GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:GOGL • BMG396372051
Current stock price
7.98 USD
-0.22 (-2.68%)
At close:
8 USD
+0.02 (+0.25%)
After Hours:
This GOGL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. GOGL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- GOGL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GOGL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years GOGL 4 years were profitable.
- GOGL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.35%, GOGL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.23%, GOGL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- GOGL's Return On Invested Capital of 4.92% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GOGL is in line with the industry average of 6.44%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 13.16%, GOGL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.92%, GOGL is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of GOGL (42.48%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GOGL has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% |
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
2. GOGL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GOGL is still creating some value.
- GOGL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, GOGL has more shares outstanding
- GOGL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- GOGL has an Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that GOGL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GOGL has a Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
- GOGL has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GOGL would need 8.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- GOGL has a Debt to FCF ratio (8.36) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66 indicates that GOGL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of GOGL (0.66) is worse than 63.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.3%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that GOGL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of GOGL (0.81) is worse than 77.78% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that GOGL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- GOGL has a Quick ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: GOGL underperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. GOGL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GOGL have decreased strongly by -38.71% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, GOGL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.14% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -7.73% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, GOGL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GOGL will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -6.41% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. GOGL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.00, the valuation of GOGL can be described as correct.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GOGL is on the same level as its industry peers.
- GOGL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.61, the valuation of GOGL can be described as very cheap.
- GOGL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOGL is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- GOGL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GOGL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GOGL is more expensive than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- 63.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GOGL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of GOGL may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as GOGL's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.41% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
5. GOGL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- GOGL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.03%, which is a nice return.
- GOGL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 8.30. GOGL pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- GOGL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of GOGL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 29.94%!
- GOGL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- GOGL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 184.66% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GOGL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- GOGL's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP184.66%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
GOGL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
7.98
-0.22 (-2.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryMarine Transportation
Earnings (Last)08-21 2025-08-21/amc
Earnings (Next)11-28 2025-11-28/amc
Inst Owners35.39%
Inst Owner Change-99.98%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.59B
Revenue(TTM)863.61M
Net Income(TTM)113.69M
Analysts76.36
Price Target8.44 (5.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
DP184.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-31.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)-26.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(4)2.68%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)14.66%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)15.76%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)18.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)15.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.68%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.6%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)18.12%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.97%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-26.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 | ||
| P/S | 1.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.46 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY7.14%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY13.13%
FCF(TTM)0.87
FCFY10.85%
OCF(TTM)1.23
OCFY15.47%
SpS4.33
BVpS9.16
TBVpS9.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.1% | ||
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% | ||
| FCFM | 19.99% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
ROICexc(3y)7.79%
ROICexc(5y)7.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.79%
ROICexgc(5y)7.57%
ROCE(3y)9.45%
ROCE(5y)9.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.87%
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.69 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 151.83% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score5
WACC7.3%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)156.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.77%
EBIT growth 5Y23.81%
EBIT Next Year-9.8%
EBIT Next 3Y7.29%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-32.86%
FCF growth 3Y31.74%
FCF growth 5Y18.21%
OCF growth 1Y-46.05%
OCF growth 3Y-13.29%
OCF growth 5Y18.19%
GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD / GOGL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GOGL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOGL.
Can you provide the valuation status for GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOGL stock?
GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD?
The financial health rating of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) is expected to decline by -53.55% in the next year.