HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
46.65 USD
+1.78 (+3.97%)
46.65 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HGV scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HGV was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. HGV is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HGV was profitable.
- In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
- HGV had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- HGV has a Return On Assets of 0.45%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Return On Equity (3.83%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of HGV (4.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.80%. This is below the industry average of 10.34%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- HGV's Profit Margin of 1.06% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 44.36% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a Operating Margin of 11.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: HGV outperforms 60.90% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.59%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 82.71% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, HGV has more shares outstanding
- HGV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- HGV has a worse Altman-Z score (1.03) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 93.39, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 93.39 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio (93.39) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.19, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 60.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- HGV has a Current Ratio of 2.68. This indicates that HGV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- HGV's Current ratio of 2.68 is amongst the best of the industry. HGV outperforms 89.47% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- HGV has a Quick ratio of 0.57. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 67.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for HGV have decreased strongly by -37.50% in the last year.
- HGV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -28.63% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 22.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 113.68% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.86% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- HGV is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 84.82.
- HGV's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- HGV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.24, HGV is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HGV is valued cheaper than 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.30), we can say HGV is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 84.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
- HGV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 51.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 113.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- HGV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
46.65
+1.78 (+3.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-25 2026-02-25/bmo
Inst Owners83.57%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change1.17%
Market Cap3.99B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target52.93 (13.46%)
Short Float %9.08%
Short Ratio6.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)0.37%
PT rev (3m)-2.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)-36.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 84.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.24 | ||
| P/S | 0.8 | ||
| P/FCF | 51.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.77 | ||
| P/B | 2.88 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.47 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.18%
EPS(NY)3.81
Fwd EY8.17%
FCF(TTM)0.9
FCFY1.93%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY5.96%
SpS58.43
BVpS16.19
TBVpS-27.19
PEG (NY)0.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% | ||
| FCFM | 1.54% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 29.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.03 |
F-Score6
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y191.08%
EPS Next 3Y113.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year32.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 84.82 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.88.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.