HOLLEY INC (HLLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HLLY • US43538H1032

Current stock price

2.91 USD
+0.03 (+1.04%)
At close:
2.91 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This HLLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. HLLY Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HLLY was profitable.
  • HLLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years HLLY reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HLLY had a positive operating cash flow.
HLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHLLY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

  • HLLY has a Return On Assets of 1.65%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLLY outperforms 58.54% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of HLLY (4.27%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 5.45%, HLLY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLLY is below the industry average of 9.26%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.45%) for HLLY is above the 3 year average (5.35%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.65%
ROE 4.27%
ROIC 5.45%
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
HLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHLLY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • HLLY's Profit Margin of 3.13% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 70.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HLLY has declined.
  • HLLY has a Operating Margin of 13.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLLY outperforms 92.68% of its industry peers.
  • HLLY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HLLY has a Gross Margin of 43.40%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLLY outperforms 95.12% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HLLY has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.92%
PM (TTM) 3.13%
GM 43.4%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
HLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHLLY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. HLLY Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLLY is destroying value.
  • HLLY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HLLY has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HLLY has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingHLLY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHLLY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.34, we must say that HLLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.34, HLLY is not doing good in the industry: 70.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • HLLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 37.36. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLLY would need 37.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • HLLY has a Debt to FCF ratio of 37.36. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLLY outperforms 41.46% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15 is on the high side and indicates that HLLY has dependencies on debt financing.
  • HLLY's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.15 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY is outperformed by 78.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 37.36
Altman-Z 1.34
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC7.93%
HLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHLLY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.75 indicates that HLLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • HLLY has a better Current ratio (2.75) than 63.41% of its industry peers.
  • HLLY has a Quick Ratio of 2.75. This is a bad value and indicates that HLLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • HLLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.96) than 68.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.75
Quick Ratio 0.96
HLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHLLY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. HLLY Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HLLY have decreased strongly by -10.00% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for HLLY have been decreasing by -10.62% on average. This is quite bad
  • HLLY shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.87%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.98%

3.2 Future

  • HLLY is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 40.17% yearly.
  • HLLY is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.30% yearly.
EPS Next Y115.9%
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue Next Year6.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHLLY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M 800M
HLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHLLY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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6

4. HLLY Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.17, HLLY is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.88), we can say HLLY is valued slightly cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.49, the valuation of HLLY can be described as very cheap.
  • HLLY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HLLY is cheaper than 90.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.19. HLLY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.17
Fwd PE 7.49
HLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHLLY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.84
EV/EBITDA N/A
HLLY Per share dataHLLY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HLLY's earnings are expected to grow with 49.53% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HLLY Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HLLY does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HLLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HOLLEY INC

NYSE:HLLY (3/27/2026, 8:23:38 PM)

After market: 2.91 0 (0%)

2.91

+0.03 (+1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners58.65%
Inst Owner Change0.32%
Ins Owners5.59%
Ins Owner Change-1%
Market Cap347.51M
Revenue(TTM)613.51M
Net Income(TTM)19.18M
Analysts81.43
Price Target5.14 (76.63%)
Short Float %1.96%
Short Ratio1.82
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-43.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.92%
Max EPS beat(2)-36.06%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-39.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-61.55%
Max EPS beat(4)-7.81%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)22%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)36.69%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)9.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.47%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.47%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.16%
PT rev (1m)3.42%
PT rev (3m)3.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-25.15%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.17
Fwd PE 7.49
P/S 0.57
P/FCF 24.84
P/OCF 7.15
P/B 0.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY6.19%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY13.35%
FCF(TTM)0.12
FCFY4.03%
OCF(TTM)0.41
OCFY13.98%
SpS5.14
BVpS3.76
TBVpS-2.68
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.9
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.65%
ROE 4.27%
ROCE 8.14%
ROIC 5.45%
ROICexc 5.65%
ROICexgc 23.59%
OM 13.92%
PM (TTM) 3.13%
GM 43.4%
FCFM 2.28%
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
ROICexc(3y)5.51%
ROICexc(5y)5.59%
ROICexgc(3y)22.96%
ROICexgc(5y)24.45%
ROCE(3y)7.99%
ROCE(5y)8.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y19.52%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.37%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 37.36
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales 5.64%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 72.96%
Current Ratio 2.75
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.34
F-Score6
WACC7.93%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)2.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
EPS Next Y115.9%
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.98%
Revenue Next Year6.44%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y5.65%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
EBIT growth 1Y15.69%
EBIT growth 3Y14.02%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.36%
EBIT Next Year53.64%
EBIT Next 3Y19.63%
EBIT Next 5Y14.84%
FCF growth 1Y-65.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-29.25%
OCF growth 1Y3.62%
OCF growth 3Y58.05%
OCF growth 5Y-11.28%

HOLLEY INC / HLLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLLY.


What is the valuation status of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HOLLEY INC (HLLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HOLLEY INC?

HOLLEY INC (HLLY) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for HLLY stock?

The financial health rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is 2 / 10.