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HOLLYFRONTIER CORP (HFC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:HFC - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - Common Stock

36.39  +0.71 (+1.99%)

After market: 36.33 -0.06 (-0.16%)

Fundamental Rating

4

HFC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. HFC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. HFC is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HFC had positive earnings in the past year.
HFC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHFC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.47%
ROE 12.42%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HFC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHFC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.38%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HFC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHFC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 5 -5 10 15 20

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The number of shares outstanding for HFC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HFC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HFC Yearly Shares OutstandingHFC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M
HFC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHFC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

HFC has an Altman-Z score of 3.10. This indicates that HFC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.54 indicates that HFC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.1
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
HFC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHFC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.82 indicates that HFC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
A Quick Ratio of 0.79 indicates that HFC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.82
Quick Ratio 0.79
HFC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHFC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 1B 2B 3B

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9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HFC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 273.56%, which is quite impressive.
HFC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 22.83% yearly.
HFC shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 95.76%.
HFC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.78% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)273.56%
EPS 3Y-38.37%
EPS 5Y22.83%
EPS Q2Q%85.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)95.76%
Revenue growth 3Y1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.78%
Sales Q2Q%93.83%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HFC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 77.46% on average per year.
HFC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 18.80% yearly.
EPS Next Y182.64%
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%
EPS Next 5Y77.46%
Revenue Next Year7.53%
Revenue Next 2Y18.8%
Revenue Next 3Y18.61%
Revenue Next 5Y18.8%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HFC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHFC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B
HFC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHFC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.10 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HFC.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.63. HFC is around the same levels.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.53, the valuation of HFC can be described as very reasonable.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.68. HFC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.1
Fwd PE 8.53
HFC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHFC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6
HFC Per share dataHFC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HFC's earnings are expected to grow with 76.43% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%

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6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.30%, HFC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, HFC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.3%

5.2 History

The dividend of HFC has a limited annual growth rate of 1.98%.
HFC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.98%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
HFC Yearly Dividends per shareHFC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

HFC pays out 8.16% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of HFC is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP8.16%
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%
HFC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHFC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 500M -500M 1B
HFC Dividend Payout.HFC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HFC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HOLLYFRONTIER CORP

NYSE:HFC (3/14/2022, 8:07:00 PM)

After market: 36.33 -0.06 (-0.16%)

36.39

+0.71 (+1.99%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)05-03 2022-05-03
Inst Owners1.26%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.48%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.93B
Analysts66.67
Price Target42.01 (15.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.3%
Yearly Dividend1.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.98%
DP8.16%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.1
Fwd PE 8.53
P/S 0.27
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.04
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6
EPS(TTM)1.51
EY4.15%
EPS(NY)4.27
Fwd EY11.73%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS134.32
BVpS34.9
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.13
PEG (5Y)1.06
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.47%
ROE 12.42%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 4.38%
PM (TTM) 3.23%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y0%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.54
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.82
Quick Ratio 0.79
Altman-Z 3.1
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)273.56%
EPS 3Y-38.37%
EPS 5Y22.83%
EPS Q2Q%85.14%
EPS Next Y182.64%
EPS Next 2Y75.27%
EPS Next 3Y76.43%
EPS Next 5Y77.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)95.76%
Revenue growth 3Y1.25%
Revenue growth 5Y11.78%
Sales Q2Q%93.83%
Revenue Next Year7.53%
Revenue Next 2Y18.8%
Revenue Next 3Y18.61%
Revenue Next 5Y18.8%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A