GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
59.22 CAD
+0.07 (+0.12%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GFL. GFL was compared to 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While GFL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GFL was profitable.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GFL (18.38%) is better than 95.83% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.09%. This is below the industry average of 5.81%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GFL's Profit Margin of 51.46% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
GFL's Operating Margin of 6.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
The Gross Margin of GFL (20.38%) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFL's Altman-Z score of 1.49 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 34.89, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 54.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.91%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL's Current ratio of 0.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.69, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GFL have decreased by -6.20% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -10.87% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
GFL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.32% yearly.
GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.51% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 95.52, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.25, GFL is valued quite expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.55, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.98. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 95.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.55 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 94.23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.95 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.00, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
0.87% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
TSX:GFL (1/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
59.22
+0.07 (+0.12%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.27B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target74.1 (25.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-2.08%
PT rev (3m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 95.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 56.55 | ||
| P/S | 3.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 94.23 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.81 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.95 |
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY1.05%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.77%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.06%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.75%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.59% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
F-Score6
WACC6.91%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.32%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.51%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.28%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.
What is the valuation status for GFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.