HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054
44.185 USD
-0.12 (-0.28%)
Last: Mar 4, 2026, 10:01 AM
This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 125 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of HGV while its profitability can be described as average. HGV is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.
1. HGV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year HGV was profitable.
- In the past year HGV had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years HGV has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years HGV had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of HGV (0.70%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Return On Equity of HGV (6.28%) is better than 61.60% of its industry peers.
- HGV's Return On Invested Capital of 4.25% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 42.40% of its industry peers.
- HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.57%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.81%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 1.60%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HGV's Operating Margin of 11.12% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 58.40% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
- The Gross Margin of HGV (22.79%) is worse than 84.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% |
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
2. HGV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for HGV has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.01, HGV is doing worse than 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 47.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 47.15, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 60.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
- HGV has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.63) than 64.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC6.55%
2.3 Liquidity
- HGV has a Current Ratio of 2.74. This indicates that HGV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.74, HGV belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.74. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HGV has a worse Quick ratio (0.46) than 79.20% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. HGV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 102.22% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.64% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- Looking at the last year, HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.33% in the last year.
- HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 41.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 98.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HGV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 48.55, which means the current valuation is very expensive for HGV.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HGV.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.83, HGV is valued quite expensively.
- HGV is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.50.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV indicates a rather cheap valuation: HGV is cheaper than 82.40% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.95. HGV is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 48.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HGV is valued a bit cheaper than 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.75 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)3.1
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
5. HGV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for HGV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:HGV (3/4/2026, 10:01:28 AM)
44.185
-0.12 (-0.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners83.57%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.43%
Ins Owner Change4.99%
Market Cap3.60B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (22.35%)
Short Float %10.28%
Short Ratio7.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)2.14%
PT rev (3m)0.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.21%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 48.55 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.5 | ||
| P/S | 0.71 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.36 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.99 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.75 |
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.06%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY8.69%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.28%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.34%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.15
PEG (5Y)3.1
Graham Number18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROCE | 5.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.35% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% | ||
| FCFM | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.71 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 35.97% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.12% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score7
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 48.55 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.79.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.