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HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:HGV - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US43283X1054 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

45.03  +0.17 (+0.38%)

After market: 45.03 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HGV against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of HGV have multiple concerns. HGV has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
HGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of HGV (0.29%) is worse than 62.41% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 2.15%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.64%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HGV is significantly below the industry average of 13.81%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.29%
ROE 2.15%
ROIC 4.64%
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 100 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

HGV has a Profit Margin of 0.68%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 62.41% of its industry peers.
HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of HGV (12.23%) is better than 63.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 22.72%, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 83.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.23%
PM (TTM) 0.68%
GM 22.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
HGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
HGV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HGV Yearly Shares OutstandingHGV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
HGV's Altman-Z score of 1.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 67.67% of its industry peers.
HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 33.34. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 33.34 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio (33.34) which is in line with its industry peers.
HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.38. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
HGV has a Debt to Equity ratio of 4.38. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 60.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.38
Debt/FCF 33.34
Altman-Z 1.02
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.75%
HGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.04 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.04, HGV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.04. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.44, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 75.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.04
Quick Ratio 0.44
HGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for HGV have decreased strongly by -84.91% in the last year.
HGV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.63% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HGV shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 18.40% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 22.07% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.91%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%-325%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.4%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.69%

3.2 Future

HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 138.57% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.35% on average per year.
EPS Next Y557.62%
EPS Next 2Y196.93%
EPS Next 3Y138.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.52%
Revenue Next 2Y6.2%
Revenue Next 3Y4.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 4 6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 140.72, which means the current valuation is very expensive for HGV.
62.41% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than HGV, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.29. HGV is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
HGV is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.35.
86.47% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HGV, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.74), we can say HGV is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 140.72
Fwd PE 11.35
HGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HGV indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HGV is cheaper than 75.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.85
EV/EBITDA 12.26
HGV Per share dataHGV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 138.57% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y196.93%
EPS Next 3Y138.57%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HGV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC

NYSE:HGV (7/7/2025, 8:29:24 PM)

After market: 45.03 0 (0%)

45.03

+0.17 (+0.38%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-06 2025-08-06/bmo
Inst Owners80.06%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.3%
Ins Owner Change5.95%
Market Cap4.13B
Analysts72.31
Price Target49.13 (9.11%)
Short Float %12.66%
Short Ratio8.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-104.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(2)-75.25%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-93.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-66.66%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-67.56%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-43.25%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-34.08%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.86%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.16%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.98%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.43%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.52%
PT rev (1m)0.93%
PT rev (3m)-1.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.96%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 140.72
Fwd PE 11.35
P/S 0.83
P/FCF 19.85
P/OCF 11.9
P/B 2.61
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.26
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY0.71%
EPS(NY)3.97
Fwd EY8.81%
FCF(TTM)2.27
FCFY5.04%
OCF(TTM)3.79
OCFY8.41%
SpS54.25
BVpS17.27
TBVpS-24.02
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.29%
ROE 2.15%
ROCE 5.87%
ROIC 4.64%
ROICexc 4.76%
ROICexgc 8.65%
OM 12.23%
PM (TTM) 0.68%
GM 22.72%
FCFM 4.18%
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.42
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.38
Debt/FCF 33.34
Debt/EBITDA 7.87
Cap/Depr 50.92%
Cap/Sales 2.8%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 39.39%
Profit Quality 611.77%
Current Ratio 2.04
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 1.02
F-Score5
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.91%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%-325%
EPS Next Y557.62%
EPS Next 2Y196.93%
EPS Next 3Y138.57%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.4%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.69%
Revenue Next Year5.52%
Revenue Next 2Y6.2%
Revenue Next 3Y4.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-14.85%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year46.57%
EBIT Next 3Y16.97%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-49.14%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-31.01%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%