HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HGV - US43283X1054 - Common Stock
42.36 USD
+0.02 (+0.05%)
42.36 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, HGV scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HGV was compared to 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of HGV have multiple concerns. HGV has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 0.45%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.15% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV has a Return On Equity (3.83%) which is in line with its industry peers.
HGV has a Return On Invested Capital (4.14%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HGV is below the industry average of 10.43%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.06%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
HGV has a better Operating Margin (11.02%) than 60.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 22.59%, HGV is doing worse than 84.09% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% |
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of HGV (1.01) is worse than 65.91% of its industry peers.
HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 93.39. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 93.39 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 93.39, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 60.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
HGV has a Debt to Equity ratio of 5.19. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 40.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
HGV has a Current Ratio of 2.68. This indicates that HGV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HGV (2.68) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.68. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.57, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 68.18% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for HGV have decreased strongly by -37.50% in the last year.
The earnings per share for HGV have been decreasing by -28.63% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.98% in the last year.
HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 113.98% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y321.96%
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y113.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 77.02, the valuation of HGV can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.49. HGV is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.96, which indicates a very decent valuation of HGV.
HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HGV is cheaper than 84.09% of the companies in the same industry.
HGV is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 77.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HGV.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 47.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 113.98% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y113.98%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HGV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
42.36
+0.02 (+0.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners83.63%
Inst Owner Change-5.34%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change1.71%
Market Cap3.62B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target52.73 (24.48%)
Short Float %9.88%
Short Ratio6.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)-2.86%
PT rev (3m)-3.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.36%
EPS NY rev (1m)-21.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.91%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 77.02 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.96 | ||
| P/S | 0.72 | ||
| P/FCF | 47.06 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.22 | ||
| P/B | 2.62 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.02 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.3%
EPS(NY)3.87
Fwd EY9.13%
FCF(TTM)0.9
FCFY2.13%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY6.57%
SpS58.43
BVpS16.19
TBVpS-27.19
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.45% | ||
| ROE | 3.83% | ||
| ROCE | 5.24% | ||
| ROIC | 4.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.22% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 11.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.06% | ||
| GM | 22.59% | ||
| FCFM | 1.54% |
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 93.39 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.22% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 29.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.68 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y321.96%
EPS Next 2Y193.13%
EPS Next 3Y113.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year1.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y3.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year29.88%
EBIT Next 3Y18.85%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to HGV.
Can you provide the valuation status for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 77.02 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.62.