HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054

Current stock price

46.22 USD
-1.16 (-2.45%)
Last:

This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. HGV Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HGV was profitable.
  • In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years HGV has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
HGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • HGV's Return On Assets of 0.70% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 41.27% of its industry peers.
  • HGV has a better Return On Equity (6.28%) than 61.11% of its industry peers.
  • HGV has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.25%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HGV outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for HGV is below the industry average of 10.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROIC 4.25%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
HGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100

1.3 Margins

  • HGV has a Profit Margin (1.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of HGV (11.12%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • HGV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.79%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 84.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
HGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

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3

2. HGV Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • HGV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
HGV Yearly Shares OutstandingHGV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.03, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.03, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 64.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 47.15, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 47.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 47.15, HGV is doing worse than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
  • HGV's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.63 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 67.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Altman-Z 1.03
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC6.49%
HGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.74 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.74, HGV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of HGV (0.46) is worse than 80.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
HGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. HGV Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 102.22% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, HGV shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.64% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.33% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 41.36% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

  • HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 84.52% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.19% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y314.21%
EPS Next 2Y116.48%
EPS Next 3Y84.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4

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5

4. HGV Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 50.79, which means the current valuation is very expensive for HGV.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. HGV is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • HGV is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.26.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HGV is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 38.20.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 50.79
Fwd PE 12.26
HGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HGV.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.39
EV/EBITDA 13.04
HGV Per share dataHGV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 84.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)3.25
EPS Next 2Y116.48%
EPS Next 3Y84.52%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. HGV Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • HGV does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC

NYSE:HGV (4/16/2026, 2:08:33 PM)

46.22

-1.16 (-2.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners80.79%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.67%
Ins Owner Change10.95%
Market Cap3.76B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target55.79 (20.71%)
Short Float %11.81%
Short Ratio7.94
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)3.21%
PT rev (3m)5.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)54.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.86%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 50.79
Fwd PE 12.26
P/S 0.74
P/FCF 24.39
P/OCF 12.52
P/B 2.91
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.04
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY1.97%
EPS(NY)3.77
Fwd EY8.16%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY4.1%
OCF(TTM)3.69
OCFY7.99%
SpS62.11
BVpS15.86
TBVpS-29.12
PEG (NY)0.16
PEG (5Y)3.25
Graham Number18.0219 (-61.01%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.7%
ROE 6.28%
ROCE 5.38%
ROIC 4.25%
ROICexc 4.35%
ROICexgc 7.23%
OM 11.12%
PM (TTM) 1.6%
GM 22.79%
FCFM 3.05%
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.63
Debt/FCF 47.15
Debt/EBITDA 8.71
Cap/Depr 53.48%
Cap/Sales 2.89%
Interest Coverage 1.89
Cash Conversion 35.97%
Profit Quality 190.12%
Current Ratio 2.74
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 1.03
F-Score7
WACC6.49%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y314.21%
EPS Next 2Y116.48%
EPS Next 3Y84.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.99%
Revenue Next 3Y5.19%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year91.19%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.


What is the valuation status for HGV stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC?

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 50.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.91.