GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013
Current stock price
57.36 USD
-1.26 (-2.15%)
At close:
57.36 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GXO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year GXO was profitable.
- In the past year GXO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GXO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years GXO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.26%, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.07%, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.27%, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 9.36%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of GXO (0.24%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GXO has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.23%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- GXO has a Gross Margin (15.09%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- GXO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% |
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
2. GXO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GXO is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for GXO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for GXO is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.65, we must say that GXO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.65, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GXO would need 27.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- GXO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (27.86) than 69.57% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- GXO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GXO is outperformed by 78.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.12%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GXO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- GXO has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 91.30% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GXO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- GXO has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. GXO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- GXO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.68%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.02% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, GXO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.55% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 16.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.79% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.09%
Revenue Next 2Y6.02%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. GXO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.76, GXO is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- GXO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.79.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.87, GXO is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GXO is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.88, GXO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 82.61% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GXO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GXO is cheaper than 65.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 59.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GXO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
5. GXO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GXO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
57.36
-1.26 (-2.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners105.84%
Inst Owner Change-1.98%
Ins Owners0.32%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap6.58B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts83
Price Target73.24 (27.68%)
Short Float %4.51%
Short Ratio3.63
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.04%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.87 | ||
| P/S | 0.5 | ||
| P/FCF | 59.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.16 | ||
| P/B | 2.21 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.13 |
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY4.39%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY5.3%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.67%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY6.6%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)1.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.3988 (-33.06%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROCE | 5.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.65% | ||
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% | ||
| FCFM | 0.83% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 70.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.32 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 49.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 343.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.65 |
F-Score7
WACC7.12%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.09%
Revenue Next 2Y6.02%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.38%
EBIT Next 3Y32.19%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%
GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GXO.
What is the valuation status for GXO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GXO stock?
GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 22.76 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.21.
What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.