GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

38.94 USD
-0.04 (-0.1%)
At close:
39.3131 USD
+0.37 (+0.96%)
After Hours:

This GFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFL was profitable.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GFL reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GFL (19.61%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 51.81%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (1.83%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 9.76%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.42%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.83%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 57.19%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Operating Margin of GFL (6.04%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GFL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of GFL (20.67%) is worse than 76.25% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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1

2. GFL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
  • GFL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • GFL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.34. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.34. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 67.50% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 45.44. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 45.44 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 45.44. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 48.75% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.08 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 67.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.34
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC8.16%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL's Current ratio of 0.58 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 88.75% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of GFL (0.58) is worse than 83.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.54%.
  • Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 34.92% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -15.85% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 9.53% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.47% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.99% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.92%
Revenue Next 3Y7.62%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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2

4. GFL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 70.80, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.87, GFL is valued quite expensively.
  • GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.71.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.51), we can say GFL is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.8
Fwd PE 56.71
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 109.75
EV/EBITDA 15.75
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.05% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)2.03
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. GFL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.15%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.85, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.15, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GFL grows each year by 15.61%, which is quite nice.
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • 0.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (4/17/2026, 8:17:03 PM)

After market: 39.3131 +0.37 (+0.96%)

38.94

-0.04 (-0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners101.48%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.06B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts76.84
Price Target52.59 (35.05%)
Short Float %2.47%
Short Ratio4.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date04-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)-2.73%
PT rev (3m)-2.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.8
Fwd PE 56.71
P/S 2.9
P/FCF 109.75
P/OCF 14.56
P/B 2.62
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.75
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.41%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY1.76%
FCF(TTM)0.35
FCFY0.91%
OCF(TTM)2.67
OCFY6.87%
SpS13.44
BVpS14.84
TBVpS-2.74
PEG (NY)2.95
PEG (5Y)2.03
Graham Number13.5514 (-65.2%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.83%
ROICexc 1.84%
ROICexgc 3.69%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.33%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.34
F-Score7
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.92%
Revenue Next 3Y7.62%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year190.57%
EBIT Next 3Y52.27%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.


Can you provide the valuation status for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 70.8 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.62.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GFL stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.82%.