GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
45.53 USD
-0.35 (-0.76%)
45.53 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GBX. GBX was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GBX while its profitability can be described as average. GBX is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GBX has been profitable.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets (4.68%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.32%, GBX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Return On Invested Capital of 6.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
GBX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.26%. This is below the industry average of 10.46%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 6.30%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.15% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin (10.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX's Gross Margin of 18.75% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 75.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GBX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.84 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.84, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 67.69% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GBX has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.14) than 79.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC8.21%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX's Current ratio of 1.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 73.08% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GBX (0.85) is worse than 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.18% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GBX will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.53% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, GBX will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.23, the valuation of GBX can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 96.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.28, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.93 indicates a reasonable valuation of GBX.
92.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.52, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
96.92% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.75%.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.84. GBX pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, GBX has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 19.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
45.53
-0.35 (-0.76%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change14.83%
Market Cap1.42B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (4.17%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.93 | ||
| P/S | 0.44 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.34 | ||
| P/B | 0.93 | ||
| P/tB | 1.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.37 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.84%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY9.15%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.71%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
F-Score8
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year11.21%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.23 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.93.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.