GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
45.88 USD
+0.44 (+0.97%)
45.88 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 129 industry peers in the Machinery industry. GBX has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. GBX is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years GBX has been profitable.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets (5.26%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 15.22%, GBX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.19% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (7.83%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is significantly below the industry average of 10.01%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.87%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(7.83%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.26% | ||
| ROE | 15.22% | ||
| ROIC | 7.83% |
ROA(3y)2.18%
ROA(5y)1.81%
ROE(3y)6.76%
ROE(5y)5.31%
ROIC(3y)4.87%
ROIC(5y)3.92%
1.3 Margins
GBX's Profit Margin of 6.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 56.59% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX's Operating Margin of 11.16% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 57.36% of its industry peers.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GBX has a Gross Margin of 18.53%. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 75.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.48% | ||
| GM | 18.53% |
OM growth 3Y56.84%
OM growth 5Y11.71%
PM growth 3Y34.43%
PM growth 5Y14.02%
GM growth 3Y5.95%
GM growth 5Y5.45%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has more shares outstanding
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for GBX is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.92 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.92, GBX is doing worse than 68.22% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a debt to FCF ratio of 23.13. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as GBX would need 23.13 years to pay back of all of its debts.
GBX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 23.13. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.17. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GBX's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.17 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 79.84% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.13 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC8.48%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.44 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a worse Current ratio (1.44) than 78.29% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.78, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 78.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 77.83% over the past year.
GBX shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.92% yearly.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.70%.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.83%
EPS 3Y65.82%
EPS 5Y10.92%
EPS Q2Q%75.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.7%
Revenue growth 3Y26.57%
Revenue growth 5Y3.16%
Sales Q2Q%2.74%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.55% on average over the next years.
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y28.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.01%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.50, the valuation of GBX can be described as very cheap.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 97.67% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.53), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.13, the valuation of GBX can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 96.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.04), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
70.54% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)0.6
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.82%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.81. GBX pays more dividend than 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.40, GBX has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.82%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.82%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
17.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
GBX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP17.04%
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
45.88
+0.44 (+0.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change-0.59%
Market Cap1.42B
Analysts46.67
Price Target54.57 (18.94%)
Short Float %8.03%
Short Ratio7.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.82% |
Yearly Dividend1.24
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.82%
DP17.04%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)41.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)24.58%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)23.35%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)23.32%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.92%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.41%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.46%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.04%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)9.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.13 | ||
| P/S | 0.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.59 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.95 | ||
| P/B | 0.94 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.84 |
EPS(TTM)7.06
EY15.39%
EPS(NY)5.02
Fwd EY10.95%
FCF(TTM)2.47
FCFY5.38%
OCF(TTM)11.62
OCFY25.33%
SpS114.43
BVpS48.7
TBVpS43.59
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)0.6
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.26% | ||
| ROE | 15.22% | ||
| ROCE | 12.03% | ||
| ROIC | 7.83% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.53% | ||
| ROICexgc | 9.73% | ||
| OM | 11.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.48% | ||
| GM | 18.53% | ||
| FCFM | 2.16% |
ROA(3y)2.18%
ROA(5y)1.81%
ROE(3y)6.76%
ROE(5y)5.31%
ROIC(3y)4.87%
ROIC(5y)3.92%
ROICexc(3y)5.53%
ROICexc(5y)4.74%
ROICexgc(3y)6.3%
ROICexgc(5y)5.45%
ROCE(3y)7.54%
ROCE(5y)6.11%
ROICexcg growth 3Y91.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y91.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.88%
OM growth 3Y56.84%
OM growth 5Y11.71%
PM growth 3Y34.43%
PM growth 5Y14.02%
GM growth 3Y5.95%
GM growth 5Y5.45%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.17 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.13 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.41 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.59% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.7 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.41% | ||
| Profit Quality | 33.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.92 |
F-Score7
WACC8.48%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)352.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)251.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.07%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.83%
EPS 3Y65.82%
EPS 5Y10.92%
EPS Q2Q%75.47%
EPS Next Y28.94%
EPS Next 2Y0.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.7%
Revenue growth 3Y26.57%
Revenue growth 5Y3.16%
Sales Q2Q%2.74%
Revenue Next Year-7.22%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.01%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y54.58%
EBIT growth 3Y98.52%
EBIT growth 5Y15.24%
EBIT Next Year77.98%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y136.88%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y100.28%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A