GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
47.12 USD
-0.23 (-0.49%)
47.12 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GBX. GBX was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. There are concerns on the financial health of GBX while its profitability can be described as average. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of GBX (4.68%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of GBX (13.32%) is better than 70.77% of its industry peers.
GBX's Return On Invested Capital of 6.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is below the industry average of 10.46%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.26%) for GBX is below the current ROIC(6.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
GBX's Profit Margin of 6.30% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 56.15% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin (10.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of GBX (18.75%) is worse than 75.38% of its industry peers.
GBX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
GBX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.85 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
GBX has a worse Altman-Z score (1.85) than 68.46% of its industry peers.
GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
GBX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.14. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 79.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC8.26%
2.3 Liquidity
GBX has a Current Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that GBX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.53, GBX is doing worse than 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GBX has a Quick ratio of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.53% yearly.
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.48, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of GBX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.31, which indicates a very decent valuation of GBX.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaper than 93.08% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.78. GBX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.75%, GBX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.79, GBX pays a better dividend. On top of this GBX pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 19.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
47.12
-0.23 (-0.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change14.83%
Market Cap1.47B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (0.66%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.31 | ||
| P/S | 0.45 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.53 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | 1.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.47 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.37%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY8.84%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.08%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.29
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.85 |
F-Score8
WACC8.26%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year11.21%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.48 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.96.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.