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HUDBAY MINERALS INC (HBM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:HBM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA4436281022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.1  -0.51 (-6.7%)

After market: 7.15 +0.05 (+0.7%)

Fundamental Rating

5

HBM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HBM has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HBM is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HBM was profitable.
In the past year HBM had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HBM reported negative net income in multiple years.
HBM had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
HBM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHBM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.57%, HBM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
HBM has a Return On Equity of 3.40%. This is in the better half of the industry: HBM outperforms 65.73% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.91%, HBM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
HBM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.02%. This is below the industry average of 8.84%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.02%) for HBM is below the current ROIC(4.91%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.57%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 4.91%
ROA(3y)-0.81%
ROA(5y)-2.64%
ROE(3y)-2.97%
ROE(5y)-7.2%
ROIC(3y)4.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HBM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHBM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of HBM (4.23%) is better than 69.93% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of HBM has declined.
HBM's Operating Margin of 20.22% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HBM outperforms 77.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HBM has declined.
The Gross Margin of HBM (27.77%) is better than 67.13% of its industry peers.
HBM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.22%
PM (TTM) 4.23%
GM 27.77%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.5%
GM growth 3Y86.69%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
HBM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHBM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HBM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
HBM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
HBM Yearly Shares OutstandingHBM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
HBM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHBM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

HBM has an Altman-Z score of 1.30. This is a bad value and indicates that HBM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of HBM (1.30) is worse than 72.03% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of HBM is 3.83, which is a good value as it means it would take HBM, 3.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
HBM's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.83 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HBM outperforms 72.03% of its industry peers.
HBM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.47, HBM is doing worse than 75.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.83
Altman-Z 1.3
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC8.63%
HBM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHBM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

HBM has a Current Ratio of 1.86. This is a normal value and indicates that HBM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HBM (1.86) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that HBM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
HBM has a Quick ratio (1.47) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.86
Quick Ratio 1.47
HBM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHBM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HBM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 135.00%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)135%
EPS 3Y25.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%21.74%

3.2 Future

HBM is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 37.43% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.01% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y70.02%
EPS Next 2Y27.92%
EPS Next 3Y34.01%
EPS Next 5Y37.43%
Revenue Next Year10.44%
Revenue Next 2Y2.73%
Revenue Next 3Y5.11%
Revenue Next 5Y7.01%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
HBM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHBM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HBM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHBM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.11 indicates a correct valuation of HBM.
79.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HBM, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.63. HBM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.89, the valuation of HBM can be described as reasonable.
HBM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HBM is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
HBM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.11
Fwd PE 8.89
HBM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHBM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of HBM indicates a rather cheap valuation: HBM is cheaper than 93.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HBM is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.68
EV/EBITDA 4.41
HBM Per share dataHBM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
HBM's earnings are expected to grow with 34.01% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y27.92%
EPS Next 3Y34.01%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.19%, HBM is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
In the last 3 months the price of HBM has falen by -22.15%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.16, HBM has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, HBM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.19%

5.2 History

The dividend of HBM decreases each year by -0.93%.
HBM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
HBM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years10
HBM Yearly Dividends per shareHBM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.01 0.01 0.02

5.3 Sustainability

HBM pays out 6.36% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP6.36%
EPS Next 2Y27.92%
EPS Next 3Y34.01%
HBM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHBM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M
HBM Dividend Payout.HBM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HBM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HUDBAY MINERALS INC

NYSE:HBM (2/21/2025, 8:25:11 PM)

After market: 7.15 +0.05 (+0.7%)

7.1

-0.51 (-6.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners75.17%
Inst Owner Change-0.6%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.80B
Analysts83.33
Price Target11.16 (57.18%)
Short Float %1.42%
Short Ratio1.05
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.19%
Yearly Dividend0.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.93%
DP6.36%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)40.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-100%
Max EPS beat(2)181.22%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)108.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)283.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)4.67%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.54%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.03%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.02%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.35%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.8%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.55%
PT rev (1m)-3.58%
PT rev (3m)-6.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.11
Fwd PE 8.89
P/S 1.37
P/FCF 8.68
P/OCF 4.28
P/B 1.1
P/tB 1.16
EV/EBITDA 4.41
EPS(TTM)0.47
EY6.62%
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY11.25%
FCF(TTM)0.82
FCFY11.52%
OCF(TTM)1.66
OCFY23.36%
SpS5.17
BVpS6.44
TBVpS6.13
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.57%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 8.24%
ROIC 4.91%
ROICexc 5.44%
ROICexgc 5.59%
OM 20.22%
PM (TTM) 4.23%
GM 27.77%
FCFM 15.8%
ROA(3y)-0.81%
ROA(5y)-2.64%
ROE(3y)-2.97%
ROE(5y)-7.2%
ROIC(3y)4.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.27%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.34%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.75%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.69%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.5%
GM growth 3Y86.69%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.83
Debt/EBITDA 1.42
Cap/Depr 77.41%
Cap/Sales 16.25%
Interest Coverage 5.31
Cash Conversion 77.79%
Profit Quality 373.5%
Current Ratio 1.86
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 1.3
F-Score8
WACC8.63%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)89.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)135%
EPS 3Y25.11%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10%
EPS Next Y70.02%
EPS Next 2Y27.92%
EPS Next 3Y34.01%
EPS Next 5Y37.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%21.74%
Revenue Next Year10.44%
Revenue Next 2Y2.73%
Revenue Next 3Y5.11%
Revenue Next 5Y7.01%
EBIT growth 1Y115.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y1.02%
EBIT Next Year224.09%
EBIT Next 3Y56.96%
EBIT Next 5Y40.87%
FCF growth 1Y86.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-7.48%
OCF growth 1Y31.4%
OCF growth 3Y25.8%
OCF growth 5Y-0.11%