HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054

46.21 USD
-0.57 (-1.22%)
Last: Feb 5, 2026, 03:31 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, HGV scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HGV was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of HGV have multiple concerns. HGV has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year HGV was profitable.
  • In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years HGV 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHGV Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of HGV (0.45%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 3.83%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of HGV (4.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HGV is below the industry average of 10.39%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 3.83%
ROIC 4.14%
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHGV Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 100

1.3 Margins

  • HGV's Profit Margin of 1.06% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 44.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 11.02%, HGV is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HGV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.59%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.02%
PM (TTM) 1.06%
GM 22.59%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
HGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHGV Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so HGV is destroying value.
  • HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • HGV has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
HGV Yearly Shares OutstandingHGV Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
HGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHGV Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.03, HGV is doing worse than 62.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of HGV is 93.39, which is on the high side as it means it would take HGV, 93.39 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 93.39, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.19. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • HGV's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 61.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF 93.39
Altman-Z 1.03
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC8.01%
HGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHGV Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.68 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.68, HGV belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.57 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • HGV has a Quick ratio of 0.57. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 68.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.68
Quick Ratio 0.57
HGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHGV Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for HGV have decreased strongly by -37.50% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -28.63% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.07% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%

3.2 Future

  • HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 116.28% yearly.
  • HGV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y189.79%
EPS Next 3Y116.28%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.29%
Revenue Next 3Y3.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
HGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHGV Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
HGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHGV Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 84.02, the valuation of HGV can be described as expensive.
  • HGV's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.25, HGV is valued quite expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.23, which indicates a correct valuation of HGV.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HGV is valued cheaper than 84.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.50, HGV is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 84.02
Fwd PE 12.23
HGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHGV Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as HGV.
  • HGV's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 51.34
EV/EBITDA 13.49
HGV Per share dataHGV EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 116.28% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y189.79%
EPS Next 3Y116.28%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for HGV!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC

NYSE:HGV (2/5/2026, 3:31:02 PM)

46.21

-0.57 (-1.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-30
Earnings (Next)02-26
Inst Owners83.57%
Inst Owner Change-3.62%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change1.17%
Market Cap3.95B
Revenue(TTM)5.00B
Net Income(TTM)53.00M
Analysts71.43
Price Target52.93 (14.54%)
Short Float %8.95%
Short Ratio7.01
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-69.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-67.27%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-87.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-67.27%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-81.72%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-57.07%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-44.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.05%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 84.02
Fwd PE 12.23
P/S 0.79
P/FCF 51.34
P/OCF 16.61
P/B 2.85
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.49
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.19%
EPS(NY)3.78
Fwd EY8.18%
FCF(TTM)0.9
FCFY1.95%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY6.02%
SpS58.43
BVpS16.19
TBVpS-27.19
PEG (NY)0.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.45%
ROE 3.83%
ROCE 5.24%
ROIC 4.14%
ROICexc 4.22%
ROICexgc 7.1%
OM 11.02%
PM (TTM) 1.06%
GM 22.59%
FCFM 1.54%
ROA(3y)2.8%
ROA(5y)0.84%
ROE(3y)11.28%
ROE(5y)-2.21%
ROIC(3y)6.8%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.61%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2.64%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-1.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.19%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.01%
OM growth 3Y-13.11%
OM growth 5Y-3.97%
PM growth 3Y-49.98%
PM growth 5Y-39.61%
GM growth 3Y-11.04%
GM growth 5Y-2.08%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.19
Debt/FCF 93.39
Debt/EBITDA 8.83
Cap/Depr 61.22%
Cap/Sales 3.22%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 29.24%
Profit Quality 145.28%
Current Ratio 2.68
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 1.03
F-Score6
WACC8.01%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)40.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)44.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)216.58%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-37.5%
EPS 3Y-33.78%
EPS 5Y-28.63%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y264.16%
EPS Next 2Y189.79%
EPS Next 3Y116.28%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.98%
Revenue growth 3Y28.73%
Revenue growth 5Y22.07%
Sales Q2Q%-0.46%
Revenue Next Year1.41%
Revenue Next 2Y5.29%
Revenue Next 3Y3.72%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.61%
EBIT growth 3Y11.86%
EBIT growth 5Y17.22%
EBIT Next Year32.07%
EBIT Next 3Y16.85%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-62.07%
FCF growth 3Y12.36%
FCF growth 5Y17.42%
OCF growth 1Y-19.59%
OCF growth 3Y22.52%
OCF growth 5Y16.34%

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.


What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 84.02 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.85.


Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?

The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.