%
Cap/Sales 4.97%
Interest Coverage 2.14
Cash Conversion 46.95%
Profit Quality 109.56%
Current Ratio 2.46
Quick Ratio 0.77
Altman-Z 1.9
F-Score9
WACC9.16%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)59.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
EPS Next Y14.33%
EPS Next 2Y8.08%
EPS Next 3Y10.53%
EPS Next 5Y14.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year5.79%
Revenue Next 2Y6.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.06%
Revenue Next 5Y5.1%
EBIT growth 1Y40.62%
EBIT growth 3Y105.05%
EBIT growth 5Y41.6%
EBIT Next Year165.47%
EBIT Next 3Y43.39%
EBIT Next 5Y27.55%
FCF growth 1Y-73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y28.46%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 14.33% in the next year.