HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054

Current stock price

41.86 USD
+1.62 (+4.03%)
Last:

This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HGV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HGV was profitable.
  • In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • HGV had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.70%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HGV has a Return On Equity of 6.28%. This is in the better half of the industry: HGV outperforms 62.70% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.25%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.57%. This is below the industry average of 10.56%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROIC 4.25%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
HGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100

1.3 Margins

  • HGV has a Profit Margin of 1.60%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 11.12%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.94% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
  • HGV's Gross Margin of 22.79% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 84.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
HGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

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3

2. HGV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
  • HGV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HGV Yearly Shares OutstandingHGV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • HGV has an Altman-Z score of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • HGV has a worse Altman-Z score (0.99) than 65.87% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 47.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 47.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 47.15, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.63, HGV is doing worse than 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Altman-Z 0.99
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC6.5%
HGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.74 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.74, HGV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.46, HGV is doing worse than 79.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
HGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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7

3. HGV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • HGV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 102.22%, which is quite impressive.
  • HGV shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.64% yearly.
  • HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.33%.
  • HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 41.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 98.03% on average per year.
  • HGV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

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6

4. HGV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 46.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HGV.
  • HGV's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, HGV is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.90, which indicates a very decent valuation of HGV.
  • 86.51% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HGV, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • HGV is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 46
Fwd PE 10.9
HGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 65.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HGV, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.13
EV/EBITDA 12.35
HGV Per share dataHGV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.94
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HGV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for HGV!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC

NYSE:HGV (3/23/2026, 12:28:34 PM)

41.86

+1.62 (+4.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners80.77%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.62%
Ins Owner Change11.55%
Market Cap3.41B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (29.14%)
Short Float %10.7%
Short Ratio7.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)59.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)44.27%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 46
Fwd PE 10.9
P/S 0.68
P/FCF 22.13
P/OCF 11.36
P/B 2.64
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.35
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.17%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY9.18%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.52%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.8%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.94
Graham Number18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROCE 5.38%
ROIC 4.25%
ROICexc 4.35%
ROICexgc 7.23%
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.71
Cap/Depr 53.48%
Cap/Sales 2.89%
Interest Coverage 1.89
Cash Conversion 35.97%
Profit Quality 190.12%
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 0.99
F-Score7
WACC6.5%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.


What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 46 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.64.


Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?

The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.