HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054

Current stock price

38.375 USD
-1.98 (-4.92%)
Last:

This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HGV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HGV was profitable.
  • HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years HGV has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
HGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HGV has a Return On Assets of 0.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 41.27% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 6.28%, HGV is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HGV has a Return On Invested Capital (4.25%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HGV is significantly below the industry average of 10.65%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROIC 4.25%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
HGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100

1.3 Margins

  • HGV has a Profit Margin (1.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
  • HGV has a Operating Margin of 11.12%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 57.94% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
  • HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.79%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 84.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
HGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

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3

2. HGV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HGV is destroying value.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • HGV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HGV Yearly Shares OutstandingHGV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • HGV has an Altman-Z score of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HGV has a worse Altman-Z score (0.99) than 65.08% of its industry peers.
  • HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 47.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
  • HGV has a Debt to Equity ratio of 5.63. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Altman-Z 0.99
ROIC/WACC0.66
WACC6.44%
HGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.74 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • HGV has a better Current ratio (2.74) than 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HGV has a worse Quick ratio (0.46) than 79.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
HGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. HGV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 102.22% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HGV shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.64% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.33% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 41.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

  • HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 98.03% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

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6

4. HGV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • HGV is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 42.17.
  • HGV's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, HGV is valued quite expensively.
  • HGV is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.99.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HGV is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.51. HGV is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 42.17
Fwd PE 9.99
HGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • 62.70% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HGV, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.29
EV/EBITDA 12.36
HGV Per share dataHGV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)2.7
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HGV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for HGV!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC

NYSE:HGV (3/27/2026, 2:05:27 PM)

38.375

-1.98 (-4.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners80.77%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.62%
Ins Owner Change11.55%
Market Cap3.12B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (40.87%)
Short Float %10.7%
Short Ratio7.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)59.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)44.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 42.17
Fwd PE 9.99
P/S 0.62
P/FCF 20.29
P/OCF 10.41
P/B 2.42
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.36
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.37%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY10.01%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.93%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY9.6%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)2.7
Graham Number18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROCE 5.38%
ROIC 4.25%
ROICexc 4.35%
ROICexgc 7.23%
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.71
Cap/Depr 53.48%
Cap/Sales 2.89%
Interest Coverage 1.89
Cash Conversion 35.97%
Profit Quality 190.12%
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 0.99
F-Score7
WACC6.44%
ROIC/WACC0.66
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.


What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 42.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.42.


Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?

The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.