GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
48.585 USD
+0.19 (+0.38%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GBX. GBX was compared to 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While GBX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
- GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 4.68%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- GBX has a better Return On Equity (13.32%) than 70.45% of its industry peers.
- GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GBX is below the industry average of 10.25%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
- GBX has a Profit Margin (6.30%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
- GBX has a Operating Margin of 10.62%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.06% of its industry peers.
- GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- GBX's Gross Margin of 18.75% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so GBX is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
- GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 1.86 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- GBX's Altman-Z score of 1.86 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 70.45% of its industry peers.
- GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of GBX (1.14) is worse than 79.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.86 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.16%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.53, GBX is doing worse than 71.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- GBX has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 73.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for GBX have decreased by -0.17% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -8.59%.
- GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.17%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-33.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-19.39%
3.2 Future
- GBX is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.53% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.85% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-35.07%
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-9.31%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.49, the valuation of GBX can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.51, the valuation of GBX can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.04, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.51 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- GBX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.62%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.80. GBX pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.62% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
- GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
- 19.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
NYSE:GBX (1/14/2026, 9:40:51 AM)
48.585
+0.19 (+0.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-08 2026-01-08/amc
Earnings (Next)04-06 2026-04-06
Inst Owners102.15%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change15.87%
Market Cap1.52B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46
Price Target47.94 (-1.33%)
Short Float %7.87%
Short Ratio6.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.62% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-6.09%
PT rev (3m)-18.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-25.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-9.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.49 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.51 | ||
| P/S | 0.47 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.7 | ||
| P/B | 0.99 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.54 |
EPS(TTM)5.72
EY11.77%
EPS(NY)4.62
Fwd EY9.51%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY17.53%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
Graham Number79.52
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.86 |
F-Score8
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.17%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-33.72%
EPS Next Y-35.07%
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-19.39%
Revenue Next Year-9.31%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year8.6%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
What is the valuation status for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is expected to decline by -35.07% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.