FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:FLO - US3434981011 - Common Stock
11.39 USD
0 (0%)
11.39 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, FLO scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. FLO was compared to 86 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While FLO has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. FLO is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. FLO also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year FLO was profitable.
FLO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years FLO has been profitable.
In the past 5 years FLO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
FLO's Return On Assets of 5.05% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FLO outperforms 73.26% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of FLO (15.37%) is better than 84.88% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.62%, FLO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for FLO is significantly below the industry average of 29.14%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.05% | ||
| ROE | 15.37% | ||
| ROIC | 7.62% |
ROA(3y)5.93%
ROA(5y)5.74%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)13.65%
ROIC(3y)9.98%
ROIC(5y)9.92%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of FLO (4.30%) is better than 66.28% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of FLO has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 7.31%, FLO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
FLO's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 49.38%, FLO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.84% of the companies in the same industry.
FLO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.3% | ||
| GM | 49.38% |
OM growth 3Y-3.43%
OM growth 5Y4.23%
PM growth 3Y0.7%
PM growth 5Y4.04%
GM growth 3Y-0.18%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
FLO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FLO has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
FLO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
FLO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.31 indicates that FLO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of FLO (2.31) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FLO is 4.59, which is a neutral value as it means it would take FLO, 4.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
FLO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.59. This is in the better half of the industry: FLO outperforms 77.91% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.23 is on the high side and indicates that FLO has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of FLO (1.23) is worse than 77.91% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.31 |
ROIC/WACC1.11
WACC6.87%
2.3 Liquidity
FLO has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that FLO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FLO has a Current ratio of 1.26. This is in the lower half of the industry: FLO underperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
FLO has a Quick Ratio of 1.26. This is a bad value and indicates that FLO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of FLO (0.74) is worse than 63.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for FLO have decreased strongly by -12.70% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.70% on average over the past years.
FLO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.25%.
FLO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.35% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.7%
EPS 3Y1.34%
EPS 5Y5.7%
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.25%
Revenue growth 3Y5.63%
Revenue growth 5Y4.35%
Sales Q2Q%3.02%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -2.23% on average over the next years.
FLO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y-16.62%
EPS Next 2Y-8.21%
EPS Next 3Y-5.34%
EPS Next 5Y-2.23%
Revenue Next Year2.84%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y0.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.06%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.35, which indicates a very decent valuation of FLO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of FLO indicates a rather cheap valuation: FLO is cheaper than 82.56% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of FLO to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.91), we can say FLO is valued rather cheaply.
FLO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.56.
FLO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FLO is cheaper than 87.21% of the companies in the same industry.
FLO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.57.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.56 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of FLO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: FLO is cheaper than 74.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of FLO indicates a rather cheap valuation: FLO is cheaper than 90.70% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
FLO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as FLO's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.34% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.82
EPS Next 2Y-8.21%
EPS Next 3Y-5.34%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
FLO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.69%, which is a nice return.
In the last 3 months the price of FLO has falen by -27.41%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.19, FLO pays a better dividend. On top of this FLO pays more dividend than 96.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
FLO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.69% |
5.2 History
The dividend of FLO is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.46%!
FLO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
FLO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.46%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years22
5.3 Sustainability
93.80% of the earnings are spent on dividend by FLO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of FLO has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP93.8%
EPS Next 2Y-8.21%
EPS Next 3Y-5.34%
11.39
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners85.86%
Inst Owner Change1.25%
Ins Owners2.31%
Ins Owner Change0.23%
Market Cap2.41B
Revenue(TTM)5.10B
Net Income(TTM)219.47M
Analysts51.43
Price Target16.32 (43.28%)
Short Float %9.68%
Short Ratio4.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.69% |
Yearly Dividend0.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.46%
DP93.8%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.65%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.75%
Max EPS beat(2)0.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.75%
Max EPS beat(4)11.18%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.31%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.66%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)3.51%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.75%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.69%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.2%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.69%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.28%
PT rev (1m)-2.29%
PT rev (3m)-11.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.8%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.56 | ||
| P/S | 0.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.71 | ||
| P/B | 1.68 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.73 |
EPS(TTM)1.1
EY9.66%
EPS(NY)1.08
Fwd EY9.47%
FCF(TTM)1.82
FCFY15.94%
OCF(TTM)2.42
OCFY21.23%
SpS24.14
BVpS6.76
TBVpS-3.6
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.82
Graham Number12.94
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.05% | ||
| ROE | 15.37% | ||
| ROCE | 9.92% | ||
| ROIC | 7.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.29% | ||
| OM | 7.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.3% | ||
| GM | 49.38% | ||
| FCFM | 7.52% |
ROA(3y)5.93%
ROA(5y)5.74%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)13.65%
ROIC(3y)9.98%
ROIC(5y)9.92%
ROICexc(3y)10.22%
ROICexc(5y)10.45%
ROICexgc(3y)19.22%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)13.04%
ROCE(5y)12.97%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.65%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.13%
OM growth 3Y-3.43%
OM growth 5Y4.23%
PM growth 3Y0.7%
PM growth 5Y4.04%
GM growth 3Y-0.18%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.29 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 77.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.31% | ||
| Profit Quality | 174.74% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.31 |
F-Score7
WACC6.87%
ROIC/WACC1.11
Cap/Depr(3y)95.72%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.88%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.85%
Profit Quality(3y)125.18%
Profit Quality(5y)141.19%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.7%
EPS 3Y1.34%
EPS 5Y5.7%
EPS Q2Q%-30.3%
EPS Next Y-16.62%
EPS Next 2Y-8.21%
EPS Next 3Y-5.34%
EPS Next 5Y-2.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.25%
Revenue growth 3Y5.63%
Revenue growth 5Y4.35%
Sales Q2Q%3.02%
Revenue Next Year2.84%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y0.95%
Revenue Next 5Y1.06%
EBIT growth 1Y4.7%
EBIT growth 3Y2%
EBIT growth 5Y8.76%
EBIT Next Year42.85%
EBIT Next 3Y12.85%
EBIT Next 5Y8.32%
FCF growth 1Y130.51%
FCF growth 3Y12.24%
FCF growth 5Y1.28%
OCF growth 1Y66.92%
OCF growth 3Y6.19%
OCF growth 5Y2.37%
FLOWERS FOODS INC / FLO FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to FLO.
Can you provide the valuation status for FLOWERS FOODS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of FLO stock?
FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) is 10.35 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.68.
What is the financial health of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?
The financial health rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) is 4 / 10.