GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

53.23 CAD
-6.39 (-10.72%)
Last:

This GFL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years GFL reported 4 times negative net income.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a Return On Assets of 19.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 95.65% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a better Return On Equity (51.81%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.66%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 52.17% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 6.33%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.30%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.66%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.66%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • GFL's Profit Margin of 57.19% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Operating Margin of 6.04%. This is in the better half of the industry: GFL outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
  • GFL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GFL's Gross Margin of 20.67% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. GFL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • GFL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.34, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.34, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 45.44. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 45.44 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 45.44, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.08) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.34
ROIC/WACC0.21
WACC7.94%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL has a Current ratio of 0.58. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.58, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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5

3. GFL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.54%.
  • Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 34.92% on average per year.
  • GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.85%.
  • Measured over the past years, GFL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.47% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.99% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.92%
Revenue Next 3Y7.62%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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2

4. GFL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 70.04, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 56.47, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • GFL is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.04
Fwd PE 56.47
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 109.29
EV/EBITDA 15.78
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.91
PEG (5Y)2.01
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%

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5

5. GFL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.14.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.13, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GFL grows each year by 15.61%, which is quite nice.
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • As GFL did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • 0.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (4/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

53.23

-6.39 (-10.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners101.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.08B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts76.84
Price Target72.41 (36.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date04-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)-1.55%
PT rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.04
Fwd PE 56.47
P/S 2.88
P/FCF 109.29
P/OCF 14.5
P/B 2.61
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.78
EPS(TTM)0.76
EY1.43%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY1.77%
FCF(TTM)0.49
FCFY0.92%
OCF(TTM)3.67
OCFY6.9%
SpS18.46
BVpS20.37
TBVpS-3.76
PEG (NY)2.91
PEG (5Y)2.01
Graham Number18.66
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.66%
ROICexc 1.67%
ROICexgc 3.36%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.34
F-Score7
WACC7.94%
ROIC/WACC0.21
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year6.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.92%
Revenue Next 3Y7.62%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year190.57%
EBIT Next 3Y52.27%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 70.04 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.61.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GFL stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.82%.