GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
58.81 CAD
-0.41 (-0.69%)
GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While GFL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, GFL is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 18.38%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is below the industry average of 5.81%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 51.46%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Operating Margin of GFL (6.26%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.38%, GFL is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 34.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL (34.89) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
- GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.00) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.9%
2.3 Liquidity
- GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of GFL (0.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -10.87% in the past year. This is quite bad
- GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.32% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.51% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 94.85, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
- GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.30.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 56.15, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
- GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.04, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 94.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
- GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 93.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.00, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
5.2 History
- GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
TSX:GFL (1/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
58.81
-0.41 (-0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.12B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target74.1 (26%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date01-13 2026-01-13 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-2.08%
PT rev (3m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 94.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.15 | ||
| P/S | 3.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 93.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.71 | ||
| P/B | 2.77 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.87 |
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY1.05%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.78%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.07%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.8%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.59% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
F-Score6
WACC6.9%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.28%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.
What is the valuation status for GFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.