GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013
Current stock price
53.48 USD
+1.63 (+3.14%)
At close:
53.48 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GXO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GXO had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GXO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GXO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years GXO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- GXO's Return On Assets of 0.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Return On Equity of 1.07% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.27%. This is in the better half of the industry: GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
- GXO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.30%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.93%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
1.3 Margins
- GXO's Profit Margin of 0.24% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
- GXO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.23%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GXO has grown nicely.
- GXO has a Gross Margin of 15.09%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GXO outperforms 56.52% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GXO has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% |
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
2. GXO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- GXO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for GXO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GXO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that GXO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GXO has a Altman-Z score (1.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GXO is 27.86, which is on the high side as it means it would take GXO, 27.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- GXO's Debt to FCF ratio of 27.86 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88. This is a neutral value indicating GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- GXO's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GXO is outperformed by 73.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.06%
2.3 Liquidity
- GXO has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GXO has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
- GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GXO has a worse Quick ratio (0.85) than 82.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. GXO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GXO have decreased by -9.68% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.02% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has grown by 12.55% in the past year. This is quite good.
- GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 16.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.79% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.00% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. GXO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.22, GXO is valued on the expensive side.
- GXO's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- GXO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.58, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.59, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GXO.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GXO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- GXO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GXO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 55.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.25 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- GXO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
5. GXO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- GXO does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
53.48
+1.63 (+3.14%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change11.7%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.78%
Market Cap6.13B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts84
Price Target73.24 (36.95%)
Short Float %4.3%
Short Ratio3.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.59 | ||
| P/S | 0.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 55.77 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.14 | ||
| P/B | 2.06 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.25 |
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY4.71%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY5.68%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.79%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY7.07%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.26% | ||
| ROE | 1.07% | ||
| ROCE | 5.07% | ||
| ROIC | 3.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.65% | ||
| OM | 3.23% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.24% | ||
| GM | 15.09% | ||
| FCFM | 0.83% |
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 27.86 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 70.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.32 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 49.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 343.75% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score7
WACC7.06%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%
GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.
What is the valuation status for GXO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GXO stock?
GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 21.22 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.06.
What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.