GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
66.19 USD
+0.97 (+1.49%)
66.19 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GEF gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GEF against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GEF get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GEF has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GEF had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GEF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.82%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 8.66%, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a Return On Invested Capital (6.68%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GEF is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
GEF's Profit Margin of 3.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.77%, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GEF (21.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GEF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
GEF has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GEF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GEF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.03 indicates that GEF is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GEF has a Altman-Z score (2.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GEF is 8.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take GEF, 8.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GEF has a better Debt to FCF ratio (8.24) than 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
GEF has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.21) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.96%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GEF has a better Current ratio (1.41) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GEF (1.18) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.05% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -2.55% in the past year.
GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
GEF is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 8.26% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.13, GEF is valued on the expensive side.
GEF's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GEF is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
GEF is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.45.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GEF to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.22), we can say GEF is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.45 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GEF indicates a rather cheap valuation: GEF is cheaper than 95.45% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.15 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)379.16
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GEF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.44%.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.34.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.44% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GEF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
66.19
+0.97 (+1.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.97%
Inst Owner Change6.37%
Ins Owners3.04%
Ins Owner Change-2.5%
Market Cap3.14B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target74.05 (11.87%)
Short Float %3.45%
Short Ratio4.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.44% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-4.97%
PT rev (3m)-4.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.45 | ||
| P/S | 0.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.41 | ||
| P/B | 1.43 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.15 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.23%
EPS(NY)4.28
Fwd EY6.47%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY10.61%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY15.6%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)379.16
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
F-Score5
WACC8.96%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year42.67%
EBIT Next 3Y14.2%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.