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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

62.36 CAD
-0.29 (-0.46%)
Last: 12/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFL was profitable.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

GFL has a better Return On Assets (18.38%) than 95.83% of its industry peers.
GFL has a better Return On Equity (46.75%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 6.20%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.09%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.79%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.79%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of GFL (51.46%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of GFL (6.26%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
GFL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.55, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.55, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GFL has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (34.89) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 54.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.55
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.01%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL's Current ratio of 0.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GFL (0.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.56% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -10.87% in the last year.
GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.83% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.95% yearly.
EPS Next Y-23.54%
EPS Next 2Y15.76%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.49%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 100.58, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.46. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.10. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100.58
Fwd PE 56
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 99.22
EV/EBITDA 16.57
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 17.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.76%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.13%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
GFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.25.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y15.76%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (12/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

62.36

-0.29 (-0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Inst Owners100.72%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.97%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.39B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts76.25
Price Target76.32 (22.39%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date10-15 2025-10-15 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)2.05%
PT rev (3m)-0.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.37%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100.58
Fwd PE 56
P/S 3.24
P/FCF 99.22
P/OCF 15.6
P/B 2.94
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.57
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY0.99%
EPS(NY)1.11
Fwd EY1.79%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.01%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.41%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.79%
ROICexc 1.81%
ROICexgc 3.59%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.55
F-Score6
WACC7.01%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-23.54%
EPS Next 2Y15.76%
EPS Next 3Y17.77%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.49%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year257.18%
EBIT Next 3Y63.05%
EBIT Next 5Y41.88%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.


What is the valuation status of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.87%.