CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GOOS - CA1350861060 - Common Stock
12.87 USD
-0.11 (-0.85%)
12.87 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GOOS scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GOOS was compared to 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. While GOOS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GOOS has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GOOS was profitable.
In the past year GOOS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GOOS has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years GOOS had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
GOOS has a Return On Assets (1.64%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GOOS has a Return On Equity (6.23%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOOS has a Return On Invested Capital (6.14%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOOS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.34%. This is below the industry average of 11.73%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
1.3 Margins
GOOS's Profit Margin of 1.92% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GOOS has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 6.91%, GOOS perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 70.12%, GOOS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.78% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% |
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GOOS is destroying value.
GOOS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GOOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GOOS has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.39 indicates that GOOS is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.39, GOOS is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GOOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.89. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GOOS would need 3.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GOOS has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.89. This is in the better half of the industry: GOOS outperforms 64.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.66 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
GOOS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.66) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
ROIC/WACC0.61
WACC10.05%
2.3 Liquidity
GOOS has a Current Ratio of 1.89. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS has a Current ratio of 1.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOOS outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.82 indicates that GOOS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GOOS's Quick ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS is outperformed by 68.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.66%.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.58% on average per year.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.71%.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GOOS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.95% on average per year.
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.24% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.97%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.84%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.58 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GOOS.
GOOS's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GOOS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.39.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.31 indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GOOS is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. GOOS is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GOOS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
86.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for GOOS!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
12.87
-0.11 (-0.85%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.13%
Inst Owner Change-12.09%
Ins Owners2.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.25B
Revenue(TTM)1.37B
Net Income(TTM)26.40M
Analysts74.67
Price Target14.2 (10.33%)
Short Float %8.93%
Short Ratio6.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)1.46%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.56%
Max EPS beat(4)41.69%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)46.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)46.71%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)92.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.57%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.5%
PT rev (1m)-0.48%
PT rev (3m)2.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.77%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.31 | ||
| P/S | 1.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.57 | ||
| P/B | 4.07 | ||
| P/tB | 7.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.65 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY4.43%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY6.53%
FCF(TTM)1.52
FCFY11.84%
OCF(TTM)1.7
OCFY13.21%
SpS10.25
BVpS3.17
TBVpS1.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number6.37
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.64% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 8.06% | ||
| ROIC | 6.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.11% | ||
| OM | 6.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.92% | ||
| GM | 70.12% | ||
| FCFM | 14.86% |
ROA(3y)4.79%
ROA(5y)5.16%
ROE(3y)15.67%
ROE(5y)15.36%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)9.05%
ROICexc(3y)10.54%
ROICexc(5y)12.3%
ROICexgc(3y)13.29%
ROICexgc(5y)15.83%
ROCE(3y)10.65%
ROCE(5y)11.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.75%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-7.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.1%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.39%
OM growth 3Y-8.46%
OM growth 5Y-11.15%
PM growth 3Y-6.54%
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y1.55%
GM growth 5Y2.46%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.85
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.34% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.79 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 101.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 772.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.39 |
F-Score7
WACC10.05%
ROIC/WACC0.61
Cap/Depr(3y)33.84%
Cap/Depr(5y)35.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.25%
Profit Quality(3y)190.15%
Profit Quality(5y)242.29%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.66%
EPS 3Y-0.89%
EPS 5Y-3.58%
EPS Q2Q%-380%
EPS Next Y-6.97%
EPS Next 2Y2.67%
EPS Next 3Y5.95%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%
Revenue growth 3Y7.07%
Revenue growth 5Y7.07%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year8.84%
Revenue Next 2Y7.48%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-25.76%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.86%
EBIT Next Year87.97%
EBIT Next 3Y29.25%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y802.66%
FCF growth 3Y33.41%
FCF growth 5Y324.13%
OCF growth 1Y169.35%
OCF growth 3Y24.48%
OCF growth 5Y36.15%
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC / GOOS FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOOS.
What is the valuation status of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOOS stock?
CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) stock?
The financial health rating of CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) is 3 / 10.