HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054
41.275 USD
-2.27 (-5.2%)
Last: Mar 9, 2026, 10:34 AM
This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
HGV gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. HGV has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. HGV is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. HGV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
- HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years HGV has always been profitable.
- HGV had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of HGV (0.70%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- HGV has a better Return On Equity (6.28%) than 63.49% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Return On Invested Capital (4.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.57%. This is below the industry average of 10.54%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
1.3 Margins
- HGV's Profit Margin of 1.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 45.24% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HGV has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 11.12%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HGV has declined.
- HGV has a Gross Margin of 22.79%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: HGV underperforms 84.92% of its industry peers.
- HGV's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% |
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
2. HGV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- HGV has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
- HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that HGV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.01, HGV is not doing good in the industry: 65.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 47.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- HGV's Debt to FCF ratio of 47.15 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HGV is outperformed by 61.11% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- HGV has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.63) than 65.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.65
WACC6.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.74 indicates that HGV has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- HGV has a better Current ratio (2.74) than 92.86% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.74. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of HGV (0.46) is worse than 79.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. HGV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 102.22% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.64% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- HGV shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.33%.
- Measured over the past years, HGV shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 41.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
3.2 Future
- HGV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 98.03% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. HGV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 45.36 indicates a quite expensive valuation of HGV.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of HGV is on the same level as its industry peers.
- HGV is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.75 indicates a reasonable valuation of HGV.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV indicates a rather cheap valuation: HGV is cheaper than 84.13% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.60), we can say HGV is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HGV is valued a bit cheaper than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.9
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
5. HGV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- HGV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:HGV (3/9/2026, 10:34:08 AM)
41.275
-2.27 (-5.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners80.77%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.62%
Ins Owner Change3.82%
Market Cap3.36B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (30.98%)
Short Float %10.28%
Short Ratio7.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)40.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)27.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.75 | ||
| P/S | 0.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.2 | ||
| P/B | 2.61 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.67 |
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.2%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY9.31%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.58%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.93%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.9
Graham Number18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROCE | 5.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.35% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% | ||
| FCFM | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.71 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 35.97% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.12% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score7
WACC6.49%
ROIC/WACC0.65
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 45.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.61.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.