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HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:HLMN - US4316361090 - Common Stock

9.52 USD
-0.22 (-2.26%)
Last: 9/17/2025, 8:00:01 PM
9.52 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 9/17/2025, 8:00:01 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to HLMN. HLMN was compared to 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. HLMN has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. HLMN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HLMN was profitable.
HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HLMN had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

HLMN has a Return On Assets of 0.92%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLMN underperforms 67.19% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Return On Equity of 1.80% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 66.41% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HLMN (2.88%) is worse than 66.41% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.02%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.94%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(2.88%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.92%
ROE 1.8%
ROIC 2.88%
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

HLMN's Profit Margin of 1.44% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 64.06% of its industry peers.
HLMN has a worse Operating Margin (6.13%) than 60.16% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
HLMN's Gross Margin of 47.80% is amongst the best of the industry. HLMN outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.13%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 47.8%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLMN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
HLMN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HLMN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.81. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.81, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 70.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 9.74, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 9.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HLMN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 9.74. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLMN underperforms 60.16% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.57 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HLMN's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.57 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 40.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.57
Debt/FCF 9.74
Altman-Z 1.81
ROIC/WACC0.31
WACC9.28%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.28 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
HLMN's Current ratio of 2.28 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 58.59% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.72 indicates that HLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of HLMN (0.72) is worse than 82.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.28
Quick Ratio 0.72
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.77% over the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.93% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.93%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HLMN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.84% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.08% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y12.35%
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y16.84%
Revenue Next Year5.85%
Revenue Next 2Y6.85%
Revenue Next 3Y5.98%
Revenue Next 5Y5.08%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.96, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HLMN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper than 72.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.20, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper.
HLMN is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.59.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HLMN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HLMN is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HLMN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.96
Fwd PE 15.59
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

HLMN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HLMN is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLMN is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.28
EV/EBITDA 11.11
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.45
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for HLMN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (9/17/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 9.52 0 (0%)

9.52

-0.22 (-2.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)08-05 2025-08-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-03 2025-11-03/bmo
Inst Owners104.83%
Inst Owner Change-0.91%
Ins Owners1.13%
Ins Owner Change2.81%
Market Cap1.88B
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.56 (31.93%)
Short Float %2.96%
Short Ratio3.61
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.57%
Min EPS beat(2)1.2%
Max EPS beat(2)15.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.7%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.14%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)33.05%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)285.05%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.61%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.32%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.92%
PT rev (1m)16.89%
PT rev (3m)14.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.9%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.53%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.96
Fwd PE 15.59
P/S 1.25
P/FCF 26.28
P/OCF 12.15
P/B 1.56
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.11
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY5.57%
EPS(NY)0.61
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)0.36
FCFY3.81%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY8.23%
SpS7.61
BVpS6.11
TBVpS-1.01
PEG (NY)1.45
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.92%
ROE 1.8%
ROCE 4.43%
ROIC 2.88%
ROICexc 2.93%
ROICexgc 9.33%
OM 6.13%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 47.8%
FCFM 4.76%
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
ROICexc(3y)1.97%
ROICexc(5y)1.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.76%
ROICexgc(5y)6%
ROCE(3y)2.98%
ROCE(5y)2.49%
ROICexcg growth 3Y110.94%
ROICexcg growth 5Y37.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y112.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y43.98%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.57
Debt/FCF 9.74
Debt/EBITDA 2.98
Cap/Depr 60.9%
Cap/Sales 5.54%
Interest Coverage 1.88
Cash Conversion 67.63%
Profit Quality 329.53%
Current Ratio 2.28
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 1.81
F-Score7
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.31
Cap/Depr(3y)59.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
EPS Next Y12.35%
EPS Next 2Y8.35%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y16.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.93%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%
Revenue Next Year5.85%
Revenue Next 2Y6.85%
Revenue Next 3Y5.98%
Revenue Next 5Y5.08%
EBIT growth 1Y6.16%
EBIT growth 3Y105.05%
EBIT growth 5Y41.6%
EBIT Next Year151.21%
EBIT Next 3Y40.11%
EBIT Next 5Y28.33%
FCF growth 1Y-49.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y28.46%