GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
44.45 USD
-0.2 (-0.45%)
Last:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GSHD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.71%, GSHD belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 20.65%, GSHD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.28% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.53%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.51%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (20.65%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (16.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.62%, GSHD is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
- GSHD has a Operating Margin of 20.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GSHD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GSHD is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for GSHD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for GSHD is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.62 indicates that GSHD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 2.62, GSHD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.84% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.30, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.30, GSHD is not doing good in the industry: 63.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.62 |
ROIC/WACC2.29
WACC9%
2.3 Liquidity
- GSHD has a Current Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GSHD has a better Current ratio (0.08) than 63.95% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.08, GSHD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -7.50% in the last year.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.79% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, GSHD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.15% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 25.57% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.91% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 31.13% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.03, GSHD is valued on the expensive side.
- GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 81.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.95, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- GSHD is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.14.
- GSHD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.68, GSHD is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.14 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 65.99% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than 72.11% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GSHD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of GSHD may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.76
PEG (5Y)1.21
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GSHD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NASDAQ:GSHD (4/21/2026, 12:28:02 PM)
44.45
-0.2 (-0.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-22 2026-04-22/amc
Inst Owners117.33%
Inst Owner Change-0.35%
Ins Owners3.73%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.58B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts73.68
Price Target74.09 (66.68%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio3.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-6.4%
PT rev (3m)-21.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.14 | ||
| P/S | 4.33 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.26 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.25 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.55 |
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.16%
EPS(NY)2.1
Fwd EY4.73%
FCF(TTM)1.91
FCFY4.3%
OCF(TTM)2.58
OCFY5.8%
SpS10.26
BVpS-2.68
TBVpS-3.8
PEG (NY)1.76
PEG (5Y)1.21
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.62 |
F-Score5
WACC9%
ROIC/WACC2.29
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year76.67%
EBIT Next 3Y43.1%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.65% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?
The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.