Fundamental Analysis of GEVO INC(NASDAQ:GEVO) stock

Fundamental Rating

GEVO gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 204 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While GEVO seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. While showing a medium growth rate, GEVO is valued expensive at the moment.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GEVO had negative earnings in the past year.

In the past year GEVO has reported a negative cash flow from operations.

In the past 5 years GEVO always reported negative net income.

GEVO had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

GEVO has a Return On Assets of -13.17%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GEVO underperforms 91.63% of its industry peers.

GEVO has a Return On Equity of -15.75%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GEVO underperforms 83.25% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-13.17%
ROE	-15.75%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)-11.11%

ROA(5y)-18.09%

ROE(3y)-12.96%

ROE(5y)-21.17%

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 2.81%, GEVO is doing worse than 81.77% of the companies in the same industry.

The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for GEVO so they could not be analyzed.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	2.81%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GEVO does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

GEVO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

The number of shares outstanding for GEVO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.

Compared to 1 year ago, GEVO has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.13, we must say that GEVO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.

GEVO's Altman-Z score of 0.13 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GEVO is outperformed by 70.94% of its industry peers.

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13 indicates that GEVO is not too dependend on debt financing.

With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.13, GEVO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.88% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.13
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	0.13

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC7.88%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 8.25 indicates that GEVO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

GEVO has a Current ratio of 8.25. This is amongst the best in the industry. GEVO outperforms 93.60% of its industry peers.

A Quick Ratio of 8.05 indicates that GEVO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.

The Quick ratio of GEVO (8.05) is better than 93.60% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	8.25
Quick Ratio	8.05

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

GEVO shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.68%.

The Revenue has grown by 16.53% in the past year. This is quite good.

Measured over the past years, GEVO shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -12.14% on average per year.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-28.57%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.53%

Revenue growth 3Y45.88%

Revenue growth 5Y-12.14%

Sales Q2Q%-56.6%

3.2 Future

GEVO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 46.92% yearly.

Based on estimates for the next years, GEVO will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 65.62% on average per year.

EPS Next Y-14.75%

EPS Next 2Y-1%

EPS Next 3Y16.94%

EPS Next 5Y46.92%

Revenue Next Year15.78%

Revenue Next 2Y34.46%

Revenue Next 3Y120.01%

Revenue Next 5Y65.62%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for GEVO. In the last year negative earnings were reported.

Also next year GEVO is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as GEVO's earnings are expected to grow with 16.94% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-1%

EPS Next 3Y16.94%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for GEVO!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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GEVO INC

NASDAQ:GEVO (11/22/2024, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 1.6 +0.01 (+0.63%)

1.59

+0.2 (+14.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorEnergy

GICS IndustryGroupEnergy

GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap380.66M

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)

Div Incr Years

Div Non Decr Years

Ex-Date

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

Avg EPS beat(2)

Min EPS beat(2)

Max EPS beat(2)

EPS beat(4)

Avg EPS beat(4)

Min EPS beat(4)

Max EPS beat(4)

EPS beat(8)

Avg EPS beat(8)

EPS beat(12)

Avg EPS beat(12)

EPS beat(16)

Avg EPS beat(16)

Revenue beat(2)

Avg Revenue beat(2)

Min Revenue beat(2)

Max Revenue beat(2)

Revenue beat(4)

Avg Revenue beat(4)

Min Revenue beat(4)

Max Revenue beat(4)

Revenue beat(8)

Avg Revenue beat(8)

Revenue beat(12)

Avg Revenue beat(12)

Revenue beat(16)

Avg Revenue beat(16)

PT rev (1m)

PT rev (3m)

EPS NQ rev (1m)

EPS NQ rev (3m)

EPS NY rev (1m)

EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

Revenue NQ rev (3m)

Revenue NY rev (1m)

Revenue NY rev (3m)

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA

EPS(TTM)

EPS(NY)

Fwd EY

FCF(TTM)

FCFY

OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-13.17%
ROE	-15.75%
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	2.81%
FCFM

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

ROCE(3y)

ROCE(5y)

ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.03

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.13
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio	8.25
Quick Ratio	8.05
Altman-Z

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.68%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y

EPS Q2Q%

EPS Next Y-14.75%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.53%

Revenue growth 3Y45.88%

Revenue growth 5Y

Sales Q2Q%

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

EBIT Next Year

EBIT Next 3Y

EBIT Next 5Y

FCF growth 1Y

FCF growth 3Y

FCF growth 5Y

OCF growth 1Y

OCF growth 3Y

OCF growth 5Y

GEVO INC (GEVO)

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

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