GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
46.46 USD
-0.06 (-0.13%)
46.46 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. GBX has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. Finally GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GBX has been profitable.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GBX (4.68%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GBX has a better Return On Equity (13.32%) than 70.45% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GBX is below the industry average of 10.27%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) for GBX is above the 3 year average (6.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.30%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin (10.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 18.75%, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 75.76% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
GBX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
GBX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GBX has an Altman-Z score of 1.84. This is not the best score and indicates that GBX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.84, GBX is doing worse than 68.94% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
GBX's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 79.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.13%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a Current ratio of 1.53. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 71.21% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a worse Quick ratio (0.85) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.18% yearly.
GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -8.59%.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GBX will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.53% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.37, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GBX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.59, GBX is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.15 indicates a reasonable valuation of GBX.
GBX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 94.70% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.03. GBX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
96.97% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.76%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, GBX pays a better dividend. On top of this GBX pays more dividend than 90.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 19.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
46.46
-0.06 (-0.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change14.61%
Market Cap1.45B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %8.23%
Short Ratio7.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-25.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.15 | ||
| P/S | 0.45 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.45 | ||
| P/B | 0.95 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.41 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.56%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY8.97%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.34%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
F-Score8
WACC8.13%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year11.21%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.37 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.95.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.