GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GECC • US3903207039

Current stock price

5.35 USD
+0.03 (+0.56%)
Last:

This GECC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. GECC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GECC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GECC has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years GECC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • GECC had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
GECC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGECC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M

1.2 Ratios

  • GECC's Return On Assets of -9.33% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GECC is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • GECC has a Return On Equity of -28.15%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GECC underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.39%, GECC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GECC is below the industry average of 7.19%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.62%) for GECC is below the current ROIC(5.39%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.33%
ROE -28.15%
ROIC 5.39%
ROA(3y)0.66%
ROA(5y)-1.09%
ROE(3y)0.04%
ROE(5y)-6.41%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.63%
GECC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGECC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

  • GECC has a Operating Margin of 35.80%. This is in the better half of the industry: GECC outperforms 65.83% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GECC has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of GECC (45.45%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GECC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 35.8%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.45%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y2.72%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.83%
GM growth 5Y0.42%
GECC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGECC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

0

2. GECC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, GECC has more shares outstanding
  • GECC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GECC has about the same debt to assets ratio.
GECC Yearly Shares OutstandingGECC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
GECC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGECC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.60, we must say that GECC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GECC has a Altman-Z score of -0.60. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GECC underperforms 82.92% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.68 is on the high side and indicates that GECC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GECC (1.68) is worse than 72.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.68
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.6
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
GECC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGECC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M -50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

  • GECC has a Current Ratio of 0.22. This is a bad value and indicates that GECC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of GECC (0.22) is worse than 86.25% of its industry peers.
  • GECC has a Quick Ratio of 0.22. This is a bad value and indicates that GECC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.22, GECC is doing worse than 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.22
Quick Ratio 0.22
GECC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGECC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GECC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GECC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 10.94%, which is quite good.
  • GECC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -16.31% yearly.
  • GECC shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 27.12%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 16.90% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.94%
EPS 3Y-10.49%
EPS 5Y-16.31%
EPS Q2Q%55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)27.12%
Revenue growth 3Y26.95%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%-33.93%

3.2 Future

  • GECC is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -22.32% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, GECC will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -12.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-13.56%
EPS Next 2Y-22.32%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-12.68%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GECC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGECC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
GECC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGECC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8

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5

4. GECC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 3.77, the valuation of GECC can be described as very cheap.
  • 91.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GECC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GECC to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.53), we can say GECC is valued rather cheaply.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.36 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GECC.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GECC indicates a rather cheap valuation: GECC is cheaper than 95.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GECC to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.95), we can say GECC is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.77
Fwd PE 4.36
GECC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGECC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
GECC Per share dataGECC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GECC's earnings are expected to decrease with -22.32% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.32%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. GECC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GECC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 23.39%, which is a nice return.
  • In the last 3 months the price of GECC has falen by -26.00%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.64, GECC pays a better dividend. On top of this GECC pays more dividend than 97.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, GECC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 23.39%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GECC decreases each year by -2.29%.
  • GECC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of GECC decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.29%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
GECC Yearly Dividends per shareGECC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15 20 25

5.3 Sustainability

  • GECC has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
  • GECC's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP-60.52%
EPS Next 2Y-22.32%
EPS Next 3YN/A
GECC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGECC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20M -20M -40M -60M -80M

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GECC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP

NASDAQ:GECC (4/17/2026, 4:30:01 PM)

5.35

+0.03 (+0.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners13.81%
Inst Owner Change1.14%
Ins Owners1.47%
Ins Owner Change0.28%
Market Cap74.90M
Revenue(TTM)49.99M
Net Income(TTM)-31.79M
Analysts77.78
Price Target7.91 (47.85%)
Short Float %5.27%
Short Ratio4.22
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 23.39%
Yearly Dividend1.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.29%
DP-60.52%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-16
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-20.78%
Max EPS beat(2)-11.48%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-20.78%
Max EPS beat(4)14.29%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.34%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-6.25%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)4.85%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.31%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)9.17%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)7.32%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.93%
PT rev (1m)-11.43%
PT rev (3m)-15.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 3.77
Fwd PE 4.36
P/S 1.5
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.66
P/tB 0.66
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.42
EY26.54%
EPS(NY)1.23
Fwd EY22.94%
FCF(TTM)-0.2
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.2
OCFYN/A
SpS3.57
BVpS8.07
TBVpS8.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number16.0549 (200.09%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -9.33%
ROE -28.15%
ROCE 5.92%
ROIC 5.39%
ROICexc 5.43%
ROICexgc 5.44%
OM 35.8%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.45%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.66%
ROA(5y)-1.09%
ROE(3y)0.04%
ROE(5y)-6.41%
ROIC(3y)4.62%
ROIC(5y)4.63%
ROICexc(3y)4.64%
ROICexc(5y)4.69%
ROICexgc(3y)4.65%
ROICexgc(5y)4.71%
ROCE(3y)5.07%
ROCE(5y)5.08%
ROICexgc growth 3Y9.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.49%
ROICexc growth 3Y9.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.45%
OM growth 3Y-6.53%
OM growth 5Y2.72%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.83%
GM growth 5Y0.42%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.68
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 1.15
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.22
Quick Ratio 0.22
Altman-Z -0.6
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)10.94%
EPS 3Y-10.49%
EPS 5Y-16.31%
EPS Q2Q%55%
EPS Next Y-13.56%
EPS Next 2Y-22.32%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)27.12%
Revenue growth 3Y26.95%
Revenue growth 5Y16.9%
Sales Q2Q%-33.93%
Revenue Next Year-3.04%
Revenue Next 2Y-12.68%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y39.82%
EBIT growth 3Y18.67%
EBIT growth 5Y20.08%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y96.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y96.6%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A

GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP / GECC Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GECC.


What is the valuation status for GECC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of GECC stock?

GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC) is expected to decline by -13.56% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC) stock?

The dividend rating of GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORP (GECC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -60.52%.