GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GFL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
GFL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 83 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GFL (-3.36%) is worse than 67.07% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GFL (-9.98%) is worse than 63.41% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.63%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 65.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.36% | ||
| ROE | -9.98% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-3.16%
ROE(3y)-5.44%
ROE(5y)-10.41%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of GFL (4.63%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 18.24%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 75.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 18.24% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y55.06%
GM growth 5Y12.87%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GFL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.21, GFL is doing worse than 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 37.23. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 37.23 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GFL's Debt to FCF ratio of 37.23 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 60.98% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 71.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.23 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.21 |
ROIC/WACC0.21
WACC7.7%
2.3 Liquidity
GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a Current ratio of 0.58. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 95.12% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL's Quick ratio of 0.58 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 89.02% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GFL have decreased strongly by -24.02% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 76.83% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
GFL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.09%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 32.32% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.02%
EPS 3Y76.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%3.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.09%
Revenue growth 3Y21.44%
Revenue growth 5Y32.32%
Sales Q2Q%6.6%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.17% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.52% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-8.82%
EPS Next 2Y19.59%
EPS Next 3Y19.49%
EPS Next 5Y22.17%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.65%
Revenue Next 3Y4.69%
Revenue Next 5Y6.52%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 90.70 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GFL is valued a bit more expensive than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.84.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.44), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 90.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 88.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 19.49% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.59%
EPS Next 3Y19.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.13%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.09.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of GFL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. GFL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-4.02%
EPS Next 2Y19.59%
EPS Next 3Y19.49%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT
NYSE:GFL (1/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)
After market: 41.72 0 (0%)41.72
-0.22 (-0.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners78.12%
Inst Owner Change-0.26%
Ins Owners2.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap16.41B
Analysts78.95
Price Target47.18 (13.09%)
Short Float %1.91%
Short Ratio5.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-4.02%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.09%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.72%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.04%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.72%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)21.22%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)72.47%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)67.13%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.68%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.43%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.96%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)3.15%
PT rev (3m)12.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 90.7 | ||
| Fwd PE | 44.84 | ||
| P/S | 3.06 | ||
| P/FCF | 88.14 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.23 | ||
| P/B | 3.5 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.6 |
EPS(TTM)0.46
EY1.1%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY2.23%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY1.13%
OCF(TTM)2.42
OCFY5.8%
SpS13.65
BVpS11.93
TBVpS-6.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.36% | ||
| ROE | -9.98% | ||
| ROCE | 2.07% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.23% | ||
| OM | 4.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 18.24% | ||
| FCFM | 3.47% |
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-3.16%
ROE(3y)-5.44%
ROE(5y)-10.41%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y55.06%
GM growth 5Y12.87%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.32 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.23 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 71.36% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.68 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.04% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.58 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.21 |
F-Score5
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC0.21
Cap/Depr(3y)56.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.02%
EPS 3Y76.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%3.13%
EPS Next Y-8.82%
EPS Next 2Y19.59%
EPS Next 3Y19.49%
EPS Next 5Y22.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.09%
Revenue growth 3Y21.44%
Revenue growth 5Y32.32%
Sales Q2Q%6.6%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.65%
Revenue Next 3Y4.69%
Revenue Next 5Y6.52%
EBIT growth 1Y31.71%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year263.89%
EBIT Next 3Y63.57%
EBIT Next 5Y39.32%
FCF growth 1Y31.28%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y40.86%
OCF growth 3Y24.98%
OCF growth 5Y119.18%