HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:HGV • US43283X1054
40.88 USD
-0.98 (-2.34%)
At close: Mar 13, 2026
40.32 USD
-0.56 (-1.37%)
After Hours: 3/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
This HGV fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to HGV. HGV was compared to 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of HGV while its profitability can be described as average. HGV is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!
1. HGV Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- HGV had positive earnings in the past year.
- HGV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- HGV had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years HGV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- HGV has a Return On Assets (0.70%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.28%, HGV is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.49% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.25%, HGV is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.57%. This is below the industry average of 10.48%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 1.60%, HGV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HGV's Operating Margin of 11.12% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HGV outperforms 57.94% of its industry peers.
- HGV's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- HGV has a worse Gross Margin (22.79%) than 84.92% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HGV has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% |
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
2. HGV Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HGV is destroying value.
- HGV has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, HGV has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for HGV is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- HGV has an Altman-Z score of 1.00. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.00, HGV is doing worse than 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- HGV has a debt to FCF ratio of 47.15. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as HGV would need 47.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 47.15, HGV is doing worse than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.63 is on the high side and indicates that HGV has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.63, HGV is doing worse than 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1 |
ROIC/WACC0.66
WACC6.44%
2.3 Liquidity
- HGV has a Current Ratio of 2.74. This indicates that HGV is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- HGV has a Current ratio of 2.74. This is amongst the best in the industry. HGV outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- HGV has a Quick Ratio of 2.74. This is a bad value and indicates that HGV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- HGV has a Quick ratio of 0.46. This is in the lower half of the industry: HGV underperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. HGV Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- HGV shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 102.22%, which is quite impressive.
- HGV shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.64% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.33% in the past year.
- HGV shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 41.36% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 98.03% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, HGV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. HGV Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 44.92, the valuation of HGV can be described as expensive.
- HGV's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. HGV is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.64, the valuation of HGV can be described as reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HGV indicates a rather cheap valuation: HGV is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.82. HGV is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- HGV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HGV is valued a bit cheaper than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.51 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- HGV's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- HGV's earnings are expected to grow with 98.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.87
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
5. HGV Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for HGV!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
HGV Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
40.88
-0.98 (-2.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners80.77%
Inst Owner Change-5.36%
Ins Owners1.62%
Ins Owner Change11.55%
Market Cap3.33B
Revenue(TTM)5.05B
Net Income(TTM)81.00M
Analysts70
Price Target54.06 (32.24%)
Short Float %10.28%
Short Ratio7.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-59.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.49%
Max EPS beat(2)-45.91%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-79.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-133.82%
Max EPS beat(4)-45.91%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-83.09%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-59.84%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-46.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.3%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.54%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)40.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)27.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.64 | ||
| P/S | 0.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 21.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.09 | ||
| P/B | 2.58 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.51 |
EPS(TTM)0.91
EY2.23%
EPS(NY)3.84
Fwd EY9.4%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY4.63%
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY9.01%
SpS61.99
BVpS15.83
TBVpS-29.06
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)2.87
Graham Number18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.7% | ||
| ROE | 6.28% | ||
| ROCE | 5.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.35% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 11.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.6% | ||
| GM | 22.79% | ||
| FCFM | 3.05% |
ROA(3y)1.57%
ROA(5y)2.26%
ROE(3y)7.92%
ROE(5y)9.8%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)6.02%
ROICexc(3y)5.85%
ROICexc(5y)6.31%
ROICexgc(3y)9.68%
ROICexgc(5y)10.77%
ROCE(3y)7.05%
ROCE(5y)7.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.67%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-19.12%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-15.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-44.08%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-11.53%
GM growth 5Y11.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.44
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 47.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.71 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 35.97% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.12% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1 |
F-Score7
WACC6.44%
ROIC/WACC0.66
Cap/Depr(3y)45.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)41.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.3%
Profit Quality(3y)218.4%
Profit Quality(5y)182.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)102.22%
EPS 3Y-32.36%
EPS 5Y15.64%
EPS Q2Q%189.47%
EPS Next Y322.08%
EPS Next 2Y124.29%
EPS Next 3Y98.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.33%
Revenue growth 3Y9.59%
Revenue growth 5Y41.36%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year9.33%
Revenue Next 2Y5.09%
Revenue Next 3Y4.81%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-19.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year90.22%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.85%
FCF growth 3Y-38.12%
FCF growth 5Y26.26%
OCF growth 1Y-2.91%
OCF growth 3Y-26.22%
OCF growth 5Y30.59%
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC / HGV FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for HGV stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to HGV.
What is the valuation status of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 44.92 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.58.
Can you provide the financial health for HGV stock?
The financial health rating of HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC (HGV) is 3 / 10.