GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:GBX • US3936571013

Current stock price

51.75 USD
-0.99 (-1.88%)
At close:
51.75 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This GBX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. GBX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year GBX was profitable.
  • In the past year GBX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • GBX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
GBX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFGBX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • GBX has a Return On Assets (4.31%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GBX has a Return On Equity of 12.01%. This is in the better half of the industry: GBX outperforms 69.47% of its industry peers.
  • GBX's Return On Invested Capital of 5.20% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 44.27% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for GBX is below the industry average of 10.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.31%
ROE 12.01%
ROIC 5.2%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
GBX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICGBX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 6.03%, GBX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GBX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • GBX has a Operating Margin of 8.99%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: GBX outperforms 51.15% of its industry peers.
  • GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of GBX (17.50%) is worse than 76.34% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.99%
PM (TTM) 6.03%
GM 17.5%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
GBX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsGBX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

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3

2. GBX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
GBX Yearly Shares OutstandingGBX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
GBX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsGBX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 1.85 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • GBX's Altman-Z score of 1.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 67.18% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of GBX is 13.78, which is on the high side as it means it would take GBX, 13.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • GBX has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.78) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • GBX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.15. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • GBX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.15. This is amonst the worse of the industry: GBX underperforms 80.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 13.78
Altman-Z 1.85
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC8.13%
GBX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFGBX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.61 indicates that GBX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • GBX's Current ratio of 1.61 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. GBX is outperformed by 68.70% of its industry peers.
  • GBX has a Quick Ratio of 1.61. This is a bad value and indicates that GBX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • GBX has a Quick ratio of 0.91. This is in the lower half of the industry: GBX underperforms 70.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 0.91
GBX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesGBX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. GBX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • GBX shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.17%.
  • GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.18% yearly.
  • The Revenue for GBX has decreased by -14.99% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.02% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.17%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-33.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.99%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-19.39%

3.2 Future

  • GBX is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -2.96% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.85% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-34%
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-10.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.75%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
GBX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesGBX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
GBX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesGBX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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7

4. GBX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.05, the valuation of GBX can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.18% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.70), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
  • GBX is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.43.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, GBX is valued cheaper than 91.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • GBX is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.05
Fwd PE 11.43
GBX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsGBX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • GBX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 95.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, GBX is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.47
EV/EBITDA 6.57
GBX Per share dataGBX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.96% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.35
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. GBX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.30%, GBX has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.13. GBX pays more dividend than 91.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, GBX pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.3%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
  • GBX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
GBX Yearly Dividends per shareGBX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 16.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by GBX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP16.68%
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%
GBX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendGBX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M
GBX Dividend Payout.GBX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.GBX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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GBX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC

NYSE:GBX (3/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 51.75 0 (0%)

51.75

-0.99 (-1.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-08
Earnings (Next)04-06
Inst Owners101.97%
Inst Owner Change-0.39%
Ins Owners2.32%
Ins Owner Change15.33%
Market Cap1.60B
Revenue(TTM)3.07B
Net Income(TTM)185.20M
Analysts46
Price Target50.66 (-2.11%)
Short Float %7.25%
Short Ratio5.07
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.3%
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP16.68%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date01-27
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)20.1%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)42.88%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)28.49%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)27.04%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)30.89%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)20.74%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.63%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.63%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.65%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.43%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.69%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.41%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.05
Fwd PE 11.43
P/S 0.52
P/FCF 12.47
P/OCF 3.93
P/B 1.04
P/tB 1.15
EV/EBITDA 6.57
EPS(TTM)5.72
EY11.05%
EPS(NY)4.53
Fwd EY8.75%
FCF(TTM)4.15
FCFY8.02%
OCF(TTM)13.18
OCFY25.46%
SpS99.4
BVpS49.93
TBVpS44.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.35
Graham Number80.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.31%
ROE 12.01%
ROCE 8.32%
ROIC 5.2%
ROICexc 5.76%
ROICexgc 6.41%
OM 8.99%
PM (TTM) 6.03%
GM 17.5%
FCFM 4.18%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.15
Debt/FCF 13.78
Debt/EBITDA 4.41
Cap/Depr 223.4%
Cap/Sales 9.08%
Interest Coverage 3.38
Cash Conversion 101.55%
Profit Quality 69.22%
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 1.85
F-Score8
WACC8.13%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.17%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-33.72%
EPS Next Y-34%
EPS Next 2Y-15.22%
EPS Next 3Y-2.96%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.99%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-19.39%
Revenue Next Year-10.74%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.75%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-22.9%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year3.35%
EBIT Next 3Y9.81%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y240.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y44.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%

GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.


What is the valuation status for GBX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?

GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is expected to decline by -34% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?

The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 16.68%.