HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090
Current stock price
8.05 USD
+0.02 (+0.25%)
At close:
8.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLMN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HLMN was profitable.
- In the past year HLMN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLMN reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.71%, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.98% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLMN has a Return On Equity of 3.28%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 41.22% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.70%, HLMN is doing worse than 61.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.16%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (2.86%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.71% | ||
| ROE | 3.28% | ||
| ROIC | 3.7% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
1.3 Margins
- HLMN has a Profit Margin (2.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- HLMN has a Operating Margin of 7.34%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 45.80% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 48.73%, HLMN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.6% | ||
| GM | 48.73% |
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
2. HLMN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLMN is destroying value.
- HLMN has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HLMN has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.75. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HLMN has a worse Altman-Z score (1.75) than 70.99% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 19.47, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 19.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 19.47, HLMN is doing worse than 63.36% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. This is a neutral value indicating HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- HLMN's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.54 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 45.04% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 19.47 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.75 |
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC9.15%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.51 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- HLMN's Current ratio of 2.51 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 66.41% of its industry peers.
- HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.51. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HLMN has a worse Quick ratio (0.62) than 85.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 |
3. HLMN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.46% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.41%.
- HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
3.2 Future
- HLMN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.13% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLMN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.94%
Revenue Next 3Y4.8%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. HLMN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.64, HLMN is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 89.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say HLMN is valued slightly cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.57 indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 86.26% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 89.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLMN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: HLMN is more expensive than 61.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 45.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)24.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
5. HLMN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLMN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
8.05
+0.02 (+0.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27
Inst Owners105.18%
Inst Owner Change3.28%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change2.47%
Market Cap1.58B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.39 (53.91%)
Short Float %2.39%
Short Ratio3.27
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-0.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.57 | ||
| P/S | 1.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 45.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.05 | ||
| P/B | 1.29 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.78 |
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.33%
EPS(NY)0.59
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.22%
OCF(TTM)0.54
OCFY6.65%
SpS7.9
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)24.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.71% | ||
| ROE | 3.28% | ||
| ROCE | 5.43% | ||
| ROIC | 3.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.75% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.18% | ||
| OM | 7.34% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.6% | ||
| GM | 48.73% | ||
| FCFM | 2.26% |
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.54 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 19.47 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.62 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 49.68% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.26 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.75 |
F-Score9
WACC9.15%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.94%
Revenue Next 3Y4.8%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year145.2%
EBIT Next 3Y42.52%
EBIT Next 5Y27.12%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.
What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 0.57% in the next year.