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GSE SYSTEMS INC (GVP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GVP - Nasdaq - US36227K2050 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

4.59  -0.01 (-0.22%)

After market: 4.59 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GVP. GVP was compared to 285 industry peers in the Software industry. While GVP seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. GVP is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GVP has reported negative net income.
GVP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GVP reported 4 times negative net income.
Of the past 5 years GVP 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
GVP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGVP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5M -5M 10M -10M -15M

1.2 Ratios

GVP has a worse Return On Assets (-35.03%) than 80.78% of its industry peers.
GVP's Return On Equity of -256.63% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GVP is outperformed by 83.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -35.03%
ROE -256.63%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-22.99%
ROA(5y)-23.31%
ROE(3y)-89.07%
ROE(5y)-85.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GVP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGVP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

GVP has a Gross Margin of 29.50%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GVP underperforms 80.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GVP has remained more or less at the same level.
GVP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.5%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y1.1%
GVP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGVP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GVP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, GVP has more shares outstanding
GVP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GVP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GVP Yearly Shares OutstandingGVP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1M 2M 3M
GVP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGVP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M

2.2 Solvency

GVP has an Altman-Z score of -3.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GVP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GVP's Altman-Z score of -3.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GVP is outperformed by 83.63% of its industry peers.
GVP has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.63
Altman-Z -3.69
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC13.54%
GVP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGVP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M 20M 30M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GVP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GVP's Current ratio of 0.67 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GVP is outperformed by 88.26% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GVP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GVP has a worse Quick ratio (0.67) than 87.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
GVP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGVP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 62.79% over the past year.
GVP shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.58%.
Measured over the past years, GVP shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -13.36% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.58%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.88%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.36%
Sales Q2Q%-5.34%

3.2 Future

GVP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 35.49% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.76% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y50.42%
EPS Next 2Y35.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year23.4%
Revenue Next 2Y16.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GVP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGVP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
GVP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGVP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2 -4 -6

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GVP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year GVP is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
GVP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGVP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GVP indicates a rather cheap valuation: GVP is cheaper than 97.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.36
EV/EBITDA N/A
GVP Per share dataGVP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GVP's earnings are expected to grow with 35.49% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GVP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GSE SYSTEMS INC

NASDAQ:GVP (10/31/2024, 8:09:51 PM)

After market: 4.59 0 (0%)

4.59

-0.01 (-0.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)08-12 2024-08-12/amc
Earnings (Next)11-12 2024-11-12/amc
Inst Owners11.96%
Inst Owner Change-81.63%
Ins Owners125.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap15.93M
Analysts80
Price Target13.26 (188.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-14.88%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)-13.48%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-13.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)-7.96%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.36
P/FCF 8.36
P/OCF 6.29
P/B 5.74
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-2.53
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.59
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.55
FCFY11.97%
OCF(TTM)0.73
OCFY15.9%
SpS12.91
BVpS0.8
TBVpS-1.12
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -35.03%
ROE -256.63%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 29.5%
FCFM 4.26%
ROA(3y)-22.99%
ROA(5y)-23.31%
ROE(3y)-89.07%
ROE(5y)-85.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y1.1%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.2
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.63
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 66.56%
Cap/Sales 1.4%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
Altman-Z -3.69
F-Score6
WACC13.54%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)49.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.65%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.08%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.79%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.72%
EPS Next Y50.42%
EPS Next 2Y35.49%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.58%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.88%
Revenue growth 5Y-13.36%
Sales Q2Q%-5.34%
Revenue Next Year23.4%
Revenue Next 2Y16.76%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y50.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year58%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-3.25%
FCF growth 3Y4.61%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-3.32%
OCF growth 3Y11.65%
OCF growth 5YN/A