16.1 USD
-0.64 (-3.82%)
16.1 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to GRPN. GRPN was compared to 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. GRPN has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. GRPN has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GRPN had negative earnings in the past year.
GRPN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GRPN reported 4 times negative net income.
GRPN had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GRPN has a worse Return On Assets (-23.27%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
GRPN has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.80%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRPN underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -23.27% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 2.8% |
ROA(3y)-16.43%
ROA(5y)-11.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GRPN has a Operating Margin of 1.94%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GRPN underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GRPN has declined.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 90.86%, GRPN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GRPN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.94% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 90.86% |
OM growth 3Y-37.22%
OM growth 5Y-11.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y11.03%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GRPN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GRPN has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for GRPN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GRPN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.27, we must say that GRPN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GRPN's Altman-Z score of -2.27 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRPN is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GRPN is 5.72, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GRPN, 5.72 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GRPN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.72. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GRPN outperforms 53.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | -2.27 |
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC7.43%
2.3 Liquidity
GRPN has a Current Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GRPN has a Current ratio of 0.93. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GRPN underperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
GRPN has a Quick Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that GRPN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GRPN's Quick ratio of 0.93 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRPN is outperformed by 63.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GRPN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -1392.86%.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.76% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, GRPN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -25.99% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1392.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-984.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.76%
Revenue growth 3Y-20.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-25.99%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.16% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
GRPN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.11% yearly.
EPS Next Y-69.72%
EPS Next 2Y65.4%
EPS Next 3Y47.16%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.68%
Revenue Next 2Y6.58%
Revenue Next 3Y9.07%
Revenue Next 5Y14.11%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GRPN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.94, GRPN is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GRPN is valued a bit cheaper than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
GRPN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GRPN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GRPN is more expensive than 60.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GRPN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GRPN is cheaper than 76.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GRPN's earnings are expected to grow with 47.16% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y65.4%
EPS Next 3Y47.16%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GRPN does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
16.1
-0.64 (-3.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners71.19%
Inst Owner Change0.93%
Ins Owners3.35%
Ins Owner Change2.74%
Market Cap656.08M
Revenue(TTM)496.09M
Net Income(TTM)-141.51M
Analysts78
Price Target31.88 (98.01%)
Short Float %34.85%
Short Ratio6.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-8386.21%
Min EPS beat(2)-21576%
Max EPS beat(2)4803.53%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-4837.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-21576%
Max EPS beat(4)4803.53%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2481.16%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-1662.48%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-1250.63%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.33%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.63%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.51%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.27%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.3%
PT rev (1m)-6.72%
PT rev (3m)-6.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-320.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-627.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.66%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.58%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.58%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.94 | ||
| P/S | 1.32 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.76 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.1 |
EPS(TTM)-3.62
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.9
Fwd EY5.58%
FCF(TTM)1.47
FCFY9.15%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY11.41%
SpS12.17
BVpS-1.46
TBVpS-5.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -23.27% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 3.54% | ||
| ROIC | 2.8% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.87% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 1.94% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 90.86% | ||
| FCFM | 12.11% |
ROA(3y)-16.43%
ROA(5y)-11.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-40.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y-53.59%
OM growth 3Y-37.22%
OM growth 5Y-11.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y5.78%
GM growth 5Y11.03%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.72 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.22 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 246.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.93 | ||
| Altman-Z | -2.27 |
F-Score4
WACC7.43%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)52%
Cap/Depr(5y)57.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.63%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1392.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-984.85%
EPS Next Y-69.72%
EPS Next 2Y65.4%
EPS Next 3Y47.16%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.76%
Revenue growth 3Y-20.14%
Revenue growth 5Y-25.99%
Sales Q2Q%7.29%
Revenue Next Year2.68%
Revenue Next 2Y6.58%
Revenue Next 3Y9.07%
Revenue Next 5Y14.11%
EBIT growth 1Y-43.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-49.87%
EBIT growth 5Y-34.77%
EBIT Next Year850.32%
EBIT Next 3Y159.65%
EBIT Next 5Y136.97%
FCF growth 1Y142.54%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y188.49%
OCF growth 1Y164.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.75%
GROUPON INC / GRPN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GRPN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to GRPN.
What is the valuation status of GROUPON INC (GRPN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GROUPON INC (GRPN). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of GRPN stock?
GROUPON INC (GRPN) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
Is the dividend of GROUPON INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GROUPON INC (GRPN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.