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HELLOFRESH SE (HFG.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:HFG - Deutsche Boerse Ag - DE000A161408 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

10.37  -0.02 (-0.14%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, HFG scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HFG was compared to 28 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. HFG scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. HFG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HFG has reported negative net income.
In the past year HFG had a positive cash flow from operations.
HFG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years HFG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
HFG.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHFG.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -4.88%, HFG is not doing good in the industry: 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
HFG has a Return On Equity of -13.17%. This is in the lower half of the industry: HFG underperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.88%
ROE -13.17%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)5.58%
ROA(5y)7.83%
ROE(3y)14.07%
ROE(5y)18.86%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HFG.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHFG.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HFG has declined.
HFG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 62.74%, HFG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
HFG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
HFG does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 62.74%
OM growth 3Y-49.29%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-70.39%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
HFG.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHFG.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 60

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HFG does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for HFG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for HFG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HFG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
HFG.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingHFG.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
HFG.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHFG.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.90 indicates that HFG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HFG has a better Altman-Z score (3.90) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
HFG has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.74. This is a neutral value as HFG would need 4.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HFG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.74. This is in the better half of the industry: HFG outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
HFG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of HFG (0.21) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 4.74
Altman-Z 3.9
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.98%
HFG.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHFG.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.72 indicates that HFG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.72, HFG is not doing good in the industry: 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
HFG has a Quick Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that HFG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HFG has a Quick ratio (0.50) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.5
HFG.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHFG.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HFG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -302.26%.
The earnings per share for HFG have been decreasing by -62.43% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, HFG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.31% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 42.80% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-302.26%
EPS 3Y-62.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.31%
Revenue growth 3Y26.53%
Revenue growth 5Y42.8%
Sales Q2Q%1.35%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HFG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.41% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, HFG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-93.82%
EPS Next 2Y-15.75%
EPS Next 3Y6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.09%
Revenue Next 2Y2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y2.87%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HFG.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHFG.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
HFG.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHFG.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for HFG. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.62 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HFG.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HFG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 71.43% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HFG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say HFG is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 21.62
HFG.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHFG.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

HFG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. HFG is cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as HFG.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.33
EV/EBITDA 6.43
HFG.DE Per share dataHFG.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.75%
EPS Next 3Y6.41%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for HFG!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

HELLOFRESH SE

FRA:HFG (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

10.37

-0.02 (-0.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)10-29 2024-10-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-13 2025-03-13/amc
Inst Owners84.93%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.80B
Analysts72.5
Price Target13.35 (28.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-79.62%
Max EPS beat(2)83.5%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-23.75%
Min EPS beat(4)-97.32%
Max EPS beat(4)83.5%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.12%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)2.49%
PT rev (3m)16.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.18%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 21.62
P/S 0.23
P/FCF 28.33
P/OCF 6.78
P/B 1.99
P/tB 3.56
EV/EBITDA 6.43
EPS(TTM)-0.26
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.48
Fwd EY4.62%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY3.53%
OCF(TTM)1.53
OCFY14.76%
SpS44.53
BVpS5.22
TBVpS2.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.88%
ROE -13.17%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 62.74%
FCFM 0.82%
ROA(3y)5.58%
ROA(5y)7.83%
ROE(3y)14.07%
ROE(5y)18.86%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-49.29%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-70.39%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover3.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 4.74
Debt/EBITDA 0.76
Cap/Depr 63.64%
Cap/Sales 2.61%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 108.25%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.5
Altman-Z 3.9
F-Score5
WACC5.98%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)184.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-302.26%
EPS 3Y-62.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.67%
EPS Next Y-93.82%
EPS Next 2Y-15.75%
EPS Next 3Y6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.31%
Revenue growth 3Y26.53%
Revenue growth 5Y42.8%
Sales Q2Q%1.35%
Revenue Next Year1.09%
Revenue Next 2Y2.08%
Revenue Next 3Y2.87%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y-143.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year86.73%
EBIT Next 3Y37.31%
EBIT Next 5Y25.32%
FCF growth 1Y159.2%
FCF growth 3Y-46.76%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.08%
OCF growth 3Y-13.91%
OCF growth 5YN/A