Logo image of GFL

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

43.6 USD
-0.09 (-0.21%)
Last: 11/3/2025, 10:54:51 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 82 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFL was profitable.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

GFL has a better Return On Assets (19.14%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Equity of 46.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 97.56% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (2.08%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 10.38%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.20%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(2.08%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.14%
ROE 46.28%
ROIC 2.08%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

GFL has a better Profit Margin (49.00%) than 98.78% of its industry peers.
With a Operating Margin value of 6.08%, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.88% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Gross Margin value of 20.03%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 74.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.08%
PM (TTM) 49%
GM 20.03%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.66, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.66, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.12% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 37.92, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 37.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL (37.92) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92. This is a neutral value indicating GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.92, GFL is doing worse than 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 37.92
Altman-Z 1.66
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC7.09%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.67) than 86.59% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a Quick ratio of 0.67. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFL underperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.60% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GFL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.22% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.45% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y-23.26%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.45%
Revenue Next Year-16.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.81%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 85.49, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.11.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 54.66, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.55. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 85.49
Fwd PE 54.66
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 116.04
EV/EBITDA 15.45
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 21.89% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.58, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.37, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 0.86% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.86%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL Dividend Payout.GFL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (11/3/2025, 10:54:51 AM)

43.6

-0.09 (-0.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Earnings (Next)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Inst Owners100.72%
Inst Owner Change-0.47%
Ins Owners2.97%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.73B
Revenue(TTM)7.24B
Net Income(TTM)3.55B
Analysts76.25
Price Target54.11 (24.11%)
Short Float %1.87%
Short Ratio5.18
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.86%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date10-15 2025-10-15 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-340.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-167.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-94.31%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-39.7%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.6%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.15%
PT rev (1m)-2.64%
PT rev (3m)-0.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.71%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-38.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.32%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 85.49
Fwd PE 54.66
P/S 3.05
P/FCF 116.04
P/OCF 15.85
P/B 2.88
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.45
EPS(TTM)0.51
EY1.17%
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY1.83%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY0.86%
OCF(TTM)2.75
OCFY6.31%
SpS14.3
BVpS15.14
TBVpS-1.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number13.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.14%
ROE 46.28%
ROCE 2.63%
ROIC 2.08%
ROICexc 2.1%
ROICexgc 4.16%
OM 6.08%
PM (TTM) 49%
GM 20.03%
FCFM 2.63%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.14%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 37.92
Debt/EBITDA 3.73
Cap/Depr 82.98%
Cap/Sales 16.61%
Interest Coverage 0.82
Cash Conversion 73.72%
Profit Quality 5.36%
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
Altman-Z 1.66
F-Score6
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
EPS Next Y-23.26%
EPS Next 2Y16.03%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
Revenue Next Year-16.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.81%
EBIT growth 1Y40.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year257.18%
EBIT Next 3Y63.05%
EBIT Next 5Y42.41%
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y21.86%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.


What is the valuation status of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 1 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.86%.