CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
12.93 USD
-0.05 (-0.39%)
12.93 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GOOS scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GOOS was compared to 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GOOS while its profitability can be described as average. GOOS has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GOOS was profitable.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GOOS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GOOS (1.64%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.23%, GOOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.11% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 6.14%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.11% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GOOS is below the industry average of 11.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.92%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GOOS (6.91%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GOOS (70.12%) is better than 97.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GOOS is destroying value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GOOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GOOS has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GOOS has an Altman-Z score of 2.40. This is not the best score and indicates that GOOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.40, GOOS is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 3.89, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 3.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GOOS's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.89 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.66 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.66, GOOS is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.4 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC10.05%
2.3 Liquidity
GOOS has a Current Ratio of 1.89. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.89, GOOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.89. This is a bad value and indicates that GOOS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.82, GOOS is doing worse than 68.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.66%.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.58% on average per year.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.71%.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.95% on average over the next years.
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.97%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.84%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.68 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GOOS.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GOOS.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.22, GOOS is valued at the same level.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.35, which indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GOOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.58), we can say GOOS is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
86.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOOS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
12.93
-0.05 (-0.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.13%
Inst Owner Change-12.09%
Ins Owners2.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.26B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)26.40M
Analysts74.67
Price Target14.2 (9.82%)
Short Float %8.93%
Short Ratio6.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(4)41.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)46.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)46.71%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)92.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.57%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.5%
PT rev (1m)-0.48%
PT rev (3m)2.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.68 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.35 | ||
| P/S | 1.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.47 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.59 | ||
| P/B | 4.08 | ||
| P/tB | 7.78 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.7 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY4.41%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY6.52%
FCF(TTM)1.53
FCFY11.81%
OCF(TTM)1.7
OCFY13.18%
SpS10.28
BVpS3.17
TBVpS1.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 8.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.11% | ||
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% | ||
| FCFM | 14.86% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.79 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 772.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.4 |
F-Score7
WACC10.05%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
EPS Next Y-6.97%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year8.84%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year87.97%
EBIT Next 3Y29.25%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y802.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y169.35%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 3 / 10.