GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
68.45 USD
+0.75 (+1.11%)
68.45 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GEF scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GEF was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GEF get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GEF has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. GEF also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GEF was profitable.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
GEF had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 2.82%, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a Return On Equity (8.66%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GEF has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GEF is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.65%, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GEF has grown nicely.
GEF's Operating Margin of 8.77% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GEF has declined.
GEF has a Gross Margin (21.35%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GEF is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GEF has more shares outstanding
GEF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GEF is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GEF has an Altman-Z score of 2.05. This is not the best score and indicates that GEF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.05, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GEF would need 8.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GEF has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GEF (1.21) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.92%
2.3 Liquidity
GEF has a Current Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GEF has a Current ratio (1.41) which is in line with its industry peers.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GEF has a better Quick ratio (1.18) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.05% yearly.
GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.55%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
GEF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y-21.13%
EPS Next 2Y4.69%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-19.17%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.55%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.78 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GEF.
GEF's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.60, GEF is valued a bit cheaper.
GEF is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.73.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GEF is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued cheaper than 86.36% of the companies in the same industry.
95.45% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GEF, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)392.1
EPS Next 2Y4.69%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GEF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.31%.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.52.
GEF's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.31% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GEF is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y4.69%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
68.45
+0.75 (+1.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.05%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.85%
Ins Owner Change-1.65%
Market Cap3.25B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target74.05 (8.18%)
Short Float %3.56%
Short Ratio3.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.31% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.18%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.73 | ||
| P/S | 0.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.63 | ||
| P/B | 1.48 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.36 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.05%
EPS(NY)4.35
Fwd EY6.36%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY10.26%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY15.09%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)392.1
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
F-Score5
WACC8.92%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-21.13%
EPS Next 2Y4.69%
EPS Next 3Y6.81%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-19.17%
Revenue Next 2Y-10.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.55%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year39.26%
EBIT Next 3Y14.4%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status for GEF stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 19.78 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.48.
What is the financial health of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 4 / 10.