GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013

59.82 USD
-1.14 (-1.87%)
At close: Mar 4, 2026
59.82 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/4/2026, 6:40:00 PM

This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall GXO gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GXO against 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While GXO is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GXO has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. GXO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GXO was profitable.
  • GXO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GXO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GXO had a positive operating cash flow.
GXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • GXO has a Return On Assets of 0.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 1.07%, GXO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.27%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 12.02%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
GXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.24%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GXO has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of GXO (3.23%) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GXO has a Gross Margin (15.09%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GXO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
GXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

2

2. GXO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GXO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GXO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GXO has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • GXO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GXO Yearly Shares OutstandingGXO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • GXO has an Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GXO has a Altman-Z score of 1.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GXO outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GXO would need 27.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GXO (27.86) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.88, GXO is doing worse than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Altman-Z 1.66
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.09%
GXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GXO has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GXO has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GXO has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 82.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
GXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. GXO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GXO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.68%.
  • Measured over the past years, GXO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -4.02% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 12.55% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 16.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.37% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.45% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.12%
EPS Next 2Y16.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y5.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B
GXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

5

4. GXO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GXO.
  • 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • GXO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.03, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.44 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GXO.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GXO is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.11. GXO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.74
Fwd PE 19.44
GXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 62.26
EV/EBITDA 10.42
GXO Per share dataGXO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GXO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • GXO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 16.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. GXO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GXO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GXO LOGISTICS INC

NYSE:GXO (3/4/2026, 6:40:00 PM)

After market: 59.82 0 (0%)

59.82

-1.14 (-1.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners105.61%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change0.38%
Market Cap6.85B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (22.43%)
Short Float %4.88%
Short Ratio4.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)8.79%
PT rev (3m)12.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.74
Fwd PE 19.44
P/S 0.52
P/FCF 62.26
P/OCF 15.78
P/B 2.3
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.42
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY4.21%
EPS(NY)3.08
Fwd EY5.14%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.61%
OCF(TTM)3.79
OCFY6.34%
SpS115.1
BVpS26.05
TBVpS-14.91
PEG (NY)1.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.44
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROCE 5.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROICexc 3.64%
ROICexgc 9.65%
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Debt/EBITDA 2.97
Cap/Depr 70.9%
Cap/Sales 2.46%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 49.21%
Profit Quality 343.75%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 1.66
F-Score7
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y22.12%
EPS Next 2Y16.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y5.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y25.22%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%

GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.


What is the valuation status of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GXO LOGISTICS INC?

The financial health rating of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 22.12% in the next year.