HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:HLMN • US4316361090

Current stock price

8.05 USD
+0.02 (+0.25%)
At close:
8.05 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This HLMN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HLMN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLMN was profitable.
  • HLMN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HLMN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Of the past 5 years HLMN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
HLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLMN has a Return On Assets of 1.71%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 41.98% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Return On Equity (3.28%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.70%) than 61.83% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.86%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.16%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.86%) for HLMN is below the current ROIC(3.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
HLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.60%, HLMN is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HLMN has a Operating Margin of 7.34%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLMN outperforms 45.80% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLMN has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of HLMN (48.73%) is better than 90.08% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
HLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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3

2. HLMN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLMN is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HLMN has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLMN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingHLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
HLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.75, we must say that HLMN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HLMN's Altman-Z score of 1.75 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLMN is outperformed by 70.23% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HLMN is 19.47, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLMN, 19.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 19.47, HLMN is not doing good in the industry: 61.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HLMN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54. This is a neutral value indicating HLMN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • HLMN has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.54) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Altman-Z 1.75
ROIC/WACC0.4
WACC9.17%
HLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.51 indicates that HLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of HLMN (2.51) is better than 66.41% of its industry peers.
  • HLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.51. This is a bad value and indicates that HLMN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HLMN has a Quick ratio of 0.62. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HLMN underperforms 85.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
HLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. HLMN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HLMN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.46%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.41%.
  • HLMN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.13% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.94%
Revenue Next 3Y4.8%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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4

4. HLMN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • HLMN is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.64.
  • HLMN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HLMN is cheaper than 90.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.70), we can say HLMN is valued slightly cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.57, the valuation of HLMN can be described as correct.
  • 86.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLMN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • HLMN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.64
Fwd PE 13.57
HLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, HLMN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • HLMN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. HLMN is more expensive than 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 45.11
EV/EBITDA 8.76
HLMN Per share dataHLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates HLMN does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 12.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)24.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLMN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLMN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLMN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP

NASDAQ:HLMN (3/13/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 8.05 0 (0%)

8.05

+0.02 (+0.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-17
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners105.18%
Inst Owner Change3.28%
Ins Owners1%
Ins Owner Change2.47%
Market Cap1.58B
Revenue(TTM)1.55B
Net Income(TTM)40.30M
Analysts81.43
Price Target12.39 (53.91%)
Short Float %2.39%
Short Ratio3.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.59%
Min EPS beat(2)1.98%
Max EPS beat(2)5.21%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)6.08%
Min EPS beat(4)1.2%
Max EPS beat(4)15.94%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)28.03%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)84.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.61%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.81%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.34%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-0.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.64
Fwd PE 13.57
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 45.11
P/OCF 15.05
P/B 1.29
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.76
EPS(TTM)0.59
EY7.33%
EPS(NY)0.59
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY2.22%
OCF(TTM)0.54
OCFY6.65%
SpS7.9
BVpS6.25
TBVpS-0.75
PEG (NY)24.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 3.28%
ROCE 5.43%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 11.18%
OM 7.34%
PM (TTM) 2.6%
GM 48.73%
FCFM 2.26%
ROA(3y)0.68%
ROA(5y)-0.02%
ROE(3y)1.3%
ROE(5y)-0.17%
ROIC(3y)2.86%
ROIC(5y)2.02%
ROICexc(3y)2.91%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)9.45%
ROICexgc(5y)6.7%
ROCE(3y)4.2%
ROCE(5y)2.96%
ROICexgc growth 3Y39.91%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y45.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.22%
OM growth 3Y39.85%
OM growth 5Y8.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.22%
GM growth 5Y2.6%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF 19.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.62
Cap/Depr 49.68%
Cap/Sales 4.52%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 41.24%
Profit Quality 87.05%
Current Ratio 2.51
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 1.75
F-Score9
WACC9.17%
ROIC/WACC0.4
Cap/Depr(3y)56.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.01%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.46%
EPS 3Y12%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y0.57%
EPS Next 2Y8.66%
EPS Next 3Y12.49%
EPS Next 5Y15.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.41%
Revenue growth 3Y1.46%
Revenue growth 5Y2.55%
Sales Q2Q%4.46%
Revenue Next Year5.09%
Revenue Next 2Y4.94%
Revenue Next 3Y4.8%
Revenue Next 5Y4.76%
EBIT growth 1Y28.34%
EBIT growth 3Y41.89%
EBIT growth 5Y11.54%
EBIT Next Year145.2%
EBIT Next 3Y42.52%
EBIT Next 5Y27.12%
FCF growth 1Y-64.24%
FCF growth 3Y-10.78%
FCF growth 5Y-5.6%
OCF growth 1Y-42.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.03%
OCF growth 5Y2.69%

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP / HLMN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLMN.


What is the valuation status of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) stock?

HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORP (HLMN) is expected to grow by 0.57% in the next year.