CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
12.95 USD
-0.14 (-1.07%)
12.95 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GOOS gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GOOS against 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. GOOS has an average financial health and profitability rating. GOOS has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOOS had positive earnings in the past year.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GOOS has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years GOOS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GOOS's Return On Assets of 1.64% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Return On Equity of 6.23%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 51.11% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Return On Invested Capital (6.14%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GOOS is below the industry average of 11.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
GOOS has a Profit Margin (1.92%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.91%, GOOS is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.78% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS has a Gross Margin of 70.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GOOS outperforms 97.78% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GOOS is destroying value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOOS has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GOOS has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GOOS has an Altman-Z score of 2.39. This is not the best score and indicates that GOOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.39, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.22% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.89. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GOOS would need 3.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOOS (3.89) is better than 64.44% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.66. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GOOS's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.66 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC10.18%
2.3 Liquidity
GOOS has a Current Ratio of 1.89. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS has a Current ratio (1.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.82 indicates that GOOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GOOS's Quick ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS is outperformed by 68.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GOOS have decreased by -3.66% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.58% on average over the past years.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.71%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.07% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GOOS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.95% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-9.05%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.06%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.33 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GOOS.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GOOS.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GOOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.51), we can say GOOS is valued inline with the index average.
GOOS is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.29.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.29 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GOOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GOOS indicates a rather cheap valuation: GOOS is cheaper than 86.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GOOS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
12.95
-0.14 (-1.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.13%
Inst Owner Change-12.09%
Ins Owners2.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.26B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)26.40M
Analysts74.67
Price Target14.35 (10.81%)
Short Float %8.14%
Short Ratio4.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(4)41.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)46.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)46.71%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)92.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.57%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.5%
PT rev (1m)1.6%
PT rev (3m)3.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.29 | ||
| P/S | 1.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.56 | ||
| P/B | 4.06 | ||
| P/tB | 7.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.64 |
EPS(TTM)0.58
EY4.48%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY6.54%
FCF(TTM)1.53
FCFY11.85%
OCF(TTM)1.71
OCFY13.22%
SpS10.33
BVpS3.19
TBVpS1.67
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.45
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 8.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.11% | ||
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% | ||
| FCFM | 14.86% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.79 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 772.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score7
WACC10.18%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
EPS Next Y-9.05%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year9.06%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year87.97%
EBIT Next 3Y29.25%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y802.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y169.35%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status for GOOS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 22.33 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.06.
How financially healthy is CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 4 / 10.