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HUDBAY MINERALS INC (HBM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:HBM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA4436281022 - Common Stock

8.59  -0.05 (-0.58%)

After market: 8.58 -0.01 (-0.12%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall HBM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated HBM against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HBM has an average financial health and profitability rating. An interesting combination arises when we look at growth and value: HBM is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year HBM was profitable.
In the past year HBM had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HBM reported negative net income in multiple years.
HBM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
HBM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHBM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of HBM (1.57%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of HBM (3.40%) is better than 63.27% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.91%, HBM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
HBM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.02%. This is below the industry average of 8.76%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.91%) for HBM is above the 3 year average (4.02%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.57%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 4.91%
ROA(3y)-0.81%
ROA(5y)-2.64%
ROE(3y)-2.97%
ROE(5y)-7.2%
ROIC(3y)4.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
HBM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHBM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

HBM's Profit Margin of 4.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HBM outperforms 69.39% of its industry peers.
HBM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
HBM has a better Operating Margin (20.22%) than 77.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of HBM has declined.
HBM's Gross Margin of 27.77% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HBM outperforms 68.03% of its industry peers.
HBM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.22%
PM (TTM) 4.23%
GM 27.77%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.5%
GM growth 3Y86.69%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
HBM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHBM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

HBM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
HBM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
HBM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HBM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
HBM Yearly Shares OutstandingHBM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
HBM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHBM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

HBM has an Altman-Z score of 1.38. This is a bad value and indicates that HBM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
HBM has a worse Altman-Z score (1.38) than 69.39% of its industry peers.
HBM has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.83. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as HBM would need 3.83 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HBM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.83. This is in the better half of the industry: HBM outperforms 70.75% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47 indicates that HBM is not too dependend on debt financing.
HBM's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. HBM is outperformed by 76.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.83
Altman-Z 1.38
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC9.35%
HBM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHBM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

HBM has a Current Ratio of 1.86. This is a normal value and indicates that HBM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HBM's Current ratio of 1.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HBM outperforms 42.18% of its industry peers.
HBM has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that HBM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HBM has a Quick ratio of 1.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HBM outperforms 50.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.86
Quick Ratio 1.47
HBM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHBM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

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7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

HBM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 4800.00%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for HBM have been decreasing by -12.94% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 44.67% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
Measured over the past years, HBM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4800%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-12.94%
EPS Q2Q%85.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.67%
Revenue growth 3Y15.66%
Revenue growth 5Y2.8%
Sales Q2Q%1.11%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 39.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
HBM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y166.64%
EPS Next 2Y114.09%
EPS Next 3Y61.04%
EPS Next 5Y39.34%
Revenue Next Year26.59%
Revenue Next 2Y19.04%
Revenue Next 3Y10.65%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
HBM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHBM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
HBM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHBM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1

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7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.53 indicates a rather expensive valuation of HBM.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, HBM is valued a bit cheaper than 69.39% of the companies in the same industry.
HBM is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.96, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.37 indicates a reasonable valuation of HBM.
76.87% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HBM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
HBM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.11.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.53
Fwd PE 9.37
HBM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHBM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

89.12% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HBM, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
HBM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. HBM is cheaper than 89.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.5
EV/EBITDA 4.87
HBM Per share dataHBM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

HBM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as HBM's earnings are expected to grow with 61.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y114.09%
EPS Next 3Y61.04%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HBM has a yearly dividend return of 0.16%, which is pretty low.
HBM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.22.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, HBM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.16%

5.2 History

The dividend of HBM decreases each year by -0.93%.
HBM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
HBM has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.93%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years10
HBM Yearly Dividends per shareHBM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.01 0.01 0.02

5.3 Sustainability

HBM pays out 6.36% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP6.36%
EPS Next 2Y114.09%
EPS Next 3Y61.04%
HBM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHBM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M
HBM Dividend Payout.HBM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HBM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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HUDBAY MINERALS INC

NYSE:HBM (1/17/2025, 8:05:35 PM)

After market: 8.58 -0.01 (-0.12%)

8.59

-0.05 (-0.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-13 2024-11-13/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners75.17%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.38B
Analysts84.21
Price Target11.57 (34.69%)
Short Float %1.62%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.16%
Yearly Dividend0.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.93%
DP6.36%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)40.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-100%
Max EPS beat(2)181.22%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)108.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)283.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)4.67%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.54%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.71%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.03%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.62%
Max Revenue beat(4)14.02%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.35%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.8%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.55%
PT rev (1m)-2.77%
PT rev (3m)-2.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)51.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.9%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.53
Fwd PE 9.37
P/S 1.66
P/FCF 10.5
P/OCF 5.18
P/B 1.33
P/tB 1.4
EV/EBITDA 4.87
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY5.7%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY10.67%
FCF(TTM)0.82
FCFY9.52%
OCF(TTM)1.66
OCFY19.31%
SpS5.17
BVpS6.44
TBVpS6.14
PEG (NY)0.11
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.57%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 8.24%
ROIC 4.91%
ROICexc 5.44%
ROICexgc 5.59%
OM 20.22%
PM (TTM) 4.23%
GM 27.77%
FCFM 15.8%
ROA(3y)-0.81%
ROA(5y)-2.64%
ROE(3y)-2.97%
ROE(5y)-7.2%
ROIC(3y)4.02%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.27%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.34%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.75%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.69%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.73%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-7.5%
GM growth 3Y86.69%
GM growth 5Y-1.76%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.37
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 3.83
Debt/EBITDA 1.42
Cap/Depr 77.41%
Cap/Sales 16.25%
Interest Coverage 5.31
Cash Conversion 77.79%
Profit Quality 373.5%
Current Ratio 1.86
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 1.38
F-Score8
WACC9.35%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)89.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4800%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-12.94%
EPS Q2Q%85.71%
EPS Next Y166.64%
EPS Next 2Y114.09%
EPS Next 3Y61.04%
EPS Next 5Y39.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.67%
Revenue growth 3Y15.66%
Revenue growth 5Y2.8%
Sales Q2Q%1.11%
Revenue Next Year26.59%
Revenue Next 2Y19.04%
Revenue Next 3Y10.65%
Revenue Next 5Y9.6%
EBIT growth 1Y115.91%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y1.02%
EBIT Next Year224.09%
EBIT Next 3Y56.96%
EBIT Next 5Y39.46%
FCF growth 1Y86.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-7.48%
OCF growth 1Y31.4%
OCF growth 3Y25.8%
OCF growth 5Y-0.11%