GEOPARK LTD (GPRK) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GPRK - BMG383271050 - Common Stock
6.21 USD
-0.09 (-1.43%)
6.22 USD
+0.01 (+0.16%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to GPRK. GPRK was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. GPRK scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GPRK is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. GPRK also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes GPRK very considerable for value and dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GPRK was profitable.
In the past year GPRK had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years GPRK 4 years were profitable.
GPRK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.62%, GPRK is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.86% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRK has a better Return On Equity (37.62%) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
GPRK has a better Return On Invested Capital (19.63%) than 95.71% of its industry peers.
GPRK had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 35.84%. This is significantly above the industry average of 21.90%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (19.63%) for GPRK is well below the 3 year average (35.84%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that GPRK had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.62% | ||
| ROE | 37.62% | ||
| ROIC | 19.63% |
ROA(3y)14%
ROA(5y)4.91%
ROE(3y)101.54%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)35.84%
ROIC(5y)28.65%
1.3 Margins
GPRK has a Profit Margin of 12.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: GPRK outperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GPRK has a better Operating Margin (38.05%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GPRK has a Gross Margin of 73.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GPRK outperforms 84.76% of its industry peers.
GPRK's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 38.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.56% | ||
| GM | 73.51% |
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y1.57%
PM growth 3Y18.01%
PM growth 5Y9.68%
GM growth 3Y2.36%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GPRK is creating value.
GPRK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRK has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPRK has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that GPRK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRK has a better Altman-Z score (1.78) than 62.38% of its industry peers.
GPRK has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.90. This is a neutral value as GPRK would need 4.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRK (4.90) is better than 65.71% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.11 is on the high side and indicates that GPRK has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GPRK (3.11) is worse than 84.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
ROIC/WACC2.5
WACC7.86%
2.3 Liquidity
GPRK has a Current Ratio of 1.96. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRK is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GPRK (1.96) is better than 75.24% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.92 indicates that GPRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GPRK (1.92) is better than 76.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.92 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GPRK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -31.43%.
GPRK shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 14.54% yearly.
The Revenue for GPRK has decreased by -12.66% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.00% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.43%
EPS 3Y17.7%
EPS 5Y14.54%
EPS Q2Q%-18.37%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y1%
Sales Q2Q%-37.02%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 1.05% on average over the next years.
GPRK is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.21% yearly.
EPS Next Y-72.39%
EPS Next 2Y-28.19%
EPS Next 3Y-14.99%
EPS Next 5Y1.05%
Revenue Next Year-28.23%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.09%
Revenue Next 3Y-12.81%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.21%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 4.31, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GPRK.
96.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GPRK, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
GPRK is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.27, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.65 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GPRK.
GPRK's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GPRK is cheaper than 88.10% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.77. GPRK is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GPRK is valued cheaper than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
96.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GPRK, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 2.28 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRK has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
GPRK's earnings are expected to decrease with -14.99% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
EPS Next 2Y-28.19%
EPS Next 3Y-14.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GPRK has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.17%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.15, GPRK pays a better dividend. On top of this GPRK pays more dividend than 87.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, GPRK pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.17% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of GPRK grows each year by 69.74%, which is quite nice.
GPRK has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As GPRK did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)69.74%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
37.90% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GPRK. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GPRK is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP37.9%
EPS Next 2Y-28.19%
EPS Next 3Y-14.99%
6.21
-0.09 (-1.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners37.33%
Inst Owner Change-9.32%
Ins Owners21.28%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap318.64M
Analysts81.82
Price Target9.35 (50.56%)
Short Float %8.09%
Short Ratio4.56
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.17% |
Yearly Dividend0.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)69.74%
DP37.9%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-44.59%
Max EPS beat(2)-17.15%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-44.59%
Max EPS beat(4)-17.15%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-20.72%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-14.27%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-9.12%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-20.29%
PT rev (3m)-23.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-53.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.88%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-18.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 4.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.65 | ||
| P/S | 0.51 | ||
| P/FCF | 2.28 | ||
| P/OCF | 1.05 | ||
| P/B | 1.51 | ||
| P/tB | 1.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 1.86 |
EPS(TTM)1.44
EY23.19%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY15.03%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY43.79%
OCF(TTM)5.94
OCFY95.61%
SpS12.29
BVpS4.11
TBVpS4.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.3
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.62% | ||
| ROE | 37.62% | ||
| ROCE | 24.85% | ||
| ROIC | 19.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 28.82% | ||
| ROICexgc | 28.82% | ||
| OM | 38.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.56% | ||
| GM | 73.51% | ||
| FCFM | 22.12% |
ROA(3y)14%
ROA(5y)4.91%
ROE(3y)101.54%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)35.84%
ROIC(5y)28.65%
ROICexc(3y)49.22%
ROICexc(5y)37.96%
ROICexgc(3y)49.22%
ROICexgc(5y)37.96%
ROCE(3y)45.37%
ROCE(5y)36.27%
ROICexcg growth 3Y0.32%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.25%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.25%
OM growth 3Y-1.62%
OM growth 5Y1.57%
PM growth 3Y18.01%
PM growth 5Y9.68%
GM growth 3Y2.36%
GM growth 5Y0.63%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 123.18% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 26.18% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 176.05% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
F-Score5
WACC7.86%
ROIC/WACC2.5
Cap/Depr(3y)161.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.85%
Profit Quality(3y)171.7%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.43%
EPS 3Y17.7%
EPS 5Y14.54%
EPS Q2Q%-18.37%
EPS Next Y-72.39%
EPS Next 2Y-28.19%
EPS Next 3Y-14.99%
EPS Next 5Y1.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.66%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.36%
Revenue growth 5Y1%
Sales Q2Q%-37.02%
Revenue Next Year-28.23%
Revenue Next 2Y-17.09%
Revenue Next 3Y-12.81%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.21%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.7%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.95%
EBIT growth 5Y2.58%
EBIT Next Year9.9%
EBIT Next 3Y7.06%
EBIT Next 5Y6.37%
FCF growth 1Y-52.75%
FCF growth 3Y47.31%
FCF growth 5Y20.72%
OCF growth 1Y-35.14%
OCF growth 3Y29.52%
OCF growth 5Y14.88%