GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
61.06 USD
-0.37 (-0.6%)
61.06 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to GEF. GEF was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GEF get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GEF is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. Finally GEF also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GEF was profitable.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
GEF has a Return On Assets of 2.82%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Return On Equity (8.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.68%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
GEF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.92%. This is above the industry average of 7.70%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
GEF has a Profit Margin (3.65%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GEF has grown nicely.
GEF has a Operating Margin (8.77%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GEF's Gross Margin of 21.35% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GEF has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), GEF is creating some value.
GEF has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GEF has less shares outstanding
GEF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GEF has an Altman-Z score of 2.01. This is not the best score and indicates that GEF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GEF has a Altman-Z score of 2.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GEF is 8.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take GEF, 8.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GEF's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.24 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
GEF's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.21 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.89%
2.3 Liquidity
GEF has a Current Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GEF (1.41) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GEF has a Quick ratio of 1.18. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.05% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.55% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.79% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.65 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GEF.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GEF is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.89. GEF is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.25, which indicates a correct valuation of GEF.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.59. GEF is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GEF's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GEF is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaper than 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)349.77
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GEF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.71%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.53.
GEF's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.71% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
65.79% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GEF. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GEF is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
61.06
-0.37 (-0.6%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.97%
Inst Owner Change3.74%
Ins Owners3.04%
Ins Owner Change-2.38%
Market Cap2.90B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target75.28 (23.29%)
Short Float %3%
Short Ratio3.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.71% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-3.4%
PT rev (3m)-3.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-9.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-41.01%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.25 | ||
| P/S | 0.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.91 | ||
| P/B | 1.32 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.9 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.67%
EPS(NY)4.28
Fwd EY7.02%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY11.51%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY16.91%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)349.77
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.01 |
F-Score5
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year42.67%
EBIT Next 3Y14.2%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.