GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GEF - US3976241071 - Common Stock
66.44 USD
+0.81 (+1.23%)
66.44 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GEF gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated GEF against 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. GEF has an average financial health and profitability rating. GEF is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GEF had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GEF had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years GEF has been profitable.
GEF had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GEF has a Return On Assets (2.82%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 8.66%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Return On Invested Capital of 6.68% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GEF outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GEF is above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.65%, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of GEF (8.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GEF has declined.
GEF has a Gross Margin (21.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GEF has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% |
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GEF has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
GEF has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GEF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
GEF has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GEF has an Altman-Z score of 2.04. This is not the best score and indicates that GEF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GEF has a Altman-Z score (2.04) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GEF is 8.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take GEF, 8.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.24, GEF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
GEF has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.21, GEF is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC8.93%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.41, GEF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.18 indicates that GEF should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GEF (1.18) is better than 77.27% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GEF shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -26.07%.
Measured over the past 5 years, GEF shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 0.05% on average per year.
GEF shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.55%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GEF will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.26% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.20 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GEF.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as GEF.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GEF to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.11), we can say GEF is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.51, GEF is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as GEF.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.21, GEF is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.51 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.36% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GEF is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.45% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)380.59
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.44%, GEF has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GEF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, GEF pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.44% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GEF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.55%.
GEF has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GEF has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
5.3 Sustainability
65.79% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GEF. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of GEF is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP65.79%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
66.44
+0.81 (+1.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners90.97%
Inst Owner Change6.37%
Ins Owners3.04%
Ins Owner Change-2.5%
Market Cap3.16B
Revenue(TTM)5.20B
Net Income(TTM)190.00M
Analysts74
Price Target74.05 (11.45%)
Short Float %3.11%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.44% |
Yearly Dividend2.57
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.55%
DP65.79%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years28
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-6.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.52%
Max EPS beat(2)5.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-20.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-47.21%
Max EPS beat(4)5.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)11.21%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)9.38%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)12.69%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.96%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.26%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.92%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.55%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.28%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.87%
PT rev (1m)-4.97%
PT rev (3m)-4.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-30.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-17.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.51 | ||
| P/S | 0.61 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.43 | ||
| P/B | 1.44 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.23 |
EPS(TTM)3.46
EY5.21%
EPS(NY)4.28
Fwd EY6.45%
FCF(TTM)7.03
FCFY10.57%
OCF(TTM)10.33
OCFY15.54%
SpS109.54
BVpS46.19
TBVpS-7.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)380.59
Graham Number59.97
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.82% | ||
| ROE | 8.66% | ||
| ROCE | 8.57% | ||
| ROIC | 6.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 8.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.65% | ||
| GM | 21.35% | ||
| FCFM | 6.41% |
ROA(3y)5.65%
ROA(5y)5.13%
ROE(3y)17.58%
ROE(5y)17.6%
ROIC(3y)9.92%
ROIC(5y)9.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.28%
ROICexc(5y)9.67%
ROICexgc(3y)20.61%
ROICexgc(5y)19.31%
ROCE(3y)11.85%
ROCE(5y)11.22%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.92%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.33%
OM growth 3Y-5.49%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y-11.14%
PM growth 5Y5.8%
GM growth 3Y-0.03%
GM growth 5Y-1.21%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 59.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.01% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.96% | ||
| Profit Quality | 175.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.04 |
F-Score5
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)84.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)102.26%
Profit Quality(5y)132.55%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-26.07%
EPS 3Y-10.83%
EPS 5Y0.05%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-18.25%
EPS Next 2Y3.88%
EPS Next 3Y5.14%
EPS Next 5Y8.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.55%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.65%
Revenue growth 5Y3.46%
Sales Q2Q%-21.97%
Revenue Next Year-17.26%
Revenue Next 2Y-9.81%
Revenue Next 3Y-5.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y2.75%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.11%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.73%
EBIT Next Year42.67%
EBIT Next 3Y14.2%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-37.04%
FCF growth 3Y-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y-6.29%
OCF growth 1Y-33.05%
OCF growth 3Y-3.53%
OCF growth 5Y-1.78%
GREIF INC-CL A / GEF FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREIF INC-CL A?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to GEF.
What is the valuation status of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREIF INC-CL A (GEF). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) stock?
GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
How financially healthy is GREIF INC-CL A?
The financial health rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GEF stock?
The dividend rating of GREIF INC-CL A (GEF) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 65.79%.