GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
47.14 USD
+1.61 (+3.54%)
47.14 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GBX while its profitability can be described as average. GBX is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets of 4.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 55.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.32%, GBX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Return On Invested Capital of 6.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GBX is below the industry average of 10.46%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) for GBX is above the 3 year average (6.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 6.30%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.15% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 10.62%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.75%, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 75.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GBX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.85 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GBX has a Altman-Z score of 1.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
GBX's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 79.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC8.23%
2.3 Liquidity
GBX has a Current Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that GBX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GBX (1.53) is worse than 73.08% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GBX has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.76%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.53% on average over the next years.
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GBX is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.48.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.59), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.31, which indicates a very decent valuation of GBX.
GBX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.80), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.75%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.84. GBX pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
19.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
47.14
+1.61 (+3.54%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change14.83%
Market Cap1.47B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (0.62%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.31 | ||
| P/S | 0.45 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.53 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | 1.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.45 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.36%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY8.84%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.07%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
F-Score8
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year11.21%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.