GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
59.23 CAD
-0.15 (-0.25%)
Taking everything into account, GFL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GFL was compared to 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- GFL's Return On Assets of 18.38% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (1.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is below the industry average of 5.81%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (1.09%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.79%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 51.46%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- GFL has a Operating Margin of 6.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: GFL outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
- GFL's Gross Margin of 20.38% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
- GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
- GFL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.50, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- GFL has a Altman-Z score (1.50) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 34.89, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of GFL (1.00) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.5 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.91%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.69, GFL is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of GFL (0.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GFL have decreased by -6.20% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
- GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.87%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.32% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.51% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 95.53, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.47, GFL is valued quite expensively.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.55, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.26. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 95.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.55 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 94.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- GFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.00.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
5.2 History
- GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- 0.87% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
TSX:GFL (1/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
59.23
-0.15 (-0.25%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-11 2026-02-11/amc
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.27B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target74.1 (25.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date01-13 2026-01-13 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-2.08%
PT rev (3m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 95.53 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.55 | ||
| P/S | 3.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 94.24 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.81 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.98 |
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY1.05%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.77%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.06%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.75%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.59% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.5 |
F-Score6
WACC6.91%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.28%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.
What is the valuation status for GFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.