GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

42.95 USD
-0.28 (-0.65%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
42.951 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 80 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GFL (18.38%) is better than 98.75% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Return On Equity of 46.75% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 97.50% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.20%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.57%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 51.46%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin (6.26%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 20.38%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 76.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
  • GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.47, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.47) than 61.25% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 48.75% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.47
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC7.33%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Current ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 85.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.69, GFL is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
  • Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
  • The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -10.87% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%

3.2 Future

  • GFL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.32% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-28.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.34%
EPS Next 3Y20.02%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 93.37.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.32, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 55.39, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.57. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 93.37
Fwd PE 55.39
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 92.43
EV/EBITDA 15.73
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.34%
EPS Next 3Y20.02%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.83, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of GFL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.34%
EPS Next 3Y20.02%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 0 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to decline by -28.74% in the next year.