GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
50.77 USD
+5.19 (+11.39%)
At close:
51 USD
+0.23 (+0.45%)
Pre-Market:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GSHD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GSHD had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- GSHD has a better Return On Assets (6.71%) than 87.76% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 20.65%, GSHD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.28% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GSHD is significantly above the industry average of 9.51%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (20.65%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (16.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- GSHD has a Profit Margin (7.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
- GSHD has a better Operating Margin (20.38%) than 75.51% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GSHD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for GSHD is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- GSHD has an Altman-Z score of 2.88. This is not the best score and indicates that GSHD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.88, GSHD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.30, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- GSHD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: GSHD underperforms 63.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
ROIC/WACC2.29
WACC9.03%
2.3 Liquidity
- GSHD has a Current Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 0.08, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.08, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -4.55% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.79% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.15% in the past year. This is quite good.
- GSHD shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 25.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%23.15%
3.2 Future
- GSHD is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.91% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 31.13% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- GSHD is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.86.
- GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 82.99% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.47.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.72, the valuation of GSHD can be described as rather expensive.
- GSHD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 72.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.62. GSHD is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 72.11% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of GSHD may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)1.36
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GSHD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
50.77
+5.19 (+11.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)04-22 2026-04-22/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2026-07-21/amc
Inst Owners117.33%
Inst Owner Change-0.35%
Ins Owners3.73%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.81B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts73.68
Price Target74.09 (45.93%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio3.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-6.4%
PT rev (3m)-21.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.72 | ||
| P/S | 4.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.7 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.1 |
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY3.72%
EPS(NY)2.71
Fwd EY5.34%
FCF(TTM)1.91
FCFY3.76%
OCF(TTM)2.58
OCFY5.08%
SpS10.26
BVpS-2.68
TBVpS-3.8
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)1.36
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.88 |
F-Score5
WACC9.03%
ROIC/WACC2.29
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%23.15%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year76.67%
EBIT Next 3Y43.1%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.65% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?
The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.