GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090

Current stock price

48.26 USD
-2.51 (-4.94%)
At close:
48.26 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. GSHD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GSHD had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GSHD had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GSHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGSHD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M 40M 60M 80M

1.2 Ratios

  • GSHD has a better Return On Assets (7.73%) than 88.44% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of GSHD (24.29%) is better than 97.96% of its industry peers.
  • GSHD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.53%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.55%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (24.29%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (16.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.73%
ROE N/A
ROIC 24.29%
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
GSHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGSHD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

  • GSHD has a Profit Margin (7.94%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Operating Margin of GSHD (21.64%) is better than 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GSHD has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.64%
PM (TTM) 7.94%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GSHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGSHD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. GSHD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GSHD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GSHD Yearly Shares OutstandingGSHD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
GSHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGSHD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.97 indicates that GSHD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GSHD has a Altman-Z score of 2.97. This is amongst the best in the industry. GSHD outperforms 92.52% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.46, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GSHD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.46. This is in the lower half of the industry: GSHD underperforms 63.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.46
Altman-Z 2.97
ROIC/WACC2.69
WACC9.04%
GSHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGSHD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.15 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 0.15, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GSHD has a Quick Ratio of 0.15. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GSHD has a better Quick ratio (0.15) than 67.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.15
Quick Ratio 0.15
GSHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGSHD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

8

3. GSHD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -4.55% in the last year.
  • GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.79% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.56% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • GSHD shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 25.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%23.15%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GSHD will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.91% on average per year.
  • GSHD is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 31.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GSHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGSHD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 500M 1B 1.5B
GSHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGSHD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2 4 6 8 10

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. GSHD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 25.53 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GSHD.
  • GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 82.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.79, the valuation of GSHD can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.75% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • GSHD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.53
Fwd PE 17.79
GSHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGSHD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 65.31% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GSHD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than 72.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.09
EV/EBITDA 21.31
GSHD Per share dataGSHD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • GSHD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.87
PEG (5Y)1.29
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. GSHD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GSHD does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A

NASDAQ:GSHD (4/24/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 48.26 0 (0%)

48.26

-2.51 (-4.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)04-22
Earnings (Next)07-21
Inst Owners117.33%
Inst Owner Change2.01%
Ins Owners3.73%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.72B
Revenue(TTM)382.80M
Net Income(TTM)30.38M
Analysts73.68
Price Target74.09 (53.52%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio3.78
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP16.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)27.3%
Min EPS beat(2)9.11%
Max EPS beat(2)45.49%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)12.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)45.49%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)22.17%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)23.8%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)39.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.38%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.38%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.81%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.48%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.51%
PT rev (1m)-6.4%
PT rev (3m)-21.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 25.53
Fwd PE 17.79
P/S 4.49
P/FCF 24.09
P/OCF 17.33
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 21.31
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY3.92%
EPS(NY)2.71
Fwd EY5.62%
FCF(TTM)2
FCFY4.15%
OCF(TTM)2.78
OCFY5.77%
SpS10.75
BVpS-3.41
TBVpS-4.64
PEG (NY)1.87
PEG (5Y)1.29
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.73%
ROE N/A
ROCE 27.79%
ROIC 24.29%
ROICexc 26.58%
ROICexgc 32.71%
OM 21.64%
PM (TTM) 7.94%
GM N/A
FCFM 18.63%
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.97
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 4.46
Debt/EBITDA 3.34
Cap/Depr 241.54%
Cap/Sales 7.27%
Interest Coverage 3.64
Cash Conversion 105.08%
Profit Quality 234.8%
Current Ratio 0.15
Quick Ratio 0.15
Altman-Z 2.97
F-Score6
WACC9.04%
ROIC/WACC2.69
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.56%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%23.15%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y24.93%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year76.67%
EBIT Next 3Y43.1%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y61.65%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y56.72%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.


What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?

GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.65% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?

The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 16.43%.