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FORD MOTOR CO (FMC1.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:FMC1 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

9.803  +0.05 (+0.53%)

Fundamental Rating

4

FMC1 gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 29 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. FMC1 has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FMC1 is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FMC1 was profitable.
FMC1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years FMC1 reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
FMC1 had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FMC1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFMC1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.23%, FMC1 is not doing good in the industry: 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 7.96%, FMC1 is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
FMC1's Return On Invested Capital of 1.35% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FMC1 is outperformed by 88.89% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for FMC1 is significantly below the industry average of 8.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.23%
ROE 7.96%
ROIC 1.35%
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)1.47%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)7.7%
ROIC(3y)2.08%
ROIC(5y)N/A
FMC1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFMC1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of FMC1 (1.93%) is worse than 81.48% of its industry peers.
FMC1's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 2.05%, FMC1 is not doing good in the industry: 88.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FMC1's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
FMC1's Gross Margin of 7.68% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FMC1 is outperformed by 92.59% of its industry peers.
FMC1's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.05%
PM (TTM) 1.93%
GM 7.68%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y9.16%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.47%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
FMC1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFMC1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 10 15

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), FMC1 is destroying value.
FMC1 has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
FMC1 has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
FMC1 has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
FMC1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingFMC1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B
FMC1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFMC1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.00, we must say that FMC1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of FMC1 (1.00) is worse than 77.78% of its industry peers.
FMC1 has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as FMC1 would need 24.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
FMC1 has a Debt to FCF ratio (24.55) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.74 is on the high side and indicates that FMC1 has dependencies on debt financing.
FMC1's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.74 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FMC1 is outperformed by 92.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.74
Debt/FCF 24.55
Altman-Z 1
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC6.23%
FMC1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFMC1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.15 indicates that FMC1 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
FMC1 has a Current ratio (1.15) which is in line with its industry peers.
FMC1 has a Quick Ratio of 1.15. This is a bad value and indicates that FMC1 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.98, FMC1 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.98
FMC1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFMC1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FMC1 shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.67%.
FMC1 shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.49% yearly.
FMC1 shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.89%.
Measured over the past years, FMC1 shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.90% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.67%
EPS 3Y70.44%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%25.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.89%
Revenue growth 3Y11.49%
Revenue growth 5Y1.9%
Sales Q2Q%4.6%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.07% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, FMC1 will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.92% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-11.49%
EPS Next 2Y-8.29%
EPS Next 3Y-4.06%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y2.92%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
FMC1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFMC1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50B 100B 150B
FMC1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFMC1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 5.84 indicates a rather cheap valuation of FMC1.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of FMC1 indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: FMC1 is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
FMC1's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.47.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.93, the valuation of FMC1 can be described as very cheap.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as FMC1.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. FMC1 is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.84
Fwd PE 5.93
FMC1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFMC1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FMC1 is valued a bit more expensive than 74.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of FMC1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: FMC1 is cheaper than 81.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.29
EV/EBITDA 11.33
FMC1.DE Per share dataFMC1.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FMC1's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.06% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
EPS Next 2Y-8.29%
EPS Next 3Y-4.06%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.91%, FMC1 is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.70, FMC1 has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, FMC1 pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.91%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of FMC1 grows each year by 11.00%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
FMC1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareFMC1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

FMC1 pays out 88.50% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
FMC1's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP88.5%
EPS Next 2Y-8.29%
EPS Next 3Y-4.06%
FMC1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFMC1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B
FMC1.DE Dividend Payout.FMC1.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FMC1.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

FORD MOTOR CO

FRA:FMC1 (2/5/2025, 12:59:22 PM)

9.803

+0.05 (+0.53%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)10-28 2024-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-05 2025-02-05/amc
Inst Owners57.76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.25%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap38.96B
Analysts64.38
Price Target10.89 (11.09%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.91%
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)11%
DP88.5%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(2)2.21%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)109.53%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.06%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)12.56%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)102.84%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.6%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.03%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.85%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.5%
PT rev (1m)-3.96%
PT rev (3m)-5.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.85%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.84
Fwd PE 5.93
P/S 0.22
P/FCF 6.29
P/OCF 2.7
P/B 0.91
P/tB 0.91
EV/EBITDA 11.33
EPS(TTM)1.68
EY17.14%
EPS(NY)1.65
Fwd EY16.85%
FCF(TTM)1.56
FCFY15.91%
OCF(TTM)3.62
OCFY36.97%
SpS44.49
BVpS10.79
TBVpS10.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.23%
ROE 7.96%
ROCE 2.1%
ROIC 1.35%
ROICexc 1.66%
ROICexgc 1.66%
OM 2.05%
PM (TTM) 1.93%
GM 7.68%
FCFM 3.51%
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)1.47%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)7.7%
ROIC(3y)2.08%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.75%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.77%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y9.16%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.47%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.74
Debt/FCF 24.55
Debt/EBITDA 10.67
Cap/Depr 110.89%
Cap/Sales 4.64%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 130.69%
Profit Quality 181.53%
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 1
F-Score4
WACC6.23%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)94.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.6%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.67%
EPS 3Y70.44%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%25.64%
EPS Next Y-11.49%
EPS Next 2Y-8.29%
EPS Next 3Y-4.06%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.89%
Revenue growth 3Y11.49%
Revenue growth 5Y1.9%
Sales Q2Q%4.6%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y2.92%
EBIT growth 1Y-48.47%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y11.23%
EBIT Next Year38.62%
EBIT Next 3Y13.86%
EBIT Next 5Y11.18%
FCF growth 1Y143.3%
FCF growth 3Y-28.82%
FCF growth 5Y-1.58%
OCF growth 1Y61.71%
OCF growth 3Y-14.97%
OCF growth 5Y-0.14%