GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013
Current stock price
48.86 USD
-0.78 (-1.57%)
At close:
48.86 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GXO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year GXO was profitable.
- In the past year GXO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years GXO has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years GXO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.26%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.07%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.27%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 11.93%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
1.3 Margins
- GXO's Profit Margin of 0.24% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of GXO (3.23%) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.09%, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% |
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
2. GXO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GXO is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GXO has less shares outstanding
- GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for GXO is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- GXO has an Altman-Z score of 1.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GXO has a Altman-Z score of 1.58. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GXO outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GXO would need 27.86 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- GXO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 27.86. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of GXO (0.88) is worse than 73.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.58 |
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC7%
2.3 Liquidity
- GXO has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GXO has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, GXO is doing worse than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. GXO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- GXO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.68%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.02% on average over the past years.
- GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.55%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 16.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.79% on average per year.
- GXO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. GXO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.39 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GXO.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GXO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GXO to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.75), we can say GXO is valued slightly cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.07 indicates a correct valuation of GXO.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GXO is valued cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GXO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say GXO is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GXO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- GXO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 50.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GXO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of GXO may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
5. GXO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GXO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
48.86
-0.78 (-1.57%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.78%
Market Cap5.60B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (49.9%)
Short Float %3.94%
Short Ratio3.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.07 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | 50.95 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.91 | ||
| P/B | 1.88 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.96 |
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY5.16%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY6.22%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.96%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY7.74%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)0.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROCE | 5.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.65% | ||
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% | ||
| FCFM | 0.83% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 70.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.32 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 49.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 343.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.58 |
F-Score7
WACC7%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%
GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.
What is the valuation status of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GXO LOGISTICS INC?
GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GXO LOGISTICS INC?
The financial health rating of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.