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FERROGLOBE PLC (GSM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GSM - Nasdaq - GB00BYW6GV68 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.48  -0.15 (-4.13%)

After market: 3.48 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall GSM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GSM against 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. GSM has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GSM has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. These ratings would make GSM suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GSM was profitable.
GSM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years GSM reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years GSM reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GSM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGSM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of GSM (2.47%) is better than 67.13% of its industry peers.
GSM has a better Return On Equity (4.43%) than 67.13% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.58%, GSM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.02% of the companies in the same industry.
GSM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.71%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.84%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.71%) for GSM is well above the current ROIC(7.58%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.47%
ROE 4.43%
ROIC 7.58%
ROA(3y)6.64%
ROA(5y)-2.91%
ROE(3y)9.03%
ROE(5y)-25.78%
ROIC(3y)17.71%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GSM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGSM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

1.3 Margins

GSM's Profit Margin of 2.45% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GSM outperforms 67.13% of its industry peers.
GSM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GSM's Operating Margin of 7.60% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GSM outperforms 60.84% of its industry peers.
GSM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 40.94%, GSM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GSM has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.6%
PM (TTM) 2.45%
GM 40.94%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y14.85%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y20.78%
GM growth 3Y20.06%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
GSM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGSM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GSM is still creating some value.
There is no outstanding debt for GSM. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
GSM Yearly Shares OutstandingGSM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
GSM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGSM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of GSM is 0.95, which is an excellent value as it means it would take GSM, only 0.95 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GSM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.95. This is amongst the best in the industry. GSM outperforms 88.11% of its industry peers.
GSM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.08, GSM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 0.95
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.68
WACC11.19%
GSM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGSM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

GSM has a Current Ratio of 1.83. This is a normal value and indicates that GSM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.83, GSM is doing worse than 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
GSM has a Quick Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that GSM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GSM (1.00) is worse than 70.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1
GSM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGSM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GSM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -61.97%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-2.24%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 43.44% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.55% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y75.81%
EPS Next 2Y43.44%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.55%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

GSM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGSM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
GSM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGSM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2 3

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.89, GSM is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSM is valued cheaper than 87.41% of the companies in the same industry.
GSM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.33 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GSM.
GSM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GSM is cheaper than 90.21% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GSM to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say GSM is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.89
Fwd PE 7.33
GSM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGSM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GSM is valued cheaper than 96.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSM is valued cheaper than 97.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.27
EV/EBITDA 3.47
GSM Per share dataGSM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GSM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of GSM may justify a higher PE ratio.
GSM's earnings are expected to grow with 43.44% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y43.44%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GSM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of GSM dropped by -23.85% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
GSM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.16.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, GSM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%

5.2 History

GSM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
GSM Yearly Dividends per shareGSM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2018 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y43.44%
EPS Next 3YN/A
GSM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGSM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

FERROGLOBE PLC

NASDAQ:GSM (2/21/2025, 8:24:42 PM)

After market: 3.48 0 (0%)

3.48

-0.15 (-4.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-12 2025-05-12/amc
Inst Owners53.86%
Inst Owner Change-4.07%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap653.86M
Analysts80
Price Target9.18 (163.79%)
Short Float %1.62%
Short Ratio2.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)62.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-31.93%
Max EPS beat(2)157.43%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)142.76%
Min EPS beat(4)-31.93%
Max EPS beat(4)345.55%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)111.48%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)76.01%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.2%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.98%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.2%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.76%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.46%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.41%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.89
Fwd PE 7.33
P/S 0.4
P/FCF 4.27
P/OCF 2.73
P/B 0.71
P/tB 0.87
EV/EBITDA 3.47
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY7.76%
EPS(NY)0.47
Fwd EY13.64%
FCF(TTM)0.81
FCFY23.42%
OCF(TTM)1.28
OCFY36.7%
SpS8.79
BVpS4.87
TBVpS4.02
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.47%
ROE 4.43%
ROCE 10.97%
ROIC 7.58%
ROICexc 8.49%
ROICexgc 10.08%
OM 7.6%
PM (TTM) 2.45%
GM 40.94%
FCFM 9.27%
ROA(3y)6.64%
ROA(5y)-2.91%
ROE(3y)9.03%
ROE(5y)-25.78%
ROIC(3y)17.71%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)22.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)26.52%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)25.67%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.29%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y13.1%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y14.85%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y20.78%
GM growth 3Y20.06%
GM growth 5Y5.66%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.01
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 0.95
Debt/EBITDA 0.36
Cap/Depr 113.37%
Cap/Sales 5.25%
Interest Coverage 4.64
Cash Conversion 118.7%
Profit Quality 377.6%
Current Ratio 1.83
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC11.19%
ROIC/WACC0.68
Cap/Depr(3y)70.42%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.75%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-61.97%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-66.67%
EPS Next Y75.81%
EPS Next 2Y43.44%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-2.24%
Revenue Next Year6.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.55%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-53.7%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y8.02%
EBIT Next Year-19.29%
EBIT Next 3Y7.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-40.67%
FCF growth 3Y-8.86%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-21.97%
OCF growth 3Y4.95%
OCF growth 5Y19.3%