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GRAIL INC (GRAL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GRAL - Nasdaq - US3847471014 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

26.42  -0.58 (-2.15%)

After market: 26.42 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GRAL. GRAL was compared to 568 industry peers in the Biotechnology industry. No worries on liquidiy or solvency for GRAL as it has an excellent financial health rating, but there are worries on the profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, GRAL is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GRAL has reported negative net income.
In the past year GRAL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GRAL always reported negative net income.
GRAL had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GRAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGRAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 -1B -2B -3B -4B -5B

1.2 Ratios

GRAL's Return On Assets of -67.94% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL is outperformed by 64.08% of its industry peers.
GRAL has a Return On Equity (-80.97%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -67.94%
ROE -80.97%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-71.58%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-79.12%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GRAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGRAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of GRAL (44.48%) is better than 75.53% of its industry peers.
GRAL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GRAL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 44.48%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y28.32%
GM growth 5YN/A
GRAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGRAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -2K -4K -6K -8K

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7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GRAL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for GRAL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GRAL has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for GRAL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
GRAL Yearly Shares OutstandingGRAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
GRAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGRAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

GRAL has an Altman-Z score of -3.92. This is a bad value and indicates that GRAL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GRAL's Altman-Z score of -3.92 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GRAL outperforms 46.48% of its industry peers.
GRAL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -3.92
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.2%
GRAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGRAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 10.66 indicates that GRAL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 10.66, GRAL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.16% of the companies in the same industry.
GRAL has a Quick Ratio of 10.66. This indicates that GRAL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GRAL (10.66) is better than 81.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 10.66
Quick Ratio 10.66
GRAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGRAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GRAL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -15.10%.
GRAL shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 34.90%.
The Revenue has been growing by 104.84% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.1%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%94.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.9%
Revenue growth 3Y104.84%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-58.92%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.05% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
GRAL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.45% yearly.
EPS Next Y76.57%
EPS Next 2Y33.8%
EPS Next 3Y22.05%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year24.39%
Revenue Next 2Y18.5%
Revenue Next 3Y13.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
GRAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGRAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
GRAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGRAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 -20 -40 -60

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GRAL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Also next year GRAL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
GRAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGRAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
GRAL Per share dataGRAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GRAL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y33.8%
EPS Next 3Y22.05%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GRAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GRAIL INC

NASDAQ:GRAL (4/21/2025, 5:20:00 PM)

After market: 26.42 0 (0%)

26.42

-0.58 (-2.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryBiotechnology
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Earnings (Next)05-13 2025-05-13
Inst Owners79.13%
Inst Owner Change-0.16%
Ins Owners0.36%
Ins Owner Change5.8%
Market Cap932.63M
Analysts47.5
Price Target20.4 (-22.79%)
Short Float %12.44%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)22.3%
Min EPS beat(2)1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)42.64%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)25%
PT rev (3m)25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)24.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.79%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)7.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 7.43
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.37
P/tB 1.92
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-66.13
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-15.93
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-16.5
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-16.35
OCFYN/A
SpS3.56
BVpS70.92
TBVpS13.78
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -67.94%
ROE -80.97%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 44.48%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-71.58%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-79.12%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y28.32%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 3.3%
Cap/Sales 4.15%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 10.66
Quick Ratio 10.66
Altman-Z -3.92
F-Score5
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)8.73%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)19.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.1%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%94.77%
EPS Next Y76.57%
EPS Next 2Y33.8%
EPS Next 3Y22.05%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.9%
Revenue growth 3Y104.84%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-58.92%
Revenue Next Year24.39%
Revenue Next 2Y18.5%
Revenue Next 3Y13.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y3.6%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year81.85%
EBIT Next 3Y22.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y4.32%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y3.13%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A