GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
42.9 USD
+0.61 (+1.44%)
42.9 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GBX scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GBX was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. GBX has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets (4.68%) which is in line with its industry peers.
GBX has a better Return On Equity (13.32%) than 70.77% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 6.50%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.23% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.26%. This is below the industry average of 10.28%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) for GBX is above the 3 year average (6.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.30%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.62% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GBX has a Operating Margin (10.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.75%, GBX is doing worse than 74.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GBX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.81 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GBX (1.81) is worse than 69.23% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of GBX (1.14) is worse than 78.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.12%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of GBX (1.53) is worse than 73.08% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GBX (0.85) is worse than 72.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.76%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 26.18% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -13.20% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.77% yearly.
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.81, the valuation of GBX can be described as very cheap.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.89), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of GBX can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GBX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -13.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.00%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.86, GBX pays a better dividend. On top of this GBX pays more dividend than 92.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
19.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
42.9
+0.61 (+1.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change0.64%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change14.33%
Market Cap1.32B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target54.57 (27.2%)
Short Float %7.88%
Short Ratio8.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-34.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-21.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.82 | ||
| P/S | 0.41 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 4.99 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.1 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY14.69%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)-0.48
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.6
OCFY20.06%
SpS104.93
BVpS49.63
TBVpS44.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
Graham Number83.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
F-Score8
WACC8.12%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year23.75%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 6.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.86.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.