7.98 USD
-0.22 (-2.68%)
8 USD
+0.02 (+0.25%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GOGL. GOGL was compared to 35 industry peers in the Marine Transportation industry. While GOGL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GOGL is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOGL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GOGL had a positive cash flow from operations.
GOGL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GOGL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
GOGL's Return On Assets of 3.35% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 6.23%, GOGL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
GOGL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.92%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
GOGL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.46%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.59%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of GOGL (13.16%) is better than 63.89% of its industry peers.
GOGL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GOGL has a Operating Margin (21.92%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
GOGL's Gross Margin of 42.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 47.22% of its industry peers.
GOGL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% |
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GOGL is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for GOGL remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GOGL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GOGL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.13, we must say that GOGL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.13, GOGL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
GOGL has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.36. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GOGL would need 8.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GOGL has a Debt to FCF ratio (8.36) which is in line with its industry peers.
GOGL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating GOGL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.66, GOGL is doing worse than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.3%
2.3 Liquidity
GOGL has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that GOGL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOGL has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that GOGL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GOGL (0.81) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GOGL have decreased strongly by -38.71% in the last year.
GOGL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.14% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GOGL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.73% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.53% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -6.41% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, GOGL will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.00, the valuation of GOGL can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GOGL.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.25. GOGL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.61, the valuation of GOGL can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GOGL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GOGL is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.98, GOGL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GOGL is valued a bit more expensive than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
GOGL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOGL is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GOGL may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as GOGL's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.41% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOGL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.03%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 53.09, GOGL pays a better dividend. On top of this GOGL pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GOGL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GOGL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 29.94%!
GOGL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GOGL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
184.66% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GOGL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GOGL's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP184.66%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
7.98
-0.22 (-2.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryMarine Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.39%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.59B
Revenue(TTM)863.61M
Net Income(TTM)113.69M
Analysts76.36
Price Target8.44 (5.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
DP184.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-31.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)-26.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(4)2.68%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)14.66%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)15.76%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)18.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)15.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.68%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.6%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)18.12%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.97%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-26.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 | ||
| P/S | 1.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.46 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY7.14%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY13.13%
FCF(TTM)0.87
FCFY10.85%
OCF(TTM)1.23
OCFY15.47%
SpS4.33
BVpS9.16
TBVpS9.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.1% | ||
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% | ||
| FCFM | 19.99% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
ROICexc(3y)7.79%
ROICexc(5y)7.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.79%
ROICexgc(5y)7.57%
ROCE(3y)9.45%
ROCE(5y)9.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.87%
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.69 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 151.83% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score5
WACC7.3%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)156.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.77%
EBIT growth 5Y23.81%
EBIT Next Year-9.8%
EBIT Next 3Y7.29%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-32.86%
FCF growth 3Y31.74%
FCF growth 5Y18.21%
OCF growth 1Y-46.05%
OCF growth 3Y-13.29%
OCF growth 5Y18.19%
GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD / GOGL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GOGL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOGL.
Can you provide the valuation status for GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOGL stock?
GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD?
The financial health rating of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) is expected to decline by -53.55% in the next year.