GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:GTN • US3893751061
Current stock price
4.62 USD
-0.01 (-0.22%)
At close:
4.71 USD
+0.09 (+1.95%)
After Hours:
This GTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GTN had negative earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years GTN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- GTN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -1.31%, GTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -4.88%, GTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.37%, GTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GTN is below the industry average of 6.77%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.31% | ||
| ROE | -4.88% | ||
| ROIC | 3.37% |
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
1.3 Margins
- GTN has a Operating Margin of 14.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GTN outperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
- GTN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 24.59%, GTN is not doing good in the industry: 67.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GTN has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.59% |
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
2. GTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GTN is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GTN has more shares outstanding
- GTN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- GTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.65, we must say that GTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GTN's Altman-Z score of 0.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 48.91% of its industry peers.
- GTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 31.73. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GTN would need 31.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 31.73, GTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- GTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- GTN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.05) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.55
WACC6.1%
2.3 Liquidity
- GTN has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of GTN (1.27) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- GTN has a Quick Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GTN has a Quick ratio of 1.27. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GTN outperforms 54.35% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.27 |
3. GTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- GTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -133.33%.
- GTN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.07%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
3.2 Future
- GTN is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 61.10% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GTN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.25% on average per year.
EPS Next Y316.08%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year12.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.35%
Revenue Next 3Y4.22%
Revenue Next 5Y0.25%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. GTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GTN. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1.89, the valuation of GTN can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GTN is valued cheaper than 97.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- GTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 1.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GTN is valued a bit cheaper than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GTN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GTN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- GTN's earnings are expected to grow with 61.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
5. GTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.61%, GTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- GTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.14. GTN pays more dividend than 93.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, GTN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.61% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of GTN grows each year by 9.60%, which is quite nice.
- GTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- GTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- GTN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
- The dividend of GTN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-62.04%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
GTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
4.62
-0.01 (-0.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners85.88%
Inst Owner Change1.06%
Ins Owners6.85%
Ins Owner Change11.01%
Market Cap479.46M
Revenue(TTM)3.10B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target6.53 (41.34%)
Short Float %5.77%
Short Ratio3.36
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.61% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
DP-62.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.08)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.88%
Min EPS beat(2)26.32%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)68.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)25.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)55.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 1.89 | ||
| P/S | 0.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.66 | ||
| P/B | 0.17 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.33 |
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.44
Fwd EY52.85%
FCF(TTM)1.74
FCFY37.75%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY60.28%
SpS29.82
BVpS27.03
TBVpS-51.1
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.31% | ||
| ROE | -4.88% | ||
| ROCE | 4.42% | ||
| ROIC | 3.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 23.11% | ||
| OM | 14.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.59% | ||
| FCFM | 5.85% |
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
ROICexc(3y)4.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.7%
ROICexgc(3y)26.9%
ROICexgc(5y)27.2%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.73%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.72%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.73 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 40.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.12 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.65 |
F-Score3
WACC6.1%
ROIC/WACC0.55
Cap/Depr(3y)60.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)75.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y316.08%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
Revenue Next Year12.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.35%
Revenue Next 3Y4.22%
Revenue Next 5Y0.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.51%
EBIT Next Year190.04%
EBIT Next 3Y42.74%
EBIT Next 5Y16.22%
FCF growth 1Y-70.23%
FCF growth 3Y-22.77%
FCF growth 5Y-19.7%
OCF growth 1Y-61.52%
OCF growth 3Y-29.62%
OCF growth 5Y-15.02%
GRAY MEDIA INC / GTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GTN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.
What is the valuation status of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GTN stock?
GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is GRAY MEDIA INC?
The financial health rating of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is 2 / 10.