GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
64.77 USD
-0.45 (-0.69%)
64.77 USD
0 (0%)
GEF gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GEF has an average financial health and profitability rating. GEF is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GEF was profitable.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GEF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GEF (2.82%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of GEF (8.66%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of GEF (6.68%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GEF is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.65%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GEF has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.77%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GEF (21.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GEF has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GEF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for GEF has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GEF has an Altman-Z score of 2.03. This is not the best score and indicates that GEF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GEF has a Altman-Z score of 2.03. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GEF is 8.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take GEF, 8.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GEF has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.21, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.87%
2.3 Liquidity
GEF has a Current Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.41, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.18, GEF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
Measured over the past 5 years, GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.05% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.55% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-20.71%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-17.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.55%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.72 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GEF.
GEF's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.28. GEF is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.94, the valuation of GEF can be described as correct.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.52, GEF is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.12 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)371.02
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.43%, GEF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, GEF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.43% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GEF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
64.77
-0.45 (-0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.4%
Inst Owner Change6.37%
Ins Owners2.93%
Ins Owner Change-2.5%
Market Cap3.08B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target74.05 (14.33%)
Short Float %3.45%
Short Ratio4.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.43% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-1.63%
PT rev (3m)-5.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-16.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-16.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.41%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.94 | ||
| P/S | 0.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.27 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.12 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.34%
EPS(NY)4.33
Fwd EY6.69%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY10.85%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY15.94%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)371.02
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
F-Score5
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-20.71%
EPS Next 2Y4.49%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.55%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year39.26%
EBIT Next 3Y14.4%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.