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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

42.36 USD
-0.33 (-0.77%)
Last: 1/13/2026, 8:22:24 PM
42.36 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/13/2026, 8:22:24 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, GFL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GFL was compared to 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFL was profitable.
  • In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a Return On Assets of 18.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 98.75% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Equity of 46.75%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 97.50% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.97%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 41.25% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.54%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 51.46%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin of 6.26%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 56.25% of its industry peers.
  • The Gross Margin of GFL (20.38%) is worse than 73.75% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 34.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (34.89) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.00, GFL is doing worse than 63.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC7.11%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Current ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 83.75% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Quick ratio (0.69) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.87%.
  • GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.32% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.51% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 94.13 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.30.
  • GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.13.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 94.13
Fwd PE 56.13
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 93.53
EV/EBITDA 15.86
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.88, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.92.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of GFL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (1/13/2026, 8:22:24 PM)

After market: 42.36 0 (0%)

42.36

-0.33 (-0.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-23
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner Change0.68%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.21B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.63 (26.61%)
Short Float %2.12%
Short Ratio4.68
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-1.13%
PT rev (3m)-0.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 94.13
Fwd PE 56.13
P/S 3.05
P/FCF 93.53
P/OCF 14.7
P/B 2.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.86
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY1.06%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY1.78%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY1.07%
OCF(TTM)2.88
OCFY6.8%
SpS13.88
BVpS15.27
TBVpS-1.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.44
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.97%
ROICexc 1.99%
ROICexgc 3.94%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score6
WACC7.11%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.28%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 0 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.