FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL)
US34988V1061 - Common Stock
We assign a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10 to FOSL. FOSL was compared to 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. FOSL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. FOSL has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.
FOSL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
FOSL had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years FOSL reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
FOSL's Return On Assets of -15.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL is outperformed by 82.00% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -75.04%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -15.18% | ||
| ROE | -75.04% | ||
| ROIC | N/A |
ROA(3y)-5.93%
ROA(5y)-5.51%
ROE(3y)-22.4%
ROE(5y)-19.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
FOSL has a Gross Margin (49.97%) which is in line with its industry peers.
FOSL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
FOSL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 49.97% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.52%
GM growth 5Y-1.65%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
FOSL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, FOSL has more shares outstanding
FOSL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that FOSL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
FOSL has a worse Altman-Z score (1.60) than 76.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FOSL is 3.00, which is a good value as it means it would take FOSL, 3.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
FOSL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FOSL outperforms 56.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.06 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.
FOSL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.06. This is amonst the worse of the industry: FOSL underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.47%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.81 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FOSL has a worse Current ratio (1.81) than 64.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.10 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Quick ratio of 1.10. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FOSL outperforms 42.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.04% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -17.87% in the last year.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -11.09% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-16.36%
3.2 Future
No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A |
4.2 Price Multiples
98.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FOSL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 1.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
FOSL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
FOSSIL GROUP INC
NASDAQ:FOSL (12/3/2024, 8:00:00 PM)
Premarket: 2.01 -0.1 (-4.74%)2.11
-0.24 (-10.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap112.23M
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
Avg EPS beat(2)
Min EPS beat(2)
Max EPS beat(2)
EPS beat(4)
Avg EPS beat(4)
Min EPS beat(4)
Max EPS beat(4)
EPS beat(8)
Avg EPS beat(8)
EPS beat(12)
Avg EPS beat(12)
EPS beat(16)
Avg EPS beat(16)
Revenue beat(2)
Avg Revenue beat(2)
Min Revenue beat(2)
Max Revenue beat(2)
Revenue beat(4)
Avg Revenue beat(4)
Min Revenue beat(4)
Max Revenue beat(4)
Revenue beat(8)
Avg Revenue beat(8)
Revenue beat(12)
Avg Revenue beat(12)
Revenue beat(16)
Avg Revenue beat(16)
PT rev (1m)
PT rev (3m)
EPS NQ rev (1m)
EPS NQ rev (3m)
EPS NY rev (1m)
EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
Revenue NQ rev (3m)
Revenue NY rev (1m)
Revenue NY rev (3m)
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | N/A | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -15.18% | ||
| ROE | -75.04% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | N/A | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 49.97% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y