HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HLMN - US4316361090 - Common Stock
9.35 USD
-0.09 (-0.95%)
9.35 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to HLMN. HLMN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. HLMN may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. HLMN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HLMN was profitable.
In the past year HLMN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years HLMN reported 4 times negative net income.
Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
HLMN's Return On Assets of 0.92% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 64.62% of its industry peers.
HLMN has a Return On Equity of 1.80%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLMN underperforms 64.62% of its industry peers.
HLMN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.88%) than 65.38% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.00%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.94%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(2.88%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.92% | ||
| ROE | 1.8% | ||
| ROIC | 2.88% |
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.44%, HLMN is doing worse than 63.08% of the companies in the same industry.
The Operating Margin of HLMN (6.13%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
HLMN has a Gross Margin of 47.80%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLMN outperforms 89.23% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 47.8% |
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HLMN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
HLMN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.80. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.80, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 71.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 9.74, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 9.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 9.74, HLMN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.31% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.57 indicates that HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.57) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.57 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.8 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.28 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.28, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.92% of the companies in the same industry.
HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.28. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HLMN's Quick ratio of 0.72 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 83.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.28 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.72 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.77% over the past year.
HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.93%.
Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.93%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.84% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
HLMN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.08% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y16.84%
Revenue Next Year5.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y5.08%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.64, HLMN is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.19, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.07, HLMN is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.38% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.50), we can say HLMN is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HLMN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HLMN is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HLMN's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.04 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HLMN's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HLMN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
9.35
-0.09 (-0.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners104.73%
Inst Owner Change-1.7%
Ins Owners1.13%
Ins Owner Change2.81%
Market Cap1.85B
Revenue(TTM)1.51B
Net Income(TTM)21.73M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.56 (34.33%)
Short Float %2.7%
Short Ratio5.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.57%
Min EPS beat(2)1.2%
Max EPS beat(2)15.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.7%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.14%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)33.05%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)285.05%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.61%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.32%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.92%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)16.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.68%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.07 | ||
| P/S | 1.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.81 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.93 | ||
| P/B | 1.53 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.04 |
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY5.67%
EPS(NY)0.62
Fwd EY6.64%
FCF(TTM)0.36
FCFY3.87%
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY8.38%
SpS7.61
BVpS6.11
TBVpS-1.01
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.53
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.92% | ||
| ROE | 1.8% | ||
| ROCE | 4.43% | ||
| ROIC | 2.88% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.93% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.33% | ||
| OM | 6.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 47.8% | ||
| FCFM | 4.76% |
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
ROICexc(3y)1.97%
ROICexc(5y)1.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.76%
ROICexgc(5y)6%
ROCE(3y)2.98%
ROCE(5y)2.49%
ROICexgc growth 3Y110.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y37.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y112.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y43.98%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.57 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.74 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.88 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.63% | ||
| Profit Quality | 329.53% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.28 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.8 |
F-Score7
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)59.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.77%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6.25%
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y16.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.93%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%
Revenue Next Year5.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y5.08%
EBIT growth 1Y6.16%
EBIT growth 3Y105.05%
EBIT growth 5Y41.6%
EBIT Next Year157.66%
EBIT Next 3Y43.13%
EBIT Next 5Y28.33%
FCF growth 1Y-49.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y28.46%
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HLMN.
What is the valuation status for HLMN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the valuation of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 17.64 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.53.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 13.83% in the next year.