GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

43.0637 USD
+0.66 (+1.57%)
Last:

This GFL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFL was profitable.
  • In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years GFL reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of GFL (19.61%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of GFL (51.81%) is better than 98.78% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.83%, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.58%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.42%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.83%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of GFL (57.19%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin (6.04%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
  • GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.67%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 74.39% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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1

2. GFL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.42, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 64.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 45.44. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 45.44 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio (45.44) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GFL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.08) than 65.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.42
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC7.26%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.58, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 87.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of GFL (0.58) is worse than 82.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.54%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 34.92% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -15.85% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.47% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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3

4. GFL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 76.90, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.96. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 60.00, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.04, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 76.9
Fwd PE 60
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 120.93
EV/EBITDA 16.69
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GFL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.59% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)2.2
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. GFL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.79.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GFL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.61%!
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • The dividend of GFL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.82% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (3/17/2026, 10:21:46 AM)

43.0637

+0.66 (+1.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners101.56%
Inst Owner Change-13.12%
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.43B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts75.56
Price Target53.72 (24.75%)
Short Float %1.99%
Short Ratio4.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)0.97%
PT rev (3m)-0.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 76.9
Fwd PE 60
P/S 3.19
P/FCF 120.93
P/OCF 16.04
P/B 2.89
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.69
EPS(TTM)0.56
EY1.3%
EPS(NY)0.72
Fwd EY1.67%
FCF(TTM)0.36
FCFY0.83%
OCF(TTM)2.68
OCFY6.23%
SpS13.49
BVpS14.89
TBVpS-2.75
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)2.2
Graham Number13.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.83%
ROICexc 1.84%
ROICexgc 3.69%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.42%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.43%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.33%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.42
F-Score7
WACC7.26%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year189.5%
EBIT Next 3Y52.5%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is expected to grow by 29.19% in the next year.