FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GSM - GB00BYW6GV68 - Common Stock
3.85 USD
+0.03 (+0.79%)
3.85 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GSM gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GSM against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GSM have multiple concerns. GSM has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GSM had negative earnings in the past year.
GSM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years GSM reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
GSM had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -5.19%, GSM is doing worse than 64.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -10.61%, GSM is doing worse than 64.94% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -5.19% | ||
| ROE | -10.61% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)9.6%
ROA(5y)0.65%
ROE(3y)27.35%
ROE(5y)-13.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GSM has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 33.29%, GSM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
GSM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GSM does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 33.29% |
OM growth 3Y48.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.96%
GM growth 5Y8.62%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GSM does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
GSM has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GSM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GSM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GSM has a debt to FCF ratio of 23.94. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GSM would need 23.94 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GSM's Debt to FCF ratio of 23.94 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GSM outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.14 indicates that GSM is not too dependend on debt financing.
GSM has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.14) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.69%
2.3 Liquidity
GSM has a Current Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that GSM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.56, GSM is doing worse than 73.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GSM has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a bad value and indicates that GSM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.98, GSM is not doing good in the industry: 72.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GSM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -181.82%.
Looking at the last year, GSM shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.37% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.35% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-118.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.6%
Revenue growth 5Y0.35%
Sales Q2Q%-28.1%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GSM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.51% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.69% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-197.26%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y36.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-11.55%
Revenue Next 2Y2.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GSM reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.47, which indicates a very decent valuation of GSM.
85.71% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GSM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, GSM is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GSM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GSM is cheaper than 67.53% of the companies in the same industry.
GSM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GSM is cheaper than 61.69% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 78.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.88 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GSM's earnings are expected to grow with 36.51% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y36.51%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.47%, GSM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.63, GSM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
GSM's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.47% |
5.2 History
GSM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
GSM has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-11.71%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y36.51%
3.85
+0.03 (+0.79%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners60.11%
Inst Owner Change-0.38%
Ins Owners0.33%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap721.30M
Revenue(TTM)1.64B
Net Income(TTM)-86.25M
Analysts76.67
Price Target8.16 (111.95%)
Short Float %4.68%
Short Ratio4.62
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.47% |
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-11.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-288.03%
Min EPS beat(2)-496.04%
Max EPS beat(2)-80.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-139.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-496.04%
Max EPS beat(4)48.51%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)10.52%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)29.79%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.5%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.87%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.45%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-88.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-192.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.47 | ||
| P/S | 0.48 | ||
| P/FCF | 78.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.22 | ||
| P/B | 0.89 | ||
| P/tB | 1.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.88 |
EPS(TTM)-0.27
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.45
Fwd EY11.81%
FCF(TTM)0.05
FCFY1.27%
OCF(TTM)0.42
OCFY10.84%
SpS7.98
BVpS4.34
TBVpS3.22
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -5.19% | ||
| ROE | -10.61% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 33.29% | ||
| FCFM | 0.61% |
ROA(3y)9.6%
ROA(5y)0.65%
ROE(3y)27.35%
ROE(5y)-13.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)27.43%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y48.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.96%
GM growth 5Y8.62%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.94 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 93.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 128.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score2
WACC10.69%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)95.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)69.32%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.31%
Profit Quality(3y)296.03%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-181.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-118.18%
EPS Next Y-197.26%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y36.51%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.6%
Revenue growth 5Y0.35%
Sales Q2Q%-28.1%
Revenue Next Year-11.55%
Revenue Next 2Y2.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-108.11%
EBIT growth 3Y44.71%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-42.84%
EBIT Next 3Y39.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-96.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-76.5%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
FERROGLOBE PLC / GSM FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSM stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GSM.
What is the valuation status of FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GSM stock?
FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) stock?
The financial health rating of FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) is expected to decline by -197.26% in the next year.