WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:HCC - US93627C1018 - Common Stock
83.4799 USD
+0.07 (+0.08%)
Overall HCC gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated HCC against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of HCC get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. HCC is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year HCC was profitable.
HCC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years HCC 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years HCC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.31%, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.26% of the companies in the same industry.
HCC has a Return On Equity of 1.66%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HCC outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Return On Invested Capital (0.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for HCC is significantly above the industry average of 13.23%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.25%) for HCC is well below the 3 year average (23.37%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that HCC had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 1.66% | ||
| ROIC | 0.25% |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of HCC (2.87%) is better than 63.46% of its industry peers.
HCC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of HCC (0.57%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HCC has declined.
HCC's Gross Margin of 19.90% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HCC outperforms 57.69% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of HCC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.87% | ||
| GM | 19.9% |
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
HCC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
HCC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
HCC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HCC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.37 indicates that HCC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of HCC (6.37) is better than 70.51% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.10. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.10, HCC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC10.17%
2.3 Liquidity
HCC has a Current Ratio of 4.13. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HCC (4.13) is better than 73.72% of its industry peers.
HCC has a Quick Ratio of 3.00. This indicates that HCC is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.00, HCC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
HCC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -89.00%.
Measured over the past years, HCC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.09% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, HCC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.12% in the last year.
HCC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.76% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, HCC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.78% on average per year.
HCC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.52% yearly.
EPS Next Y-77.53%
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-16.07%
Revenue Next 2Y11.04%
Revenue Next 3Y10.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
HCC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 104.35.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as HCC.
HCC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.56.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.43, the valuation of HCC can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, HCC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of HCC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.79), we can say HCC is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 104.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HCC is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
HCC has a yearly dividend return of 0.38%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.03, HCC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, HCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
5.2 History
The dividend of HCC decreases each year by -28.78%.
HCC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
HCC pays out 48.24% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP48.24%
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
NYSE:HCC (12/15/2025, 1:41:59 PM)
83.4799
+0.07 (+0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners113.21%
Inst Owner Change-3.2%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change-1.14%
Market Cap4.39B
Revenue(TTM)1.22B
Net Income(TTM)35.17M
Analysts76.67
Price Target83.79 (0.37%)
Short Float %10.19%
Short Ratio6.53
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-28.78%
DP48.24%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)224.63%
Min EPS beat(2)140.31%
Max EPS beat(2)308.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-721.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-3268.32%
Max EPS beat(4)308.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-358.8%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-237.75%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-174.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.9%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.9%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.71%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.84%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.11%
PT rev (1m)10.79%
PT rev (3m)25.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)203.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)481.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)323.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)1270.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 104.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.43 | ||
| P/S | 3.59 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 21.16 | ||
| P/B | 2.07 | ||
| P/tB | 2.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.41 |
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY0.96%
EPS(NY)5.41
Fwd EY6.48%
FCF(TTM)-4.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.94
OCFY4.73%
SpS23.27
BVpS40.29
TBVpS40.29
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number26.93
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 1.66% | ||
| ROCE | 0.28% | ||
| ROIC | 0.25% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.29% | ||
| OM | 0.57% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.87% | ||
| GM | 19.9% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)20.53%
ROA(5y)13.87%
ROE(3y)27.27%
ROE(5y)18.84%
ROIC(3y)23.37%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)38.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)38.43%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)26.69%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-18.92%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.92%
OM growth 3Y-15.98%
OM growth 5Y-11.14%
PM growth 3Y4.87%
PM growth 5Y-7.13%
GM growth 3Y-11.66%
GM growth 5Y-5.37%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.19 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 256.88% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.96% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 116.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.37 |
F-Score3
WACC10.17%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)316.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)219.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-89%
EPS 3Y5.15%
EPS 5Y-2.09%
EPS Q2Q%-12.5%
EPS Next Y-77.53%
EPS Next 2Y4.74%
EPS Next 3Y5.78%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.12%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y3.76%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year-16.07%
Revenue Next 2Y11.04%
Revenue Next 3Y10.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.52%
EBIT growth 1Y-98.23%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.12%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.8%
EBIT Next Year-14.84%
EBIT Next 3Y37.51%
EBIT Next 5Y31.98%
FCF growth 1Y-210.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-68.15%
OCF growth 3Y1.49%
OCF growth 5Y-7.16%
WARRIOR MET COAL INC / HCC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to HCC.
What is the valuation status of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of HCC stock?
WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 104.35 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.07.
Can you provide the financial health for HCC stock?
The financial health rating of WARRIOR MET COAL INC (HCC) is 6 / 10.