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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GFL - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

46.33  +0.12 (+0.26%)

After market: 46.5653 +0.24 (+0.51%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 84 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

GFL has a worse Return On Assets (-3.36%) than 67.07% of its industry peers.
GFL's Return On Equity of -9.98% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 63.41% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.63%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 65.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.36%
ROE -9.98%
ROIC 1.63%
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-3.16%
ROE(3y)-5.44%
ROE(5y)-10.41%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

GFL has a Operating Margin (4.63%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.24%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 75.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.63%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.24%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y55.06%
GM growth 5Y12.87%
GFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 -20

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GFL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFL Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
GFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.30. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.30, GFL is doing worse than 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 37.23, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 37.23 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 37.23, GFL is doing worse than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.32 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 37.23
Altman-Z 1.3
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC6.95%
GFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.58, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 95.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GFL (0.58) is worse than 87.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -24.02%.
GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 76.83% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GFL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.09% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 32.32% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.02%
EPS 3Y76.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%3.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.09%
Revenue growth 3Y21.44%
Revenue growth 5Y32.32%
Sales Q2Q%6.6%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 22.08% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.84% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-9.49%
EPS Next 2Y24.14%
EPS Next 3Y22.69%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue Next Year4.91%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y4.89%
Revenue Next 5Y6.84%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
GFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B
GFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 98.57, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
62.20% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than GFL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.63, GFL is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 45.45, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 98.57
Fwd PE 45.45
GFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GFL is more expensive than 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 96.29
EV/EBITDA 18.71
GFL Per share dataGFL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 22.69% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.14%
EPS Next 3Y22.69%

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2

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.13%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.12, GFL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
GFL Yearly Dividends per shareGFL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of GFL are negative and hence is the payout ratio. GFL will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-4.02%
EPS Next 2Y24.14%
EPS Next 3Y22.69%
GFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500M -1B

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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

NYSE:GFL (2/21/2025, 8:23:28 PM)

After market: 46.5653 +0.24 (+0.51%)

46.33

+0.12 (+0.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-24 2025-02-24/amc
Inst Owners78.12%
Inst Owner Change0.14%
Ins Owners2.71%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap18.23B
Analysts78.89
Price Target46.68 (0.76%)
Short Float %1.99%
Short Ratio4.83
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-4.02%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date01-13 2025-01-13 (0.014)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.9%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.09%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.72%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.04%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.72%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)21.22%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)72.47%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)67.13%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.93%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.87%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.68%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.43%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.96%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)-1.07%
PT rev (3m)10.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.95%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 98.57
Fwd PE 45.45
P/S 3.34
P/FCF 96.29
P/OCF 18.82
P/B 3.82
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 18.71
EPS(TTM)0.47
EY1.01%
EPS(NY)1.02
Fwd EY2.2%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY1.04%
OCF(TTM)2.46
OCFY5.31%
SpS13.88
BVpS12.12
TBVpS-6.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -3.36%
ROE -9.98%
ROCE 2.07%
ROIC 1.63%
ROICexc 1.64%
ROICexgc 4.23%
OM 4.63%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 18.24%
FCFM 3.47%
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-3.16%
ROE(3y)-5.44%
ROE(5y)-10.41%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y55.06%
GM growth 5Y12.87%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.32
Debt/FCF 37.23
Debt/EBITDA 4.67
Cap/Depr 71.36%
Cap/Sales 14.27%
Interest Coverage 0.68
Cash Conversion 72.04%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.3
F-Score5
WACC6.95%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)56.93%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.24%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-24.02%
EPS 3Y76.83%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%3.13%
EPS Next Y-9.49%
EPS Next 2Y24.14%
EPS Next 3Y22.69%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.09%
Revenue growth 3Y21.44%
Revenue growth 5Y32.32%
Sales Q2Q%6.6%
Revenue Next Year4.91%
Revenue Next 2Y5.71%
Revenue Next 3Y4.89%
Revenue Next 5Y6.84%
EBIT growth 1Y31.71%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year263.89%
EBIT Next 3Y63.57%
EBIT Next 5Y40.21%
FCF growth 1Y31.28%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y40.86%
OCF growth 3Y24.98%
OCF growth 5Y119.18%