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GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT (GFL.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - TSX:GFL - CA36168Q1046 - Common Stock

63.91 CAD
-1.4 (-2.14%)
Last: 9/15/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall GFL gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GFL against 24 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. GFL has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GFL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GFL had a positive cash flow from operations.
GFL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GFL had a positive operating cash flow.
GFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

GFL has a Return On Assets of 19.14%. This is amongst the best in the industry. GFL outperforms 95.83% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 46.28%, GFL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL's Return On Invested Capital of 1.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
GFL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.09%. This is significantly below the industry average of 7.32%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.89%) for GFL is above the 3 year average (1.09%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.14%
ROE 46.28%
ROIC 1.89%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFL.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of GFL (49.00%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
GFL's Operating Margin of 6.08% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
With a Gross Margin value of 20.03%, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.08%
PM (TTM) 49%
GM 20.03%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
GFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFL.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GFL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GFL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GFL is higher compared to a year ago.
GFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFL.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
GFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFL.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.72, we must say that GFL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.72, GFL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.17% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFL is 37.92, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFL, 37.92 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 37.92, GFL is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.92. This is a neutral value indicating GFL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GFL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.92 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFL outperforms 54.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 37.92
Altman-Z 1.72
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC7.46%
GFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFL.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

GFL has a Current Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.67, GFL is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GFL has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that GFL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFL has a worse Quick ratio (0.67) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
GFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFL.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 10.60% over the past year.
GFL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 24.56% yearly.
GFL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -5.22%.
Measured over the past years, GFL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.63% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 20.18% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.88% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-22.04%
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.18%
Revenue Next Year-16.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.53%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5Y3.88%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
GFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFL.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 88.76, GFL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GFL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.27.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 57.24 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFL is on the same level as its industry peers.
GFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.77.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 88.76
Fwd PE 57.24
GFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFL.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFL.
GFL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 122.15
EV/EBITDA 16.04
GFL.CA Per share dataGFL.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFL's earnings are expected to grow with 21.89% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GFL has a yearly dividend return of 0.12%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.34, GFL has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.12, GFL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.12%

5.2 History

GFL has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GFL has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
GFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareGFL.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

5.3 Sustainability

GFL pays out 0.86% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP0.86%
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
GFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFL.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500M -1B
GFL.CA Dividend Payout.GFL.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFL.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC-SUB VT

TSX:GFL (9/15/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

63.91

-1.4 (-2.14%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Earnings (Next)11-04 2025-11-04/amc
Inst Owners100.89%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.88%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.22B
Analysts76.92
Price Target76.91 (20.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.12%
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0.86%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date07-14 2025-07-14 (0.0154)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-340.24%
Min EPS beat(2)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-167.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-694.06%
Max EPS beat(4)13.57%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-94.31%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-39.7%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.51%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.6%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.15%
PT rev (1m)-0.04%
PT rev (3m)5.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.56%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-47.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)-37.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 88.76
Fwd PE 57.24
P/S 3.21
P/FCF 122.15
P/OCF 16.68
P/B 3.03
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.04
EPS(TTM)0.72
EY1.13%
EPS(NY)1.12
Fwd EY1.75%
FCF(TTM)0.52
FCFY0.82%
OCF(TTM)3.83
OCFY5.99%
SpS19.91
BVpS21.09
TBVpS-1.55
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.14%
ROE 46.28%
ROCE 2.63%
ROIC 1.89%
ROICexc 1.91%
ROICexgc 3.79%
OM 6.08%
PM (TTM) 49%
GM 20.03%
FCFM 2.63%
ROA(3y)-1.87%
ROA(5y)-3.18%
ROE(3y)-5.77%
ROE(5y)-9.45%
ROIC(3y)1.09%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.86%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)1.52%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.55%
GM growth 5Y15.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.39
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.92
Debt/FCF 37.92
Debt/EBITDA 3.73
Cap/Depr 82.98%
Cap/Sales 16.61%
Interest Coverage 0.82
Cash Conversion 73.72%
Profit Quality 5.36%
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.67
Altman-Z 1.72
F-Score6
WACC7.46%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)66.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.53%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.6%
EPS 3Y24.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-10.34%
EPS Next Y-22.04%
EPS Next 2Y15.92%
EPS Next 3Y21.89%
EPS Next 5Y20.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.22%
Revenue growth 3Y12.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.63%
Sales Q2Q%-18.68%
Revenue Next Year-16.18%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.53%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5Y3.88%
EBIT growth 1Y40.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year264.02%
EBIT Next 3Y61.98%
EBIT Next 5Y40.33%
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3Y11.47%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y21.86%
OCF growth 3Y19.71%
OCF growth 5Y43.74%