Logo image of FOSL

FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:FOSL - Nasdaq - US34988V1061 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.54  -0.09 (-5.52%)

After market: 1.64 +0.1 (+6.49%)

Fundamental Rating

1

Overall FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. We evaluated FOSL against 50 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of FOSL have multiple concerns. FOSL is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

Quickly go to:

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year FOSL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: FOSL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
FOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFOSL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

1.2 Ratios

FOSL has a worse Return On Assets (-15.18%) than 81.63% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -75.04%, FOSL is doing worse than 81.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -15.18%
ROE -75.04%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.93%
ROA(5y)-5.51%
ROE(3y)-22.4%
ROE(5y)-19.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFOSL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 49.97%, FOSL is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.10% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
FOSL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.52%
GM growth 5Y-1.65%
FOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFOSL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

More info and screens

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FOSL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
FOSL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FOSL is higher compared to a year ago.
FOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingFOSL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
FOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFOSL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.58, we must say that FOSL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
FOSL has a Altman-Z score of 1.58. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 79.59% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FOSL is 3.00, which is a good value as it means it would take FOSL, 3.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
FOSL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FOSL outperforms 59.18% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.06 is on the high side and indicates that FOSL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.06, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 77.55% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.06
Debt/FCF 3
Altman-Z 1.58
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.8%
FOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFOSL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

FOSL has a Current Ratio of 1.81. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Current ratio (1.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Quick ratio (1.10) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.81
Quick Ratio 1.1
FOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFOSL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B

More info and screens

0

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.04% over the past year.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -17.87%.
Measured over the past years, FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -11.09% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-16.36%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
FOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B
FOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFOSL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 6

More info and screens

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FOSL. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
FOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFOSL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

FOSL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FOSL is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.4
EV/EBITDA N/A
FOSL Per share dataFOSL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FOSL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (2/21/2025, 8:20:19 PM)

After market: 1.64 +0.1 (+6.49%)

1.54

-0.09 (-5.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2025-03-11
Inst Owners45.72%
Inst Owner Change-90.28%
Ins Owners4.39%
Ins Owner Change19.79%
Market Cap81.91M
Analysts43.33
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %4.15%
Short Ratio3.81
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.07
P/FCF 1.4
P/OCF 1.27
P/B 0.5
P/tB 0.53
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.58
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)1.1
FCFY71.49%
OCF(TTM)1.22
OCFY79%
SpS23.01
BVpS3.09
TBVpS2.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -15.18%
ROE -75.04%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.97%
FCFM 4.78%
ROA(3y)-5.93%
ROA(5y)-5.51%
ROE(3y)-22.4%
ROE(5y)-19.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.52%
GM growth 5Y-1.65%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.06
Debt/FCF 3
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 36.53%
Cap/Sales 0.5%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.81
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 1.58
F-Score5
WACC11.8%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)45.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)38.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.16%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-16.36%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y21.76%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y141.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y150.64%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A