GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock
62.02 CAD
+0.23 (+0.37%)
Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFL while its profitability can be described as average. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GFL was profitable.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GFL always reported negative net income.
GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GFL has a better Return On Assets (18.38%) than 95.83% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 46.75%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of GFL (1.79%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 6.19%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.09%) for GFL is below the current ROIC(1.79%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GFL has a Profit Margin of 51.46%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of GFL (6.26%) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Gross Margin of 20.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GFL underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
GFL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GFL has an Altman-Z score of 1.54. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.54, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 34.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 34.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL (34.89) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 54.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC7.03%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFL has a worse Current ratio (0.69) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GFL (0.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GFL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -6.20%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 24.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.87%.
GFL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.63% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GFL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.83% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.95% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-27.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.33%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.03, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
GFL is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.34, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 58.84, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.56.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 58.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GFL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as GFL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 98.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.87% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.13%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.17, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
5.2 History
GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
GFL pays out 0.87% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.87%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
TSX:GFL (12/8/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
62.02
+0.23 (+0.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners98.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.9%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.27B
Revenue(TTM)6.92B
Net Income(TTM)3.56B
Analysts75.56
Price Target75.68 (22.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.87%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-170.42%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-98.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-42.66%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)11.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.9%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.02%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.24%
PT rev (1m)0.42%
PT rev (3m)-1.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 58.84 | ||
| P/S | 3.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 98.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.51 | ||
| P/B | 2.93 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.62
EY1%
EPS(NY)1.05
Fwd EY1.7%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.01%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY6.45%
SpS19.26
BVpS21.19
TBVpS-2.5
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number17.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 18.38% | ||
| ROE | 46.75% | ||
| ROCE | 2.49% | ||
| ROIC | 1.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.59% | ||
| OM | 6.26% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 51.46% | ||
| GM | 20.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.26% |
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 34.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 87.58% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 6.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.54 |
F-Score6
WACC7.03%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-6.2%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-27.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.87%
EPS Next 5Y19.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.87%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-15.91%
Revenue Next Year-16.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.33%
Revenue Next 5Y3.95%
EBIT growth 1Y20.59%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year258.62%
EBIT Next 3Y63.16%
EBIT Next 5Y41.88%
FCF growth 1Y386.06%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.23%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GFL.CA.
What is the valuation status of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
The financial health rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 1 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) stock?
The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.87%.