GEOPARK LTD (GPRK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GPRK - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - BMG383271050 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to GPRK. GPRK was compared to 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GPRK scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GPRK is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. GPRK also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings would make GPRK suitable for value and dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GPRK had positive earnings in the past year.
GPRK had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years GPRK 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years GPRK had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
GPRK's Return On Assets of 6.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GPRK outperforms 69.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 37.62%, GPRK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.42% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK's Return On Invested Capital of 19.63% is amongst the best of the industry. GPRK outperforms 95.26% of its industry peers.
GPRK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 35.84%. This is significantly above the industry average of 23.79%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (19.63%) for GPRK is well below the 3 year average (35.84%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that GPRK had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.62% | ||
| ROE | 37.62% | ||
| ROIC | 19.63% |
ROA(3y)14%
ROA(5y)4.91%
ROE(3y)101.54%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)35.84%
ROIC(5y)28.65%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of GPRK (12.56%) is better than 62.09% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GPRK (38.05%) is better than 83.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GPRK has grown nicely.
GPRK has a Gross Margin of 73.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GPRK outperforms 84.83% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 38.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.56% | ||
| GM | 73.51% |
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y1.57%
PM growth 3Y18.01%
PM growth 5Y9.68%
GM growth 3Y2.36%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
GPRK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GPRK has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPRK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GPRK has an Altman-Z score of 1.81. This is a bad value and indicates that GPRK is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRK has a Altman-Z score of 1.81. This is in the better half of the industry: GPRK outperforms 62.56% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRK is 4.90, which is a neutral value as it means it would take GPRK, 4.90 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRK (4.90) is better than 64.93% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.11 is on the high side and indicates that GPRK has dependencies on debt financing.
GPRK's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.11 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GPRK is outperformed by 85.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
ROIC/WACC2.32
WACC8.48%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.96 indicates that GPRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GPRK (1.96) is better than 76.78% of its industry peers.
GPRK has a Quick Ratio of 1.92. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.92, GPRK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.92 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GPRK have decreased strongly by -31.39% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GPRK shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.54% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GPRK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.94% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.39%
EPS 3Y17.7%
EPS 5Y14.54%
EPS Q2Q%-51.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.94%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y1%
Sales Q2Q%-17.99%
3.2 Future
GPRK is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -1.07% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRK will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-40.83%
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
EPS Next 5Y-1.07%
Revenue Next Year-20.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.46%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.58%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.73%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 4.65, the valuation of GPRK can be described as very cheap.
91.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GPRK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, GPRK is valued rather cheaply.
GPRK is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.01.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GPRK indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GPRK is cheaper than 70.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.76, GPRK is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRK is valued cheaper than 96.21% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GPRK indicates a rather cheap valuation: GPRK is cheaper than 95.26% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRK has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
GPRK's earnings are expected to decrease with -12.88% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.27%, GPRK is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.51, GPRK pays a better dividend. On top of this GPRK pays more dividend than 83.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GPRK's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.37.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.27% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of GPRK grows each year by 69.74%, which is quite nice.
GPRK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As GPRK did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)69.74%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
37.90% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GPRK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP37.9%
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
7.11
-0.13 (-1.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners37.8%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners21.28%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap364.81M
Analysts84.44
Price Target12.24 (72.15%)
Short Float %4.87%
Short Ratio1.77
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.27% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)69.74%
DP37.9%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.59%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.15%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.59%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.15%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-20.72%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.27%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-9.12%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-5.88%
PT rev (3m)-15.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-23.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-10.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-13.84%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.01 | ||
| P/S | 0.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.2 | ||
| P/B | 1.73 | ||
| P/tB | 1.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2 |
EPS(TTM)1.53
EY21.52%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY11.09%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY38.25%
OCF(TTM)5.94
OCFY83.51%
SpS12.29
BVpS4.11
TBVpS4.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.62% | ||
| ROE | 37.62% | ||
| ROCE | 24.85% | ||
| ROIC | 19.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 28.82% | ||
| ROICexgc | 28.82% | ||
| OM | 38.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.56% | ||
| GM | 73.51% | ||
| FCFM | 22.12% |
ROA(3y)14%
ROA(5y)4.91%
ROE(3y)101.54%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)35.84%
ROIC(5y)28.65%
ROICexc(3y)49.22%
ROICexc(5y)37.96%
ROICexgc(3y)49.22%
ROICexgc(5y)37.96%
ROCE(3y)45.37%
ROCE(5y)36.27%
ROICexcg growth 3Y0.32%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.25%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y1.57%
PM growth 3Y18.01%
PM growth 5Y9.68%
GM growth 3Y2.36%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 123.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 26.18% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 176.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
F-Score5
WACC8.48%
ROIC/WACC2.32
Cap/Depr(3y)161.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.85%
Profit Quality(3y)171.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.39%
EPS 3Y17.7%
EPS 5Y14.54%
EPS Q2Q%-51.85%
EPS Next Y-40.83%
EPS Next 2Y-33.98%
EPS Next 3Y-12.88%
EPS Next 5Y-1.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.94%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y1%
Sales Q2Q%-17.99%
Revenue Next Year-20.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.46%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.58%
Revenue Next 5Y-4.73%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.7%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.95%
EBIT growth 5Y2.58%
EBIT Next Year20.11%
EBIT Next 3Y8.49%
EBIT Next 5Y8.84%
FCF growth 1Y-52.75%
FCF growth 3Y47.31%
FCF growth 5Y20.72%
OCF growth 1Y-35.14%
OCF growth 3Y29.52%
OCF growth 5Y14.88%