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HORIZON BANCORP INC/IN (HBNC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HBNC - Nasdaq - US4404071049 - Common Stock

15.58  -0.37 (-2.32%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, HBNC scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HBNC was compared to 405 industry peers in the Banks industry. HBNC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. HBNC has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HBNC was profitable.
HBNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
HBNC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
HBNC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HBNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHBNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.27%, HBNC is doing worse than 85.68% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of HBNC (2.79%) is worse than 85.18% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.27%
ROE 2.79%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.9%
ROA(5y)1.03%
ROE(3y)9.91%
ROE(5y)9.95%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HBNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHBNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 11.15%, HBNC is not doing good in the industry: 81.41% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HBNC has declined.
HBNC does not have Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 11.15%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.18%
PM growth 5Y-13.86%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
HBNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHBNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HBNC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
HBNC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
HBNC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for HBNC has been reduced compared to a year ago.
HBNC Yearly Shares OutstandingHBNC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
HBNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHBNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of HBNC is 21.20, which is on the high side as it means it would take HBNC, 21.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HBNC's Debt to FCF ratio of 21.20 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HBNC is outperformed by 77.89% of its industry peers.
HBNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.99. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.99, HBNC is not doing good in the industry: 91.96% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF 21.2
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.13%
HBNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHBNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
HBNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHBNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HBNC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -18.82%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.30% on average over the past years.
HBNC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -14.60%.
Measured over the past years, HBNC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.13% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.82%
EPS 3Y-1.46%
EPS 5Y2.3%
EPS Q2Q%10.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.6%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.87%
Revenue growth 5Y2.13%
Sales Q2Q%8.35%

3.2 Future

HBNC is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.80% yearly.
HBNC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.37% yearly.
EPS Next Y-5.94%
EPS Next 2Y5.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.74%
Revenue Next 2Y8.6%
Revenue Next 3Y7.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HBNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHBNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
HBNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHBNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

HBNC is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.29.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HBNC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.60% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of HBNC to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say HBNC is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.06, the valuation of HBNC can be described as very reasonable.
HBNC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HBNC is cheaper than 82.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, HBNC is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.29
Fwd PE 9.06
HBNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHBNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HBNC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.58% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.48
EV/EBITDA N/A
HBNC Per share dataHBNC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.91
EPS Next 2Y5.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.8%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.09%, HBNC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
HBNC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.22.
HBNC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.09%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of HBNC grows each year by 9.88%, which is quite nice.
HBNC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
As HBNC did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.88%
Div Incr Years8
Div Non Decr Years9
HBNC Yearly Dividends per shareHBNC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

HBNC pays out 134.12% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
HBNC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP134.12%
EPS Next 2Y5.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.8%
HBNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHBNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
HBNC Dividend Payout.HBNC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HBNC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HORIZON BANCORP INC/IN

NASDAQ:HBNC (1/22/2025, 11:35:02 AM)

15.58

-0.37 (-2.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)10-23 2024-10-23/amc
Earnings (Next)01-22 2025-01-22/amc
Inst Owners69.33%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners2.65%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap681.16M
Analysts80
Price Target19.21 (23.3%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio4.21
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.09%
Yearly Dividend0.64
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.88%
DP134.12%
Div Incr Years8
Div Non Decr Years9
Ex-Date01-03 2025-01-03 (0.16)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.48%
Min EPS beat(2)0.23%
Max EPS beat(2)8.74%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)3.82%
Min EPS beat(4)0.23%
Max EPS beat(4)8.74%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.76%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.51%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.96%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-16.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-59.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-12.01%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-9.98%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.91%
PT rev (1m)5.12%
PT rev (3m)14.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.29
Fwd PE 9.06
P/S 3.6
P/FCF 10.48
P/OCF 9.78
P/B 0.9
P/tB 1.16
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY8.86%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY11.04%
FCF(TTM)1.49
FCFY9.54%
OCF(TTM)1.59
OCFY10.23%
SpS4.33
BVpS17.26
TBVpS13.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.27%
ROE 2.79%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 11.15%
GM N/A
FCFM 34.36%
ROA(3y)0.9%
ROA(5y)1.03%
ROE(3y)9.91%
ROE(5y)9.95%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.18%
PM growth 5Y-13.86%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF 21.2
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 43.47%
Cap/Sales 2.46%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 308.19%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC9.13%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)48.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)50.96%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.44%
Profit Quality(3y)168.28%
Profit Quality(5y)173.53%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.82%
EPS 3Y-1.46%
EPS 5Y2.3%
EPS Q2Q%10.81%
EPS Next Y-5.94%
EPS Next 2Y5.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.8%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.6%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.87%
Revenue growth 5Y2.13%
Sales Q2Q%8.35%
Revenue Next Year3.74%
Revenue Next 2Y8.6%
Revenue Next 3Y7.37%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.56%
FCF growth 3Y3.6%
FCF growth 5Y3.3%
OCF growth 1Y-30.74%
OCF growth 3Y4.07%
OCF growth 5Y4.2%