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GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GPRE - Nasdaq - US3932221043 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.41  -0.09 (-2.71%)

After market: 3.41 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, GPRE scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GPRE was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GPRE have multiple concerns. GPRE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GPRE has reported negative net income.
GPRE had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGPRE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -4.63%, GPRE is not doing good in the industry: 78.30% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GPRE's Return On Equity of -9.53% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE is outperformed by 75.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.63%
ROE -9.53%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGPRE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

1.3 Margins

GPRE has a worse Gross Margin (5.31%) than 77.83% of its industry peers.
GPRE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GPRE so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 5.31%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
GPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGPRE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for GPRE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GPRE is higher compared to a year ago.
GPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingGPRE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGPRE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.26, we must say that GPRE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GPRE has a Altman-Z score (1.26) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GPRE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GPRE has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.66) than 63.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.26
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.43%
GPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGPRE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.48 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.48, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.57% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that GPRE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE's Quick ratio of 0.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GPRE outperforms 44.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.48
Quick Ratio 0.89
GPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGPRE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 16.05% over the past year.
The Revenue for GPRE has decreased by -25.39% in the past year. This is quite bad
GPRE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.34% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-816.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-18.02%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 57.49% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.70% on average per year.
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y52.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.3%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue Next Year0.63%
Revenue Next 2Y1.8%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B
GPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGPRE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year GPRE is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
GPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGPRE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

GPRE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GPRE is more expensive than 75.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 39.37
GPRE Per share dataGPRE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 43.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y52.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.3%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GPRE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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GREEN PLAINS INC

NASDAQ:GPRE (4/23/2025, 6:14:19 PM)

After market: 3.41 0 (0%)

3.41

-0.09 (-2.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-07 2025-02-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners100.26%
Inst Owner Change-1.08%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change3.67%
Market Cap220.73M
Analysts75
Price Target11.33 (232.26%)
Short Float %13.09%
Short Ratio4.33
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-36.76%
DP-6.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)98.7%
Min EPS beat(2)-165.14%
Max EPS beat(2)362.54%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-47.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-213.36%
Max EPS beat(4)362.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-979.84%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-751.77%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-582.26%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.17%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.52%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.65%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.88%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.59%
PT rev (1m)-17.7%
PT rev (3m)-48.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-440.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-23.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)-286.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.09
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.26
P/tB 0.26
EV/EBITDA 39.37
EPS(TTM)-1.36
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.81
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.93
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.46
OCFYN/A
SpS37.99
BVpS13.37
TBVpS13.17
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.63%
ROE -9.53%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 5.31%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.15%
ROA(5y)-5.08%
ROE(3y)-11.53%
ROE(5y)-11.67%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.46%
GM growth 5Y30.95%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 46.21
Cap/Depr 104.96%
Cap/Sales 3.87%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.48
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 1.26
F-Score3
WACC7.43%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)148.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)16.05%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-816.67%
EPS Next Y40.53%
EPS Next 2Y52.53%
EPS Next 3Y43.3%
EPS Next 5Y57.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.39%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.55%
Revenue growth 5Y0.34%
Sales Q2Q%-18.02%
Revenue Next Year0.63%
Revenue Next 2Y1.8%
Revenue Next 3Y8.55%
Revenue Next 5Y8.7%
EBIT growth 1Y-16.96%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year196.53%
EBIT Next 3Y86.55%
EBIT Next 5Y63.88%
FCF growth 1Y-141.65%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-153.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A