HARMONIC INC (HLIT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:HLIT • US4131601027
Current stock price
9.78 USD
-0.17 (-1.71%)
At close:
9.8204 USD
+0.04 (+0.41%)
After Hours:
This HLIT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLIT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HLIT had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year HLIT had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years HLIT 4 years were profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HLIT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- HLIT has a Return On Assets of -6.03%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLIT underperforms 74.47% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of -11.30%, HLIT is not doing good in the industry: 74.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.58%, HLIT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HLIT is below the industry average of 10.41%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -6.03% | ||
| ROE | -11.3% | ||
| ROIC | 2.58% |
ROA(3y)3.28%
ROA(5y)3.14%
ROE(3y)5.45%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)5.97%
ROIC(5y)6.25%
1.3 Margins
- HLIT has a Operating Margin of 3.93%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLIT outperforms 59.57% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HLIT has declined.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 53.28%, HLIT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- HLIT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 53.28% |
OM growth 3Y-15.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.44%
GM growth 5Y-1.31%
2. HLIT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HLIT is destroying value.
- HLIT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HLIT has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLIT has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.91, we must say that HLIT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HLIT's Altman-Z score of -0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLIT is outperformed by 70.21% of its industry peers.
- HLIT has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.16. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.16 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- HLIT has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.16) than 70.21% of its industry peers.
- HLIT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.28, HLIT is doing worse than 68.09% of the companies in the same industry.
- Although HLIT's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC9.41%
2.3 Liquidity
- HLIT has a Current Ratio of 2.50. This indicates that HLIT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.50, HLIT is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 2.26 indicates that HLIT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- HLIT has a better Quick ratio (2.26) than 74.47% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.26 |
3. HLIT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HLIT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -41.77%.
- HLIT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 45.72% yearly.
- The Revenue for HLIT has decreased by -36.21% in the past year. This is quite bad
- Measured over the past years, HLIT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.77%
EPS 3Y-5.2%
EPS 5Y45.72%
EPS Q2Q%-68.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.21%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.76%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.98%
Sales Q2Q%-55.78%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLIT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 43.76% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.40% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y24.99%
EPS Next 2Y26.81%
EPS Next 3Y43.76%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9%
Revenue Next 2Y3.78%
Revenue Next 3Y10.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. HLIT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- HLIT is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.26.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLIT is valued a bit cheaper than 76.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.34, HLIT is valued a bit cheaper.
- HLIT is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.01.
- HLIT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HLIT is cheaper than 85.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.18. HLIT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HLIT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- 89.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HLIT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 38.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HLIT's earnings are expected to grow with 43.76% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.85
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y26.81%
EPS Next 3Y43.76%
5. HLIT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLIT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HLIT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
9.78
-0.17 (-1.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryCommunications Equipment
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04
Inst Owners91.48%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change6.16%
Market Cap1.08B
Revenue(TTM)432.95M
Net Income(TTM)-43.31M
Analysts73.85
Price Target12.97 (32.62%)
Short Float %2.83%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)99.32%
Min EPS beat(2)39.1%
Max EPS beat(2)159.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)134.55%
Min EPS beat(4)39.1%
Max EPS beat(4)230.84%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)97.24%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)60.89%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)59.32%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-11.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.49%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.96%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.83%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-22.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-27.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-25.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.49 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.99 | ||
| P/B | 2.81 | ||
| P/tB | 3.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 38.59 |
EPS(TTM)0.46
EY4.7%
EPS(NY)0.57
Fwd EY5.88%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY8.99%
OCF(TTM)0.98
OCFY10.01%
SpS3.93
BVpS3.48
TBVpS2.92
PEG (NY)0.85
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham Number6
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -6.03% | ||
| ROE | -11.3% | ||
| ROCE | 3.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.39% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.01% | ||
| OM | 3.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 53.28% | ||
| FCFM | 22.38% |
ROA(3y)3.28%
ROA(5y)3.14%
ROE(3y)5.45%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)5.97%
ROIC(5y)6.25%
ROICexc(3y)7.27%
ROICexc(5y)7.9%
ROICexgc(3y)10.22%
ROICexgc(5y)22.23%
ROCE(3y)7.56%
ROCE(5y)7.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-60.36%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.22%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.44%
GM growth 5Y-1.31%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.16 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.88 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.56% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.18 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 384.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
F-Score3
WACC9.41%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)81.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.77%
EPS 3Y-5.2%
EPS 5Y45.72%
EPS Q2Q%-68.89%
EPS Next Y24.99%
EPS Next 2Y26.81%
EPS Next 3Y43.76%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.21%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.76%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.98%
Sales Q2Q%-55.78%
Revenue Next Year-9%
Revenue Next 2Y3.78%
Revenue Next 3Y10.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-81.54%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.88%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year54.73%
EBIT Next 3Y66.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y83.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y69.38%
OCF growth 1Y74.37%
OCF growth 3Y170.09%
OCF growth 5Y22.49%
HARMONIC INC / HLIT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HARMONIC INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLIT.
What is the valuation status of HARMONIC INC (HLIT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HARMONIC INC (HLIT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HARMONIC INC?
HARMONIC INC (HLIT) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HARMONIC INC (HLIT) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HARMONIC INC (HLIT) is 21.26 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.81.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HARMONIC INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HARMONIC INC (HLIT) is expected to grow by 24.99% in the next year.