GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GDEN - US3810131017 - Common Stock
29.86 USD
+0.57 (+1.95%)
29.86 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GDEN. GDEN was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. GDEN has an average financial health and profitability rating. GDEN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GDEN was profitable.
In the past year GDEN had a positive cash flow from operations.
GDEN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GDEN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GDEN (1.46%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of GDEN (3.45%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.47%, GDEN is not doing good in the industry: 61.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GDEN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.89%. This is below the industry average of 10.82%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.46% | ||
| ROE | 3.45% | ||
| ROIC | 3.47% |
ROA(3y)9.25%
ROA(5y)5.82%
ROE(3y)27.19%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)5.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GDEN has a Profit Margin of 2.35%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 46.97% of its industry peers.
GDEN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 6.98%, GDEN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GDEN has grown nicely.
GDEN has a Gross Margin of 54.18%. This is in the better half of the industry: GDEN outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
GDEN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.35% | ||
| GM | 54.18% |
OM growth 3Y-22.49%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3Y-19.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.15%
GM growth 5Y5.94%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GDEN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GDEN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GDEN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GDEN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.51, we must say that GDEN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
GDEN has a Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 49.24% of its industry peers.
GDEN has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.67. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as GDEN would need 8.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GDEN's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.67 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GDEN outperforms 64.39% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95 indicates that GDEN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
GDEN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.95. This is in the better half of the industry: GDEN outperforms 62.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC8.11%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that GDEN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.12, GDEN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.03 indicates that GDEN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.03, GDEN is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GDEN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -45.45%.
GDEN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -59.56% yearly.
The Revenue for GDEN has decreased by -36.68% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been decreasing by -7.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-45.45%
EPS 3Y-59.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.29%
Sales Q2Q%-3.98%
3.2 Future
GDEN is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 49.35% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.67% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.66%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.7%
Revenue Next 3Y0.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GDEN is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 165.89.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GDEN is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.15% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GDEN to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.35), we can say GDEN is valued expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.57, the valuation of GDEN can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GDEN is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 33.72. GDEN is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 165.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GDEN is valued a bit cheaper than 73.48% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GDEN is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
GDEN's earnings are expected to grow with 49.35% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)7.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.35%, GDEN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GDEN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.34. GDEN pays more dividend than 87.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, GDEN pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.35% |
5.2 History
GDEN has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
178.95% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GDEN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP178.95%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
29.86
+0.57 (+1.95%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.86%
Inst Owner Change-0.34%
Ins Owners26.81%
Ins Owner Change6.98%
Market Cap781.14M
Revenue(TTM)666.82M
Net Income(TTM)15.28M
Analysts77.14
Price Target33.41 (11.89%)
Short Float %6.42%
Short Ratio5.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.35% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP178.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.43%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.3%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)13.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.76%
Max EPS beat(4)139.77%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-155%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-113.38%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-79.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.67%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.16%
PT rev (1m)-2.96%
PT rev (3m)-7.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-36.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-172.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 165.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.57 | ||
| P/S | 1.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.58 | ||
| P/B | 1.76 | ||
| P/tB | 2.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.55 |
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY0.6%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY2.53%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY6.35%
OCF(TTM)3.48
OCFY11.65%
SpS24.84
BVpS16.95
TBVpS11.65
PEG (NY)7.32
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.46% | ||
| ROE | 3.45% | ||
| ROCE | 4.73% | ||
| ROIC | 3.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.33% | ||
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.35% | ||
| GM | 54.18% | ||
| FCFM | 7.64% |
ROA(3y)9.25%
ROA(5y)5.82%
ROE(3y)27.19%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)5.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.55%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.84%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.03%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.75%
OM growth 3Y-22.49%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3Y-19.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.15%
GM growth 5Y5.94%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 45.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.37% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 324.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
F-Score6
WACC8.11%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)67.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.63%
Profit Quality(3y)72.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-45.45%
EPS 3Y-59.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
EPS Next Y22.66%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.29%
Sales Q2Q%-3.98%
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.7%
Revenue Next 3Y0.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-31.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-34.33%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.31%
EBIT Next Year29.7%
EBIT Next 3Y12.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.43%
FCF growth 3Y-45.79%
FCF growth 5Y45.1%
OCF growth 1Y-43.11%
OCF growth 3Y-32.16%
OCF growth 5Y-4.11%
GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC / GDEN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GDEN.
What is the valuation status of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GDEN stock?
GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?
The financial health rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.95%.