GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GTN • US3893751061

Current stock price

5.76 USD
+0.1 (+1.77%)
At close:
5.76 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. GTN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GTN had negative earnings in the past year.
  • GTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: GTN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • GTN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • GTN's Return On Assets of -1.31% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 64.84% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -4.88%, GTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN's Return On Invested Capital of 3.37% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 64.84% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GTN is below the industry average of 7.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROIC 3.37%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
GTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 14.18%, GTN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 24.59%, GTN is doing worse than 67.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
GTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. GTN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GTN is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GTN has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GTN has more shares outstanding
  • GTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GTN Yearly Shares OutstandingGTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.66, we must say that GTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GTN has a Altman-Z score (0.66) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 31.73. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GTN would need 31.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GTN's Debt to FCF ratio of 31.73 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • GTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GTN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.05) than 63.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Altman-Z 0.66
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC6.28%
GTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GTN has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GTN has a Current ratio of 1.27. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GTN outperforms 50.55% of its industry peers.
  • GTN has a Quick Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GTN's Quick ratio of 1.27 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 51.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
GTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GTN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -133.33%.
  • The Revenue for GTN has decreased by -15.07% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 64.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • GTN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y314.51%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3 4

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6

4. GTN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GTN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • GTN is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.38.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GTN is valued cheaper than 97.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.99, GTN is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 2.38
GTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GTN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GTN is cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 94.51% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.27
EV/EBITDA 8.47
GTN Per share dataGTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 -40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GTN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GTN's earnings are expected to grow with 64.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. GTN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.61%, GTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.07. GTN pays more dividend than 93.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, GTN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.61%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GTN grows each year by 9.60%, which is quite nice.
  • GTN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • GTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
GTN Yearly Dividends per shareGTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • The earnings of GTN are negative and hence is the payout ratio. GTN will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
  • The dividend of GTN is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-62.04%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
GTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

More info and screens

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GTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAY MEDIA INC

NYSE:GTN (4/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM)

After market: 5.76 0 (0%)

5.76

+0.1 (+1.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners86.63%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners6.28%
Ins Owner Change10.45%
Market Cap592.01M
Revenue(TTM)3.10B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target7.24 (25.69%)
Short Float %5.44%
Short Ratio3.3
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.61%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
DP-62.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.88%
Min EPS beat(2)26.32%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)68.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)25.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)10.94%
PT rev (3m)10.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-107.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-145.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 2.38
P/S 0.19
P/FCF 3.27
P/OCF 2.05
P/B 0.21
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.47
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.42
Fwd EY42.08%
FCF(TTM)1.76
FCFY30.57%
OCF(TTM)2.81
OCFY48.82%
SpS30.11
BVpS27.29
TBVpS-51.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROCE 4.42%
ROIC 3.37%
ROICexc 3.5%
ROICexgc 23.11%
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
FCFM 5.85%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
ROICexc(3y)4.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.7%
ROICexgc(3y)26.9%
ROICexgc(5y)27.2%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.73%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.72%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Debt/EBITDA 8.17
Cap/Depr 40.91%
Cap/Sales 3.49%
Interest Coverage 1.12
Cash Conversion 41.11%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
Altman-Z 0.66
F-Score3
WACC6.28%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)60.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)75.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y314.51%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.51%
EBIT Next Year188.46%
EBIT Next 3Y42.74%
EBIT Next 5Y16.43%
FCF growth 1Y-70.23%
FCF growth 3Y-22.77%
FCF growth 5Y-19.7%
OCF growth 1Y-61.52%
OCF growth 3Y-29.62%
OCF growth 5Y-15.02%

GRAY MEDIA INC / GTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GTN stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.


What is the valuation status of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is expected to grow by 314.51% in the next year.


Is the dividend of GRAY MEDIA INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -62.04%.