GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada • Toronto Stock Exchange • TSX:GFL • CA36168Q1046

58.37 CAD
+0.09 (+0.15%)
Last: Feb 2, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, GFL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GFL was compared to 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFL was profitable.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a Return On Assets of 18.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Equity of 46.75%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.09%. This is below the industry average of 5.81%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.79%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • GFL's Profit Margin of 51.46% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 6.26%, GFL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.38%, GFL is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.48. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL's Altman-Z score of 1.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GFL's Debt to FCF ratio of 34.89 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.00, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.48
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC7.12%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.69, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GFL have decreased by -6.20% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -10.87% in the last year.
  • GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.32% on average per year.
  • GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.51% yearly.
EPS Next Y-28.74%
EPS Next 2Y12.34%
EPS Next 3Y20.02%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 94.15, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.41. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 55.66.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.64. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 94.15
Fwd PE 55.66
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 92.87
EV/EBITDA 15.81
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 20.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.34%
EPS Next 3Y20.02%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.14%, which is pretty low.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.02.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.34%
EPS Next 3Y20.02%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to decline by -28.74% in the next year.