GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
43.45 USD
+1.28 (+3.04%)
43.45 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While GBX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GBX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: GBX reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 4.68%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a better Return On Equity (13.32%) than 72.31% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.50%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GBX is below the industry average of 10.24%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.30%, GBX is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GBX's Operating Margin of 10.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 56.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of GBX (18.75%) is worse than 74.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
GBX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
GBX has an Altman-Z score of 1.81. This is not the best score and indicates that GBX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GBX (1.81) is worse than 67.69% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
GBX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.14. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 78.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.53, GBX is doing worse than 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.85, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 73.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.18% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the last year.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, GBX will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -13.20% on average per year.
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -5.77% yearly.
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.90, the valuation of GBX can be described as very cheap.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 95.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.95, the valuation of GBX can be described as very reasonable.
93.85% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than GBX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
GBX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.46.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.95 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.09 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -13.20% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.04%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.87. GBX pays more dividend than 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.04% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
19.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
43.45
+1.28 (+3.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change-1.78%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change16.66%
Market Cap1.34B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (9.16%)
Short Float %6.83%
Short Ratio6.22
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.04% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-34.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-21.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.9 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.95 | ||
| P/S | 0.41 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.05 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.09 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY14.5%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY10.05%
FCF(TTM)-0.48
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.6
OCFY19.8%
SpS104.93
BVpS49.63
TBVpS44.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.26
Graham Number83.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.81 |
F-Score8
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year23.75%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 6.9 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.88.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.