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GCM GROSVENOR INC - CLASS A (GCMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:GCMG - Nasdaq - US36831E1082 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

13.56  -0.14 (-1.02%)

After market: 13.55 -0.01 (-0.07%)

Fundamental Rating

3

GCMG gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 223 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. GCMG has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. GCMG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

GCMG had positive earnings in the past year.
GCMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GCMG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years GCMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
GCMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGCMG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

GCMG has a Return On Assets (2.49%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of GCMG (11.43%) is better than 85.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.49%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.43%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)4.69%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
GCMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGCMG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 3.08%, GCMG is not doing good in the industry: 72.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GCMG has declined.
GCMG's Operating Margin of 9.24% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GCMG is outperformed by 71.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.24%
PM (TTM) 3.08%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y45.59%
PM growth 5Y-22.63%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
GCMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGCMG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 15 20

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

GCMG has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GCMG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
GCMG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
GCMG Yearly Shares OutstandingGCMG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
GCMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGCMG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

GCMG has an Altman-Z score of 3.35. This indicates that GCMG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
GCMG has a better Altman-Z score (3.35) than 79.36% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GCMG is 3.63, which is a good value as it means it would take GCMG, 3.63 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GCMG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.63. This is in the better half of the industry: GCMG outperforms 67.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.63
Altman-Z 3.35
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
GCMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGCMG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.64 indicates that GCMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GCMG's Current ratio of 0.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GCMG is outperformed by 68.35% of its industry peers.
GCMG has a Quick Ratio of 0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that GCMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GCMG has a Quick ratio of 0.64. This is in the lower half of the industry: GCMG underperforms 68.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.64
GCMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGCMG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for GCMG have decreased strongly by -28.24% in the last year.
The earnings per share for GCMG have been decreasing by -45.29% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, GCMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.67% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.29% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.24%
EPS 3Y-12%
EPS 5Y-45.29%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y1.15%
Revenue growth 5Y3.29%
Sales Q2Q%1%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, GCMG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 1.22% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GCMG will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-21.61%
EPS Next 2Y-4.48%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.13%
Revenue Next 2Y13.04%
Revenue Next 3Y11.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
GCMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGCMG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M
GCMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGCMG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.23 indicates a rather expensive valuation of GCMG.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GCMG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: GCMG is more expensive than 60.09% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GCMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
GCMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.51.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GCMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
GCMG is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 94.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.23
Fwd PE 16.51
GCMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGCMG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

GCMG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of GCMG is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.5
EV/EBITDA 63.73
GCMG Per share dataGCMG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.48%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

GCMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.27%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 9.42, GCMG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, GCMG pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.27%

5.2 History

GCMG has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
GCMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
GCMG Yearly Dividends per shareGCMG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

GCMG pays out 574.01% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP574.01%
EPS Next 2Y-4.48%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%
GCMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGCMG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M
GCMG Dividend Payout.GCMG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GCMG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GCM GROSVENOR INC - CLASS A

NASDAQ:GCMG (2/7/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 13.55 -0.01 (-0.07%)

13.56

-0.14 (-1.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)11-08 2024-11-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-10 2025-02-10/amc
Inst Owners103.24%
Inst Owner Change0.28%
Ins Owners3.13%
Ins Owner Change9.68%
Market Cap2.56B
Analysts78.33
Price Target14.59 (7.6%)
Short Float %14.45%
Short Ratio18.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.27%
Yearly Dividend0.42
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP574.01%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.09%
Max EPS beat(2)1.42%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-2.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.76%
Max EPS beat(4)1.42%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)37.03%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)26.58%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)25.59%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.65%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.2%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.99%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.55%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.5%
PT rev (1m)2.88%
PT rev (3m)8.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.73%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.58%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.23
Fwd PE 16.51
P/S 5.51
P/FCF 21.5
P/OCF 18.67
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 63.73
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY4.5%
EPS(NY)0.82
Fwd EY6.06%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY4.65%
OCF(TTM)0.73
OCFY5.36%
SpS2.46
BVpS-0.17
TBVpS-0.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.49%
ROE N/A
ROCE 12.81%
ROIC 11.43%
ROICexc 16.17%
ROICexgc 20.89%
OM 9.24%
PM (TTM) 3.08%
GM N/A
FCFM 25.63%
ROA(3y)3.43%
ROA(5y)4.69%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y45.59%
PM growth 5Y-22.63%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 3.63
Debt/EBITDA 9.43
Cap/Depr 619.47%
Cap/Sales 3.88%
Interest Coverage 1.33
Cash Conversion 299.16%
Profit Quality 831.8%
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.64
Altman-Z 3.35
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)58.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)79.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.32%
Profit Quality(3y)869.83%
Profit Quality(5y)888.32%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.24%
EPS 3Y-12%
EPS 5Y-45.29%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-21.61%
EPS Next 2Y-4.48%
EPS Next 3Y1.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.67%
Revenue growth 3Y1.15%
Revenue growth 5Y3.29%
Sales Q2Q%1%
Revenue Next Year13.13%
Revenue Next 2Y13.04%
Revenue Next 3Y11.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y483.84%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.7%
EBIT Next 3Y16.25%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-37.98%
FCF growth 3Y9.69%
FCF growth 5Y-1.2%
OCF growth 1Y-29.17%
OCF growth 3Y10.52%
OCF growth 5Y-4.68%