GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:GFL • CA36168Q1046

59.05 CAD
+0.06 (+0.1%)
Last: Feb 17, 2026, 07:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 25 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. While showing a medium growth rate, GFL is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFL was profitable.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
  • Of the past 5 years GFL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 18.38%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is below the industry average of 5.81%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.79%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • GFL has a Profit Margin of 51.46%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Operating Margin of GFL (6.26%) is better than 64.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.38%, GFL is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for GFL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.49, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.49, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 34.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 34.89, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GFL (1.00) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC7.13%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 64.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Quick ratio (0.69) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.40%.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.4%
EPS 3Y16.19%
EPS 5Y34.67%
EPS Q2Q%60.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.32%

3.2 Future

  • GFL is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.31% yearly.
  • GFL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.21% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.29%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%
EPS Next 5Y24.31%
Revenue Next Year7.24%
Revenue Next 2Y7.23%
Revenue Next 3Y7.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.21%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 78.73, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.16.
  • GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.31.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.10. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 78.73
Fwd PE 56.31
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 93.64
EV/EBITDA 15.88
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2
PEG (5Y)2.27
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.14%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.02, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (2/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

59.05

+0.06 (+0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.14B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target72.74 (23.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-1.83%
PT rev (3m)-3.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 78.73
Fwd PE 56.31
P/S 3.06
P/FCF 93.64
P/OCF 14.72
P/B 2.78
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.88
EPS(TTM)0.75
EY1.27%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.78%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.07%
OCF(TTM)4.01
OCFY6.79%
SpS19.32
BVpS21.26
TBVpS-2.51
PEG (NY)2
PEG (5Y)2.27
Graham Number18.94
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.79%
ROICexc 1.81%
ROICexgc 3.59%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score6
WACC7.13%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.4%
EPS 3Y16.19%
EPS 5Y34.67%
EPS Q2Q%60.41%
EPS Next Y39.29%
EPS Next 2Y38.13%
EPS Next 3Y33.85%
EPS Next 5Y24.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-17.32%
Revenue Next Year7.24%
Revenue Next 2Y7.23%
Revenue Next 3Y7.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.21%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y39.87%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to grow by 39.29% in the next year.