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GREENHILL & CO INC (GHL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GHL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3952591044 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

14.99  -0.02 (-0.13%)

After market: 15 +0.01 (+0.07%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GHL. GHL was compared to 225 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. GHL has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. GHL is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GHL has reported negative net income.
GHL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GHL has been profitable.
GHL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GHL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGHL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

GHL's Return On Assets of -5.43% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GHL is outperformed by 91.71% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -93.77%, GHL is doing worse than 96.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.43%
ROE -93.77%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)4.46%
ROA(5y)4.74%
ROE(3y)26.64%
ROE(5y)33.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GHL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGHL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GHL has declined.
GHL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 95.76%, GHL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.66% of the companies in the same industry.
GHL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
GHL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 95.76%
OM growth 3Y-19.39%
OM growth 5Y22.54%
PM growth 3Y-29.57%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.05%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
GHL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGHL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40 60 80

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GHL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GHL is higher compared to a year ago.
GHL Yearly Shares OutstandingGHL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
GHL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGHL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.83, we must say that GHL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.83, GHL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
GHL has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.56. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GHL would need 10.56 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.56, GHL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.15% of the companies in the same industry.
GHL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.61. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 9.61, GHL is not doing good in the industry: 89.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.61
Debt/FCF 10.56
Altman-Z 0.83
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
GHL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGHL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.57 indicates that GHL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GHL has a Current ratio of 0.57. This is in the lower half of the industry: GHL underperforms 75.12% of its industry peers.
GHL has a Quick Ratio of 0.57. This is a bad value and indicates that GHL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.57, GHL is not doing good in the industry: 75.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.57
Quick Ratio 0.57
GHL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGHL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for GHL have decreased strongly by -947.37% in the last year.
GHL shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -30.66% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GHL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -11.32% in the last year.
GHL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.56% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-947.37%
EPS 3Y-30.66%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-323.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.95%
Revenue growth 5Y1.56%
Sales Q2Q%-62.15%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 163.54% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, GHL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y35.07%
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.82%
Revenue Next 2Y9.65%
Revenue Next 3Y8.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
GHL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGHL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GHL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGHL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 1 1.5

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GHL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
GHL is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.31.
GHL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GHL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 16.31
GHL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGHL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GHL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.73
EV/EBITDA N/A
GHL Per share dataGHL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GHL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GHL's earnings are expected to grow with 163.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GHL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.67%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 10.21, GHL is paying slightly less dividend.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, GHL has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.67%

5.2 History

The dividend of GHL decreases each year by -21.81%.
GHL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GHL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.81%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years5
GHL Yearly Dividends per shareGHL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

GHL has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-40.59%
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%
GHL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGHL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M 100M

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GREENHILL & CO INC

NYSE:GHL (11/30/2023, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 15 +0.01 (+0.07%)

14.99

-0.02 (-0.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)11-10 2023-11-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-30 2024-01-30/amc
Inst Owners0.47%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners4.34%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap282.11M
Analysts45
Price Target15.3 (2.07%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.67%
Yearly Dividend0.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)-21.81%
DP-40.59%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-938.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-1847.23%
Max EPS beat(2)-30.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-515.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1847.23%
Max EPS beat(4)-22.2%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-290.93%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-206.97%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-190.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-22.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-45.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.41%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-14.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-45.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.41%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.84%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.91%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-110%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 16.31
P/S 1.14
P/FCF 10.73
P/OCF 8.87
P/B 9.76
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.61
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY6.13%
FCF(TTM)1.4
FCFY9.32%
OCF(TTM)1.69
OCFY11.27%
SpS13.16
BVpS1.54
TBVpS-8.95
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.43%
ROE -93.77%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 95.76%
FCFM 10.62%
ROA(3y)4.46%
ROA(5y)4.74%
ROE(3y)26.64%
ROE(5y)33.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.88%
ROCE(5y)13.34%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.39%
OM growth 5Y22.54%
PM growth 3Y-29.57%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.05%
GM growth 5Y-0.01%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.61
Debt/FCF 10.56
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 90.16%
Cap/Sales 2.22%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.57
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z 0.83
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)226.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)151.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.14%
Profit Quality(3y)379.66%
Profit Quality(5y)309.15%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-947.37%
EPS 3Y-30.66%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-323.88%
EPS Next Y35.07%
EPS Next 2Y288.97%
EPS Next 3Y163.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-11.32%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.95%
Revenue growth 5Y1.56%
Sales Q2Q%-62.15%
Revenue Next Year-1.82%
Revenue Next 2Y9.65%
Revenue Next 3Y8.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-133.44%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.38%
EBIT growth 5Y24.45%
EBIT Next Year-39.45%
EBIT Next 3Y29.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-73.99%
FCF growth 3Y17.69%
FCF growth 5Y10.44%
OCF growth 1Y-72.82%
OCF growth 3Y24.36%
OCF growth 5Y12.59%