GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

45.24 USD
+1.05 (+2.38%)
Last: Mar 2, 2026, 03:53 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GFL. GFL was compared to 81 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GFL (18.38%) is better than 98.77% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.20%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.69%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.97%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.20%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.97%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • GFL's Profit Margin of 51.46% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Operating Margin of 6.26% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 56.79% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 75.31% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for GFL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL's Altman-Z score of 1.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 41.98% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (34.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 61.73% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.51
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.58%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Current ratio of 0.69. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 82.72% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Quick ratio (0.69) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.54%.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.92% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.07% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.21% on average per year.
EPS Next Y37.99%
EPS Next 2Y37.49%
EPS Next 3Y33.43%
EPS Next 5Y24.07%
Revenue Next Year6.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.22%
Revenue Next 3Y7.33%
Revenue Next 5Y8.21%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 80.79, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.07), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 58.97, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.05, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 80.79
Fwd PE 58.97
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 98.08
EV/EBITDA 16.15
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GFL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.43% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.13
PEG (5Y)2.31
EPS Next 2Y37.49%
EPS Next 3Y33.43%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.13%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.79, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • 0.87% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y37.49%
EPS Next 3Y33.43%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (3/2/2026, 3:53:04 PM)

45.24

+1.05 (+2.38%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner Change-13.05%
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap16.19B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.72 (18.74%)
Short Float %1.69%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0.56%
PT rev (3m)-1.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 80.79
Fwd PE 58.97
P/S 3.2
P/FCF 98.08
P/OCF 15.42
P/B 2.91
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.15
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY1.24%
EPS(NY)0.77
Fwd EY1.7%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY1.02%
OCF(TTM)2.93
OCFY6.49%
SpS14.13
BVpS15.55
TBVpS-1.84
PEG (NY)2.13
PEG (5Y)2.31
Graham Number14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.97%
ROICexc 1.99%
ROICexgc 3.94%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.51
F-Score6
WACC7.58%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y37.99%
EPS Next 2Y37.49%
EPS Next 3Y33.43%
EPS Next 5Y24.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.22%
Revenue Next 3Y7.33%
Revenue Next 5Y8.21%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.98%
EBIT Next 3Y62.37%
EBIT Next 5Y39.87%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to grow by 37.99% in the next year.