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HAYNES INTERNATIONAL INC (HAYN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:HAYN - Nasdaq - US4208772016 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

60.99  +0.02 (+0.03%)

After market: 60.99 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, HAYN scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. HAYN was compared to 152 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. HAYN has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. HAYN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

HAYN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year HAYN had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: HAYN reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years HAYN reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
HAYN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFHAYN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.47%, HAYN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.80% of the companies in the same industry.
HAYN's Return On Equity of 8.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HAYN outperforms 73.89% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of HAYN (6.62%) is better than 70.70% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.47%
ROE 8.29%
ROIC 6.62%
ROA(3y)3.83%
ROA(5y)2.39%
ROE(3y)6.38%
ROE(5y)4.05%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
HAYN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICHAYN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of HAYN (6.10%) is better than 74.52% of its industry peers.
HAYN's Operating Margin of 8.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HAYN outperforms 62.42% of its industry peers.
HAYN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of HAYN (17.43%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
HAYN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.38%
PM (TTM) 6.1%
GM 17.43%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y49.94%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y16.66%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
HAYN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsHAYN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 15 20

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), HAYN is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, HAYN has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for HAYN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, HAYN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
HAYN Yearly Shares OutstandingHAYN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
HAYN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsHAYN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.30 indicates that HAYN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
HAYN has a better Altman-Z score (4.30) than 67.52% of its industry peers.
HAYN has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.86. This is a neutral value as HAYN would need 4.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
HAYN's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.86 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. HAYN outperforms 69.43% of its industry peers.
HAYN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
HAYN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: HAYN outperforms 45.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 4.86
Altman-Z 4.3
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC11.32%
HAYN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFHAYN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 7.74 indicates that HAYN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of HAYN (7.74) is better than 85.99% of its industry peers.
HAYN has a Quick Ratio of 1.89. This is a normal value and indicates that HAYN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
HAYN's Quick ratio of 1.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. HAYN outperforms 59.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 7.74
Quick Ratio 1.89
HAYN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesHAYN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for HAYN have decreased strongly by -18.03% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 122.47% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
HAYN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.18%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.27% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y122.47%
EPS Q2Q%-7.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.18%
Revenue growth 3Y15.74%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%6.96%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, HAYN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.46% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.26% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-21.39%
EPS Next 2Y5.45%
EPS Next 3Y12.46%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.28%
Revenue Next 2Y2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y3.26%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
HAYN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesHAYN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M
HAYN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesHAYN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.96, HAYN is valued on the expensive side.
66.88% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than HAYN, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
HAYN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.51.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.77, the valuation of HAYN can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as HAYN.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 93.88, HAYN is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.96
Fwd PE 16.77
HAYN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsHAYN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

HAYN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, HAYN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 38.75
EV/EBITDA 12.5
HAYN Per share dataHAYN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

HAYN's earnings are expected to grow with 12.46% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.17
EPS Next 2Y5.45%
EPS Next 3Y12.46%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

HAYN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.44%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.17, HAYN pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, HAYN is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.44%

5.2 History

The dividend of HAYN has a limited annual growth rate of 0.12%.
HAYN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
HAYN has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years14
HAYN Yearly Dividends per shareHAYN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

HAYN pays out 30.20% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
HAYN's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP30.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.45%
EPS Next 3Y12.46%
HAYN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendHAYN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M 40M -40M -60M -80M
HAYN Dividend Payout.HAYN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.HAYN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HAYNES INTERNATIONAL INC

NASDAQ:HAYN (11/20/2024, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 60.99 0 (0%)

60.99

+0.02 (+0.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-14 2024-11-14/amc
Earnings (Next)02-03 2025-02-03/amc
Inst Owners104.59%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners1.77%
Ins Owner Change-140.46%
Market Cap780.06M
Analysts47.5
Price Target62.22 (2.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.44%
Yearly Dividend0.89
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.12%
DP30.2%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years14
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-23.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-20.61%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-16.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.03%
Max EPS beat(4)-2.68%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-10.46%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)26.01%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)31.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.87%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.97%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.87%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.56%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.42%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.17%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.36%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.15%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.96
Fwd PE 16.77
P/S 1.27
P/FCF 38.75
P/OCF 18.6
P/B 1.73
P/tB 1.76
EV/EBITDA 12.5
EPS(TTM)2.91
EY4.77%
EPS(NY)3.64
Fwd EY5.96%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY2.58%
OCF(TTM)3.28
OCFY5.38%
SpS48.03
BVpS35.36
TBVpS34.56
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.17
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.47%
ROE 8.29%
ROCE 8.31%
ROIC 6.62%
ROICexc 6.75%
ROICexgc 6.86%
OM 8.38%
PM (TTM) 6.1%
GM 17.43%
FCFM 3.28%
ROA(3y)3.83%
ROA(5y)2.39%
ROE(3y)6.38%
ROE(5y)4.05%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y53.61%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y53.7%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y49.94%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y16.66%
GM growth 5Y7.74%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 4.86
Debt/EBITDA 1.41
Cap/Depr 122.77%
Cap/Sales 3.55%
Interest Coverage 6.82
Cash Conversion 60.55%
Profit Quality 53.71%
Current Ratio 7.74
Quick Ratio 1.89
Altman-Z 4.3
F-Score7
WACC11.32%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)65.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)59.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.42%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.03%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y122.47%
EPS Q2Q%-7.35%
EPS Next Y-21.39%
EPS Next 2Y5.45%
EPS Next 3Y12.46%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.18%
Revenue growth 3Y15.74%
Revenue growth 5Y6.27%
Sales Q2Q%6.96%
Revenue Next Year2.28%
Revenue Next 2Y2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y3.26%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-14.45%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y59.34%
EBIT Next Year16.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.78%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y122.95%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y156.29%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A