HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054
43.44 USD
-1.83 (-4.04%)
Last: Mar 6, 2026, 11:38 AM
This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 125 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While HGV is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HGV is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. HGV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
- HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- HGV had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of HGV (0.70%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.28%, HGV is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV has a Return On Invested Capital (4.25%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HGV is significantly below the industry average of 10.72%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of HGV (1.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a Operating Margin (11.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a worse Gross Margin (22.79%) than 84.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% |
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
2. HGV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.02, HGV is doing worse than 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 47.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 47.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 60.80% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of HGV (5.63) is worse than 64.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC6.54%
2.3 Liquidity
- HGV has a Current Ratio of 2.74. This indicates that HGV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- HGV has a Current ratio of 2.74. This is amongst the best in the industry. HGV outperforms 91.20% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.74. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.46, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 79.20% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. HGV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 102.22% over the past year.
- HGV shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.64% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.33% in the last year.
- HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 41.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 98.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- HGV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HGV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 47.74, the valuation of HGV can be described as expensive.
- HGV's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- HGV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.31 indicates a reasonable valuation of HGV.
- 80.80% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HGV, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.79. HGV is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HGV is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)3.05
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
5. HGV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for HGV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:HGV (3/6/2026, 11:38:59 AM)
43.44
-1.83 (-4.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners83.57%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change4.99%
Market Cap3.54B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (24.45%)
Short Float %10.28%
Short Ratio7.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)2.14%
PT rev (3m)0.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.21%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.31 | ||
| P/S | 0.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.97 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.79 | ||
| P/B | 2.74 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.84 |
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.09%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY8.84%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.35%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.48%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)3.05
Graham Number18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROCE | 5.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.35% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% | ||
| FCFM | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.71 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 35.97% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.12% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score7
WACC6.54%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 47.74 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.74.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.