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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

60.29 CAD
-0.44 (-0.72%)
Last: 12/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While GFL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFL was profitable.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

GFL has a Return On Assets of 18.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 6.19%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.79%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROIC 1.79%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

GFL has a better Profit Margin (51.46%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
GFL has a better Operating Margin (6.26%) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GFL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.51, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL (34.89) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that GFL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Altman-Z 1.51
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC7.02%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a Quick ratio (0.69) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
The Revenue for GFL has decreased by -10.87% in the past year. This is quite bad
GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%

3.2 Future

GFL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.83% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.95% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.33%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 97.24, the valuation of GFL can be described as expensive.
GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.43. GFL is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 57.20 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.66), we can say GFL is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 97.24
Fwd PE 57.2
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 95.93
EV/EBITDA 16.16
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.87% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.02, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (12/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

60.29

-0.44 (-0.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/amc
Earnings (Next)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Inst Owners98.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.9%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.65B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target75.68 (25.53%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.13%
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date10-15 2025-10-15 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0.42%
PT rev (3m)-1.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 97.24
Fwd PE 57.2
P/S 3.13
P/FCF 95.93
P/OCF 15.08
P/B 2.84
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.16
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY1.03%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.75%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.04%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.63%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.38%
ROE 46.75%
ROCE 2.49%
ROIC 1.79%
ROICexc 1.81%
ROICexgc 3.59%
OM 6.26%
PM (TTM) 51.46%
GM 20.38%
FCFM 3.26%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 34.89
Debt/EBITDA 4.21
Cap/Depr 87.58%
Cap/Sales 17.5%
Interest Coverage 0.9
Cash Conversion 79.13%
Profit Quality 6.34%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 1.51
F-Score6
WACC7.02%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.33%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.16%
EBIT Next 5Y41.88%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.


What is the valuation status of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.87%.