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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

43.08 USD
-0.38 (-0.87%)
Last: 12/19/2025, 8:04:00 PM
43.08 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/19/2025, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GFL. GFL was compared to 82 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

GFL has a better Return On Assets (18.38%) than 98.78% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Equity of 46.75%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 97.56% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (1.97%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.13%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 51.46%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Operating Margin value of 6.26%, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.32% of the companies in the same industry.
The Gross Margin of GFL (20.38%) is worse than 75.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.51, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 64.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 34.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 34.89, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GFL (1.00) is worse than 64.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.51
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC7.22%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a Current ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 85.37% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL has a Quick ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 80.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.56% yearly.
GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.87%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.83% on average per year.
GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.33%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 95.73, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.38. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.36 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 95.73
Fwd PE 56.36
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 94.53
EV/EBITDA 16.09
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.93.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (12/19/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 43.08 0 (0%)

43.08

-0.38 (-0.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Inst Owners98.84%
Inst Owner Change-3.95%
Ins Owners2.9%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.47B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target54.24 (25.91%)
Short Float %2.17%
Short Ratio5.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date10-15 2025-10-15 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0.99%
PT rev (3m)-2.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 95.73
Fwd PE 56.36
P/S 3.09
P/FCF 94.53
P/OCF 14.86
P/B 2.8
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.09
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY1.04%
EPS(NY)0.76
Fwd EY1.77%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY1.06%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY6.73%
SpS13.96
BVpS15.37
TBVpS-1.81
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.47
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.97%
ROICexc 1.99%
ROICexgc 3.94%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.51
F-Score6
WACC7.22%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.33%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.16%
EBIT Next 5Y41.88%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 0 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.87%.