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GECINA SA (GFC.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - Euronext Paris - EPA:GFC - FR0010040865 - REIT

79.8 EUR
-0.05 (-0.06%)
Last: 12/2/2025, 9:59:03 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GFC. GFC was compared to 42 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GFC while its profitability can be described as average. GFC has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GFC had positive earnings in the past year.
GFC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years GFC 4 years were profitable.
GFC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
GFC.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFC.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

GFC's Return On Assets of 1.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFC outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
GFC's Return On Equity of 2.98% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFC outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
GFC has a worse Return On Invested Capital (2.34%) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GFC is in line with the industry average of 3.53%.
The 3 year average ROIC (2.16%) for GFC is below the current ROIC(2.34%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 2.98%
ROIC 2.34%
ROA(3y)-2.53%
ROA(5y)-0.53%
ROE(3y)-4.2%
ROE(5y)-0.96%
ROIC(3y)2.16%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
GFC.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFC.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of GFC (44.60%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GFC has declined.
GFC has a Operating Margin of 79.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: GFC outperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GFC has remained more or less at the same level.
The Gross Margin of GFC (91.97%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
GFC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 79.23%
PM (TTM) 44.6%
GM 91.97%
OM growth 3Y1.41%
OM growth 5Y0.49%
PM growth 3Y-31.45%
PM growth 5Y-27.48%
GM growth 3Y0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
GFC.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFC.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GFC is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GFC remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GFC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GFC is higher compared to a year ago.
GFC.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingGFC.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
GFC.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFC.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

GFC has an Altman-Z score of 1.05. This is a bad value and indicates that GFC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFC has a better Altman-Z score (1.05) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
GFC has a debt to FCF ratio of 72.06. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GFC would need 72.06 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 72.06, GFC is doing worse than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
GFC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.65. This is a neutral value indicating GFC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GFC has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.65) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 72.06
Altman-Z 1.05
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC4.31%
GFC.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFC.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that GFC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GFC's Current ratio of 0.55 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GFC outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.55 indicates that GFC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.55, GFC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
GFC.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFC.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.75%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.53% on average over the past years.
GFC shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.15%.
GFC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.75%
EPS 3Y6.47%
EPS 5Y1.53%
EPS Q2Q%6.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.15%
Revenue growth 3Y4.23%
Revenue growth 5Y0.38%
Sales Q2Q%4.9%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.11% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, GFC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.53% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.13%
EPS Next 2Y2.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.92%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y2.35%
Revenue Next 5Y4.53%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GFC.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFC.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 200M 400M 600M 800M
GFC.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFC.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.05, which indicates a correct valuation of GFC.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GFC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GFC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.72 indicates a reasonable valuation of GFC.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFC.
GFC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 36.21.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.05
Fwd PE 11.72
GFC.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFC.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as GFC.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GFC is valued more expensive than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 64.58
EV/EBITDA 19.16
GFC.PA Per share dataGFC.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GFC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.35
PEG (5Y)7.87
EPS Next 2Y2.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.11%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.86%, GFC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.80, GFC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
GFC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.86%

5.2 History

The dividend of GFC decreases each year by -0.70%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.7%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
GFC.PA Yearly Dividends per shareGFC.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

127.92% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GFC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP127.92%
EPS Next 2Y2.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.11%
GFC.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGFC.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
GFC.PA Dividend Payout.GFC.PA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GFC.PA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GECINA SA

EPA:GFC (12/2/2025, 9:59:03 AM)

79.8

-0.05 (-0.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)10-14 2025-10-14
Earnings (Next)02-10 2026-02-10/amc
Inst Owners60.34%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.13B
Revenue(TTM)694.48M
Net Income(TTM)309.76M
Analysts80
Price Target111.21 (39.36%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.86%
Yearly Dividend5.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)-0.7%
DP127.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.5%
PT rev (3m)0.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.05
Fwd PE 11.72
P/S 8.82
P/FCF 64.58
P/OCF 11.87
P/B 0.59
P/tB 0.6
EV/EBITDA 19.16
EPS(TTM)6.62
EY8.3%
EPS(NY)6.81
Fwd EY8.53%
FCF(TTM)1.24
FCFY1.55%
OCF(TTM)6.73
OCFY8.43%
SpS9.04
BVpS135.41
TBVpS133.11
PEG (NY)2.35
PEG (5Y)7.87
Graham Number142.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 2.98%
ROCE 3.48%
ROIC 2.34%
ROICexc 2.44%
ROICexgc 2.47%
OM 79.23%
PM (TTM) 44.6%
GM 91.97%
FCFM 13.66%
ROA(3y)-2.53%
ROA(5y)-0.53%
ROE(3y)-4.2%
ROE(5y)-0.96%
ROIC(3y)2.16%
ROIC(5y)2.04%
ROICexc(3y)2.18%
ROICexc(5y)2.06%
ROICexgc(3y)2.2%
ROICexgc(5y)2.08%
ROCE(3y)3.06%
ROCE(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.07%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.35%
ROICexc growth 3Y11.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.34%
OM growth 3Y1.41%
OM growth 5Y0.49%
PM growth 3Y-31.45%
PM growth 5Y-27.48%
GM growth 3Y0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.26%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.65
Debt/FCF 72.06
Debt/EBITDA 11.98
Cap/Depr 3437.7%
Cap/Sales 60.7%
Interest Coverage 6.34
Cash Conversion 91.81%
Profit Quality 30.63%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 1.05
F-Score8
WACC4.31%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)4148.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)3166.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)60.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)56.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.75%
EPS 3Y6.47%
EPS 5Y1.53%
EPS Q2Q%6.29%
EPS Next Y5.13%
EPS Next 2Y2.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.11%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.15%
Revenue growth 3Y4.23%
Revenue growth 5Y0.38%
Sales Q2Q%4.9%
Revenue Next Year2.92%
Revenue Next 2Y1.52%
Revenue Next 3Y2.35%
Revenue Next 5Y4.53%
EBIT growth 1Y5.05%
EBIT growth 3Y5.7%
EBIT growth 5Y0.87%
EBIT Next Year5.26%
EBIT Next 3Y3.7%
EBIT Next 5Y4.58%
FCF growth 1Y-15.63%
FCF growth 3Y6.25%
FCF growth 5Y15.9%
OCF growth 1Y2.09%
OCF growth 3Y7.59%
OCF growth 5Y-0.67%

GECINA SA / GFC.PA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GECINA SA?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GFC.PA.


What is the valuation status for GFC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GECINA SA (GFC.PA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of GFC stock?

GECINA SA (GFC.PA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for GFC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GECINA SA (GFC.PA) is expected to grow by 5.13% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of GECINA SA (GFC.PA) stock?

The dividend rating of GECINA SA (GFC.PA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 127.92%.