GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:GDEN • US3810131017

Current stock price

28.06 USD
-0.19 (-0.67%)
At close:
28.06 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GDEN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. GDEN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GDEN has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year GDEN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GDEN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GDEN had a positive operating cash flow.
GDEN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGDEN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • GDEN's Return On Assets of -0.59% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GDEN is outperformed by 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • GDEN has a Return On Equity of -1.44%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 48.41% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.38%, GDEN is not doing good in the industry: 68.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GDEN is significantly below the industry average of 10.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.59%
ROE -1.44%
ROIC 2.38%
ROA(3y)7.24%
ROA(5y)7.44%
ROE(3y)18.94%
ROE(5y)26.16%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)5.4%
GDEN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGDEN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

  • GDEN has a Operating Margin of 5.00%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GDEN underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GDEN has declined.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 53.75%, GDEN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GDEN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.75%
OM growth 3Y-27.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.55%
GM growth 5Y6.28%
GDEN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGDEN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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4

2. GDEN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GDEN is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GDEN has less shares outstanding
  • GDEN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GDEN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
GDEN Yearly Shares OutstandingGDEN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
GDEN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGDEN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.41, we must say that GDEN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • GDEN has a Altman-Z score (1.41) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GDEN is 12.17, which is on the high side as it means it would take GDEN, 12.17 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GDEN has a Debt to FCF ratio (12.17) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • GDEN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GDEN (1.01) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF 12.17
Altman-Z 1.41
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC7.56%
GDEN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGDEN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.17 indicates that GDEN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GDEN has a better Current ratio (1.17) than 61.11% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.07 indicates that GDEN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.07, GDEN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 1.07
GDEN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGDEN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. GDEN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GDEN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -173.53%.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -4.78% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, GDEN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.77% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-173.53%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-430%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.78%
Revenue growth 3Y-17.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.77%
Sales Q2Q%-5.22%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GDEN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 148.72% on average per year.
  • GDEN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.14% yearly.
EPS Next Y374.18%
EPS Next 2Y148.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GDEN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGDEN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
GDEN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGDEN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 -4 6 8

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4

4. GDEN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • GDEN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.94 indicates a quite expensive valuation of GDEN.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GDEN is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GDEN to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.88), we can say GDEN is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 40.94
GDEN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGDEN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 -50 -100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GDEN is valued a bit cheaper than 69.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GDEN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GDEN is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.82
EV/EBITDA 9.2
GDEN Per share dataGDEN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GDEN's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • GDEN's earnings are expected to grow with 148.72% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y148.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. GDEN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • GDEN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.55%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, GDEN pays a better dividend. On top of this GDEN pays more dividend than 92.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • GDEN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GDEN decreases each year by -1.26%.
  • GDEN has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
GDEN Yearly Dividends per shareGDEN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • GDEN has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-436.04%
EPS Next 2Y148.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
GDEN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGDEN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M

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GDEN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC

NASDAQ:GDEN (4/22/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 28.06 0 (0%)

28.06

-0.19 (-0.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners67%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners27.15%
Ins Owner Change4.7%
Market Cap740.78M
Revenue(TTM)634.91M
Net Income(TTM)-6.04M
Analysts72.31
Price Target32.13 (14.5%)
Short Float %3.57%
Short Ratio3.56
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.55%
Yearly Dividend1
Dividend Growth(5Y)-1.26%
DP-436.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-332.98%
Min EPS beat(2)-367.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-298.48%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-174.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-367.47%
Max EPS beat(4)-5.3%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-97.35%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-163.09%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-121.49%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.8%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)-3.07%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.75%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.86%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.52%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 40.94
P/S 1.17
P/FCF 20.82
P/OCF 8.92
P/B 1.76
P/tB 2.61
EV/EBITDA 9.2
EPS(TTM)-0.25
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY2.44%
FCF(TTM)1.35
FCFY4.8%
OCF(TTM)3.15
OCFY11.21%
SpS24.05
BVpS15.94
TBVpS10.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.59%
ROE -1.44%
ROCE 3.42%
ROIC 2.38%
ROICexc 2.54%
ROICexgc 3.01%
OM 5%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 53.75%
FCFM 5.6%
ROA(3y)7.24%
ROA(5y)7.44%
ROE(3y)18.94%
ROE(5y)26.16%
ROIC(3y)3.88%
ROIC(5y)5.4%
ROICexc(3y)4.28%
ROICexc(5y)6.08%
ROICexgc(3y)4.96%
ROICexgc(5y)7.38%
ROCE(3y)5.57%
ROCE(5y)7.75%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-34.01%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-32.85%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.55%
GM growth 5Y6.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF 12.17
Debt/EBITDA 3.5
Cap/Depr 52.59%
Cap/Sales 7.48%
Interest Coverage 1.1
Cash Conversion 68.05%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 1.07
Altman-Z 1.41
F-Score5
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)68.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-173.53%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-430%
EPS Next Y374.18%
EPS Next 2Y148.72%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.78%
Revenue growth 3Y-17.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.77%
Sales Q2Q%-5.22%
Revenue Next Year1.42%
Revenue Next 2Y2.14%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-32.93%
EBIT growth 3Y-40.24%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year281.43%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-16.17%
FCF growth 3Y-28.85%
FCF growth 5Y181.86%
OCF growth 1Y-10.05%
OCF growth 3Y-17.92%
OCF growth 5Y17.75%

GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC / GDEN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to GDEN.


Can you provide the valuation status for GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) stock?

GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the financial health of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) stock?

The financial health rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 4 / 10.