GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

55.97 CAD
-2.46 (-4.21%)
Last:

This GFL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GFL was profitable.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • GFL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a better Return On Assets (19.61%) than 95.65% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Return On Equity of 51.81% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.66%, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is below the industry average of 5.93%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.66%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.30%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.66%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • GFL has a better Profit Margin (57.19%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a better Operating Margin (6.04%) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of GFL (20.67%) is worse than 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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1

2. GFL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 45.44, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 45.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 45.44, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 60.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GFL (1.08) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.42
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC7.05%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.58, GFL is doing worse than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a worse Quick ratio (0.58) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GFL have decreased by -8.54% in the last year.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.92% yearly.
  • GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.85%.
  • GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.53% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.47% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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2

4. GFL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 73.64, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 57.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 73.64
Fwd PE 57
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GFL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GFL is more expensive than 60.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 114.89
EV/EBITDA 16.78
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.59% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.52
PEG (5Y)2.11
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%

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5

5. GFL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.16.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GFL grows each year by 15.61%, which is quite nice.
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.82% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of GFL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (3/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

55.97

-2.46 (-4.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners101.56%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap20.06B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts75.56
Price Target73.55 (31.41%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.14%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date01-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)1.1%
PT rev (3m)-2.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.49%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 73.64
Fwd PE 57
P/S 3.03
P/FCF 114.89
P/OCF 15.24
P/B 2.75
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.78
EPS(TTM)0.76
EY1.36%
EPS(NY)0.98
Fwd EY1.75%
FCF(TTM)0.49
FCFY0.87%
OCF(TTM)3.67
OCFY6.56%
SpS18.46
BVpS20.38
TBVpS-3.76
PEG (NY)2.52
PEG (5Y)2.11
Graham Number18.67
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.66%
ROICexc 1.67%
ROICexgc 3.36%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.42
F-Score7
WACC7.05%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y29.19%
EPS Next 2Y32.31%
EPS Next 3Y33.59%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.64%
Revenue Next 2Y6.88%
Revenue Next 3Y7.72%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year189.5%
EBIT Next 3Y52.5%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.CA.


What is the valuation status for GFL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to grow by 29.19% in the next year.