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FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD (FM.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:FM - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA3359341052 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

19.17  +0.08 (+0.42%)

Fundamental Rating

6

FM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 799 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. FM scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. FM has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FM had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year FM had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years FM reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years FM had a positive operating cash flow.
FM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.01%, FM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 0.02%, FM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.48% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Return On Invested Capital of 3.12% is amongst the best of the industry. FM outperforms 90.11% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for FM is significantly below the industry average of 24.74%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.01%
ROE 0.02%
ROIC 3.12%
ROA(3y)0.04%
ROA(5y)0.53%
ROE(3y)0.06%
ROE(5y)1.29%
ROIC(3y)4.33%
ROIC(5y)4.7%
FM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of FM (0.04%) is better than 89.36% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of FM has declined.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 20.41%, FM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.12% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.11%, FM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.36% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 20.41%
PM (TTM) 0.04%
GM 28.11%
OM growth 3Y-15.13%
OM growth 5Y4.01%
PM growth 3Y-84.66%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.5%
GM growth 5Y7.67%
FM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FM has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, FM has more shares outstanding
FM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
FM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingFM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
FM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.25, we must say that FM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.25, FM is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.69% of the companies in the same industry.
FM has a debt to FCF ratio of 21.28. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as FM would need 21.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
FM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 21.28. This is amongst the best in the industry. FM outperforms 89.61% of its industry peers.
FM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63. This is a neutral value indicating FM is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of FM (0.63) is worse than 73.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.63
Debt/FCF 21.28
Altman-Z 1.25
ROIC/WACC0.35
WACC9.01%
FM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

FM has a Current Ratio of 2.08. This indicates that FM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.08, FM is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.32% of the companies in the same industry.
FM has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that FM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FM has a Quick ratio of 1.08. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FM outperforms 45.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.08
Quick Ratio 1.08
FM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 128.57%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for FM have been decreasing by -87.24% on average. This is quite bad
FM shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -25.62%.
Measured over the past years, FM shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)128.57%
EPS 3Y-87.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.38%
Sales Q2Q%14.86%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, FM will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 96.84% on average per year.
FM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y-162.65%
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%
EPS Next 5Y96.84%
Revenue Next Year-1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3Y26.14%
Revenue Next 5Y10.38%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
FM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FM is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 87.14.
FM's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FM is cheaper than 86.23% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.79.
FM is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.14.
FM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FM is cheaper than 89.49% of the companies in the same industry.
FM is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 87.14
Fwd PE 21.14
FM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

90.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FM, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
92.37% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.61
EV/EBITDA 11.4
FM.CA Per share dataFM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FM's earnings are expected to grow with 263.15% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.78%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
FM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.00. FM pays more dividend than 97.87% of the companies in the same industry.
FM's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.78%

5.2 History

FM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As FM did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
FM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareFM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%
FM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD

TSX:FM (4/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

19.17

+0.08 (+0.42%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-11 2025-02-11/amc
Earnings (Next)04-23 2025-04-23/amc
Inst Owners51.56%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.07%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.99B
Analysts75.86
Price Target22.01 (14.81%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.78%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)516.5%
Min EPS beat(2)32.41%
Max EPS beat(2)1000.59%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)251.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.5%
Max EPS beat(4)1000.59%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)103.11%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)69.32%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)51.75%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.26%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)13.77%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.4%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.39%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.4%
PT rev (1m)1.71%
PT rev (3m)-0.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-27.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-340.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-16.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)-131.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.84%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 87.14
Fwd PE 21.14
P/S 2.4
P/FCF 31.61
P/OCF 6.99
P/B 1.01
P/tB 1.03
EV/EBITDA 11.4
EPS(TTM)0.22
EY1.15%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY4.73%
FCF(TTM)0.61
FCFY3.16%
OCF(TTM)2.74
OCFY14.31%
SpS7.98
BVpS19.06
TBVpS18.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.01%
ROE 0.02%
ROCE 4.34%
ROIC 3.12%
ROICexc 3.24%
ROICexgc 3.28%
OM 20.41%
PM (TTM) 0.04%
GM 28.11%
FCFM 7.6%
ROA(3y)0.04%
ROA(5y)0.53%
ROE(3y)0.06%
ROE(5y)1.29%
ROIC(3y)4.33%
ROIC(5y)4.7%
ROICexc(3y)4.6%
ROICexc(5y)5.02%
ROICexgc(3y)4.65%
ROICexgc(5y)5.07%
ROCE(3y)6.03%
ROCE(5y)6.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-25.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.47%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.47%
OM growth 3Y-15.13%
OM growth 5Y4.01%
PM growth 3Y-84.66%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-7.5%
GM growth 5Y7.67%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.2
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.63
Debt/FCF 21.28
Debt/EBITDA 4.49
Cap/Depr 203.16%
Cap/Sales 26.78%
Interest Coverage 1.71
Cash Conversion 102.36%
Profit Quality 18250%
Current Ratio 2.08
Quick Ratio 1.08
Altman-Z 1.25
F-Score7
WACC9.01%
ROIC/WACC0.35
Cap/Depr(3y)138%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.78%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)128.57%
EPS 3Y-87.24%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y-162.65%
EPS Next 2Y328.43%
EPS Next 3Y263.15%
EPS Next 5Y96.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.38%
Sales Q2Q%14.86%
Revenue Next Year-1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y19.76%
Revenue Next 3Y26.14%
Revenue Next 5Y10.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.87%
EBIT growth 3Y-25.89%
EBIT growth 5Y7.52%
EBIT Next Year99.86%
EBIT Next 3Y74.74%
EBIT Next 5Y33.27%
FCF growth 1Y187.4%
FCF growth 3Y-42.2%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y15.7%
OCF growth 3Y-16.98%
OCF growth 5Y13.18%