GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
45.08 USD
+0.39 (+0.87%)
45.08 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GBX while its profitability can be described as average. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GBX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GBX (4.68%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 13.32%, GBX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of GBX (6.50%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is below the industry average of 10.39%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
GBX has a Profit Margin of 6.30%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX's Operating Margin of 10.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 56.15% of its industry peers.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.75%, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 75.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GBX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GBX has an Altman-Z score of 1.84. This is not the best score and indicates that GBX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GBX has a worse Altman-Z score (1.84) than 68.46% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.14, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 79.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.08%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a Current ratio of 1.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 73.85% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GBX has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.76%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 26.18% on average per year.
GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -8.59%.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.53% on average over the next years.
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.16, the valuation of GBX can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 96.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.15, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
GBX is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.32.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.22, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.27
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.87%.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.90. GBX pays more dividend than 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.87% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
19.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
45.08
+0.39 (+0.87%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change14.83%
Market Cap1.41B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (5.21%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.87% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-21.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.32 | ||
| P/S | 0.43 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.29 | ||
| P/B | 0.92 | ||
| P/tB | 1.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.32 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.98%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY9.69%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.9%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.27
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
F-Score8
WACC8.08%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year23.75%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.92.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.