CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
13.19 USD
-0.41 (-3.01%)
13.19 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GOOS scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GOOS was compared to 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GOOS get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GOOS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOOS had positive earnings in the past year.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GOOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 1.64%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a Return On Equity (6.23%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GOOS (6.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is below the industry average of 11.59%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of GOOS (1.92%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a Operating Margin of 6.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 70.12%, GOOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.78% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GOOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOOS has less shares outstanding
GOOS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.42 indicates that GOOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.42, GOOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS is 3.89, which is a good value as it means it would take GOOS, 3.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GOOS's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.89 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.66 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
GOOS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.66) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC10.2%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.89 indicates that GOOS should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.89, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.82 indicates that GOOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GOOS (0.82) is worse than 68.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GOOS have decreased by -3.66% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.58% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.71% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.95% yearly.
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-9.05%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.06%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 23.14, the valuation of GOOS can be described as rather expensive.
62.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, GOOS is valued at the same level.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.79, GOOS is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.44% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GOOS is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GOOS.
86.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOOS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
13.19
-0.41 (-3.01%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.2%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners2.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.28B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)26.40M
Analysts74.67
Price Target14.35 (8.79%)
Short Float %8.14%
Short Ratio4.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(4)41.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)46.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)46.71%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)92.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.57%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.5%
PT rev (1m)1.06%
PT rev (3m)7.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.79 | ||
| P/S | 1.29 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.71 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.81 | ||
| P/B | 4.19 | ||
| P/tB | 8.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.9 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY6.33%
FCF(TTM)1.51
FCFY11.48%
OCF(TTM)1.69
OCFY12.8%
SpS10.19
BVpS3.14
TBVpS1.65
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.35
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 8.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.11% | ||
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% | ||
| FCFM | 14.86% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.79 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 772.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.42 |
F-Score7
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
EPS Next Y-9.05%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year9.06%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year87.97%
EBIT Next 3Y29.25%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y802.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y169.35%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status for GOOS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 23.14 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.19.
How financially healthy is CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 4 / 10.