HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
48.07 USD
+0.35 (+0.73%)
48.07 USD
0 (0%)
Overall HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated HGV against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. HGV is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HGV was profitable.
- In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
- HGV had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- HGV has a Return On Assets (0.45%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- HGV has a Return On Equity (3.83%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- HGV has a Return On Invested Capital (4.14%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.80%. This is below the industry average of 10.34%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- HGV has a Profit Margin (1.06%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a Operating Margin of 11.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: HGV outperforms 60.90% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.59%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.03, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HGV has a Altman-Z score of 1.03. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 63.91% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 93.39. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 93.39 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 93.39, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of HGV (5.19) is worse than 60.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.04%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.68 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.68, HGV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- HGV has a worse Quick ratio (0.57) than 67.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- HGV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -37.50%.
- Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -28.63% on average per year.
- HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.98%.
- HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
- HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 113.68% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.86% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 87.40, the valuation of HGV can be described as expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.30), we can say HGV is valued expensively.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.61 indicates a correct valuation of HGV.
- HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HGV is cheaper than 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, HGV is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 87.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
- HGV's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 53.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 113.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- HGV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
48.07
+0.35 (+0.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-25 2026-02-25/bmo
Inst Owners83.57%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change1.17%
Market Cap4.11B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target52.93 (10.11%)
Short Float %10.2%
Short Ratio6.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)-36.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 87.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.61 | ||
| P/S | 0.82 | ||
| P/FCF | 53.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.28 | ||
| P/B | 2.97 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.62 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.14%
EPS(NY)3.81
Fwd EY7.93%
FCF(TTM)0.9
FCFY1.87%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY5.79%
SpS58.43
BVpS16.19
TBVpS-27.19
PEG (NY)0.33
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% | ||
| FCFM | 1.54% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 29.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.03 |
F-Score6
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year32.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 87.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.97.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.