CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GOOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA1350861060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall GOOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GOOS against 48 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. GOOS scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. GOOS has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOOS had positive earnings in the past year.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GOOS's Return On Assets of 5.86% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 64.58% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 17.52%, GOOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.47%) than 60.42% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GOOS is below the industry average of 11.45%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.34%) for GOOS is below the current ROIC(9.47%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.86% | ||
| ROE | 17.52% | ||
| ROIC | 9.47% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
GOOS's Profit Margin of 7.03% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a Operating Margin of 11.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 79.17% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS's Gross Margin of 69.94% is amongst the best of the industry. GOOS outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.03% | ||
| GM | 69.94% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GOOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for GOOS has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOOS has less shares outstanding
GOOS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GOOS has an Altman-Z score of 2.73. This is not the best score and indicates that GOOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GOOS has a Altman-Z score (2.73) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 2.71, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 2.71 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GOOS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.71. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GOOS (1.21) is worse than 77.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.73 |
ROIC/WACC1.27
WACC7.44%
2.3 Liquidity
GOOS has a Current Ratio of 2.67. This indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS has a Current ratio of 2.67. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 70.83% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.50. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.50, GOOS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.84% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.58% on average over the past years.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.09%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.07% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.84%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%73.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.09%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%7.43%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GOOS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.52% on average per year.
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.00% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y5.14%
Revenue Next 3Y4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.89 indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.45, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.74, the valuation of GOOS can be described as correct.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 60.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.90, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GOOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GOOS is valued cheaper than 89.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of GOOS may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)10.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOOS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
12.06
+0.18 (+1.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.59%
Inst Owner Change-9.83%
Ins Owners2.4%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.17B
Analysts50
Price Target11.5 (-4.64%)
Short Float %20.2%
Short Ratio7.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)18.81%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(2)41.69%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)59.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.08%
Max EPS beat(4)196.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)74.08%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.42%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)109.44%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.13%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.13%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.46%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.28%
PT rev (1m)8.5%
PT rev (3m)19.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.74 | ||
| P/S | 1.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.81 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.45 | ||
| P/B | 2.94 | ||
| P/tB | 4.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY6.72%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY6.78%
FCF(TTM)2.08
FCFY17.23%
OCF(TTM)2.21
OCFY18.35%
SpS10.2
BVpS4.1
TBVpS2.55
PEG (NY)10.03
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.86% | ||
| ROE | 17.52% | ||
| ROCE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 9.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.79% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.27% | ||
| OM | 11.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.03% | ||
| GM | 69.94% | ||
| FCFM | 20.36% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.83
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 13.7% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.33% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.99 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 102.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | 289.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.73 |
F-Score7
WACC7.44%
ROIC/WACC1.27
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.84%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%73.68%
EPS Next Y1.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.13%
EPS Next 3Y6.52%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.09%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%7.43%
Revenue Next Year4.46%
Revenue Next 2Y5.14%
Revenue Next 3Y4%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.4%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year84.71%
EBIT Next 3Y22.94%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y152.53%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y77.64%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%