GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
50.77 USD
+5.19 (+11.39%)
At close:
50.77 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year GSHD was profitable.
- GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years GSHD has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years GSHD had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- GSHD has a better Return On Assets (6.71%) than 87.76% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a better Return On Invested Capital (20.65%) than 97.28% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GSHD is significantly above the industry average of 9.51%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.53%) for GSHD is below the current ROIC(20.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.62%, GSHD is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.94% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
- GSHD has a Operating Margin of 20.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GSHD is creating value.
- GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- GSHD has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- GSHD has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- GSHD has an Altman-Z score of 2.66. This is not the best score and indicates that GSHD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- GSHD's Altman-Z score of 2.66 is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 91.84% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.30. This is a neutral value as GSHD would need 4.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- GSHD's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD is outperformed by 63.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.66 |
ROIC/WACC2.28
WACC9.04%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.08 indicates that GSHD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- GSHD has a Current ratio of 0.08. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 63.95% of its industry peers.
- GSHD has a Quick Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of GSHD (0.08) is better than 63.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- GSHD shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -4.55%.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.79% yearly.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.15%.
- Measured over the past years, GSHD shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 25.57% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%23.15%
3.2 Future
- GSHD is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.91% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GSHD will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 31.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 26.86, the valuation of GSHD can be described as expensive.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued expensively inside the industry as 81.63% of the companies are valued cheaper.
- GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.50.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.72, GSHD is valued on the expensive side.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GSHD indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GSHD is more expensive than 68.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- GSHD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.62.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GSHD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 65.99% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GSHD indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GSHD is more expensive than 72.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- GSHD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 23.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)1.36
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- GSHD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
50.77
+5.19 (+11.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)04-22 2026-04-22/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners117.33%
Inst Owner Change-0.35%
Ins Owners3.73%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.81B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts73.68
Price Target74.09 (45.93%)
Short Float %9.35%
Short Ratio3.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-6.4%
PT rev (3m)-21.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.61%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.72 | ||
| P/S | 4.95 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.7 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.94 |
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY3.72%
EPS(NY)2.71
Fwd EY5.34%
FCF(TTM)1.91
FCFY3.76%
OCF(TTM)2.58
OCFY5.08%
SpS10.26
BVpS-2.68
TBVpS-3.8
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)1.36
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.66 |
F-Score5
WACC9.04%
ROIC/WACC2.28
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.55%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%15.38%
EPS Next Y13.65%
EPS Next 2Y21.08%
EPS Next 3Y23.73%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%23.15%
Revenue Next Year15.79%
Revenue Next 2Y17.15%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year76.67%
EBIT Next 3Y43.1%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.65% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?
The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.