CANADA GOOSE HOLDINGS INC (GOOS) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GOOS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA1350861060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall GOOS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GOOS against 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. GOOS has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. GOOS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GOOS was profitable.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GOOS has always been profitable.
GOOS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GOOS has a better Return On Assets (4.22%) than 65.31% of its industry peers.
GOOS's Return On Equity of 14.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a Return On Invested Capital (7.41%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GOOS is below the industry average of 11.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.22% | ||
| ROE | 14.7% | ||
| ROIC | 7.41% |
ROA(3y)5.1%
ROA(5y)6.72%
ROE(3y)15.87%
ROE(5y)17.69%
ROIC(3y)8.44%
ROIC(5y)10.1%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.50%, GOOS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.31% of the companies in the same industry.
GOOS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GOOS's Operating Margin of 9.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 69.39% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOOS has declined.
GOOS's Gross Margin of 68.22% is amongst the best of the industry. GOOS outperforms 97.96% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOOS has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 68.22% |
OM growth 3Y-16.63%
OM growth 5Y-17.85%
PM growth 3Y-17.4%
PM growth 5Y-24.02%
GM growth 3Y3.91%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GOOS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GOOS has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GOOS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GOOS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GOOS has an Altman-Z score of 2.30. This is not the best score and indicates that GOOS is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GOOS has a Altman-Z score of 2.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: GOOS underperforms 65.31% of its industry peers.
GOOS has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.89. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as GOOS would need 3.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GOOS's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOOS outperforms 51.02% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.50 is on the high side and indicates that GOOS has dependencies on debt financing.
GOOS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.50) than 83.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.3 |
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC8.84%
2.3 Liquidity
GOOS has a Current Ratio of 2.01. This indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
GOOS has a Current ratio (2.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOOS has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that GOOS is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GOOS (1.14) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.14 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOOS shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.16%.
Measured over the past years, GOOS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -5.45% on average per year.
GOOS shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.16%.
GOOS shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.94% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.16%
EPS 3Y9.83%
EPS 5Y-5.45%
EPS Q2Q%15.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.16%
Revenue growth 3Y13.86%
Revenue growth 5Y9.94%
Sales Q2Q%4.47%
3.2 Future
GOOS is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.09% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, GOOS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.17% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.11%
EPS Next 2Y5.3%
EPS Next 3Y6.09%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.12%
Revenue Next 2Y3.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.17%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GOOS is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.26.
69.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOOS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GOOS to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.62), we can say GOOS is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.07, which indicates a correct valuation of GOOS.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.47% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GOOS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.55% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GOOS's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GOOS is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.7 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
GOOS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)6.76
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.3%
EPS Next 3Y6.09%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOOS does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
10.41
-0.04 (-0.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners76.51%
Inst Owner Change-87.51%
Ins Owners1.91%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.01B
Analysts51.58
Price Target10.54 (1.25%)
Short Float %22.8%
Short Ratio11.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)98.23%
Min EPS beat(2)0.35%
Max EPS beat(2)196.12%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)91.38%
Min EPS beat(4)0.35%
Max EPS beat(4)196.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)72.29%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)122.81%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)113.91%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.92%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.25%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.64%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.54%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.7%
PT rev (1m)-0.27%
PT rev (3m)-14.42%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.28%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.07 | ||
| P/S | 1.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.7 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.02 | ||
| P/B | 2.89 | ||
| P/tB | 4.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY7.01%
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY7.65%
FCF(TTM)1.55
FCFY14.93%
OCF(TTM)1.73
OCFY16.6%
SpS9.62
BVpS3.6
TBVpS2.12
PEG (NY)6.76
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.22% | ||
| ROE | 14.7% | ||
| ROCE | 10.37% | ||
| ROIC | 7.41% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.45% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.76% | ||
| OM | 9.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 68.22% | ||
| FCFM | 16.16% |
ROA(3y)5.1%
ROA(5y)6.72%
ROE(3y)15.87%
ROE(5y)17.69%
ROIC(3y)8.44%
ROIC(5y)10.1%
ROICexc(3y)10.73%
ROICexc(5y)12.68%
ROICexgc(3y)13.46%
ROICexgc(5y)16.47%
ROCE(3y)11.34%
ROCE(5y)13.49%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.67%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-26.68%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-21.87%
OM growth 3Y-16.63%
OM growth 5Y-17.85%
PM growth 3Y-17.4%
PM growth 5Y-24.02%
GM growth 3Y3.91%
GM growth 5Y2.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 18.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.81% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.68% | ||
| Profit Quality | 293.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.3 |
F-Score6
WACC8.84%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)41.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.28%
Profit Quality(3y)134.37%
Profit Quality(5y)184.41%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.16%
EPS 3Y9.83%
EPS 5Y-5.45%
EPS Q2Q%15.31%
EPS Next Y2.11%
EPS Next 2Y5.3%
EPS Next 3Y6.09%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.16%
Revenue growth 3Y13.86%
Revenue growth 5Y9.94%
Sales Q2Q%4.47%
Revenue Next Year2.12%
Revenue Next 2Y3.32%
Revenue Next 3Y4.17%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y40.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-9.69%
EBIT Next Year91.39%
EBIT Next 3Y18.71%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y318.82%
FCF growth 3Y-33.17%
FCF growth 5Y35.16%
OCF growth 1Y173.93%
OCF growth 3Y-25.38%
OCF growth 5Y17.53%