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GECINA SA (GFC.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:GFC - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0010040865 - REIT - Currency: EUR

91.35  +0.55 (+0.61%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, GFC scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GFC was compared to 40 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFC while its profitability can be described as average. GFC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GFC had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years GFC 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years GFC always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GFC.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFC.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.73%, GFC is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GFC has a worse Return On Equity (2.95%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GFC (2.39%) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFC is in line with the industry average of 3.63%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.16%) for GFC is below the current ROIC(2.39%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 2.95%
ROIC 2.39%
ROA(3y)-2.53%
ROA(5y)-0.53%
ROE(3y)-4.2%
ROE(5y)-0.96%
ROIC(3y)2.16%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
GFC.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFC.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

GFC's Profit Margin of 44.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFC outperforms 52.50% of its industry peers.
GFC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 79.23%, GFC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.50% of the companies in the same industry.
GFC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
GFC has a better Gross Margin (91.97%) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFC has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 79.23%
PM (TTM) 44.6%
GM 91.97%
OM growth 3Y1.41%
OM growth 5Y0.49%
PM growth 3Y-31.45%
PM growth 5Y-27.48%
GM growth 3Y0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
GFC.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFC.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFC is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
The number of shares outstanding for GFC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GFC.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFC.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFC.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFC.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFC has an Altman-Z score of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that GFC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFC has a Altman-Z score of 1.19. This is in the better half of the industry: GFC outperforms 72.50% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GFC is 46.20, which is on the high side as it means it would take GFC, 46.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GFC's Debt to FCF ratio of 46.20 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFC is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59 indicates that GFC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.59, GFC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 46.2
Altman-Z 1.19
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC4.48%
GFC.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFC.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.72 indicates that GFC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFC has a better Current ratio (0.72) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
GFC has a Quick Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that GFC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GFC has a better Quick ratio (0.72) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
GFC.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFC.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.82%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.53% on average over the past years.
GFC shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.15%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.38% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.82%
EPS 3Y6.47%
EPS 5Y1.53%
EPS Q2Q%5.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.15%
Revenue growth 3Y4.23%
Revenue growth 5Y0.38%
Sales Q2Q%5.24%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GFC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.83% on average per year.
GFC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.53% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.89%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.65%
Revenue Next 2Y2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y2.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.53%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GFC.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFC.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFC.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFC.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.23, the valuation of GFC can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GFC is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GFC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.28), we can say GFC is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.57, the valuation of GFC can be described as correct.
GFC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GFC is more expensive than 67.50% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GFC to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.76), we can say GFC is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.23
Fwd PE 13.57
GFC.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFC.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GFC is valued a bit more expensive than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
GFC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. GFC is more expensive than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.29
EV/EBITDA 22.5
GFC.PA Per share dataGFC.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.91
PEG (5Y)9.29
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.92%, GFC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
GFC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 5.53.
GFC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.92%

5.2 History

The dividend of GFC decreases each year by -0.70%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.7%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
GFC.PA Yearly Dividends per shareGFC.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

126.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP126.65%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%
GFC.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFC.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
GFC.PA Dividend Payout.GFC.PA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFC.PA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GECINA SA

EPA:GFC (7/3/2025, 9:05:00 AM)

91.35

+0.55 (+0.61%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)04-17 2025-04-17
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23
Inst Owners59.76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.01B
Analysts78.18
Price Target111.82 (22.41%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.92%
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.7%
DP126.65%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.43%
PT rev (3m)-4.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.23
Fwd PE 13.57
P/S 10.09
P/FCF 48.29
P/OCF 11.69
P/B 0.67
P/tB 0.68
EV/EBITDA 22.5
EPS(TTM)6.42
EY7.03%
EPS(NY)6.73
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)1.89
FCFY2.07%
OCF(TTM)7.82
OCFY8.56%
SpS9.05
BVpS136.9
TBVpS134.59
PEG (NY)2.91
PEG (5Y)9.29
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 2.95%
ROCE 3.42%
ROIC 2.39%
ROICexc 2.41%
ROICexgc 2.44%
OM 79.23%
PM (TTM) 44.6%
GM 91.97%
FCFM 20.9%
ROA(3y)-2.53%
ROA(5y)-0.53%
ROE(3y)-4.2%
ROE(5y)-0.96%
ROIC(3y)2.16%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
ROICexc(3y)2.18%
ROICexc(5y)2.06%
ROICexgc(3y)2.2%
ROICexgc(5y)2.08%
ROCE(3y)3.06%
ROCE(5y)2.88%
ROICexcg growth 3Y11.07%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y11.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.34%
OM growth 3Y1.41%
OM growth 5Y0.49%
PM growth 3Y-31.45%
PM growth 5Y-27.48%
GM growth 3Y0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 46.2
Debt/EBITDA 11.03
Cap/Depr 3707.94%
Cap/Sales 65.47%
Interest Coverage 7.71
Cash Conversion 106.64%
Profit Quality 46.87%
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 1.19
F-Score8
WACC4.48%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)4148.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)3166.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)60.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)56.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.82%
EPS 3Y6.47%
EPS 5Y1.53%
EPS Q2Q%5.19%
EPS Next Y4.89%
EPS Next 2Y3.52%
EPS Next 3Y2.83%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.15%
Revenue growth 3Y4.23%
Revenue growth 5Y0.38%
Sales Q2Q%5.24%
Revenue Next Year3.65%
Revenue Next 2Y2.44%
Revenue Next 3Y2.82%
Revenue Next 5Y4.53%
EBIT growth 1Y5.05%
EBIT growth 3Y5.7%
EBIT growth 5Y0.87%
EBIT Next Year5.63%
EBIT Next 3Y4.43%
EBIT Next 5Y4.58%
FCF growth 1Y0.51%
FCF growth 3Y6.25%
FCF growth 5Y15.9%
OCF growth 1Y12.13%
OCF growth 3Y7.59%
OCF growth 5Y-0.67%