FORWARD AIR CORP (FWRD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:FWRD • US34986A1043
Current stock price
19.31 USD
+0.17 (+0.89%)
At close:
19.31 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This FWRD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. FWRD Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- FWRD had negative earnings in the past year.
- In the past year FWRD had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: FWRD reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Of the past 5 years FWRD 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- FWRD has a Return On Assets (-3.96%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- FWRD has a Return On Equity of -95.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FWRD underperforms 73.91% of its industry peers.
- FWRD has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.34%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FWRD outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
- FWRD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.69%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.36%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.96% | ||
| ROE | -95.11% | ||
| ROIC | 2.34% |
ROA(3y)-9.49%
ROA(5y)-0.63%
ROE(3y)-163.82%
ROE(5y)-89.32%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)8.3%
1.3 Margins
- FWRD's Operating Margin of 2.72% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FWRD outperforms 60.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of FWRD has declined.
- The Gross Margin of FWRD (41.14%) is better than 86.96% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FWRD has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 41.14% |
OM growth 3Y-41.34%
OM growth 5Y-14.11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.84%
GM growth 5Y-0.55%
2. FWRD Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), FWRD is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, FWRD has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, FWRD has more shares outstanding
- FWRD has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- FWRD has an Altman-Z score of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that FWRD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- FWRD's Altman-Z score of 0.95 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FWRD is outperformed by 60.87% of its industry peers.
- FWRD has a debt to FCF ratio of 113.02. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as FWRD would need 113.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 113.02, FWRD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- FWRD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 15.08. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- FWRD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 15.08. This is amonst the worse of the industry: FWRD underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 15.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 113.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.95 |
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC7.98%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.22 indicates that FWRD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- FWRD has a Current ratio of 1.22. This is in the lower half of the industry: FWRD underperforms 78.26% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.22 indicates that FWRD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.22, FWRD is not doing good in the industry: 78.26% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 |
3. FWRD Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for FWRD have decreased strongly by -15.85% in the last year.
- FWRD shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.84%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 14.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%73.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.84%
Revenue growth 3Y8.13%
Revenue growth 5Y14.47%
Sales Q2Q%-0.26%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 47.36% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y74.94%
EPS Next 2Y47.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.56%
Revenue Next 2Y5.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. FWRD Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FWRD. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
- Also next year FWRD is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 73.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FWRD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of FWRD indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: FWRD is cheaper than 73.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 39.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.08 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as FWRD's earnings are expected to grow with 47.36% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y47.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. FWRD Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- FWRD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.48%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- The stock price of FWRD dropped by -32.44% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.17, FWRD pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- FWRD's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
5.2 History
- FWRD has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y47.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
FWRD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
19.31
+0.17 (+0.89%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-23 2026-02-23/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners74.95%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.88%
Ins Owner Change2.66%
Market Cap609.23M
Revenue(TTM)2.50B
Net Income(TTM)-107.80M
Analysts80
Price Target36.04 (86.64%)
Short Float %18.74%
Short Ratio5.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.48% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-173.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-203.73%
Max EPS beat(2)-143.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-80.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-203.73%
Max EPS beat(4)121.79%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-754.06%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-507.62%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-379.68%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.68%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.37%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.57%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.28%
PT rev (1m)-0.93%
PT rev (3m)3.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13775%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.61%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.3%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 39.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.73 | ||
| P/B | 5.38 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.08 |
EPS(TTM)-2.26
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.57
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.48
FCFY2.51%
OCF(TTM)1.41
OCFY7.29%
SpS79.08
BVpS3.59
TBVpS-41.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.96% | ||
| ROE | -95.11% | ||
| ROCE | 2.96% | ||
| ROIC | 2.34% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.46% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.1% | ||
| OM | 2.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 41.14% | ||
| FCFM | 0.61% |
ROA(3y)-9.49%
ROA(5y)-0.63%
ROE(3y)-163.82%
ROE(5y)-89.32%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)8.3%
ROICexc(3y)2.82%
ROICexc(5y)8.67%
ROICexgc(3y)5.67%
ROICexgc(5y)16.39%
ROCE(3y)3.41%
ROCE(5y)10.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-43.56%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-51.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.87%
OM growth 3Y-41.34%
OM growth 5Y-14.11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.84%
GM growth 5Y-0.55%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.92
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 15.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 113.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 19.08% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.13% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.95 |
F-Score4
WACC7.98%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)32.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)56.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.85%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%73.31%
EPS Next Y74.94%
EPS Next 2Y47.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.84%
Revenue growth 3Y8.13%
Revenue growth 5Y14.47%
Sales Q2Q%-0.26%
Revenue Next Year4.56%
Revenue Next 2Y5.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y44.68%
EBIT growth 3Y-36.57%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.68%
EBIT Next Year114.42%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y113.58%
FCF growth 3Y-58.81%
FCF growth 5Y-25.01%
OCF growth 1Y158.86%
OCF growth 3Y-44.46%
OCF growth 5Y-12.12%
FORWARD AIR CORP / FWRD Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORWARD AIR CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to FWRD.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORWARD AIR CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to FORWARD AIR CORP (FWRD). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of FWRD stock?
FORWARD AIR CORP (FWRD) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
How financially healthy is FORWARD AIR CORP?
The financial health rating of FORWARD AIR CORP (FWRD) is 2 / 10.