GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:GDEN - US3810131017 - Common Stock
28.75 USD
-0.39 (-1.34%)
28.75 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GDEN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GDEN was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of GDEN get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. GDEN is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GDEN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GDEN had a positive cash flow from operations.
GDEN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years GDEN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.46%, GDEN is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.42% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN has a Return On Equity of 3.45%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 54.55% of its industry peers.
GDEN has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.47%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GDEN underperforms 61.36% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GDEN is below the industry average of 10.61%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.46% | ||
| ROE | 3.45% | ||
| ROIC | 3.47% |
ROA(3y)9.25%
ROA(5y)5.82%
ROE(3y)27.19%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)5.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
GDEN's Profit Margin of 2.35% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GDEN outperforms 47.73% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GDEN has declined.
GDEN has a Operating Margin of 6.98%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 46.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GDEN has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 54.18%, GDEN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.35% | ||
| GM | 54.18% |
OM growth 3Y-22.49%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3Y-19.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.15%
GM growth 5Y5.94%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GDEN is destroying value.
GDEN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GDEN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GDEN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GDEN has an Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that GDEN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
GDEN has a Altman-Z score of 1.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GDEN outperforms 47.73% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GDEN is 8.67, which is on the high side as it means it would take GDEN, 8.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GDEN (8.67) is better than 64.39% of its industry peers.
GDEN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95. This is a neutral value indicating GDEN is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.95, GDEN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.21%
2.3 Liquidity
GDEN has a Current Ratio of 1.12. This is a normal value and indicates that GDEN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GDEN has a Current ratio (1.12) which is in line with its industry peers.
GDEN has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that GDEN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GDEN has a Quick ratio (1.03) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GDEN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -45.45%.
The earnings per share for GDEN have been decreasing by -59.56% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, GDEN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -36.68% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GDEN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -7.29% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-45.45%
EPS 3Y-59.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.29%
Sales Q2Q%-3.98%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GDEN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 49.35% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GDEN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.67% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.66%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.7%
Revenue Next 3Y0.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 159.72, the valuation of GDEN can be described as expensive.
GDEN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. GDEN is more expensive than 65.15% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.10, the valuation of GDEN can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GDEN is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GDEN to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.08), we can say GDEN is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 159.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 38.1 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GDEN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. GDEN is cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
80.30% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GDEN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
GDEN's earnings are expected to grow with 49.35% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)7.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.38%, GDEN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
GDEN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.59. GDEN pays more dividend than 87.12% of the companies in the same industry.
GDEN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
5.2 History
GDEN has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
178.95% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GDEN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP178.95%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
28.75
-0.39 (-1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.86%
Inst Owner Change1.92%
Ins Owners26.81%
Ins Owner Change16.03%
Market Cap752.10M
Revenue(TTM)666.82M
Net Income(TTM)15.28M
Analysts77.14
Price Target33.41 (16.21%)
Short Float %6.32%
Short Ratio3.08
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP178.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.43%
Max EPS beat(2)-5.3%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)13.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-53.76%
Max EPS beat(4)139.77%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-155%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-113.38%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-79.05%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.67%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.16%
PT rev (1m)-2.96%
PT rev (3m)-7.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-36.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-172.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)-25.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.99%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 159.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 38.1 | ||
| P/S | 1.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.26 | ||
| P/B | 1.7 | ||
| P/tB | 2.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.41 |
EPS(TTM)0.18
EY0.63%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY2.62%
FCF(TTM)1.9
FCFY6.6%
OCF(TTM)3.48
OCFY12.1%
SpS24.84
BVpS16.95
TBVpS11.65
PEG (NY)7.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.28
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.46% | ||
| ROE | 3.45% | ||
| ROCE | 4.73% | ||
| ROIC | 3.47% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.33% | ||
| OM | 6.98% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.35% | ||
| GM | 54.18% | ||
| FCFM | 7.64% |
ROA(3y)9.25%
ROA(5y)5.82%
ROE(3y)27.19%
ROE(5y)9.51%
ROIC(3y)5.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.55%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.84%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.03%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.43%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.12%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.95%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.75%
OM growth 3Y-22.49%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3Y-19.81%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.15%
GM growth 5Y5.94%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 45.87% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.37% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 67.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | 324.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.49 |
F-Score6
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)67.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.03%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.63%
Profit Quality(3y)72.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-45.45%
EPS 3Y-59.56%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-200%
EPS Next Y22.66%
EPS Next 2Y48.97%
EPS Next 3Y49.35%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.28%
Revenue growth 5Y-7.29%
Sales Q2Q%-3.98%
Revenue Next Year-3.48%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.7%
Revenue Next 3Y0.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-31.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-34.33%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.31%
EBIT Next Year29.7%
EBIT Next 3Y12.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-34.43%
FCF growth 3Y-45.79%
FCF growth 5Y45.1%
OCF growth 1Y-43.11%
OCF growth 3Y-32.16%
OCF growth 5Y-4.11%
GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC / GDEN FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GDEN.
What is the valuation status of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of GDEN stock?
GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC?
The financial health rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of GOLDEN ENTERTAINMENT INC (GDEN) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.95%.