FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:FLO • US3434981011
Current stock price
8.75 USD
+0.06 (+0.69%)
At close:
8.81 USD
+0.06 (+0.69%)
After Hours:
This FLO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. FLO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- FLO had positive earnings in the past year.
- FLO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- FLO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- FLO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- FLO's Return On Assets of 2.00% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FLO outperforms 50.57% of its industry peers.
- FLO has a better Return On Equity (6.43%) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
- FLO has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.35%) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for FLO is above the industry average of 6.78%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2% | ||
| ROE | 6.43% | ||
| ROIC | 8.35% |
ROA(3y)4.3%
ROA(5y)5.23%
ROE(3y)11.05%
ROE(5y)12.72%
ROIC(3y)9.09%
ROIC(5y)9.31%
1.3 Margins
- FLO has a Profit Margin (1.59%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- FLO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of FLO (6.88%) is better than 64.37% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of FLO has declined.
- The Gross Margin of FLO (48.87%) is better than 98.85% of its industry peers.
- FLO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.59% | ||
| GM | 48.87% |
OM growth 3Y-3.79%
OM growth 5Y-3.89%
PM growth 3Y-30.51%
PM growth 5Y-14.4%
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.44%
2. FLO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- FLO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for FLO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for FLO remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
- FLO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.14 indicates that FLO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- FLO has a Altman-Z score (2.14) which is in line with its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of FLO is 5.51, which is a neutral value as it means it would take FLO, 5.51 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of FLO (5.51) is better than 73.56% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04 is on the high side and indicates that FLO has dependencies on debt financing.
- FLO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.04) than 67.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC6.76%
2.3 Liquidity
- FLO has a Current Ratio of 0.75. This is a bad value and indicates that FLO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- FLO has a Current ratio of 0.75. This is amonst the worse of the industry: FLO underperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that FLO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- FLO has a Quick ratio of 0.44. This is in the lower half of the industry: FLO underperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. FLO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- FLO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.06%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.43% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, FLO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.00% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, FLO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.06%
EPS 3Y-4.93%
EPS 5Y-3.43%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3%
Revenue growth 3Y3.03%
Revenue growth 5Y3.68%
Sales Q2Q%10.96%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -3.58% on average over the next years.
- FLO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y-23.63%
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.33%
EPS Next 5Y-3.58%
Revenue Next Year-1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.2%
Revenue Next 5Y0.16%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. FLO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.95, the valuation of FLO can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, FLO is valued cheaper than 90.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of FLO to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.79), we can say FLO is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.42, the valuation of FLO can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, FLO is valued cheaper than 88.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.88, FLO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FLO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- 93.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than FLO, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.8 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- FLO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as FLO's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.33% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.33%
5. FLO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- FLO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.55%, which is a nice return.
- In the last 3 months the price of FLO has falen by -21.24%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
- FLO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.22. FLO pays more dividend than 98.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- FLO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.55% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of FLO is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.46%!
- FLO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- FLO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.46%
Div Incr Years23
Div Non Decr Years23
5.3 Sustainability
- 249.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by FLO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- FLO's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP249.69%
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.33%
FLO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
8.75
+0.06 (+0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-14 2026-05-14/amc
Inst Owners83.81%
Inst Owner Change-0.2%
Ins Owners0.85%
Ins Owner Change5.36%
Market Cap1.85B
Revenue(TTM)5.26B
Net Income(TTM)83.83M
Analysts50.77
Price Target10.54 (20.46%)
Short Float %12.45%
Short Ratio4.39
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.55% |
Yearly Dividend0.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.46%
DP249.69%
Div Incr Years23
Div Non Decr Years23
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (0.2475)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)20.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.34%
Max EPS beat(2)42.06%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)8.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.75%
Max EPS beat(4)42.06%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.98%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)5%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)5.43%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.82%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.07%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.67%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.37%
PT rev (1m)-8.82%
PT rev (3m)-24.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.42 | ||
| P/S | 0.35 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.15 | ||
| P/B | 1.42 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.8 |
EPS(TTM)1.1
EY12.57%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY9.6%
FCF(TTM)1.51
FCFY17.24%
OCF(TTM)2.11
OCFY24.11%
SpS24.85
BVpS6.16
TBVpS-3.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.3491 (41.13%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2% | ||
| ROE | 6.43% | ||
| ROCE | 11.27% | ||
| ROIC | 8.35% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.97% | ||
| OM | 6.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.59% | ||
| GM | 48.87% | ||
| FCFM | 6.07% |
ROA(3y)4.3%
ROA(5y)5.23%
ROE(3y)11.05%
ROE(5y)12.72%
ROIC(3y)9.09%
ROIC(5y)9.31%
ROICexc(3y)9.13%
ROICexc(5y)9.6%
ROICexgc(3y)19.55%
ROICexgc(5y)19.56%
ROCE(3y)12.32%
ROCE(5y)12.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.13%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.32%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.94%
OM growth 3Y-3.79%
OM growth 5Y-3.89%
PM growth 3Y-30.51%
PM growth 5Y-14.4%
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.44%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.04 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.51 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.57 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 75.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.42% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.99 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.36% | ||
| Profit Quality | 380.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
F-Score4
WACC6.76%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)81.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.89%
Profit Quality(3y)224.08%
Profit Quality(5y)170.49%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.06%
EPS 3Y-4.93%
EPS 5Y-3.43%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-23.63%
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.33%
EPS Next 5Y-3.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3%
Revenue growth 3Y3.03%
Revenue growth 5Y3.68%
Sales Q2Q%10.96%
Revenue Next Year-1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.2%
Revenue Next 5Y0.16%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.87%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.36%
EBIT Next Year40.03%
EBIT Next 3Y12.11%
EBIT Next 5Y7.56%
FCF growth 1Y13.73%
FCF growth 3Y18.49%
FCF growth 5Y-2.2%
OCF growth 1Y8.13%
OCF growth 3Y7.33%
OCF growth 5Y-0.37%
FLOWERS FOODS INC / FLO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to FLO.
What is the valuation status for FLO stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?
FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for FLO stock?
The financial health rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for FLO stock?
The dividend rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 249.69%.