GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
46.74 USD
-0.5 (-1.06%)
46.74 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, GBX scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. GBX was compared to 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While GBX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GBX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets of 4.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.06% of its industry peers.
GBX has a better Return On Equity (13.32%) than 70.45% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is below the industry average of 10.27%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
GBX has a Profit Margin of 6.30%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.82% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 10.62%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GBX has a worse Gross Margin (18.75%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
GBX has an Altman-Z score of 1.85. This is not the best score and indicates that GBX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GBX's Altman-Z score of 1.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 68.94% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GBX's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 79.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.12%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.53, GBX is doing worse than 71.21% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
GBX has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 26.18% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.53% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-35.07%
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-12.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.42 indicates a rather cheap valuation of GBX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 96.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.43, the valuation of GBX can be described as reasonable.
93.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GBX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 96.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.43 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.76%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.98, GBX pays a better dividend. On top of this GBX pays more dividend than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 19.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
46.74
-0.5 (-1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change14.61%
Market Cap1.46B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target44.54 (-4.71%)
Short Float %7.87%
Short Ratio6.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-6.09%
PT rev (3m)-18.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.91%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-25.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-5.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-9.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.42 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.43 | ||
| P/S | 0.45 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.49 | ||
| P/B | 0.95 | ||
| P/tB | 1.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.43 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.48%
EPS(NY)4.09
Fwd EY8.75%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.23%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
F-Score8
WACC8.12%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-35.07%
EPS Next 2Y-14.36%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-12.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.2%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year8.6%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
What is the valuation status for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is expected to decline by -35.07% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.