GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:GFL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GFL. GFL was compared to 83 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. While showing a medium growth rate, GFL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GFL has a Return On Assets of 14.32%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 92.77% of its industry peers.
GFL has a better Return On Equity (34.64%) than 92.77% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (1.97%) is worse than 61.45% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 11.67%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.20%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.97%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 14.32% | ||
| ROE | 34.64% | ||
| ROIC | 1.97% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GFL has a Profit Margin of 36.58%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 97.59% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Operating Margin (5.72%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of GFL (19.37%) is worse than 73.49% of its industry peers.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 36.58% | ||
| GM | 19.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
GFL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.67, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.67) than 63.86% of its industry peers.
GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 31.28. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 31.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL (31.28) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91 indicates that GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.91, GFL is doing worse than 62.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.67 |
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC7.1%
2.3 Liquidity
GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a Current ratio of 0.82. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 81.93% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.82 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GFL (0.82) is worse than 74.70% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GFL have decreased strongly by -11.87% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.37% in the past year.
GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.87%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-900%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.37%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-13.4%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.01% on average per year.
GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.88% yearly.
EPS Next Y24.24%
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
EPS Next 5Y20.01%
Revenue Next Year-14.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.48%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.88%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 87.48, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.41.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 48.39, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 35.19.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 87.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 48.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 100.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.19% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.12%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.45, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.12, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.35.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.12% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
GFL pays out 1.07% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP1.07%
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
NYSE:GFL (7/14/2025, 3:56:07 PM)
48.115
+0.77 (+1.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.89%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap17.54B
Analysts75
Price Target53.12 (10.4%)
Short Float %2.57%
Short Ratio6.5
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.12% |
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP1.07%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-342.25%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)9.55%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-172.08%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)9.55%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-85.33%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-28.68%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)19.21%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.51%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.98%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.37%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.79%
PT rev (1m)0.32%
PT rev (3m)11.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-10.69%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.9%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-11.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 87.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 48.39 | ||
| P/S | 3.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 100.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.57 | ||
| P/B | 2.99 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.62 |
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.14%
EPS(NY)0.99
Fwd EY2.07%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY1%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY6.04%
SpS15.26
BVpS16.11
TBVpS-1.01
PEG (NY)3.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 14.32% | ||
| ROE | 34.64% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.09% | ||
| OM | 5.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 36.58% | ||
| GM | 19.37% | ||
| FCFM | 3.14% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 31.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 79.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 15.89% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 8.58% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.67 |
F-Score6
WACC7.1%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.87%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-900%
EPS Next Y24.24%
EPS Next 2Y28.04%
EPS Next 3Y28.19%
EPS Next 5Y20.01%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.37%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-13.4%
Revenue Next Year-14.38%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.48%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.47%
Revenue Next 5Y3.88%
EBIT growth 1Y51.76%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year264.02%
EBIT Next 3Y61.98%
EBIT Next 5Y40.42%
FCF growth 1Y-9.05%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y30.35%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%