HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HLMN - US4316361090 - Common Stock
8.56 USD
-0.12 (-1.38%)
8.56 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to HLMN. HLMN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While HLMN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HLMN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HLMN had positive earnings in the past year.
HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years HLMN reported 4 times negative net income.
Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.56%, HLMN is doing worse than 63.85% of the companies in the same industry.
HLMN has a worse Return On Equity (3.05%) than 63.08% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HLMN (3.40%) is worse than 65.38% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.28%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.40%) for HLMN is above the 3 year average (1.94%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 3.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.4% |
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.44%, HLMN is doing worse than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
HLMN has a Operating Margin (7.24%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
HLMN has a Gross Margin of 48.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLMN outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.44% | ||
| GM | 48.76% |
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HLMN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
HLMN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, HLMN has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.77. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HLMN has a worse Altman-Z score (1.77) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
HLMN has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.01. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLMN would need 17.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HLMN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.01. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLMN underperforms 65.38% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.56, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.56 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC8.83%
2.3 Liquidity
HLMN has a Current Ratio of 2.46. This indicates that HLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.46, HLMN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.08% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.77 indicates that HLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
HLMN's Quick ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 76.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HLMN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.46%, which is quite good.
HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.47%.
Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
HLMN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year5.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.51 indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 82.31% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.91), we can say HLMN is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.80, which indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
74.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.57), we can say HLMN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HLMN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HLMN is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HLMN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.54% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HLMN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
8.56
-0.12 (-1.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners104.73%
Inst Owner Change-3.96%
Ins Owners1.13%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap1.69B
Revenue(TTM)1.54B
Net Income(TTM)37.48M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.56 (46.73%)
Short Float %2.7%
Short Ratio5.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.58%
Min EPS beat(2)5.21%
Max EPS beat(2)15.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.7%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)29.74%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)288.57%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.61%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.5%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.09%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)16.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.68%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.34%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.8 | ||
| P/S | 1.1 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.41 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.5 |
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY6.89%
EPS(NY)0.62
Fwd EY7.25%
FCF(TTM)0.21
FCFY2.43%
OCF(TTM)0.59
OCFY6.94%
SpS7.77
BVpS6.22
TBVpS-0.81
PEG (NY)1.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.09
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 3.05% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 3.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.47% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.4% | ||
| OM | 7.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.44% | ||
| GM | 48.76% | ||
| FCFM | 2.67% |
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
ROICexc(3y)1.97%
ROICexc(5y)1.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.76%
ROICexgc(5y)6%
ROCE(3y)2.98%
ROCE(5y)2.49%
ROICexgc growth 3Y110.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y37.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y112.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y43.98%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.56 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 54.99% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.97% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 46.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 109.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.77 |
F-Score9
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)59.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year5.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
EBIT growth 1Y40.62%
EBIT growth 3Y105.05%
EBIT growth 5Y41.6%
EBIT Next Year157.66%
EBIT Next 3Y43.13%
EBIT Next 5Y28.58%
FCF growth 1Y-73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y28.46%
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HLMN.
What is the valuation status for HLMN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 14.51 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.38.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 13.83% in the next year.