GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GOGL - BMG396372051 - Common Stock
7.98 USD
-0.22 (-2.68%)
8 USD
+0.02 (+0.25%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GOGL. GOGL was compared to 35 industry peers in the Marine Transportation industry. While GOGL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GOGL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GOGL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GOGL had a positive cash flow from operations.
GOGL had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GOGL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.35%, GOGL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
GOGL's Return On Equity of 6.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 63.89% of its industry peers.
GOGL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.92%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GOGL is significantly below the industry average of 18.49%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 13.16%, GOGL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 21.92%, GOGL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GOGL has grown nicely.
GOGL's Gross Margin of 42.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 47.22% of its industry peers.
GOGL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% |
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GOGL is still creating some value.
GOGL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GOGL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GOGL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GOGL has an Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that GOGL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GOGL has a Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GOGL is 8.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take GOGL, 8.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GOGL's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.36 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GOGL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
GOGL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating GOGL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GOGL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.66) than 63.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC7.3%
2.3 Liquidity
GOGL has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that GOGL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GOGL has a Current ratio of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: GOGL underperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.81 indicates that GOGL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GOGL has a worse Quick ratio (0.81) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GOGL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -38.71%.
GOGL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 30.14% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -7.73% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, GOGL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -6.41% on average over the next years.
GOGL is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.10% yearly.
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GOGL is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.00.
GOGL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GOGL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.89, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.61, the valuation of GOGL can be described as very cheap.
GOGL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GOGL is cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, GOGL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GOGL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GOGL is more expensive than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GOGL is valued a bit cheaper than 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GOGL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
GOGL's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.41% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GOGL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.03%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.65, GOGL pays a better dividend. On top of this GOGL pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, GOGL pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of GOGL grows each year by 29.94%, which is quite nice.
GOGL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GOGL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
184.66% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GOGL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of GOGL has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP184.66%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
7.98
-0.22 (-2.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryMarine Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.39%
Inst Owner Change-98.95%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.59B
Revenue(TTM)863.61M
Net Income(TTM)113.69M
Analysts76.36
Price Target8.44 (5.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 10.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)29.94%
DP184.66%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-31.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(2)-26.9%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-36.86%
Max EPS beat(4)2.68%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)14.66%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)15.76%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)18.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)15.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)15.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.68%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)8.72%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.6%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)18.12%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.97%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-26.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.69%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.61 | ||
| P/S | 1.84 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.46 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY7.14%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY13.13%
FCF(TTM)0.87
FCFY10.85%
OCF(TTM)1.23
OCFY15.47%
SpS4.33
BVpS9.16
TBVpS9.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.46
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.35% | ||
| ROE | 6.23% | ||
| ROCE | 6.23% | ||
| ROIC | 4.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.1% | ||
| OM | 21.92% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.16% | ||
| GM | 42.48% | ||
| FCFM | 19.99% |
ROA(3y)8%
ROA(5y)6.84%
ROE(3y)13.89%
ROE(5y)11.79%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)7.19%
ROICexc(3y)7.79%
ROICexc(5y)7.57%
ROICexgc(3y)7.79%
ROICexgc(5y)7.57%
ROCE(3y)9.45%
ROCE(5y)9.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y19.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.84%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.87%
OM growth 3Y-10.52%
OM growth 5Y16.22%
PM growth 3Y-19.28%
PM growth 5Y34.33%
GM growth 3Y-6.9%
GM growth 5Y1.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.69 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 53.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 75.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 151.83% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.81 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score5
WACC7.3%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)156.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)170.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.71%
EPS 3Y-23.79%
EPS 5Y30.14%
EPS Q2Q%-166.67%
EPS Next Y-53.55%
EPS Next 2Y-3.27%
EPS Next 3Y-6.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.73%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.98%
Revenue growth 5Y6.53%
Sales Q2Q%-27.85%
Revenue Next Year-17.68%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.37%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.1%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-26.42%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.77%
EBIT growth 5Y23.81%
EBIT Next Year-9.8%
EBIT Next 3Y7.29%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-32.86%
FCF growth 3Y31.74%
FCF growth 5Y18.21%
OCF growth 1Y-46.05%
OCF growth 3Y-13.29%
OCF growth 5Y18.19%
GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD / GOGL FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GOGL.
What is the valuation status of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GOGL stock?
GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) stock?
The financial health rating of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for GOGL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD (GOGL) is expected to decline by -53.55% in the next year.