GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
43.85 USD
+0.6 (+1.39%)
At close:
43.8028 USD
-0.05 (-0.11%)
After Hours:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year GSHD was profitable.
- GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years GSHD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- GSHD's Return On Assets of 6.71% is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 87.84% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Return On Invested Capital of 20.65% is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 97.30% of its industry peers.
- GSHD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.53%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.51%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.53%) for GSHD is below the current ROIC(20.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- GSHD's Profit Margin of 7.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD outperforms 47.30% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of GSHD (20.38%) is better than 75.68% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GSHD is creating value.
- GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- GSHD has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- GSHD has an Altman-Z score of 2.59. This is not the best score and indicates that GSHD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 2.59, GSHD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.30, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- GSHD's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD is outperformed by 63.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.59 |
ROIC/WACC2.29
WACC9.01%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.08, GSHD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.08, GSHD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.19% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- GSHD shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.50%.
- Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.79% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, GSHD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.15% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 25.57% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.91% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- Based on estimates for the next years, GSHD will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 31.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- GSHD is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.70.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued more expensive than 81.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.89, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.86, the valuation of GSHD can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GSHD indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GSHD is more expensive than 76.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.50, GSHD is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.54% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GSHD is valued a bit more expensive than 70.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.22 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of GSHD may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.74
PEG (5Y)1.2
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- GSHD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
43.85
+0.6 (+1.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-22 2026-04-22/amc
Inst Owners117.33%
Inst Owner Change-0.35%
Ins Owners3.73%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.56B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts73.68
Price Target74.09 (68.96%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio3.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-6.4%
PT rev (3m)-21.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.86 | ||
| P/S | 4.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.01 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.22 |
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.22%
EPS(NY)2.1
Fwd EY4.79%
FCF(TTM)1.91
FCFY4.36%
OCF(TTM)2.58
OCFY5.88%
SpS10.26
BVpS-2.68
TBVpS-3.8
PEG (NY)1.74
PEG (5Y)1.2
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.59 |
F-Score5
WACC9.01%
ROIC/WACC2.29
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year76.67%
EBIT Next 3Y43.1%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.65% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?
The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.