GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:GFL • CA36168Q1046

Current stock price

53.77 CAD
+0.49 (+0.92%)
Last:

This GFL.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. GFL.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years GFL reported 4 times negative net income.
  • GFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • GFL has a Return On Assets of 19.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 95.65% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 51.81%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GFL has a Return On Invested Capital (1.66%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GFL is significantly below the industry average of 6.33%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.66%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.30%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROIC 1.66%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 57.19%, GFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 6.04%, GFL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
  • GFL's Gross Margin of 20.67% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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2

2. GFL.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GFL is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GFL has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GFL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.35, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GFL has a Altman-Z score of 1.35. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GFL outperforms 43.48% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 45.44, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 45.44 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL (45.44) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GFL has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.08) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Altman-Z 1.35
ROIC/WACC0.21
WACC7.77%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.58 indicates that GFL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.58, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GFL's Quick ratio of 0.58 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFL is outperformed by 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. GFL.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for GFL have decreased by -8.54% in the last year.
  • GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 34.92% yearly.
  • GFL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -15.85%.
  • Measured over the past years, GFL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 25.47% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • GFL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 7.99% yearly.
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue Next Year7.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.37%
Revenue Next 3Y7.61%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

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2

4. GFL.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 70.75 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.95.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 57.04, which means the current valuation is very expensive for GFL.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 38.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.75
Fwd PE 57.04
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 111.16
EV/EBITDA 15.88
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GFL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of GFL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)2.03
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%

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5

5. GFL.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.15%, which is pretty low.
  • GFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.09.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, GFL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of GFL grows each year by 15.61%, which is quite nice.
  • GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • GFL has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.02 0.04 0.06

5.3 Sustainability

  • GFL pays out 0.82% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • GFL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP0.82%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GFL.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (4/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

53.77

+0.49 (+0.92%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)02-11
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners101.48%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.41B
Revenue(TTM)6.62B
Net Income(TTM)3.78B
Analysts76.84
Price Target72.41 (34.67%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.15%
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.61%
DP0.82%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date04-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.76%
Max EPS beat(2)84.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)84.61%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.75%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.39%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.26%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.95%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.24%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.08%
PT rev (1m)-1.55%
PT rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.85%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 70.75
Fwd PE 57.04
P/S 2.93
P/FCF 111.16
P/OCF 14.75
P/B 2.66
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.88
EPS(TTM)0.76
EY1.41%
EPS(NY)0.94
Fwd EY1.75%
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY0.9%
OCF(TTM)3.65
OCFY6.78%
SpS18.33
BVpS20.23
TBVpS-3.74
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)2.03
Graham Number18.5998 (-65.41%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.61%
ROE 51.81%
ROCE 2.31%
ROIC 1.66%
ROICexc 1.67%
ROICexgc 3.36%
OM 6.04%
PM (TTM) 57.19%
GM 20.67%
FCFM 2.64%
ROA(3y)5.2%
ROA(5y)2.14%
ROE(3y)13.22%
ROE(5y)4.8%
ROIC(3y)1.3%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.31%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.8%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y57%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.45%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y82.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y20.55%
GM growth 5Y35.47%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.08
Debt/FCF 45.44
Debt/EBITDA 4.59
Cap/Depr 86.73%
Cap/Sales 17.25%
Interest Coverage 0.88
Cash Conversion 76.69%
Profit Quality 4.61%
Current Ratio 0.58
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.35
F-Score7
WACC7.77%
ROIC/WACC0.21
Cap/Depr(3y)78.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.54%
EPS 3Y16.55%
EPS 5Y34.92%
EPS Q2Q%63.64%
EPS Next Y24.03%
EPS Next 2Y29.91%
EPS Next 3Y28.05%
EPS Next 5Y25.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.72%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%-15.08%
Revenue Next Year7.54%
Revenue Next 2Y7.37%
Revenue Next 3Y7.61%
Revenue Next 5Y7.99%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 3Y81.22%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year190.57%
EBIT Next 3Y52.27%
EBIT Next 5Y35.3%
FCF growth 1Y-49.71%
FCF growth 3Y-17.96%
FCF growth 5Y18.76%
OCF growth 1Y-14.56%
OCF growth 3Y6.28%
OCF growth 5Y21.25%

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT / GFL.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFL.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT?

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 70.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.66.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GFL stock?

The dividend rating of GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0.82%.