GEOPARK LTD (GPRK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GPRK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - BMG383271050 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to GPRK. GPRK was compared to 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While GPRK has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GPRK is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. This makes GPRK very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GPRK was profitable.
In the past year GPRK had a positive cash flow from operations.
GPRK had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
GPRK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 10.45%, GPRK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.43% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 55.31%, GPRK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of GPRK (27.31%) is better than 96.57% of its industry peers.
GPRK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 38.57%. This is significantly above the industry average of 28.75%.
The 3 year average ROIC (38.57%) for GPRK is well above the current ROIC(27.31%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.45% | ||
| ROE | 55.31% | ||
| ROIC | 27.31% |
ROA(3y)13.6%
ROA(5y)4.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)38.57%
ROIC(5y)29.42%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 14.97%, GPRK perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.88% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 39.99%, GPRK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 73.98%, GPRK belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 39.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.97% | ||
| GM | 73.98% |
OM growth 3Y113.96%
OM growth 5Y-0.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y4.04%
GM growth 3Y0.89%
GM growth 5Y-0.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
GPRK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GPRK has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GPRK has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.21 indicates that GPRK is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.21, GPRK is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.69% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRK is 3.10, which is a good value as it means it would take GPRK, 3.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRK (3.10) is better than 68.63% of its industry peers.
GPRK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.63. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.63, GPRK is doing worse than 88.73% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.21 |
ROIC/WACC3.44
WACC7.93%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.28 indicates that GPRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GPRK (1.28) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GPRK has a Quick Ratio of 1.23. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GPRK's Quick ratio of 1.23 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRK outperforms 61.76% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.23 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GPRK have decreased strongly by -28.00% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.83% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has decreased by -9.02% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, GPRK shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y16.83%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.02%
Revenue growth 3Y24.33%
Revenue growth 5Y4.71%
Sales Q2Q%-17.27%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRK will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.43% on average per year.
GPRK is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.40% yearly.
EPS Next Y-10.31%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y4.74%
EPS Next 5Y7.43%
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.45%
Revenue Next 5Y4.4%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.43, the valuation of GPRK can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GPRK is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.22% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GPRK's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 3.84, the valuation of GPRK can be described as very cheap.
GPRK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GPRK is cheaper than 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.68. GPRK is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GPRK's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GPRK is cheaper than 96.08% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GPRK is cheaper than 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of GPRK may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y4.74%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.34%, GPRK is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.67, GPRK pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
GPRK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.34% |
5.2 History
GPRK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As GPRK did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
GPRK pays out 27.89% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP27.89%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y4.74%
8.77
-0.51 (-5.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners41.24%
Inst Owner Change-9.56%
Ins Owners21.06%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap448.94M
Analysts82
Price Target15.64 (78.34%)
Short Float %3.81%
Short Ratio1.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.34% |
Yearly Dividend0.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP27.89%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-28.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-31.86%
Max EPS beat(2)-24.71%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-31.86%
Max EPS beat(4)-4%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-13.18%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.87%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.98%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.65%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.65%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.35%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.71%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)-2.34%
PT rev (3m)-7.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-14.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)-29.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-11.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.97%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 3.84 | ||
| P/S | 0.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.18 | ||
| P/B | 2.31 | ||
| P/tB | 2.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.1 |
EPS(TTM)1.98
EY22.58%
EPS(NY)2.28
Fwd EY26.02%
FCF(TTM)3.31
FCFY37.78%
OCF(TTM)7.43
OCFY84.68%
SpS14
BVpS3.79
TBVpS3.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.45% | ||
| ROE | 55.31% | ||
| ROCE | 34.57% | ||
| ROIC | 27.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 32.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 32.09% | ||
| OM | 39.99% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 14.97% | ||
| GM | 73.98% | ||
| FCFM | 23.66% |
ROA(3y)13.6%
ROA(5y)4.66%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)38.57%
ROIC(5y)29.42%
ROICexc(3y)46.15%
ROICexc(5y)35.35%
ROICexgc(3y)46.15%
ROICexgc(5y)35.35%
ROCE(3y)48.82%
ROCE(5y)37.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y152.99%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y152.99%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.94%
OM growth 3Y113.96%
OM growth 5Y-0.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y4.04%
GM growth 3Y0.89%
GM growth 5Y-0.53%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.1 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.22 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 161.26% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 29.38% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.42 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 158.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.28 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.21 |
F-Score7
WACC7.93%
ROIC/WACC3.44
Cap/Depr(3y)161.48%
Cap/Depr(5y)133.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.39%
Cap/Sales(5y)20.08%
Profit Quality(3y)122.69%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y16.83%
EPS Q2Q%-20%
EPS Next Y-10.31%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y4.74%
EPS Next 5Y7.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.02%
Revenue growth 3Y24.33%
Revenue growth 5Y4.71%
Sales Q2Q%-17.27%
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.45%
Revenue Next 5Y4.4%
EBIT growth 1Y-6.87%
EBIT growth 3Y166.01%
EBIT growth 5Y3.85%
EBIT Next Year32.69%
EBIT Next 3Y6.73%
EBIT Next 5Y15.61%
FCF growth 1Y-40.08%
FCF growth 3Y2.95%
FCF growth 5Y-4.97%
OCF growth 1Y-14.01%
OCF growth 3Y21.28%
OCF growth 5Y3.27%