3.69 USD
+0.15 (+4.24%)
3.62 USD
-0.07 (-1.9%)
Taking everything into account, FOSL scores 1 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. FOSL was compared to 45 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of FOSL have multiple concerns. FOSL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year FOSL has reported negative net income.
In the past year FOSL has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -9.60%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 82.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FOSL's Return On Equity of -59.76% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 84.44% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a Return On Invested Capital (6.07%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.6% | ||
| ROE | -59.76% | ||
| ROIC | 6.07% |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 2.87%, FOSL is doing worse than 64.44% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 55.74%, FOSL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.44% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
FOSL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
FOSL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 1.87 indicates that FOSL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.87, FOSL is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.50. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.50, FOSL is doing worse than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC13.05%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.56 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of FOSL (1.56) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Quick ratio of 1.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FOSL outperforms 51.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
FOSL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.37%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue for FOSL has decreased by -12.89% in the past year. This is quite bad
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -12.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.37%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 28.70% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, FOSL will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.47% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-259.87%
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year FOSL is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
77.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FOSL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.77 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FOSL's earnings are expected to grow with 28.70% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for FOSL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
3.69
+0.15 (+4.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners51.92%
Inst Owner Change9.83%
Ins Owners3.82%
Ins Owner Change4.11%
Market Cap201.62M
Revenue(TTM)1.07B
Net Income(TTM)-67.30M
Analysts82.86
Price Target5.1 (38.21%)
Short Float %10.11%
Short Ratio4.04
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-71.57%
Max EPS beat(2)53.31%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)13.54%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-200%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-200%
EPS NY rev (1m)-78.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)-78.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | 0.19 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 1.79 | ||
| P/tB | 1.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.77 |
EPS(TTM)-1.28
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.31
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.78
OCFYN/A
SpS19.51
BVpS2.06
TBVpS2.05
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -9.6% | ||
| ROE | -59.76% | ||
| ROCE | 7.69% | ||
| ROIC | 6.07% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.6% | ||
| OM | 2.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 55.74% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-11.03%
ROA(5y)-7.54%
ROE(3y)-47.24%
ROE(5y)-31.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.71%
GM growth 5Y1.27%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 25.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.32% | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
F-Score4
WACC13.05%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)47.98%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.37%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-23.53%
EPS Next Y-259.87%
EPS Next 2Y35.73%
EPS Next 3Y28.7%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-12.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-15.08%
Revenue growth 5Y-12.38%
Sales Q2Q%-6.12%
Revenue Next Year-13.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-15.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y148.74%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year119%
EBIT Next 3Y55.88%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-191.44%
FCF growth 3Y0.19%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-938.76%
OCF growth 3Y-2.26%
OCF growth 5YN/A
FOSSIL GROUP INC / FOSL FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 1 / 10 to FOSL.
Can you provide the valuation status for FOSSIL GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) stock?
FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) has a profitability rating of 1 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for FOSL stock?
The financial health rating of FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) is 2 / 10.