HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054
43.54 USD
-1.73 (-3.82%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
43.54 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:24:06 PM
This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 125 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While HGV is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. HGV is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. HGV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
- HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years HGV has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- HGV's Return On Assets of 0.70% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 41.60% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of HGV (6.28%) is better than 62.40% of its industry peers.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.25%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.57%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.72%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.60%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV's Operating Margin of 11.12% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 57.60% of its industry peers.
- HGV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HGV's Gross Margin of 22.79% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 84.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% |
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
2. HGV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
- HGV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.02. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.02, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 64.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 47.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- HGV has a Debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 60.80% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.63, HGV is doing worse than 64.80% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.66
WACC6.48%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.74 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of HGV (2.74) is better than 91.20% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.46 indicates that HGV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of HGV (0.46) is worse than 79.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. HGV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HGV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 102.22%, which is quite impressive.
- HGV shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.64% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.33% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 41.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 98.03% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. HGV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 47.85 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HGV.
- HGV's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.29. HGV is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.34, the valuation of HGV can be described as very reasonable.
- HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HGV is cheaper than 80.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.57.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.34 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as HGV.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of HGV indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: HGV is cheaper than 63.20% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)3.06
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
5. HGV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HGV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
43.54
-1.73 (-3.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners83.57%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change4.99%
Market Cap3.55B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (24.16%)
Short Float %10.28%
Short Ratio7.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)2.14%
PT rev (3m)0.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.21%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.34 | ||
| P/S | 0.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.82 | ||
| P/B | 2.75 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.84 |
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.09%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY8.82%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.34%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.46%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)3.06
Graham Number18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROCE | 5.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.35% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% | ||
| FCFM | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.71 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 35.97% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.12% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score7
WACC6.48%
ROIC/WACC0.66
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 47.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.75.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.