GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013

Current stock price

48.86 USD
-0.78 (-1.57%)
At close:
48.86 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GXO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GXO was profitable.
  • In the past year GXO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years GXO has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years GXO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.26%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.07%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GXO has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.27%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 11.93%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
GXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • GXO's Profit Margin of 0.24% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of GXO (3.23%) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.09%, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GXO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
GXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

2

2. GXO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GXO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GXO has less shares outstanding
  • GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GXO is higher compared to a year ago.
GXO Yearly Shares OutstandingGXO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • GXO has an Altman-Z score of 1.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GXO has a Altman-Z score of 1.58. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GXO outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GXO would need 27.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GXO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GXO (0.88) is worse than 73.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Altman-Z 1.58
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC7%
GXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GXO has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GXO has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, GXO is doing worse than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
GXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

4

3. GXO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GXO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.68%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.02% on average over the past years.
  • GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.55%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 16.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.79% on average per year.
  • GXO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
GXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

6

4. GXO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.39 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GXO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GXO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GXO to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.75), we can say GXO is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.07 indicates a correct valuation of GXO.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GXO is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GXO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say GXO is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.39
Fwd PE 16.07
GXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GXO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • GXO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 50.95
EV/EBITDA 8.96
GXO Per share dataGXO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GXO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of GXO may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%

0

5. GXO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GXO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GXO LOGISTICS INC

NYSE:GXO (3/30/2026, 8:06:18 PM)

After market: 48.86 0 (0%)

48.86

-0.78 (-1.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.78%
Market Cap5.60B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (49.9%)
Short Float %3.94%
Short Ratio3.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.39
Fwd PE 16.07
P/S 0.43
P/FCF 50.95
P/OCF 12.91
P/B 1.88
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.96
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY5.16%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY6.22%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.96%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY7.74%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)0.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROCE 5.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROICexc 3.64%
ROICexgc 9.65%
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Debt/EBITDA 2.97
Cap/Depr 70.9%
Cap/Sales 2.46%
Interest Coverage 3.32
Cash Conversion 49.21%
Profit Quality 343.75%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 1.58
F-Score7
WACC7%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%

GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.


What is the valuation status of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GXO LOGISTICS INC?

The financial health rating of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.