Logo image of GEF

GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:GEF - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3976241071 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

61.82  +0.69 (+1.13%)

After market: 61.82 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall GEF gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GEF against 24 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GEF get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GEF has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. GEF also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year GEF was profitable.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GEF has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years GEF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GEF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGEF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

GEF's Return On Assets of 4.04% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of GEF (12.91%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF has a Return On Invested Capital (6.47%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GEF is above the industry average of 7.64%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.04%
ROE 12.91%
ROIC 6.47%
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
GEF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGEF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

GEF has a Profit Margin of 4.93%. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GEF has a Operating Margin (8.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GEF has declined.
The Gross Margin of GEF (19.65%) is worse than 65.22% of its industry peers.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.01%
PM (TTM) 4.93%
GM 19.65%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
GEF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGEF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GEF is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for GEF has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
GEF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GEF is higher compared to a year ago.
GEF Yearly Shares OutstandingGEF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
GEF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGEF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

GEF has an Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is not the best score and indicates that GEF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GEF's Altman-Z score of 2.04 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
GEF has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.92. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GEF would need 16.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GEF has a Debt to FCF ratio (16.92) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.29 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.29, GEF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.29
Debt/FCF 16.92
Altman-Z 2.04
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.56%
GEF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGEF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

GEF has a Current Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GEF (1.53) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.13 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GEF (1.13) is better than 69.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.13
GEF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGEF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

GEF shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -35.34%.
Measured over the past 5 years, GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.05% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.40% in the last year.
GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-35.34%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%-45.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.4%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%8.31%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.79% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.55%
EPS Next 3Y15.46%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue Next Year-3.82%
Revenue Next 2Y3.18%
Revenue Next 3Y3.42%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GEF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGEF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2B 4B 6B
GEF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGEF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2 4 6 8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.57, GEF is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GEF is on the same level as its industry peers.
GEF is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 30.43, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.39, the valuation of GEF can be described as correct.
GEF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
GEF is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.78, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.57
Fwd PE 14.39
GEF Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGEF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GEF indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GEF is cheaper than 69.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.75
EV/EBITDA 7.81
GEF Per share dataGEF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as GEF's earnings are expected to grow with 15.46% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.9
PEG (5Y)308.63
EPS Next 2Y17.55%
EPS Next 3Y15.46%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GEF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.55%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.19.
GEF's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%

5.2 History

The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years27
GEF Yearly Dividends per shareGEF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

GEF pays out 45.01% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of GEF is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP45.01%
EPS Next 2Y17.55%
EPS Next 3Y15.46%
GEF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGEF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
GEF Dividend Payout.GEF Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GEF Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

GREIF INC-CL A

NYSE:GEF (2/18/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 61.82 0 (0%)

61.82

+0.69 (+1.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)12-04 2024-12-04/amc
Earnings (Next)02-26 2025-02-26
Inst Owners87.38%
Inst Owner Change2.94%
Ins Owners4.61%
Ins Owner Change3.45%
Market Cap2.92B
Analysts80
Price Target80.41 (30.07%)
Short Float %2.11%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP45.01%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years27
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.75%
Min EPS beat(2)-23.19%
Max EPS beat(2)-10.31%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.75%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.19%
Max EPS beat(4)168.97%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)22.35%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.53%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)19.13%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.13%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.42%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.55%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.54%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.06%
PT rev (1m)-0.42%
PT rev (3m)1.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.86%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.57
Fwd PE 14.39
P/S 0.54
P/FCF 17.75
P/OCF 8.19
P/B 1.4
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.81
EPS(TTM)3.97
EY6.42%
EPS(NY)4.3
Fwd EY6.95%
FCF(TTM)3.48
FCFY5.63%
OCF(TTM)7.55
OCFY12.21%
SpS115.47
BVpS44.14
TBVpS-17.13
PEG (NY)1.9
PEG (5Y)308.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.04%
ROE 12.91%
ROCE 7.75%
ROIC 6.47%
ROICexc 6.71%
ROICexgc 14.27%
OM 8.01%
PM (TTM) 4.93%
GM 19.65%
FCFM 3.02%
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.29
Debt/FCF 16.92
Debt/EBITDA 3.84
Cap/Depr 73.36%
Cap/Sales 3.52%
Interest Coverage 2.78
Cash Conversion 51.03%
Profit Quality 61.12%
Current Ratio 1.53
Quick Ratio 1.13
Altman-Z 2.04
F-Score4
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-35.34%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%-45.51%
EPS Next Y8.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.55%
EPS Next 3Y15.46%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.4%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%8.31%
Revenue Next Year-3.82%
Revenue Next 2Y3.18%
Revenue Next 3Y3.42%
Revenue Next 5Y4.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-26.92%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year68.61%
EBIT Next 3Y26.86%
EBIT Next 5Y20.55%
FCF growth 1Y-61.78%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-45.19%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%