HOLLEY INC (HLLY) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HLLY - US43538H1032 - Common Stock
4.19 USD
-0.05 (-1.18%)
4.19 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HLLY scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HLLY was compared to 43 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. While HLLY is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HLLY has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HLLY had positive earnings in the past year.
HLLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years HLLY reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
HLLY had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
HLLY has a Return On Assets (-2.14%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HLLY's Return On Equity of -5.66% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 46.51% of its industry peers.
HLLY has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLLY outperforms 53.49% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLLY is below the industry average of 9.10%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.69%) for HLLY is above the 3 year average (4.83%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.14% | ||
| ROE | -5.66% | ||
| ROIC | 5.69% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)1.25%
ROE(3y)5.52%
ROE(5y)4.27%
ROIC(3y)4.83%
ROIC(5y)5.94%
1.3 Margins
HLLY has a better Operating Margin (14.38%) than 95.35% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLLY has declined.
HLLY has a Gross Margin of 43.03%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLLY outperforms 93.02% of its industry peers.
HLLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 43.03% |
OM growth 3Y-12.56%
OM growth 5Y-3.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLLY is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HLLY has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for HLLY is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.45, we must say that HLLY is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.45, HLLY is doing worse than 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HLLY is 35.35, which is on the high side as it means it would take HLLY, 35.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HLLY has a Debt to FCF ratio (35.35) which is in line with its industry peers.
HLLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.20. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
HLLY's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.20 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY is outperformed by 72.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 35.35 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.45 |
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC9.53%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.78 indicates that HLLY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.78, HLLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.09% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.06 indicates that HLLY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HLLY's Quick ratio of 1.06 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY outperforms 41.86% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.06 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 177.78% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, HLLY shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.20% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.31% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)177.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%400%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.2%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.56%
Revenue growth 5Y10.31%
Sales Q2Q%3.23%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 33.45% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, HLLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.03% on average per year.
EPS Next Y12.93%
EPS Next 2Y39.13%
EPS Next 3Y32.23%
EPS Next 5Y33.45%
Revenue Next Year0.17%
Revenue Next 2Y2.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.03%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.76, which indicates a correct valuation of HLLY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.59), we can say HLLY is valued slightly cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.82 indicates a reasonable valuation of HLLY.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HLLY indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HLLY is cheaper than 67.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
HLLY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.03.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HLLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HLLY's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
HLLY's earnings are expected to grow with 32.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.13%
EPS Next 3Y32.23%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HLLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
4.19
-0.05 (-1.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners57.68%
Inst Owner Change23.78%
Ins Owners5.74%
Ins Owner Change6.89%
Market Cap500.37M
Revenue(TTM)598.13M
Net Income(TTM)-24.91M
Analysts81.43
Price Target4.97 (18.62%)
Short Float %2.13%
Short Ratio1.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-21.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.06%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.81%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)114.56%
Min EPS beat(4)-61.55%
Max EPS beat(4)563.65%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)16%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)31.82%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)10.61%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.98%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.8%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.61%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.6%
PT rev (1m)24.47%
PT rev (3m)24.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.82 | ||
| P/S | 0.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.32 | ||
| P/B | 1.14 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.28 |
EPS(TTM)0.25
EY5.97%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY9.24%
FCF(TTM)0.13
FCFY3.03%
OCF(TTM)0.37
OCFY8.83%
SpS5.01
BVpS3.68
TBVpS-2.79
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number4.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -2.14% | ||
| ROE | -5.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.18% | ||
| ROIC | 5.69% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 26.24% | ||
| OM | 14.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 43.03% | ||
| FCFM | 2.53% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)1.25%
ROE(3y)5.52%
ROE(5y)4.27%
ROIC(3y)4.83%
ROIC(5y)5.94%
ROICexc(3y)4.95%
ROICexc(5y)6.18%
ROICexgc(3y)20.46%
ROICexgc(5y)30.08%
ROCE(3y)6.95%
ROCE(5y)8.53%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.55%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.27%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.56%
OM growth 5Y-3.75%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.37%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 35.35 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 143.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.78 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.63% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.06 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.45 |
F-Score4
WACC9.53%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)35.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)177.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%400%
EPS Next Y12.93%
EPS Next 2Y39.13%
EPS Next 3Y32.23%
EPS Next 5Y33.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.2%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.56%
Revenue growth 5Y10.31%
Sales Q2Q%3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.17%
Revenue Next 2Y2.59%
Revenue Next 3Y3.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.03%
EBIT growth 1Y19.35%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.55%
EBIT growth 5Y6.17%
EBIT Next Year95.22%
EBIT Next 3Y30.02%
EBIT Next 5Y20.67%
FCF growth 1Y-70.15%
FCF growth 3Y84.83%
FCF growth 5Y114.65%
OCF growth 1Y-22.48%
OCF growth 3Y29.53%
OCF growth 5Y37.85%
HOLLEY INC / HLLY FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLLY.
What is the valuation status for HLLY stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HOLLEY INC (HLLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HOLLEY INC?
HOLLEY INC (HLLY) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?
The financial health rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is 3 / 10.