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GUARDFORCE AI CO LTD (GFAI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GFAI - Nasdaq - KYG4236L1389 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.25  -0.05 (-3.85%)

Premarket: 1.26 +0.01 (+0.8%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall GFAI gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated GFAI against 84 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. While GFAI seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. GFAI does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GFAI has reported negative net income.
GFAI had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
GFAI had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GFAI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
GFAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGFAI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -10M -20M

1.2 Ratios

GFAI has a Return On Assets of -48.64%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GFAI underperforms 92.68% of its industry peers.
GFAI has a worse Return On Equity (-74.31%) than 82.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -48.64%
ROE -74.31%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-36%
ROA(5y)-23.32%
ROE(3y)-99.45%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GFAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGFAI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

GFAI's Gross Margin of 17.38% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GFAI is outperformed by 78.05% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GFAI has remained more or less at the same level.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GFAI so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 17.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.73%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
GFAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGFAI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GFAI does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, GFAI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GFAI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GFAI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GFAI Yearly Shares OutstandingGFAI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2M 4M 6M 8M
GFAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGFAI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M

2.2 Solvency

GFAI has an Altman-Z score of -0.88. This is a bad value and indicates that GFAI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GFAI has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.88) than 81.71% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that GFAI is not too dependend on debt financing.
GFAI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 82.93% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.88
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC7.38%
GFAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGFAI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M -20M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.42 indicates that GFAI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
GFAI's Current ratio of 3.42 is amongst the best of the industry. GFAI outperforms 84.15% of its industry peers.
GFAI has a Quick Ratio of 3.36. This indicates that GFAI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GFAI (3.36) is better than 89.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.42
Quick Ratio 3.36
GFAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGFAI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GFAI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 90.76%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue for GFAI has decreased by -31.82% in the past year. This is quite bad
GFAI shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)90.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-31.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.23%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.57%
Sales Q2Q%-2.44%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 26.31% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
GFAI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.25% yearly.
EPS Next Y97.69%
EPS Next 2Y41.63%
EPS Next 3Y26.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-18.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.6%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.25%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GFAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGFAI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
GFAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGFAI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

GFAI reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.85 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GFAI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GFAI.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.70. GFAI is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 40.85
GFAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGFAI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
GFAI Per share dataGFAI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

GFAI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GFAI's earnings are expected to grow with 26.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y41.63%
EPS Next 3Y26.31%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GFAI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

GUARDFORCE AI CO LTD

NASDAQ:GFAI (2/21/2025, 8:23:24 PM)

Premarket: 1.26 +0.01 (+0.8%)

1.25

-0.05 (-3.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)09-30 2024-09-30
Earnings (Next)04-29 2025-04-29
Inst Owners1.53%
Inst Owner Change220%
Ins Owners2.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.26M
Analysts82.86
Price Target4.59 (267.2%)
Short Float %7.77%
Short Ratio0.31
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 40.85
P/S 0.63
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.94
P/tB 1.08
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.79
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.03
Fwd EY2.45%
FCF(TTM)-0.18
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.11
OCFYN/A
SpS1.99
BVpS1.33
TBVpS1.16
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -48.64%
ROE -74.31%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 17.38%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-36%
ROA(5y)-23.32%
ROE(3y)-99.45%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.73%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 23.73%
Cap/Sales 3.47%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.42
Quick Ratio 3.36
Altman-Z -0.88
F-Score6
WACC7.38%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)90.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)61.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.6%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)90.76%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.67%
EPS Next Y97.69%
EPS Next 2Y41.63%
EPS Next 3Y26.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-31.82%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.23%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.57%
Sales Q2Q%-2.44%
Revenue Next Year-18.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.6%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.25%
EBIT growth 1Y41.02%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-118.8%
EBIT Next 3Y-45.43%
EBIT Next 5Y-17.45%
FCF growth 1Y87.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y93.79%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A