GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:GBX - US3936571013 - Common Stock
46.22 USD
-0.29 (-0.62%)
46.22 USD
0 (0%)
Overall GBX gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated GBX against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While GBX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. GBX has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year GBX was profitable.
GBX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
GBX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In multiple years GBX reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
GBX's Return On Assets of 4.68% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 55.38% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 13.32%, GBX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
GBX has a Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for GBX is below the industry average of 10.46%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.50%) for GBX is above the 3 year average (6.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
1.3 Margins
GBX's Profit Margin of 6.30% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. GBX outperforms 56.15% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
GBX has a Operating Margin (10.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
GBX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
GBX has a worse Gross Margin (18.75%) than 75.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of GBX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% |
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
GBX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
GBX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, GBX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, GBX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.84 indicates that GBX is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.84, GBX is not doing good in the industry: 68.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.14 is on the high side and indicates that GBX has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.14, GBX is doing worse than 79.23% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
GBX has a Current Ratio of 1.53. This is a normal value and indicates that GBX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
GBX has a worse Current ratio (1.53) than 73.08% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that GBX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of GBX (0.85) is worse than 73.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.76%, which is quite impressive.
GBX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.18% yearly.
Looking at the last year, GBX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.59% in the last year.
GBX shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
3.2 Future
GBX is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.53% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.61% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
GBX is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.34.
GBX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of GBX to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say GBX is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.09, the valuation of GBX can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of GBX indicates a rather cheap valuation: GBX is cheaper than 92.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
GBX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
GBX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. GBX is cheaper than 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as GBX's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.53% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
GBX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.75%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
GBX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.84. GBX pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, GBX has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
5.2 History
The dividend of GBX has a limited annual growth rate of 3.42%.
GBX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
GBX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
5.3 Sustainability
GBX pays out 19.40% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.4%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
46.22
-0.29 (-0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.13%
Inst Owner Change-1.71%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change14.83%
Market Cap1.44B
Revenue(TTM)3.24B
Net Income(TTM)204.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target47.43 (2.62%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
Yearly Dividend1.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.42%
DP19.4%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years10
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.67%
Max EPS beat(2)86.96%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.63%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.23%
Max EPS beat(4)86.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)25.42%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)19.81%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)21.16%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.19%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.19%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.83%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.59%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.12%
PT rev (1m)-13.08%
PT rev (3m)-13.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-17.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-21.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.34 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 | ||
| P/S | 0.44 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.43 | ||
| P/B | 0.94 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.39 |
EPS(TTM)6.3
EY13.63%
EPS(NY)4.17
Fwd EY9.01%
FCF(TTM)-0.47
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.52
OCFY18.43%
SpS103.89
BVpS49.13
TBVpS44.09
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.28
Graham Number83.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.68% | ||
| ROE | 13.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.32% | ||
| ROIC | 6.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.01% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.3% | ||
| GM | 18.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)2.44%
ROE(3y)9.98%
ROE(5y)7.22%
ROIC(3y)6.26%
ROIC(5y)4.32%
ROICexc(3y)6.97%
ROICexc(5y)4.88%
ROICexgc(3y)7.92%
ROICexgc(5y)5.54%
ROCE(3y)10.03%
ROCE(5y)6.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y47.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y47.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.04%
OM growth 3Y57.6%
OM growth 5Y14.86%
PM growth 3Y58.73%
PM growth 5Y29.12%
GM growth 3Y22.19%
GM growth 5Y8.19%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.74
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.14 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.76 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 230.78% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.65% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.19 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.05% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.84 |
F-Score8
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)305.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)285.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.76%
EPS 3Y65.49%
EPS 5Y26.18%
EPS Q2Q%-39.58%
EPS Next Y-33.87%
EPS Next 2Y-13.2%
EPS Next 3Y-3.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.59%
Revenue growth 3Y2.86%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-27.87%
Revenue Next Year-8.76%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.53%
EBIT growth 3Y62.11%
EBIT growth 5Y18.32%
EBIT Next Year11.21%
EBIT Next 3Y8.51%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y78.6%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.39%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.49%
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC / GBX FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for GBX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to GBX.
Can you provide the valuation status for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC?
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7.34 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.94.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for GBX stock?
The dividend rating of GREENBRIER COMPANIES INC (GBX) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.4%.