GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
60.38 USD
-0.77 (-1.26%)
60.38 USD
0 (0%)
GEF gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GEF has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. GEF has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. Finally GEF also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GEF had positive earnings in the past year.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF has been profitable.
In the past 5 years GEF always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
GEF has a Return On Assets (2.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GEF has a Return On Equity (8.66%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.68%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GEF is above the industry average of 7.26%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
GEF has a Profit Margin of 3.65%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GEF has a Operating Margin (8.77%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GEF has declined.
GEF has a Gross Margin (21.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GEF's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GEF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
GEF has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GEF has less shares outstanding
GEF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GEF has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.09. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GEF would need 8.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GEF has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.09. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.19 is on the high side and indicates that GEF has dependencies on debt financing.
GEF has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.19. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC8.27%
2.3 Liquidity
GEF has a Current Ratio of 1.41. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GEF has a Current ratio of 1.41. This is in the better half of the industry: GEF outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
GEF has a Quick Ratio of 1.18. This is a normal value and indicates that GEF is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GEF (1.18) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for GEF have decreased strongly by -26.07% in the last year.
GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 0.05% yearly.
GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.55%.
Measured over the past years, GEF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.79% on average per year.
GEF is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.1%
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue Next Year-17.11%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.82%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.45, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of GEF.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GEF.
GEF's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.39, the valuation of GEF can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GEF is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GEF to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.71), we can say GEF is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
95.45% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GEF, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)4.26
PEG (5Y)345.88
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GEF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.62%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.24, GEF pays a better dividend. On top of this GEF pays more dividend than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GEF's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.62% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
GEF pays out 65.79% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
GEF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
60.38
-0.77 (-1.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners89.49%
Inst Owner Change-1.32%
Ins Owners3.42%
Ins Owner Change-2.33%
Market Cap2.87B
Analysts74
Price Target77.93 (29.07%)
Short Float %2.84%
Short Ratio3.34
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.62% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-35.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-28.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-28.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-12.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.84%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.39 | ||
| P/S | 0.55 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.82 | ||
| P/B | 1.31 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.79 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.73%
EPS(NY)5.3
Fwd EY8.78%
FCF(TTM)7.07
FCFY11.71%
OCF(TTM)10.37
OCFY17.18%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)4.26
PEG (5Y)345.88
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.46% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.63 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 176.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score5
WACC8.27%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y4.1%
EPS Next 2Y15.57%
EPS Next 3Y11.17%
EPS Next 5Y13.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.11%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.82%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year66.44%
EBIT Next 3Y24.36%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-36.62%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-32.75%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%