GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GBX • US3936571013

Current stock price

50.28 USD
-0.24 (-0.48%)
At close:
50.28 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GBX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. GBX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year GBX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years GBX has been profitable.
  • In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GBX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGBX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • GBX has a Return On Assets of 4.31%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 54.96% of its industry peers.
  • GBX has a better Return On Equity (12.01%) than 68.70% of its industry peers.
  • GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (5.20%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GBX is below the industry average of 10.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.31%
ROE 12.01%
ROIC 5.2%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
GBX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGBX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • GBX's Profit Margin of 6.03% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 51.91% of its industry peers.
  • GBX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GBX has a Operating Margin (8.99%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
  • GBX's Gross Margin of 17.50% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 77.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.99%
PM (TTM) 6.03%
GM 17.5%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
GBX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGBX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

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2

2. GBX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
  • GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for GBX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
GBX Yearly Shares OutstandingGBX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
GBX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGBX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.83 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.83, GBX is doing worse than 68.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GBX has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.78. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GBX would need 13.78 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • GBX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 13.78. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 60.31% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of GBX (1.15) is worse than 80.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 13.78
Altman-Z 1.83
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC8.33%
GBX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGBX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.61 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GBX has a Current ratio of 1.61. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 67.94% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.91, GBX is doing worse than 70.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 0.91
GBX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGBX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. GBX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GBX shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.17%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue for GBX has decreased by -14.99% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.17%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-33.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.99%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-19.39%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, GBX will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -2.96% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.85% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-34%
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-10.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.75%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GBX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGBX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GBX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGBX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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7

4. GBX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.79 indicates a reasonable valuation of GBX.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.23), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.10, the valuation of GBX can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.79
Fwd PE 11.1
GBX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGBX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GBX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 95.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GBX is valued cheaper than 88.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.12
EV/EBITDA 6.4
GBX Per share dataGBX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.96% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.34
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. GBX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.53%, GBX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.18, GBX pays a better dividend. On top of this GBX pays more dividend than 91.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.53%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
  • GBX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
GBX Yearly Dividends per shareGBX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 16.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP16.68%
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%
GBX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGBX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M
GBX Dividend Payout.GBX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GBX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GBX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC

NYSE:GBX (3/20/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 50.28 0 (0%)

50.28

-0.24 (-0.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-08
Earnings (Next)04-07
Inst Owners101.97%
Inst Owner Change-0.39%
Ins Owners2.32%
Ins Owner Change15.33%
Market Cap1.55B
Revenue(TTM)3.07B
Net Income(TTM)185.20M
Analysts46
Price Target50.66 (0.76%)
Short Float %8.5%
Short Ratio5.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.53%
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP16.68%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date01-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)20.1%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)42.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)28.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)27.04%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)30.89%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.63%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.63%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.65%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.43%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.69%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.79
Fwd PE 11.1
P/S 0.51
P/FCF 12.12
P/OCF 3.82
P/B 1.01
P/tB 1.12
EV/EBITDA 6.4
EPS(TTM)5.72
EY11.38%
EPS(NY)4.53
Fwd EY9.01%
FCF(TTM)4.15
FCFY8.25%
OCF(TTM)13.18
OCFY26.2%
SpS99.4
BVpS49.93
TBVpS44.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.34
Graham Number80.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.31%
ROE 12.01%
ROCE 8.32%
ROIC 5.2%
ROICexc 5.76%
ROICexgc 6.41%
OM 8.99%
PM (TTM) 6.03%
GM 17.5%
FCFM 4.18%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 13.78
Debt/EBITDA 4.41
Cap/Depr 223.4%
Cap/Sales 9.08%
Interest Coverage 3.38
Cash Conversion 101.55%
Profit Quality 69.22%
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 1.83
F-Score8
WACC8.33%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.17%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-33.72%
EPS Next Y-34%
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.99%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-19.39%
Revenue Next Year-10.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.75%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-22.9%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year3.35%
EBIT Next 3Y9.81%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y240.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y44.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%

GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.


What is the valuation status for GBX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?

GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is expected to decline by -34% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?

The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 16.68%.