GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GSHD • US38267D1090
Current stock price
42.44 USD
+0.64 (+1.53%)
At close:
42.44 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This GSHD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GSHD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year GSHD was profitable.
- In the past year GSHD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GSHD had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- GSHD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- GSHD's Return On Assets of 6.71% is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 87.07% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Return On Invested Capital of 20.65% is amongst the best of the industry. GSHD outperforms 97.28% of its industry peers.
- GSHD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.53%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.36%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.53%) for GSHD is below the current ROIC(20.65%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.62%, GSHD is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.98% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GSHD has remained more or less at the same level.
- GSHD's Operating Margin of 20.38% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GSHD outperforms 74.15% of its industry peers.
- GSHD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. GSHD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GSHD is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GSHD has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for GSHD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for GSHD is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- GSHD has an Altman-Z score of 2.58. This is not the best score and indicates that GSHD is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of GSHD (2.58) is better than 92.52% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GSHD is 4.30, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GSHD, 4.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- GSHD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: GSHD underperforms 64.63% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
ROIC/WACC2.27
WACC9.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- GSHD has a Current Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.08, GSHD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD has a Quick Ratio of 0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that GSHD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GSHD has a Quick ratio of 0.08. This is in the better half of the industry: GSHD outperforms 62.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 |
3. GSHD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GSHD have decreased by -7.50% in the last year.
- GSHD shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 19.79% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, GSHD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.15% in the last year.
- GSHD shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 25.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GSHD will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.91% on average per year.
- GSHD is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 31.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.38%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. GSHD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 22.94, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GSHD.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GSHD is valued expensively inside the industry as 80.27% of the companies are valued cheaper.
- GSHD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 25.60.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 20.15, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GSHD.
- GSHD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GSHD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 69.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- GSHD's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GSHD is more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 22.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- GSHD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GSHD's earnings are expected to grow with 24.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)1.16
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
5. GSHD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- GSHD does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
GSHD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
42.44
+0.64 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-17 2026-02-17/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners112.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners4.35%
Ins Owner Change0.45%
Market Cap1.55B
Revenue(TTM)365.30M
Net Income(TTM)27.83M
Analysts73.68
Price Target76.5 (80.25%)
Short Float %11.11%
Short Ratio4.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly Dividend3.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.4%
DP523.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)3.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.61%
Max EPS beat(2)9.11%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.15%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.98%
Max EPS beat(4)17.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)20.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)47.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)44.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.49%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.22%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.85%
PT rev (1m)-3.35%
PT rev (3m)-18.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.22%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.15 | ||
| P/S | 4.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 22.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.92 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 21.13 |
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY4.36%
EPS(NY)2.11
Fwd EY4.96%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY4.38%
OCF(TTM)2.51
OCFY5.91%
SpS9.98
BVpS-2.61
TBVpS-3.7
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)1.16
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.71% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 23.62% | ||
| ROIC | 20.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 23.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 27.8% | ||
| OM | 20.38% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.62% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 18.62% |
ROA(3y)6.11%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.53%
ROIC(5y)11.5%
ROICexc(3y)19.4%
ROICexc(5y)13.47%
ROICexgc(3y)22.45%
ROICexgc(5y)15.39%
ROCE(3y)18.91%
ROCE(5y)13.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y79.44%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y71.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.75%
OM growth 3Y61.67%
OM growth 5Y3.68%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y-0.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.38 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 210.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.43 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 107.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | 244.46% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.58 |
F-Score5
WACC9.09%
ROIC/WACC2.27
Cap/Depr(3y)175.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.77%
Profit Quality(3y)221.44%
Profit Quality(5y)977.38%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.5%
EPS 3Y49.83%
EPS 5Y19.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.99%
EPS Next Y13.84%
EPS Next 2Y21.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.03%
EPS Next 5Y24.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.15%
Revenue growth 3Y20.38%
Revenue growth 5Y25.57%
Sales Q2Q%12.07%
Revenue Next Year16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y17.38%
Revenue Next 3Y20.07%
Revenue Next 5Y31.13%
EBIT growth 1Y21.77%
EBIT growth 3Y94.62%
EBIT growth 5Y30.2%
EBIT Next Year77.16%
EBIT Next 3Y43.47%
EBIT Next 5Y33.19%
FCF growth 1Y14.62%
FCF growth 3Y43.32%
FCF growth 5Y36.67%
OCF growth 1Y28.25%
OCF growth 3Y36.95%
OCF growth 5Y30.08%
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A / GSHD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GSHD.
What is the valuation status for GSHD stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is expected to grow by 13.84% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GSHD stock?
The dividend rating of GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INC -A (GSHD) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 523.83%.