HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054

Current stock price

41.28 USD
-0.19 (-0.46%)
Last:

This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HGV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
  • HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • HGV had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HGV has a Return On Assets of 0.70%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 41.27% of its industry peers.
  • HGV has a better Return On Equity (6.28%) than 62.70% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HGV (4.25%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HGV is significantly below the industry average of 10.61%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROIC 4.25%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
HGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of HGV (1.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of HGV (11.12%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HGV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.79%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 84.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
HGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. HGV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HGV is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
HGV Yearly Shares OutstandingHGV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.00. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of HGV (1.00) is worse than 65.87% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 47.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 47.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • HGV's Debt to FCF ratio of 47.15 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
  • HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of HGV (5.63) is worse than 65.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Altman-Z 1
ROIC/WACC0.66
WACC6.47%
HGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.74 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • HGV has a better Current ratio (2.74) than 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HGV has a Quick ratio of 0.46. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
HGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. HGV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HGV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 102.22%, which is quite impressive.
  • HGV shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.64% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.33% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 41.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 98.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.19% on average per year.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

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6

4. HGV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 45.36, which means the current valuation is very expensive for HGV.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.50, HGV is valued quite expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.75, the valuation of HGV can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HGV is valued cheaper than 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.67), we can say HGV is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 45.36
Fwd PE 10.75
HGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as HGV.
  • HGV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HGV is cheaper than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.82
EV/EBITDA 12.47
HGV Per share dataHGV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.9
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HGV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HGV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC

NYSE:HGV (3/25/2026, 10:43:06 AM)

41.28

-0.19 (-0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners80.77%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.62%
Ins Owner Change11.55%
Market Cap3.36B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (30.96%)
Short Float %10.7%
Short Ratio7.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)59.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)44.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 45.36
Fwd PE 10.75
P/S 0.67
P/FCF 21.82
P/OCF 11.2
P/B 2.61
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.47
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.2%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY9.3%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.58%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.93%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.9
Graham Number18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROCE 5.38%
ROIC 4.25%
ROICexc 4.35%
ROICexgc 7.23%
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.71
Cap/Depr 53.48%
Cap/Sales 2.89%
Interest Coverage 1.89
Cash Conversion 35.97%
Profit Quality 190.12%
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 1
F-Score7
WACC6.47%
ROIC/WACC0.66
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.


What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 45.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.61.


Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?

The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.