GREEN PLAINS INC (GPRE)
US3932221043 - Common Stock
We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to GPRE. GPRE was compared to 205 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GPRE have multiple concerns. GPRE has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GPRE has reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GPRE always reported negative net income.
GPRE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -1.16%, GPRE is doing worse than 78.92% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of GPRE (-2.20%) is worse than 75.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.16% | ||
| ROE | -2.2% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-4.62%
ROA(5y)-6.12%
ROE(3y)-10.66%
ROE(5y)-14.2%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GPRE has a Gross Margin of 7.89%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GPRE underperforms 75.49% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GPRE has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GPRE so they could not be analyzed.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 7.89% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y-2.72%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GPRE does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GPRE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GPRE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.82 indicates that GPRE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.82, GPRE is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GPRE is 51.82, which is on the high side as it means it would take GPRE, 51.82 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GPRE has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (51.82) than 65.20% of its industry peers.
GPRE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.60. This is a neutral value indicating GPRE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GPRE has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.60) than 61.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.82 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.87%
2.3 Liquidity
GPRE has a Current Ratio of 1.78. This is a normal value and indicates that GPRE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.78, GPRE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.08% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.16 indicates that GPRE should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GPRE has a Quick ratio of 1.16. This is in the better half of the industry: GPRE outperforms 60.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GPRE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 84.17%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, GPRE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -26.02% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.01% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)84.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.02%
Revenue growth 3Y19.66%
Revenue growth 5Y2.01%
Sales Q2Q%-26.21%
3.2 Future
GPRE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 48.39% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GPRE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y53.41%
EPS Next 2Y50.55%
EPS Next 3Y44.9%
EPS Next 5Y48.39%
Revenue Next Year-25.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.16%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.05%
Revenue Next 5Y1.18%
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GPRE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.72 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GPRE.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GPRE is valued a bit more expensive than 65.69% of the companies in the same industry.
GPRE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GPRE indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GPRE is more expensive than 63.73% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GPRE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GPRE is more expensive than 61.76% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 56.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GPRE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GPRE's earnings are expected to grow with 44.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y50.55%
EPS Next 3Y44.9%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GPRE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
GREEN PLAINS INC
NASDAQ:GPRE (12/20/2024, 8:15:25 PM)
After market: 9.38 0 (0%)9.38
+0.16 (+1.74%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners99.68%
Inst Owner Change-2.48%
Ins Owners9.79%
Ins Owner Change0.33%
Market Cap606.42M
Analysts80
Price Target22.11 (135.71%)
Short Float %10.74%
Short Ratio6.02
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)-17.56%
DP-25.72%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)74.59%
Min EPS beat(2)-213.36%
Max EPS beat(2)362.54%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-11.95%
Min EPS beat(4)-213.36%
Max EPS beat(4)362.54%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-979.14%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-749.2%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-584.66%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.17%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.68%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.17%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.46%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.24%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.95%
PT rev (1m)-11.63%
PT rev (3m)-19.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-167.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)11.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)26.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.88%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.72 | ||
| P/S | 0.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 56.51 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.58 | ||
| P/B | 0.66 | ||
| P/tB | 0.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11 |
EPS(TTM)-0.38
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.43
Fwd EY4.6%
FCF(TTM)0.17
FCFY1.77%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY17.93%
SpS40.02
BVpS14.32
TBVpS14.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.16% | ||
| ROE | -2.2% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | N/A | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 7.89% | ||
| FCFM | 0.41% |
ROA(3y)-4.62%
ROA(5y)-6.12%
ROE(3y)-10.66%
ROE(5y)-14.2%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y-2.72%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.47
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.6 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.82 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.79% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | 149.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.78 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.82 |
F-Score5
WACC7.87%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)180.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.76%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.91%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)84.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%97.14%
EPS Next Y53.41%
EPS Next 2Y50.55%
EPS Next 3Y44.9%
EPS Next 5Y48.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.02%
Revenue growth 3Y19.66%
Revenue growth 5Y2.01%
Sales Q2Q%-26.21%
Revenue Next Year-25.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.16%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.05%
Revenue Next 5Y1.18%
EBIT growth 1Y80.64%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year196.54%
EBIT Next 3Y89.38%
EBIT Next 5Y56.53%
FCF growth 1Y104.31%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y4631.25%
OCF growth 3Y-17.1%
OCF growth 5Y7.64%