HARMONIC INC (HLIT) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:HLIT • US4131601027
Current stock price
9.88 USD
+0.1 (+1.02%)
At close:
9.87 USD
-0.01 (-0.1%)
After Hours:
This HLIT fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. HLIT Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HLIT was profitable.
- HLIT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- HLIT had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years HLIT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- HLIT has a Return On Assets of -6.03%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HLIT underperforms 74.47% of its industry peers.
- HLIT has a worse Return On Equity (-11.30%) than 74.47% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.58%, HLIT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HLIT is below the industry average of 10.41%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -6.03% | ||
| ROE | -11.3% | ||
| ROIC | 2.58% |
ROA(3y)3.28%
ROA(5y)3.14%
ROE(3y)5.45%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)5.97%
ROIC(5y)6.25%
1.3 Margins
- HLIT has a Operating Margin of 3.93%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLIT outperforms 59.57% of its industry peers.
- HLIT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of HLIT (53.28%) is better than 70.21% of its industry peers.
- HLIT's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 53.28% |
OM growth 3Y-15.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.44%
GM growth 5Y-1.31%
2. HLIT Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HLIT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HLIT has less shares outstanding
- HLIT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for HLIT is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- HLIT has an Altman-Z score of -0.92. This is a bad value and indicates that HLIT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -0.92, HLIT is doing worse than 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HLIT is 1.16, which is an excellent value as it means it would take HLIT, only 1.16 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- HLIT has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.16) than 70.21% of its industry peers.
- HLIT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- HLIT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HLIT is outperformed by 68.09% of its industry peers.
- Although HLIT's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC9.38%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.50 indicates that HLIT has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- HLIT has a Current ratio of 2.50. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HLIT outperforms 59.57% of its industry peers.
- HLIT has a Quick Ratio of 2.26. This indicates that HLIT is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of HLIT (2.26) is better than 74.47% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.26 |
3. HLIT Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HLIT have decreased strongly by -41.77% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 45.72% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue for HLIT has decreased by -36.21% in the past year. This is quite bad
- Measured over the past years, HLIT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.77%
EPS 3Y-5.2%
EPS 5Y45.72%
EPS Q2Q%-68.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.21%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.76%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.98%
Sales Q2Q%-55.78%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLIT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 43.76% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HLIT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.40% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.99%
EPS Next 2Y26.81%
EPS Next 3Y43.76%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9%
Revenue Next 2Y3.78%
Revenue Next 3Y10.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. HLIT Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.48, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of HLIT.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HLIT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.60% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. HLIT is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- HLIT is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.18.
- HLIT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HLIT is cheaper than 85.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.20. HLIT is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HLIT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- HLIT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HLIT is cheaper than 89.36% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 38.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HLIT's earnings are expected to grow with 43.76% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.86
PEG (5Y)0.47
EPS Next 2Y26.81%
EPS Next 3Y43.76%
5. HLIT Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HLIT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HLIT Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
9.88
+0.1 (+1.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryCommunications Equipment
Earnings (Last)02-19 2026-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04
Inst Owners91.48%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change6.16%
Market Cap1.09B
Revenue(TTM)432.95M
Net Income(TTM)-43.31M
Analysts73.85
Price Target12.97 (31.28%)
Short Float %2.83%
Short Ratio2.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)99.32%
Min EPS beat(2)39.1%
Max EPS beat(2)159.54%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)134.55%
Min EPS beat(4)39.1%
Max EPS beat(4)230.84%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)97.24%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)60.89%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)59.32%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-11.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)8.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.49%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.96%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.83%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-22.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-27.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-25.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.18 | ||
| P/S | 2.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.24 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.09 | ||
| P/B | 2.84 | ||
| P/tB | 3.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 38.31 |
EPS(TTM)0.46
EY4.66%
EPS(NY)0.57
Fwd EY5.82%
FCF(TTM)0.88
FCFY8.9%
OCF(TTM)0.98
OCFY9.91%
SpS3.93
BVpS3.48
TBVpS2.92
PEG (NY)0.86
PEG (5Y)0.47
Graham Number5.99845 (-39.29%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -6.03% | ||
| ROE | -11.3% | ||
| ROCE | 3.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.39% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.01% | ||
| OM | 3.93% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 53.28% | ||
| FCFM | 22.38% |
ROA(3y)3.28%
ROA(5y)3.14%
ROE(3y)5.45%
ROE(5y)5.91%
ROIC(3y)5.97%
ROIC(5y)6.25%
ROICexc(3y)7.27%
ROICexc(5y)7.9%
ROICexgc(3y)10.22%
ROICexgc(5y)22.23%
ROCE(3y)7.56%
ROCE(5y)7.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-60.36%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.22%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.44%
GM growth 5Y-1.31%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.16 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.88 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.56% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.18 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 384.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.92 |
F-Score3
WACC9.38%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)81.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)83.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.77%
EPS 3Y-5.2%
EPS 5Y45.72%
EPS Q2Q%-68.89%
EPS Next Y24.99%
EPS Next 2Y26.81%
EPS Next 3Y43.76%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.21%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.76%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.98%
Sales Q2Q%-55.78%
Revenue Next Year-9%
Revenue Next 2Y3.78%
Revenue Next 3Y10.4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-81.54%
EBIT growth 3Y-29.88%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year54.73%
EBIT Next 3Y66.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y83.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y69.38%
OCF growth 1Y74.37%
OCF growth 3Y170.09%
OCF growth 5Y22.49%
HARMONIC INC / HLIT Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for HARMONIC INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HLIT.
What is the valuation status of HARMONIC INC (HLIT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HARMONIC INC (HLIT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for HARMONIC INC?
HARMONIC INC (HLIT) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HARMONIC INC (HLIT) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HARMONIC INC (HLIT) is 21.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.84.
What is the earnings growth outlook for HARMONIC INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of HARMONIC INC (HLIT) is expected to grow by 24.99% in the next year.