GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GXO • US36262G1013

Current stock price

53.27 USD
+0.25 (+0.47%)
At close:
53.27 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GXO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GXO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GXO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GXO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GXO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years GXO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGXO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • GXO has a better Return On Assets (0.26%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 1.07%, GXO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.27%, GXO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GXO is significantly below the industry average of 11.93%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
GXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGXO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

  • GXO has a better Profit Margin (0.24%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GXO has declined.
  • GXO's Operating Margin of 3.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GXO outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • GXO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of GXO (15.09%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GXO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
GXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGXO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

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2

2. GXO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GXO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GXO has less shares outstanding
  • GXO has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GXO is higher compared to a year ago.
GXO Yearly Shares OutstandingGXO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGXO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.61, we must say that GXO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of GXO (1.61) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GXO is 27.86, which is on the high side as it means it would take GXO, 27.86 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GXO (27.86) is better than 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that GXO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.88, GXO is not doing good in the industry: 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Altman-Z 1.61
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.05%
GXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGXO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GXO has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GXO has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GXO underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • GXO has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that GXO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GXO has a worse Quick ratio (0.85) than 82.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
GXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGXO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. GXO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GXO have decreased by -9.68% in the last year.
  • GXO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -4.02% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 12.55% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • GXO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 16.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%

3.2 Future

  • GXO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.79% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GXO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGXO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
GXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGXO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

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5

4. GXO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.14, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GXO.
  • 69.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GXO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • GXO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.21.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.52, the valuation of GXO can be described as rather expensive.
  • GXO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GXO is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.10, GXO is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.14
Fwd PE 17.52
GXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGXO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GXO is valued a bit cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 55.55
EV/EBITDA 9.43
GXO Per share dataGXO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • GXO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GXO's earnings are expected to grow with 18.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GXO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for GXO!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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GXO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GXO LOGISTICS INC

NYSE:GXO (4/7/2026, 9:41:21 PM)

After market: 53.27 0 (0%)

53.27

+0.25 (+0.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners105.82%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.8%
Market Cap6.11B
Revenue(TTM)13.18B
Net Income(TTM)32.00M
Analysts83
Price Target73.24 (37.49%)
Short Float %4.3%
Short Ratio3.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(2)2.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.97%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.29%
Max EPS beat(4)13.25%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)5.23%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)6.48%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.45%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.4%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.81%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)11.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.14
Fwd PE 17.52
P/S 0.46
P/FCF 55.55
P/OCF 14.08
P/B 2.05
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.43
EPS(TTM)2.52
EY4.73%
EPS(NY)3.04
Fwd EY5.71%
FCF(TTM)0.96
FCFY1.8%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY7.1%
SpS114.88
BVpS26
TBVpS-14.88
PEG (NY)1.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.26%
ROE 1.07%
ROCE 5.07%
ROIC 3.27%
ROICexc 3.64%
ROICexgc 9.65%
OM 3.23%
PM (TTM) 0.24%
GM 15.09%
FCFM 0.83%
ROA(3y)1.29%
ROA(5y)1.62%
ROE(3y)4.47%
ROE(5y)5.47%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)3.29%
ROICexc(3y)3.57%
ROICexc(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc(3y)8.63%
ROICexgc(5y)8.08%
ROCE(3y)5.12%
ROCE(5y)5.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.07%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.41%
OM growth 3Y-4.69%
OM growth 5Y16.78%
PM growth 3Y-51.96%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.34%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 27.86
Debt/EBITDA 2.97
Cap/Depr 70.9%
Cap/Sales 2.46%
Interest Coverage 3.32
Cash Conversion 49.21%
Profit Quality 343.75%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 1.61
F-Score7
WACC7.05%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)77.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.06%
Profit Quality(3y)203.19%
Profit Quality(5y)169.01%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-13%
EPS Next Y20.63%
EPS Next 2Y17.51%
EPS Next 3Y18.79%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.55%
Revenue growth 3Y13.58%
Revenue growth 5Y16.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.91%
Revenue Next Year6.1%
Revenue Next 2Y6.03%
Revenue Next 3Y5.55%
Revenue Next 5Y6%
EBIT growth 1Y11.84%
EBIT growth 3Y8.26%
EBIT growth 5Y35.81%
EBIT Next Year92.48%
EBIT Next 3Y32.77%
EBIT Next 5Y21.53%
FCF growth 1Y-42.11%
FCF growth 3Y-18.07%
FCF growth 5Y-0.18%
OCF growth 1Y-20.95%
OCF growth 3Y-7.14%
OCF growth 5Y5.44%

GXO LOGISTICS INC / GXO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GXO LOGISTICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GXO.


What is the valuation status for GXO stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of GXO stock?

GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is 21.14 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.05.


What is the expected EPS growth for GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GXO LOGISTICS INC (GXO) is expected to grow by 20.63% in the next year.