GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
42.57 USD
-0.15 (-0.35%)
42.57 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GFL. GFL was compared to 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
- GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
- In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- GFL has a Return On Assets of 18.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 98.75% of its industry peers.
- GFL has a better Return On Equity (46.75%) than 97.50% of its industry peers.
- GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.20%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.54%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.97% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- GFL has a better Profit Margin (51.46%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- GFL has a Operating Margin of 6.26%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 56.25% of its industry peers.
- The Gross Margin of GFL (20.38%) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
- GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GFL's Altman-Z score of 1.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 63.75% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 48.75% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
- GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 65.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.28
WACC7.12%
2.3 Liquidity
- GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.69, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 85.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GFL has a Quick ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
- GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.56% yearly.
- GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.87%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.32% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 94.60, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.47), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.46 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
- GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.26.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 94.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.46 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 94.08 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.14%, which is pretty low.
- GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.84.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
5.2 History
- GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 0.87% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
42.57
-0.15 (-0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11/amc
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner Change0.68%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.29B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.42 (25.49%)
Short Float %2.12%
Short Ratio4.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13 2026-01-13 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-1.53%
PT rev (3m)-0.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 94.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.46 | ||
| P/S | 3.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 94.08 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.79 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.93 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY1.06%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY1.77%
FCF(TTM)0.45
FCFY1.06%
OCF(TTM)2.88
OCFY6.76%
SpS13.86
BVpS15.26
TBVpS-1.8
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.43
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.97% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.99% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.94% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
F-Score6
WACC7.12%
ROIC/WACC0.28
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.28%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.
What is the valuation status for GFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 0 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.