HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:HLMN - US4316361090 - Common Stock
8.06 USD
0 (0%)
8.06 USD
0 (0%)
HLMN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of HLMN while its profitability can be described as average. HLMN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HLMN was profitable.
HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years HLMN reported 4 times negative net income.
HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HLMN's Return On Assets of 1.56% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 63.08% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.05%, HLMN is doing worse than 62.31% of the companies in the same industry.
HLMN's Return On Invested Capital of 3.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 64.62% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLMN is significantly below the industry average of 10.24%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.94%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.40%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 3.05% | ||
| ROIC | 3.4% |
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of HLMN (2.44%) is worse than 60.77% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Operating Margin of 7.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 46.15% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
HLMN has a Gross Margin of 48.76%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLMN outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.44% | ||
| GM | 48.76% |
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLMN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HLMN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
HLMN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
HLMN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.71, we must say that HLMN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.71, HLMN is doing worse than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 17.01, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 17.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HLMN's Debt to FCF ratio of 17.01 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 65.38% of its industry peers.
HLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.56. This is a neutral value indicating HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.56. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 43.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.56 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.71 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC8.83%
2.3 Liquidity
HLMN has a Current Ratio of 2.46. This indicates that HLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
HLMN's Current ratio of 2.46 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN outperforms 62.31% of its industry peers.
HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.46. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of HLMN (0.77) is worse than 77.69% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HLMN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.46%, which is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.47% in the past year.
HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, HLMN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue Next Year5.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.66, HLMN is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued cheaper than 83.85% of the companies in the same industry.
HLMN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.99, HLMN is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLMN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.08. HLMN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HLMN indicates a rather cheap valuation: HLMN is cheaper than 81.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HLMN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. HLMN is more expensive than 60.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HLMN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for HLMN!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
8.06
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners104.73%
Inst Owner Change-2.76%
Ins Owners1.13%
Ins Owner Change4.41%
Market Cap1.59B
Revenue(TTM)1.54B
Net Income(TTM)37.48M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.56 (55.83%)
Short Float %2.56%
Short Ratio5.27
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.58%
Min EPS beat(2)5.21%
Max EPS beat(2)15.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.7%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.25%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)29.74%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)288.57%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.61%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.5%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.09%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.98%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)16.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-10.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.5%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.34%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.99 | ||
| P/S | 1.04 | ||
| P/FCF | 38.79 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.29 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.01 |
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.32%
EPS(NY)0.62
Fwd EY7.7%
FCF(TTM)0.21
FCFY2.58%
OCF(TTM)0.59
OCFY7.37%
SpS7.77
BVpS6.22
TBVpS-0.81
PEG (NY)0.99
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.09
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 3.05% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 3.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.47% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.4% | ||
| OM | 7.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.44% | ||
| GM | 48.76% | ||
| FCFM | 2.67% |
ROA(3y)-0.11%
ROA(5y)-0.56%
ROE(3y)-0.26%
ROE(5y)-2.17%
ROIC(3y)1.94%
ROIC(5y)1.62%
ROICexc(3y)1.97%
ROICexc(5y)1.64%
ROICexgc(3y)6.76%
ROICexgc(5y)6%
ROCE(3y)2.98%
ROCE(5y)2.49%
ROICexgc growth 3Y110.94%
ROICexgc growth 5Y37.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y112.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y43.98%
OM growth 3Y102.86%
OM growth 5Y36.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.57%
GM growth 5Y2.32%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.56 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 54.99% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.97% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.14 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 46.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | 109.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.46 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.71 |
F-Score9
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)59.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%37.5%
EPS Next Y13.83%
EPS Next 2Y9.23%
EPS Next 3Y11.25%
EPS Next 5Y17.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.47%
Revenue growth 3Y1.08%
Revenue growth 5Y3.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year5.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.02%
Revenue Next 5Y5.19%
EBIT growth 1Y40.62%
EBIT growth 3Y105.05%
EBIT growth 5Y41.6%
EBIT Next Year157.66%
EBIT Next 3Y43.13%
EBIT Next 5Y28.58%
FCF growth 1Y-73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y28.46%
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HLMN.
What is the valuation status for HLMN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is 13.66 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.29.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 13.83% in the next year.