HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
44.75 USD
-0.49 (-1.08%)
44.75 USD
0 (0%)
HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. HGV is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HGV was profitable.
HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
HGV has a Return On Assets (0.45%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HGV has a Return On Equity of 3.83%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 59.40% of its industry peers.
HGV has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 46.62% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HGV is below the industry average of 10.39%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
HGV has a Profit Margin (1.06%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
HGV's Operating Margin of 11.02% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 60.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 22.59%, HGV is doing worse than 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HGV's Altman-Z score of 1.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 62.41% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 93.39, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 93.39 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio of 93.39. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 40.60% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.19, HGV is doing worse than 60.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.39%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.68 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.68, HGV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.68. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HGV has a Quick ratio of 0.57. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 66.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HGV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -37.50%.
HGV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.63% yearly.
Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.98% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 22.07% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 113.68% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.86% on average per year.
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
HGV is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 81.36.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.51, HGV is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.74, the valuation of HGV can be described as very reasonable.
HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HGV is cheaper than 84.21% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 81.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HGV.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 113.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for HGV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
44.75
-0.49 (-1.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.63%
Inst Owner Change-5.34%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change1.17%
Market Cap3.83B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target52.93 (18.28%)
Short Float %10.2%
Short Ratio6.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)-1.68%
PT rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-32.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-36.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 81.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.74 | ||
| P/S | 0.77 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.71 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.08 | ||
| P/B | 2.76 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.27 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.23%
EPS(NY)3.81
Fwd EY8.52%
FCF(TTM)0.9
FCFY2.01%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY6.22%
SpS58.43
BVpS16.19
TBVpS-27.19
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% | ||
| FCFM | 1.54% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 29.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score6
WACC8.39%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year32.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 81.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.76.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 2 / 10.