HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090

8.345 USD
+0.33 (+4.05%)
Last: Mar 4, 2026, 02:54 PM
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This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

HLMN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. HLMN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. HLMN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. HLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLMN was profitable.
  • In the past year HLMN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLMN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLMN has a Return On Assets (1.71%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HLMN's Return On Equity of 3.28% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.70%, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 63.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.21%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.86%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • HLMN has a Profit Margin (2.60%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HLMN has a Operating Margin (7.34%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin of 48.73% is amongst the best of the industry. HLMN outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. HLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HLMN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HLMN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • HLMN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • HLMN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • HLMN has an Altman-Z score of 1.75. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.75, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 64.62% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 19.47, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 19.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 19.47, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 63.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. This is a neutral value indicating HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.54, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Altman-Z 1.75
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.79%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.51 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • HLMN has a better Current ratio (2.51) than 65.38% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.62 indicates that HLMN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of HLMN (0.62) is worse than 86.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. HLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 13.46% over the past year.
  • HLMN shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.00% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.41% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%

3.2 Future

  • HLMN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.80% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.02% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y2.96%
EPS Next 2Y9.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.13%
EPS Next 5Y15.8%
Revenue Next Year7.86%
Revenue Next 2Y6.22%
Revenue Next 3Y5.35%
Revenue Next 5Y8.02%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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5

4. HLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.14 indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.74, which indicates a correct valuation of HLMN.
  • 89.23% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • HLMN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.95.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.14
Fwd PE 13.74
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 90.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • HLMN's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 46.93
EV/EBITDA 8.77
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLMN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 14.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)4.77
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.13%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (3/4/2026, 2:54:09 PM)

8.345

+0.33 (+4.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners103.68%
Inst Owner Change3.28%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change-0.01%
Market Cap1.65B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.39 (48.47%)
Short Float %2.39%
Short Ratio3.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-0.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.14
Fwd PE 13.74
P/S 1.06
P/FCF 46.93
P/OCF 15.65
P/B 1.34
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.77
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.07%
EPS(NY)0.61
Fwd EY7.28%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.13%
OCF(TTM)0.53
OCFY6.39%
SpS7.87
BVpS6.23
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)4.77
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.09
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROCE 5.43%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 11.18%
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
FCFM 2.26%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.62
Cap/Depr 49.68%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 41.24%
Profit Quality 87.05%
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 1.75
F-Score9
WACC8.79%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y2.96%
EPS Next 2Y9.09%
EPS Next 3Y14.13%
EPS Next 5Y15.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year7.86%
Revenue Next 2Y6.22%
Revenue Next 3Y5.35%
Revenue Next 5Y8.02%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year145.19%
EBIT Next 3Y42.52%
EBIT Next 5Y30.51%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 2.96% in the next year.