GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013

Current stock price

49.64 USD
-2.08 (-4.02%)
At close:
49.64 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GXO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GXO was profitable.
  • In the past year GXO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years GXO has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GXO had a positive operating cash flow.
GXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • GXO has a Return On Assets of 0.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a better Return On Equity (1.07%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Return On Invested Capital of 3.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 11.93%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
GXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • GXO has a better Profit Margin (0.24%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • GXO's Operating Margin of 3.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 15.09%, GXO is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GXO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
GXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

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2

2. GXO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GXO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • GXO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • GXO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GXO Yearly Shares OutstandingGXO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • GXO has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of GXO (1.60) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GXO is 27.86, which is on the high side as it means it would take GXO, 27.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GXO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (27.86) than 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.88, GXO is doing worse than 73.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC7%
GXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GXO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GXO's Current ratio of 0.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GXO is outperformed by 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GXO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, GXO is doing worse than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
GXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. GXO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GXO have decreased by -9.68% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, GXO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -4.02% on average per year.
  • GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.55%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 16.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%

3.2 Future

  • GXO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.79% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.00% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
GXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

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6

4. GXO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GXO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.70.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GXO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.33, which indicates a correct valuation of GXO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GXO indicates a rather cheap valuation: GXO is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.51. GXO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.7
Fwd PE 16.33
GXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 78.26% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • GXO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 51.77
EV/EBITDA 9.23
GXO Per share dataGXO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GXO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GXO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GXO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GXO LOGISTICS INC

NYSE:GXO (3/27/2026, 4:15:00 PM)

After market: 49.64 0 (0%)

49.64

-2.08 (-4.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.78%
Market Cap5.69B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (47.54%)
Short Float %3.94%
Short Ratio3.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)8.79%
PT rev (3m)12.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.9%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.22%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.7
Fwd PE 16.33
P/S 0.43
P/FCF 51.77
P/OCF 13.12
P/B 1.91
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.23
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY5.08%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY6.12%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.93%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY7.62%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROCE 5.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROICexc 3.64%
ROICexgc 9.65%
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Debt/EBITDA 2.97
Cap/Depr 70.9%
Cap/Sales 2.46%
Interest Coverage 3.32
Cash Conversion 49.21%
Profit Quality 343.75%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score7
WACC7%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%

GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.


What is the valuation status of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GXO LOGISTICS INC?

The financial health rating of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.