HOLLEY INC (HLLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HLLY • US43538H1032
3.31 USD
-0.05 (-1.49%)
At close: Mar 9, 2026
3.25 USD
-0.06 (-1.81%)
After Hours: 3/9/2026, 4:15:00 PM
This HLLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Taking everything into account, HLLY scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HLLY was compared to 41 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. There are concerns on the financial health of HLLY while its profitability can be described as average. HLLY has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. HLLY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HLLY had positive earnings in the past year.
- HLLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In multiple years HLLY reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HLLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of HLLY (1.65%) is better than 60.98% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of HLLY (4.27%) is better than 60.98% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.45%, HLLY is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLLY is below the industry average of 9.21%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (5.35%) for HLLY is below the current ROIC(5.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.65% | ||
| ROE | 4.27% | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% |
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.13%, HLLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HLLY has declined.
- HLLY has a Operating Margin of 13.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. HLLY outperforms 92.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLLY has declined.
- HLLY has a better Gross Margin (43.40%) than 95.12% of its industry peers.
- HLLY's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.13% | ||
| GM | 43.4% |
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
2. HLLY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HLLY is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLLY has more shares outstanding
- HLLY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- HLLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- HLLY has an Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that HLLY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HLLY's Altman-Z score of 1.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLLY is outperformed by 68.29% of its industry peers.
- HLLY has a debt to FCF ratio of 37.36. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HLLY would need 37.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLLY (37.36) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- HLLY has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- HLLY has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.15) than 78.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.15 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC7.79%
2.3 Liquidity
- HLLY has a Current Ratio of 2.75. This indicates that HLLY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.75, HLLY is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLLY has a Quick Ratio of 2.75. This is a bad value and indicates that HLLY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HLLY has a Quick ratio of 0.96. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLLY underperforms 68.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 |
3. HLLY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HLLY have decreased strongly by -10.00% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, HLLY shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.62% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.87% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.99%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLLY will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 40.17% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLLY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y115.9%
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue Next Year5.07%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y6.26%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. HLLY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.39, the valuation of HLLY can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
- HLLY is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.52, which indicates a very decent valuation of HLLY.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HLLY is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- HLLY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.60, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.52 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HLLY is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HLLY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLLY's earnings are expected to grow with 49.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
5. HLLY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLLY does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HLLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
3.31
-0.05 (-1.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)03-04 2026-03-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners58.65%
Inst Owner Change0.32%
Ins Owners5.59%
Ins Owner Change-1%
Market Cap395.28M
Revenue(TTM)613.51M
Net Income(TTM)19.18M
Analysts81.43
Price Target5.14 (55.29%)
Short Float %2.09%
Short Ratio2.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-43.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.92%
Max EPS beat(2)-36.06%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-39.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-61.55%
Max EPS beat(4)-7.81%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)22%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)36.69%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)9.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.47%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.65%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.47%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.06%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.16%
PT rev (1m)3.42%
PT rev (3m)3.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.01%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.52 | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.13 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY5.44%
EPS(NY)0.39
Fwd EY11.74%
FCF(TTM)0.12
FCFY3.54%
OCF(TTM)0.41
OCFY12.29%
SpS5.14
BVpS3.76
TBVpS-2.68
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number3.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.65% | ||
| ROE | 4.27% | ||
| ROCE | 8.14% | ||
| ROIC | 5.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 23.59% | ||
| OM | 13.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.13% | ||
| GM | 43.4% | ||
| FCFM | 2.28% |
ROA(3y)0.4%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)1.03%
ROE(5y)2.39%
ROIC(3y)5.35%
ROIC(5y)5.43%
ROICexc(3y)5.51%
ROICexc(5y)5.59%
ROICexgc(3y)22.96%
ROICexgc(5y)24.45%
ROCE(3y)7.99%
ROCE(5y)8.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y19.52%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.37%
OM growth 3Y18.48%
OM growth 5Y-7.08%
PM growth 3Y-33.69%
PM growth 5Y-13.69%
GM growth 3Y5.6%
GM growth 5Y1%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.15 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 72.96% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.39 |
F-Score6
WACC7.79%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)2.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10%
EPS 3Y33.89%
EPS 5Y-10.62%
EPS Q2Q%-63.64%
EPS Next Y115.9%
EPS Next 2Y62.62%
EPS Next 3Y49.53%
EPS Next 5Y40.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.77%
Revenue growth 5Y4%
Sales Q2Q%10.99%
Revenue Next Year5.07%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y6.26%
Revenue Next 5Y6.3%
EBIT growth 1Y15.69%
EBIT growth 3Y14.02%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.36%
EBIT Next Year53.62%
EBIT Next 3Y19.63%
EBIT Next 5Y14.83%
FCF growth 1Y-65.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-29.25%
OCF growth 1Y3.62%
OCF growth 3Y58.05%
OCF growth 5Y-11.28%
HOLLEY INC / HLLY FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLLY.
What is the valuation status of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HOLLEY INC (HLLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HOLLEY INC?
HOLLEY INC (HLLY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for HLLY stock?
The financial health rating of HOLLEY INC (HLLY) is 2 / 10.