GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GTN.A • US3893752051

Current stock price

12.52 USD
-0.42 (-3.25%)
Last:

This GTN.A fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. GTN.A Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GTN.A had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GTN.A had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years GTN.A reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GTN.A had a positive operating cash flow.
GTN.A Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGTN.A Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • GTN.A has a Return On Assets of -1.31%. This is in the better half of the industry: GTN.A outperforms 63.04% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of -4.88%, GTN.A is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.37%, GTN.A is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GTN.A is below the industry average of 6.70%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROIC 3.37%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
GTN.A Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGTN.A Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Operating Margin of GTN.A (14.18%) is better than 80.43% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GTN.A has declined.
  • GTN.A has a Gross Margin of 24.59%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GTN.A underperforms 68.48% of its industry peers.
  • GTN.A's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
GTN.A Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGTN.A Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

2

2. GTN.A Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GTN.A is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GTN.A has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GTN.A has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for GTN.A is higher compared to a year ago.
GTN.A Yearly Shares OutstandingGTN.A Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GTN.A Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGTN.A Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.72, we must say that GTN.A is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GTN.A has a Altman-Z score (0.72) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GTN.A is 31.73, which is on the high side as it means it would take GTN.A, 31.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 31.73, GTN.A perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN.A has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.05, GTN.A is not doing good in the industry: 66.30% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Altman-Z 0.72
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC7.27%
GTN.A Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGTN.A Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GTN.A has a Current Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN.A is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GTN.A has a Current ratio (1.27) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GTN.A has a Quick Ratio of 1.27. This is a normal value and indicates that GTN.A is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GTN.A has a Quick ratio (1.27) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
GTN.A Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGTN.A Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

3

3. GTN.A Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GTN.A have decreased strongly by -133.33% in the last year.
  • The Revenue for GTN.A has decreased by -15.07% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%

3.2 Future

  • GTN.A is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 61.10% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y316.08%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.25%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GTN.A Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGTN.A Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
GTN.A Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGTN.A Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3 4

6

4. GTN.A Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GTN.A. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • GTN.A is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.13.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GTN.A is valued cheaper than 85.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.42. GTN.A is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.13
GTN.A Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGTN.A Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 61.96% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GTN.A, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GTN.A indicates a rather cheap valuation: GTN.A is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.18
EV/EBITDA 9.56
GTN.A Per share dataGTN.A EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 -40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GTN.A's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GTN.A's earnings are expected to grow with 61.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%

7

5. GTN.A Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.29%, GTN.A is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GTN.A's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.22. GTN.A pays more dividend than 94.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GTN.A's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GTN.A grows each year by 9.60%, which is quite nice.
  • GTN.A has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GTN.A has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
GTN.A Yearly Dividends per shareGTN.A Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • GTN.A has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
  • The dividend of GTN.A is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP-62.04%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
GTN.A Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGTN.A Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M

GTN.A Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GRAY MEDIA INC-A

NYSE:GTN.A (3/23/2026, 4:15:00 PM)

12.52

-0.42 (-3.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners85.88%
Inst Owner Change-1.04%
Ins Owners6.85%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.30B
Revenue(TTM)3.10B
Net Income(TTM)-137.00M
Analysts77.78
Price Target15.59 (24.52%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.6%
DP-62.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.88%
Min EPS beat(2)26.32%
Max EPS beat(2)49.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)28.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.14%
Max EPS beat(4)55%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)68.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)25.03%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.91%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.49%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.45%
PT rev (1m)-26.31%
PT rev (3m)21.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-18.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 5.13
P/S 0.42
P/FCF 7.18
P/OCF 4.5
P/B 0.46
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.56
EPS(TTM)-1.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)2.44
Fwd EY19.5%
FCF(TTM)1.74
FCFY13.93%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY22.24%
SpS29.82
BVpS27.03
TBVpS-51.1
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.31%
ROE -4.88%
ROCE 4.42%
ROIC 3.37%
ROICexc 3.5%
ROICexgc 23.11%
OM 14.18%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 24.59%
FCFM 5.85%
ROA(3y)0.18%
ROA(5y)0.9%
ROE(3y)0.41%
ROE(5y)3.48%
ROIC(3y)4.37%
ROIC(5y)4.64%
ROICexc(3y)4.45%
ROICexc(5y)4.7%
ROICexgc(3y)26.9%
ROICexgc(5y)27.2%
ROCE(3y)5.74%
ROCE(5y)6.09%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.38%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.01%
ROICexc growth 3Y-22.73%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.72%
OM growth 3Y-21.16%
OM growth 5Y-16.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-14.26%
GM growth 5Y-11.33%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.05
Debt/FCF 31.73
Debt/EBITDA 8.17
Cap/Depr 40.91%
Cap/Sales 3.49%
Interest Coverage 1.12
Cash Conversion 41.11%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.27
Quick Ratio 1.27
Altman-Z 0.72
F-Score3
WACC7.27%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)60.54%
Cap/Depr(5y)75.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-133.33%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-114.63%
EPS Next Y316.08%
EPS Next 2Y21.17%
EPS Next 3Y61.1%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.07%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.57%
Revenue growth 5Y5.39%
Sales Q2Q%-24.21%
Revenue Next Year13.2%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.37%
Revenue Next 5Y0.25%
EBIT growth 1Y-49.6%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-12.51%
EBIT Next Year190.04%
EBIT Next 3Y42.74%
EBIT Next 5Y16.22%
FCF growth 1Y-70.23%
FCF growth 3Y-22.77%
FCF growth 5Y-19.7%
OCF growth 1Y-61.52%
OCF growth 3Y-29.62%
OCF growth 5Y-15.02%

GRAY MEDIA INC-A / GTN.A Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GRAY MEDIA INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GTN.A.


Can you provide the valuation status for GRAY MEDIA INC-A?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of GTN.A stock?

GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) is expected to grow by 316.08% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) stock?

The dividend rating of GRAY MEDIA INC-A (GTN.A) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -62.04%.