GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
46.02 USD
+0.94 (+2.09%)
46.02 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to GBX. GBX was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While GBX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. GBX also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
GBX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year GBX had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years GBX has always been profitable.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX has a Return On Assets of 4.68%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.15% of its industry peers.
GBX's Return On Equity of 13.32% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of GBX (6.50%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is below the industry average of 10.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) for GBX is above the 3 year average (6.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 6.30%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.92% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin of 10.62%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 56.15% of its industry peers.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.75%, GBX is doing worse than 75.38% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), GBX is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for GBX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for GBX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
GBX has an Altman-Z score of 1.84. This is not the best score and indicates that GBX is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of GBX (1.84) is worse than 68.46% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.14, GBX is doing worse than 79.23% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.53 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.53, GBX is doing worse than 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GBX's Quick ratio of 0.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 26.76% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 26.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.53% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GBX is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.30.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 96.15% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.37, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.54, the valuation of GBX can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 93.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 36.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.92% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.87%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.90, GBX pays a better dividend. On top of this GBX pays more dividend than 90.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.87% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
19.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
46.02
+0.94 (+2.09%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners1.82%
Ins Owner Change14.83%
Market Cap1.44B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (3.06%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.87% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-13.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-21.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.83%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.54 | ||
| P/S | 0.44 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.4 | ||
| P/B | 0.94 | ||
| P/tB | 1.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.38 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.69%
EPS(NY)4.37
Fwd EY9.49%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.51%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
F-Score8
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-30.66%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-7.45%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year23.75%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.3 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.94.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.