GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GTN.A - US3893752051 - Common Stock
9.81 USD
-0.46 (-4.48%)
9.6 USD
-0.21 (-2.14%)
Taking everything into account, GTN.A scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GTN.A was compared to 94 industry peers in the Media industry. GTN.A has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GTN.A has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GTN.A was profitable.
GTN.A had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GTN.A had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GTN.A always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.41%, GTN.A is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.50%, GTN.A is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.83% of the companies in the same industry.
GTN.A has a better Return On Invested Capital (4.86%) than 65.96% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GTN.A is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.41% | ||
| ROE | 1.5% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)2.1%
ROE(3y)6.9%
ROE(5y)7.44%
ROIC(3y)5.68%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
1.3 Margins
GTN.A has a Profit Margin of 1.25%. This is in the better half of the industry: GTN.A outperforms 63.83% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GTN.A has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 18.67%, GTN.A belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
GTN.A's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GTN.A (29.27%) is worse than 65.96% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GTN.A has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.67% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.25% | ||
| GM | 29.27% |
OM growth 3Y10.89%
OM growth 5Y0.17%
PM growth 3Y77.88%
PM growth 5Y8.17%
GM growth 3Y0.85%
GM growth 5Y-1.16%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GTN.A is destroying value.
GTN.A has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GTN.A has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GTN.A has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.77, we must say that GTN.A is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GTN.A's Altman-Z score of 0.77 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GTN.A outperforms 48.94% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GTN.A is 12.75, which is on the high side as it means it would take GTN.A, 12.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 12.75, GTN.A perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.57% of the companies in the same industry.
GTN.A has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GTN.A has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.00) than 69.15% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC6.65%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.93 indicates that GTN.A may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GTN.A has a Current ratio of 0.93. This is in the lower half of the industry: GTN.A underperforms 62.77% of its industry peers.
GTN.A has a Quick Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that GTN.A is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.93, GTN.A is not doing good in the industry: 60.64% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GTN.A shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -50.33%.
GTN.A shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 21.70% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GTN.A shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.32% in the last year.
GTN.A shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.42% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.33%
EPS 3Y46.87%
EPS 5Y21.7%
EPS Q2Q%-127.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.32%
Revenue growth 3Y14.73%
Revenue growth 5Y11.42%
Sales Q2Q%-21.16%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GTN.A will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -28.41% on average per year.
GTN.A is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y-136.2%
EPS Next 2Y-13.47%
EPS Next 3Y-28.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-14.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GTN.A is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.08.
76.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN.A, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
GTN.A's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.57.
GTN.A is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 3.86.
GTN.A's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GTN.A is cheaper than 94.68% of the companies in the same industry.
GTN.A's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GTN.A's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GTN.A is cheaper than 73.40% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GTN.A is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GTN.A may justify a higher PE ratio.
GTN.A's earnings are expected to decrease with -28.41% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.6
EPS Next 2Y-13.47%
EPS Next 3Y-28.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GTN.A has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.40%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.22, GTN.A pays a better dividend. On top of this GTN.A pays more dividend than 95.74% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, GTN.A pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.4% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GTN.A is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.86%!
GTN.A has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GTN.A has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.86%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
GTN.A pays out 200.00% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GTN.A's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP200%
EPS Next 2Y-13.47%
EPS Next 3Y-28.41%
9.81
-0.46 (-4.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.6%
Inst Owner Change23.8%
Ins Owners5.78%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.00B
Revenue(TTM)3.35B
Net Income(TTM)42.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target12.85 (30.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.4% |
Yearly Dividend0.86
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.86%
DP200%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)15.65%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)29.05%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)59.81%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)30.44%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)22.35%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.2%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.99%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.39%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.07%
PT rev (1m)13.26%
PT rev (3m)21.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-129.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-100.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.55%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.08 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.86 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.84 | ||
| P/B | 0.36 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.21 |
EPS(TTM)0.75
EY7.65%
EPS(NY)2.54
Fwd EY25.88%
FCF(TTM)4.31
FCFY43.93%
OCF(TTM)5.34
OCFY54.42%
SpS32.79
BVpS27.51
TBVpS-52.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.6
Graham Number21.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.41% | ||
| ROE | 1.5% | ||
| ROCE | 6.38% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 32.01% | ||
| OM | 18.67% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.25% | ||
| GM | 29.27% | ||
| FCFM | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)1.82%
ROA(5y)2.1%
ROE(3y)6.9%
ROE(5y)7.44%
ROIC(3y)5.68%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
ROICexc(3y)5.72%
ROICexc(5y)5.89%
ROICexgc(3y)32.02%
ROICexgc(5y)33.23%
ROCE(3y)7.45%
ROCE(5y)7.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y30.28%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y29.97%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.69%
OM growth 3Y10.89%
OM growth 5Y0.17%
PM growth 3Y77.88%
PM growth 5Y8.17%
GM growth 3Y0.85%
GM growth 5Y-1.16%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 38.46% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.14% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 60.69% | ||
| Profit Quality | 1047.62% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
F-Score4
WACC6.65%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)84.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.04%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.92%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50.33%
EPS 3Y46.87%
EPS 5Y21.7%
EPS Q2Q%-127.59%
EPS Next Y-136.2%
EPS Next 2Y-13.47%
EPS Next 3Y-28.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.32%
Revenue growth 3Y14.73%
Revenue growth 5Y11.42%
Sales Q2Q%-21.16%
Revenue Next Year-14.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-4.58%
EBIT growth 3Y27.22%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year-22.88%
EBIT Next 3Y-6.27%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y18.28%
FCF growth 3Y86.99%
FCF growth 5Y17.2%
OCF growth 1Y-31.7%
OCF growth 3Y35.78%
OCF growth 5Y14.3%
GRAY MEDIA INC-A / GTN.A FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GRAY MEDIA INC-A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.A.
What is the valuation status of GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of GTN.A stock?
GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GRAY MEDIA INC-A?
The financial health rating of GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for GTN.A stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) is expected to decline by -136.2% in the next year.