GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
57.8 CAD
-1.24 (-2.1%)
GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GFL's Return On Assets of 18.38% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Return On Equity of 46.75%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (1.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is below the industry average of 5.81%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.09%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.79%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GFL's Profit Margin of 51.46% is amongst the best of the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 6.26%, GFL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GFL has more shares outstanding
GFL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.47, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.47. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
GFL has a debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFL would need 34.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GFL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 34.89. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.47 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.92%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL has a Current ratio of 0.69. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL's Quick ratio of 0.69 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 24.56% on average per year.
GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.87%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.83% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.95% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GFL is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 93.23.
GFL's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.00.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 55.19, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 55.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 91.97 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.73% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.14%, GFL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.14, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
0.87% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
TSX:GFL (1/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
57.8
-1.24 (-2.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners98.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap20.76B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target74.1 (28.2%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)-2.91%
PT rev (3m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 93.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 55.19 | ||
| P/S | 3 | ||
| P/FCF | 91.97 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.45 | ||
| P/B | 2.73 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.67 |
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY1.07%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.81%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.09%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.92%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.59% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.47 |
F-Score6
WACC6.92%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.93%
EPS Next 2Y12.26%
EPS Next 3Y18.73%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.18%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.11%
EBIT Next 5Y41.88%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.
What is the valuation status for GFL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is expected to decline by -27.93% in the next year.