FOSSIL GROUP INC (FOSL)

US34988V1061 - Common Stock

2.005  +0.12 (+6.08%)

After market: 2.0499 +0.04 (+2.24%)

Fundamental Rating

1

FOSL gets a fundamental rating of 1 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 49 industry peers in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. Both the profitability and financial health of FOSL have multiple concerns. FOSL does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.



1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FOSL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year FOSL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years FOSL reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years FOSL reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -15.18%, FOSL is doing worse than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -75.04%, FOSL is not doing good in the industry: 81.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -15.18%
ROE -75.04%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.93%
ROA(5y)-5.51%
ROE(3y)-22.4%
ROE(5y)-19.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

FOSL has a Gross Margin of 49.97%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FOSL outperforms 54.17% of its industry peers.
FOSL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
FOSL does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.97%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.52%
GM growth 5Y-1.65%

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FOSL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for FOSL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, FOSL has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

FOSL has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that FOSL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.60, FOSL is doing worse than 79.17% of the companies in the same industry.
FOSL has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.00. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as FOSL would need 3.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
FOSL's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.00 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.06. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
FOSL has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.06) than 79.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.06
Debt/FCF 3
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.54%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.81 indicates that FOSL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FOSL has a Current ratio of 1.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: FOSL underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
FOSL has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that FOSL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FOSL's Quick ratio of 1.10 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FOSL outperforms 45.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.81
Quick Ratio 1.1

0

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.04% over the past year.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -17.87%.
FOSL shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -11.09% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-16.36%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FOSL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of FOSL indicates a rather cheap valuation: FOSL is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.82
EV/EBITDA N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FOSL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FOSSIL GROUP INC

NASDAQ:FOSL (1/8/2025, 8:02:45 PM)

After market: 2.0499 +0.04 (+2.24%)

2.005

+0.12 (+6.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2025-03-11
Inst Owners41.05%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.84%
Ins Owner Change19.74%
Market Cap106.65M
Analysts43.33
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %3.47%
Short Ratio1.43
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.09
P/FCF 1.82
P/OCF 1.65
P/B 0.65
P/tB 0.69
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.58
EYN/A
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)1.1
FCFY54.91%
OCF(TTM)1.22
OCFY60.68%
SpS23.01
BVpS3.09
TBVpS2.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -15.18%
ROE -75.04%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.97%
FCFM 4.78%
ROA(3y)-5.93%
ROA(5y)-5.51%
ROE(3y)-22.4%
ROE(5y)-19.9%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.52%
GM growth 5Y-1.65%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.06
Debt/FCF 3
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 36.53%
Cap/Sales 0.5%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.81
Quick Ratio 1.1
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score5
WACC11.54%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)45.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)38.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.04%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%45.16%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.34%
Revenue growth 5Y-11.09%
Sales Q2Q%-16.36%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y21.76%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y141.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y150.64%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A