GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

40.41 USD
+0.05 (+0.12%)
At close:
41.1695 USD
+0.76 (+1.88%)
After Hours:

This GFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GFL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a Return On Assets of 19.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Return On Equity of 51.81% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 98.73% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.83%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 9.77%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.42%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.83%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • GFL's Profit Margin of 57.19% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin (6.04%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.67%, GFL is doing worse than 75.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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1

2. GFL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 68.35% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 45.44, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 45.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (45.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • GFL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.08) than 67.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.37
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC7.92%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Current ratio of 0.58. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 88.61% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Quick ratio (0.58) than 84.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.54%.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.92% yearly.
  • The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -15.85% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing by 9.53% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • GFL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 25.47% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year7.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.37%
Revenue Next 3Y7.61%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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2

4. GFL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 72.16, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 58.60 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.24.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 72.16
Fwd PE 58.6
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 114.21
EV/EBITDA 16.18
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)3
PEG (5Y)2.07
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. GFL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.15%, which is pretty low.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.83.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.15, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GFL grows each year by 15.61%, which is quite nice.
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • 0.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of GFL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (4/24/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 41.1695 +0.76 (+1.88%)

40.41

+0.05 (+0.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners101.48%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.59B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts76.84
Price Target52.59 (30.14%)
Short Float %2.47%
Short Ratio4.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date04-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)-2.1%
PT rev (3m)-1.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.85%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 72.16
Fwd PE 58.6
P/S 3.01
P/FCF 114.21
P/OCF 15.15
P/B 2.73
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.18
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY1.39%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY1.71%
FCF(TTM)0.35
FCFY0.88%
OCF(TTM)2.67
OCFY6.6%
SpS13.41
BVpS14.8
TBVpS-2.73
PEG (NY)3
PEG (5Y)2.07
Graham Number13.6555 (-66.21%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.83%
ROICexc 1.84%
ROICexgc 3.69%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.33%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.37
F-Score7
WACC7.92%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year7.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.37%
Revenue Next 3Y7.61%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year190.57%
EBIT Next 3Y52.27%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.


Can you provide the valuation status for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 72.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.73.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GFL stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.82%.