HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
39.77 USD
+0.05 (+0.13%)
39.77 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to HGV. HGV was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. HGV has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HGV was profitable.
HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HGV had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
HGV had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of HGV (0.45%) is worse than 62.12% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.83%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.14%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HGV is below the industry average of 10.78%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
HGV has a worse Profit Margin (1.06%) than 61.36% of its industry peers.
HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HGV's Operating Margin of 11.02% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 60.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.59%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 84.09% of its industry peers.
HGV's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
HGV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.00. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.00, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 65.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 93.39. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 93.39 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio of 93.39. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 62.88% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.19, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1 |
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC7.85%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.68 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
HGV has a Current ratio of 2.68. This is amongst the best in the industry. HGV outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.57, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 67.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HGV shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -37.50%.
HGV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.63% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% in the past year.
HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 116.64% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.22% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y438.67%
EPS Next 2Y200.48%
EPS Next 3Y116.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y4.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 72.31 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HGV.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HGV is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.61% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.83. HGV is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.79, the valuation of HGV can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HGV is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 32.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 72.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as HGV.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HGV.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 45.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 116.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y200.48%
EPS Next 3Y116.64%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for HGV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
39.77
+0.05 (+0.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners78.29%
Inst Owner Change0.21%
Ins Owners1.38%
Ins Owner Change1.37%
Market Cap3.50B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts72.31
Price Target54.29 (36.51%)
Short Float %8.1%
Short Ratio5.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)-0.42%
PT rev (3m)8.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 72.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.79 | ||
| P/S | 0.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 45.51 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.72 | ||
| P/B | 2.53 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.87 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.38%
EPS(NY)4.06
Fwd EY10.22%
FCF(TTM)0.87
FCFY2.2%
OCF(TTM)2.7
OCFY6.79%
SpS56.72
BVpS15.72
TBVpS-26.4
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number13.95
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% | ||
| FCFM | 1.54% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 29.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1 |
F-Score6
WACC7.85%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y438.67%
EPS Next 2Y200.48%
EPS Next 3Y116.64%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y4.22%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year40.66%
EBIT Next 3Y17.19%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HGV.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 72.31 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.53.