GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:GTN • US3893751061
Current stock price
5.66 USD
+0.02 (+0.35%)
At close:
5.6 USD
-0.06 (-1.06%)
After Hours:
This GTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GTN had negative earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years GTN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- GTN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- GTN has a better Return On Assets (-1.31%) than 64.84% of its industry peers.
- GTN has a Return On Equity of -4.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: GTN outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
- GTN's Return On Invested Capital of 3.37% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GTN outperforms 64.84% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GTN is below the industry average of 7.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.31% | ||
| ROE | -4.88% | ||
| ROIC | 3.37% |
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
1.3 Margins
- GTN's Operating Margin of 14.18% is amongst the best of the industry. GTN outperforms 81.32% of its industry peers.
- GTN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- GTN has a worse Gross Margin (24.59%) than 67.03% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GTN has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.59% |
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
2. GTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GTN is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for GTN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- GTN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- GTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.66, we must say that GTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.66, GTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- GTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 31.73. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GTN would need 31.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 31.73, GTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05 is on the high side and indicates that GTN has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.05, GTN is doing worse than 63.74% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.66 |
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC6.27%
2.3 Liquidity
- GTN has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of GTN (1.27) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.27 indicates that GTN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of GTN (1.27) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.27 |
3. GTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- GTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -133.33%.
- Looking at the last year, GTN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.07% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, GTN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GTN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 64.03% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GTN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y314.51%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. GTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- GTN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
- GTN is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.33.
- GTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GTN is cheaper than 97.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36, GTN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 2.33 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GTN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GTN is cheaper than 72.53% of the companies in the same industry.
- GTN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GTN is cheaper than 94.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GTN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- GTN's earnings are expected to grow with 64.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
5. GTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.61%, GTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.07, GTN pays a better dividend. On top of this GTN pays more dividend than 93.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, GTN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.61% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of GTN grows each year by 9.60%, which is quite nice.
- GTN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- GTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- GTN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
- GTN's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-62.04%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
GTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
5.66
+0.02 (+0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Industry Strength77.64
Industry Growth6.21
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners86.63%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners6.28%
Ins Owner Change10.45%
Market Cap581.73M
Revenue(TTM)3.10B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target7.24 (27.92%)
Short Float %5.44%
Short Ratio3.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.61% |
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
DP-62.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-13 2026-03-13 (0.08)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.88%
Min EPS beat(2)26.32%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)68.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)25.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)10.94%
PT rev (3m)10.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-107.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-145.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.91%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.57%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 2.33 | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.21 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.01 | ||
| P/B | 0.21 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.47 |
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.42
Fwd EY42.83%
FCF(TTM)1.76
FCFY31.11%
OCF(TTM)2.81
OCFY49.68%
SpS30.11
BVpS27.29
TBVpS-51.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.31% | ||
| ROE | -4.88% | ||
| ROCE | 4.42% | ||
| ROIC | 3.37% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 23.11% | ||
| OM | 14.18% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 24.59% | ||
| FCFM | 5.85% |
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
ROICexc(3y)4.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.7%
ROICexgc(3y)26.9%
ROICexgc(5y)27.2%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.73%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.72%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.73 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 40.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.12 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 41.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.66 |
F-Score3
WACC6.27%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)60.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)75.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y314.51%
EPS Next 2Y26.87%
EPS Next 3Y64.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.51%
EBIT Next Year188.46%
EBIT Next 3Y42.74%
EBIT Next 5Y16.43%
FCF growth 1Y-70.23%
FCF growth 3Y-22.77%
FCF growth 5Y-19.7%
OCF growth 1Y-61.52%
OCF growth 3Y-29.62%
OCF growth 5Y-15.02%
GRAY MEDIA INC / GTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GTN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.
What is the valuation status of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?
GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is expected to grow by 314.51% in the next year.
Is the dividend of GRAY MEDIA INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GRAY MEDIA INC (GTN) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -62.04%.