GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
68.86 USD
-0.14 (-0.2%)
68.86 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GEF gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GEF against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GEF get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GEF has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. Finally GEF also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GEF had positive earnings in the past year.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GEF has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years GEF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.82%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Return On Equity of 8.66% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
GEF's Return On Invested Capital of 6.68% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GEF is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.65%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GEF has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.77%, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GEF has a Gross Margin (21.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GEF has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GEF is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for GEF has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GEF has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GEF is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.05 indicates that GEF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.05, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GEF would need 8.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GEF has a better Debt to FCF ratio (8.24) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.21, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.87%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GEF (1.41) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GEF has a better Quick ratio (1.18) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GEF shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -26.07%.
GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.05% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -2.55% in the past year.
GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.26% on average per year.
GEF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y-20.71%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-17.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.55%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.90, GEF is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GEF is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.61, GEF is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.89, GEF is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GEF.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.01.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)394.45
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GEF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.19%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.49.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, GEF pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GEF is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
68.86
-0.14 (-0.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.4%
Inst Owner Change6.37%
Ins Owners2.93%
Ins Owner Change-2.29%
Market Cap3.27B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target74.05 (7.54%)
Short Float %3.42%
Short Ratio4.04
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-1.63%
PT rev (3m)-4.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-23.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.77%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.89 | ||
| P/S | 0.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.67 | ||
| P/B | 1.49 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.4 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.02%
EPS(NY)4.33
Fwd EY6.29%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY10.2%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY15%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)394.45
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
F-Score5
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-20.71%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.55%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year39.26%
EBIT Next 3Y14.4%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.