GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GTN • US3893751061

Current stock price

5.675 USD
+0.08 (+1.34%)
Last:

This GTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. GTN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GTN has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year GTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GTN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years GTN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of -1.31%, GTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN has a Return On Equity of -4.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: GTN outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 3.37%, GTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.37%. This is below the industry average of 7.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROIC 3.37%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
GTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • GTN has a Operating Margin of 14.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GTN outperforms 81.32% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GTN has declined.
  • GTN has a worse Gross Margin (24.59%) than 67.03% of its industry peers.
  • GTN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
GTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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3

2. GTN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GTN is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GTN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • GTN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GTN is higher compared to a year ago.
GTN Yearly Shares OutstandingGTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.66, we must say that GTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GTN has a Altman-Z score of 0.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GTN outperforms 48.35% of its industry peers.
  • GTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 31.73. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GTN would need 31.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GTN has a better Debt to FCF ratio (31.73) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • GTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GTN (2.05) is worse than 63.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Altman-Z 0.66
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC6.25%
GTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.27 indicates that GTN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GTN has a Current ratio (1.27) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GTN has a Quick Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.27, GTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.65% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
GTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GTN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -133.33%.
  • Looking at the last year, GTN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.07% in the last year.
  • GTN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%

3.2 Future

  • GTN is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 64.03% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.57% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y314.51%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3 4

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6

4. GTN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GTN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 2.34, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GTN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GTN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.80% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.29. GTN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 2.34
GTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 72.53% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 94.51% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.22
EV/EBITDA 8.47
GTN Per share dataGTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 -40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GTN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GTN's earnings are expected to grow with 64.03% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. GTN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.61%, which is a nice return.
  • GTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.07. GTN pays more dividend than 93.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.61%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GTN grows each year by 9.60%, which is quite nice.
  • GTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
GTN Yearly Dividends per shareGTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of GTN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. GTN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • GTN's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-62.04%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
GTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

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GTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAY MEDIA INC

NYSE:GTN (4/27/2026, 3:48:32 PM)

5.675

+0.08 (+1.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners86.63%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners6.28%
Ins Owner Change10.45%
Market Cap583.28M
Revenue(TTM)3.10B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target7.24 (27.58%)
Short Float %6.58%
Short Ratio3.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.61%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
DP-62.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.88%
Min EPS beat(2)26.32%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)68.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)25.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)10.94%
PT rev (3m)10.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-107.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-145.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 2.34
P/S 0.19
P/FCF 3.22
P/OCF 2.02
P/B 0.21
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.47
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.42
Fwd EY42.71%
FCF(TTM)1.76
FCFY31.03%
OCF(TTM)2.81
OCFY49.55%
SpS30.11
BVpS27.29
TBVpS-51.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROCE 4.42%
ROIC 3.37%
ROICexc 3.5%
ROICexgc 23.11%
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
FCFM 5.85%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
ROICexc(3y)4.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.7%
ROICexgc(3y)26.9%
ROICexgc(5y)27.2%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.73%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.72%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Debt/EBITDA 8.17
Cap/Depr 40.91%
Cap/Sales 3.49%
Interest Coverage 1.12
Cash Conversion 41.11%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
Altman-Z 0.66
F-Score3
WACC6.25%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)60.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)75.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y314.51%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.51%
EBIT Next Year188.46%
EBIT Next 3Y42.74%
EBIT Next 5Y16.43%
FCF growth 1Y-70.23%
FCF growth 3Y-22.77%
FCF growth 5Y-19.7%
OCF growth 1Y-61.52%
OCF growth 3Y-29.62%
OCF growth 5Y-15.02%

GRAY MEDIA INC / GTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GTN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.


What is the valuation status of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is expected to grow by 314.51% in the next year.


Is the dividend of GRAY MEDIA INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -62.04%.