GCM GROSVENOR INC - CLASS A (GCMG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:GCMG - Nasdaq - US36831E1082 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to GCMG. GCMG was compared to 233 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. Both the profitability and financial health of GCMG have multiple concerns. GCMG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GCMG had positive earnings in the past year.
GCMG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GCMG has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years GCMG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 2.94%, GCMG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.79% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 20.27%, GCMG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.94% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 20.27% |
ROA(3y)3.24%
ROA(5y)2.81%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.21%, GCMG is doing worse than 69.10% of the companies in the same industry.
GCMG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
GCMG has a worse Operating Margin (19.77%) than 60.94% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GCMG has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.21% | ||
| GM | N/A |
OM growth 3Y-11.63%
OM growth 5Y-7.17%
PM growth 3Y-2.95%
PM growth 5Y-19.94%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, GCMG has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GCMG has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GCMG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.04 indicates that GCMG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GCMG (3.04) is better than 77.25% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of GCMG is 2.99, which is a good value as it means it would take GCMG, 2.99 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
GCMG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.99. This is in the better half of the industry: GCMG outperforms 77.25% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.04 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of -0.41 indicates that GCMG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GCMG has a Current ratio of -0.41. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GCMG underperforms 96.57% of its industry peers.
GCMG has a Quick Ratio of -0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that GCMG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GCMG has a worse Quick ratio (-0.41) than 96.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | -0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | -0.41 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 29.31% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GCMG shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -42.92% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GCMG shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.77% in the last year.
GCMG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)29.31%
EPS 3Y4.07%
EPS 5Y-42.92%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.12%
Revenue growth 5Y4.3%
Sales Q2Q%15.6%
3.2 Future
GCMG is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -41.41% yearly.
GCMG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.20% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.45%
EPS Next 2Y10.89%
EPS Next 3Y-41.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.33%
Revenue Next 2Y7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.49 indicates a correct valuation of GCMG.
GCMG's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
GCMG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
GCMG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.31.
GCMG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.90, GCMG is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GCMG indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: GCMG is cheaper than 68.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GCMG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates GCMG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as GCMG's earnings are expected to decrease with -41.41% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.84
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.89%
EPS Next 3Y-41.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GCMG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.83%.
GCMG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 8.00.
GCMG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.83% |
5.2 History
GCMG has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
GCMG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
GCMG pays out 592.72% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP592.72%
EPS Next 2Y10.89%
EPS Next 3Y-41.41%
11.62
+0.12 (+1.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners108.58%
Inst Owner Change9.78%
Ins Owners3.37%
Ins Owner Change9.26%
Market Cap2.26B
Analysts80
Price Target15.17 (30.55%)
Short Float %16.93%
Short Ratio16.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.83% |
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP592.72%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.04%
Max EPS beat(2)14.26%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.09%
Max EPS beat(4)14.26%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.68%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)26.63%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)21.04%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.57%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.68%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.2%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.12%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.52%
PT rev (1m)7.21%
PT rev (3m)-7.75%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.87%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.53%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.31 | ||
| P/S | 4.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.28 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 23.86 |
EPS(TTM)0.75
EY6.45%
EPS(NY)0.87
Fwd EY7.51%
FCF(TTM)0.74
FCFY6.38%
OCF(TTM)0.81
OCFY7%
SpS2.73
BVpS-0.14
TBVpS-0.3
PEG (NY)2.84
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.94% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 28.15% | ||
| ROIC | 20.27% | ||
| ROICexc | 27.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 33.47% | ||
| OM | 19.77% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.21% | ||
| GM | N/A | ||
| FCFM | 27.12% |
ROA(3y)3.24%
ROA(5y)2.81%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-11.13%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-19.49%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.58%
OM growth 3Y-11.63%
OM growth 5Y-7.17%
PM growth 3Y-2.95%
PM growth 5Y-19.94%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.99 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.97 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 377.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 145.35% | ||
| Profit Quality | 845.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | -0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | -0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.04 |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)223.94%
Cap/Depr(5y)140.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.95%
Profit Quality(3y)820.97%
Profit Quality(5y)992.85%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)29.31%
EPS 3Y4.07%
EPS 5Y-42.92%
EPS Q2Q%28.57%
EPS Next Y5.45%
EPS Next 2Y10.89%
EPS Next 3Y-41.41%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.77%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.12%
Revenue growth 5Y4.3%
Sales Q2Q%15.6%
Revenue Next Year1.33%
Revenue Next 2Y7%
Revenue Next 3Y3.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y800.84%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.62%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.18%
EBIT Next Year8.39%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.57%
FCF growth 3Y-9.52%
FCF growth 5Y12.06%
OCF growth 1Y-7.76%
OCF growth 3Y-5.9%
OCF growth 5Y9.14%