GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
58.47 USD
+0.95 (+1.65%)
58.47 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to GEF. GEF was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GEF has an average financial health and profitability rating. GEF is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. GEF also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes GEF very considerable for dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GEF had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GEF has always been profitable.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GEF has a Return On Assets of 2.82%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Return On Equity (8.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Return On Invested Capital of 6.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GEF is above the industry average of 7.60%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
GEF has a Profit Margin (3.65%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.77%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GEF has declined.
The Gross Margin of GEF (21.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GEF is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GEF has less shares outstanding
GEF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GEF has an Altman-Z score of 1.98. This is not the best score and indicates that GEF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GEF's Altman-Z score of 1.98 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
GEF has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GEF would need 8.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 8.24, GEF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GEF has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.21) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC8.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GEF has a better Current ratio (1.41) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GEF (1.18) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.05% on average per year.
GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.55%.
GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.79% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.39% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.90, the valuation of GEF can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GEF is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.83. GEF is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.65, GEF is valued correctly.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.68, GEF is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.64 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)334.93
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.89%, GEF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.52, GEF pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
GEF's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.89% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GEF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
58.47
+0.95 (+1.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.97%
Inst Owner Change-0.18%
Ins Owners3.04%
Ins Owner Change-2.38%
Market Cap2.78B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target75.28 (28.75%)
Short Float %3%
Short Ratio3.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.89% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-3.4%
PT rev (3m)-3.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.65 | ||
| P/S | 0.53 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.32 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.66 | ||
| P/B | 1.27 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.64 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.92%
EPS(NY)4.28
Fwd EY7.33%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY12.02%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY17.66%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)334.93
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.98 |
F-Score5
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year42.67%
EBIT Next 3Y14.2%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.