GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
42.44 USD
+0.64 (+1.53%)
At close:
42.44 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GSHD had positive earnings in the past year.
- GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years GSHD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of GSHD (6.71%) is better than 87.07% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Return On Invested Capital of 20.65% is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 97.28% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GSHD is significantly above the industry average of 9.36%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (20.65%) for GSHD is above the 3 year average (16.53%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- GSHD has a Profit Margin (7.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
- The Operating Margin of GSHD (20.38%) is better than 74.15% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GSHD has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GSHD is creating value.
- GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.58 indicates that GSHD is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of GSHD (2.58) is better than 92.52% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.30. This is a neutral value as GSHD would need 4.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD (4.30) is worse than 64.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
ROIC/WACC2.27
WACC9.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of GSHD (0.08) is better than 62.59% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a Quick Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.08, GSHD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -7.50% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.79% on average per year.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.15%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 25.57% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
3.2 Future
- GSHD is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.91% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GSHD will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 31.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.38%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.94, the valuation of GSHD can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GSHD indicates a rather expensive valuation: GSHD more expensive than 80.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. GSHD is around the same levels.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.15 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GSHD.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GSHD indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GSHD is more expensive than 76.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GSHD to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.84), we can say GSHD is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 69.39% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of GSHD may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 24.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)1.16
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- GSHD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
42.44
+0.64 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners112.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners4.35%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.55B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts73.68
Price Target76.5 (80.25%)
Short Float %11.11%
Short Ratio4.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-3.35%
PT rev (3m)-18.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.15 | ||
| P/S | 4.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.92 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.13 |
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.36%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY4.96%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY4.38%
OCF(TTM)2.51
OCFY5.91%
SpS9.98
BVpS-2.61
TBVpS-3.7
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)1.16
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
F-Score5
WACC9.09%
ROIC/WACC2.27
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.38%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year77.16%
EBIT Next 3Y43.47%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.84% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?
The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.