GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013
55.76 USD
-3.33 (-5.64%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
55.76 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:23:40 PM
This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Taking everything into account, GXO scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GXO was compared to 23 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GXO while its profitability can be described as average. GXO is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. GXO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GXO had positive earnings in the past year.
- GXO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years GXO has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years GXO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.26%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of GXO (1.07%) is better than 60.87% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of GXO (3.27%) is better than 60.87% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 12.02%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
1.3 Margins
- GXO has a better Profit Margin (0.24%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- GXO's Operating Margin of 3.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- GXO's Gross Margin of 15.09% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 56.52% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% |
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
2. GXO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GXO is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for GXO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for GXO remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GXO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.65, we must say that GXO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GXO's Altman-Z score of 1.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GXO is 27.86, which is on the high side as it means it would take GXO, 27.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 27.86, GXO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- GXO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88. This is in the lower half of the industry: GXO underperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.07%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GXO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.85, GXO is doing worse than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GXO's Quick ratio of 0.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GXO is outperformed by 82.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. GXO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GXO have decreased by -9.68% in the last year.
- GXO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -4.02% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, GXO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.55% in the last year.
- GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 16.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.37% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.45% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.12%
EPS Next 2Y16.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y5.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. GXO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.13, the valuation of GXO can be described as rather expensive.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.29.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.12, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GXO.
- 78.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- GXO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.12 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GXO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GXO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GXO is cheaper than 65.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 58.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.18 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GXO's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- GXO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 16.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. GXO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GXO!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
55.76
-3.33 (-5.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.38%
Market Cap6.40B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (31.35%)
Short Float %4.88%
Short Ratio4.25
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)8.79%
PT rev (3m)12.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.12 | ||
| P/S | 0.48 | ||
| P/FCF | 58.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.71 | ||
| P/B | 2.14 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.18 |
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY4.52%
EPS(NY)3.08
Fwd EY5.52%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.72%
OCF(TTM)3.79
OCFY6.8%
SpS115.1
BVpS26.05
TBVpS-14.91
PEG (NY)1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.44
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROCE | 5.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.65% | ||
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% | ||
| FCFM | 0.83% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 70.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 49.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 343.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.65 |
F-Score7
WACC7.07%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y22.12%
EPS Next 2Y16.37%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6%
Revenue Next 2Y6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y5.67%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y25.22%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%
GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.
What is the valuation status of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GXO LOGISTICS INC?
GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GXO LOGISTICS INC?
The financial health rating of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 22.12% in the next year.