GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
44.39 USD
+1.97 (+4.64%)
At close:
44.39 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GSHD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- GSHD has a Return On Assets of 6.71%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GSHD outperforms 87.84% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a Return On Invested Capital of 20.65%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GSHD outperforms 97.30% of its industry peers.
- GSHD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.53%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.34%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (20.65%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (16.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of GSHD (7.62%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
- GSHD has a Operating Margin of 20.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GSHD is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for GSHD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.58 indicates that GSHD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- GSHD's Altman-Z score of 2.58 is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 93.24% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.30, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.30, GSHD is not doing good in the industry: 64.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
ROIC/WACC2.26
WACC9.12%
2.3 Liquidity
- GSHD has a Current Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 0.08, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD has a Quick Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of GSHD (0.08) is better than 63.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -7.50% in the last year.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.79% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.15% in the past year. This is quite good.
- GSHD shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 25.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.91% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 31.13% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.64%
Revenue Next 3Y20.49%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.99, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GSHD.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 79.05% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.23, GSHD is valued at the same level.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.08, GSHD is valued on the expensive side.
- 76.35% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- GSHD is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 69.59% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- 72.30% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GSHD's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- GSHD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 24.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)1.21
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for GSHD!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
44.39
+1.97 (+4.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/amc
Inst Owners112.51%
Inst Owner Change-5.99%
Ins Owners4.35%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.62B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts74.44
Price Target79.15 (78.31%)
Short Float %11.64%
Short Ratio5.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-14.54%
PT rev (3m)-14.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.08 | ||
| P/S | 4.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.87 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.7 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.12 |
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.17%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY4.74%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY4.19%
OCF(TTM)2.51
OCFY5.65%
SpS9.98
BVpS-2.61
TBVpS-3.7
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)1.21
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
F-Score5
WACC9.12%
ROIC/WACC2.26
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.64%
Revenue Next 3Y20.49%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year77.16%
EBIT Next 3Y43.47%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) stock?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for GSHD stock?
The financial health rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 4 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.84% in the next year.