FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:FLO • US3434981011

Current stock price

8.18 USD
-0.19 (-2.27%)
At close:
8.25 USD
+0.07 (+0.86%)
After Hours:

This FLO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. FLO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • FLO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • FLO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years FLO has always been profitable.
  • FLO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • FLO has a Return On Assets of 2.00%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FLO outperforms 50.57% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 6.43%, FLO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of FLO (8.35%) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for FLO is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2%
ROE 6.43%
ROIC 8.35%
ROA(3y)4.3%
ROA(5y)5.23%
ROE(3y)11.05%
ROE(5y)12.72%
ROIC(3y)9.09%
ROIC(5y)9.31%
FLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • FLO has a Profit Margin (1.59%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of FLO has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of FLO (6.88%) is better than 65.52% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of FLO has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of FLO (48.87%) is better than 98.85% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FLO has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.88%
PM (TTM) 1.59%
GM 48.87%
OM growth 3Y-3.79%
OM growth 5Y-3.89%
PM growth 3Y-30.51%
PM growth 5Y-14.4%
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.44%
FLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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2

2. FLO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • FLO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • FLO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for FLO remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, FLO has a worse debt to assets ratio.
FLO Yearly Shares OutstandingFLO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
FLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.12 indicates that FLO is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of FLO (2.12) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • FLO has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.51. This is a neutral value as FLO would need 5.51 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • FLO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.51. This is in the better half of the industry: FLO outperforms 71.26% of its industry peers.
  • FLO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.04. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.04, FLO is not doing good in the industry: 70.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.51
Altman-Z 2.12
ROIC/WACC1.23
WACC6.76%
FLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • FLO has a Current Ratio of 0.75. This is a bad value and indicates that FLO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • FLO has a worse Current ratio (0.75) than 79.31% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that FLO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • FLO has a worse Quick ratio (0.44) than 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.75
Quick Ratio 0.44
FLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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2

3. FLO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for FLO have decreased strongly by -14.06% in the last year.
  • FLO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.43% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, FLO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.00% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.68% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.06%
EPS 3Y-4.93%
EPS 5Y-3.43%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3%
Revenue growth 3Y3.03%
Revenue growth 5Y3.68%
Sales Q2Q%10.96%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLO will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -3.58% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, FLO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-23.44%
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.12%
EPS Next 5Y-3.58%
Revenue Next Year-1.19%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.14%
Revenue Next 5Y0.16%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
FLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
FLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

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8

4. FLO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • FLO is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.44.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of FLO indicates a rather cheap valuation: FLO is cheaper than 93.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of FLO to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.23), we can say FLO is valued rather cheaply.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.71 indicates a reasonable valuation of FLO.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FLO indicates a rather cheap valuation: FLO is cheaper than 85.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • FLO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.44
Fwd PE 9.71
FLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FLO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, FLO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.42
EV/EBITDA 6.64
FLO Per share dataFLO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • FLO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as FLO's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.12% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.12%

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7

5. FLO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • FLO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.83%, which is a nice return.
  • The stock price of FLO dropped by -25.16% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • FLO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.45. FLO pays more dividend than 96.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • FLO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 11.83%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of FLO grows each year by 7.46%, which is quite nice.
  • FLO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • FLO has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.46%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years22
FLO Yearly Dividends per shareFLO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

  • 249.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by FLO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • FLO's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP249.69%
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.12%
FLO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFLO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
FLO Dividend Payout.FLO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FLO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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FLO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

FLOWERS FOODS INC

NYSE:FLO (3/20/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 8.25 +0.07 (+0.86%)

8.18

-0.19 (-2.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-14
Inst Owners83.04%
Inst Owner Change3.24%
Ins Owners0.86%
Ins Owner Change5.32%
Market Cap1.73B
Revenue(TTM)5.26B
Net Income(TTM)83.83M
Analysts50.77
Price Target11.56 (41.32%)
Short Float %14.56%
Short Ratio5.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 11.83%
Yearly Dividend0.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.46%
DP249.69%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years22
Ex-Date03-06
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)20.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.34%
Max EPS beat(2)42.06%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)8.61%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.75%
Max EPS beat(4)42.06%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.98%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)5%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)5.43%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.82%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.82%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.07%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.67%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.37%
PT rev (1m)-20.67%
PT rev (3m)-17.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)-14.42%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.44
Fwd PE 9.71
P/S 0.33
P/FCF 5.42
P/OCF 3.88
P/B 1.33
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.64
EPS(TTM)1.1
EY13.45%
EPS(NY)0.84
Fwd EY10.3%
FCF(TTM)1.51
FCFY18.44%
OCF(TTM)2.11
OCFY25.78%
SpS24.85
BVpS6.16
TBVpS-3.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.35
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2%
ROE 6.43%
ROCE 11.27%
ROIC 8.35%
ROICexc 8.38%
ROICexgc 22.97%
OM 6.88%
PM (TTM) 1.59%
GM 48.87%
FCFM 6.07%
ROA(3y)4.3%
ROA(5y)5.23%
ROE(3y)11.05%
ROE(5y)12.72%
ROIC(3y)9.09%
ROIC(5y)9.31%
ROICexc(3y)9.13%
ROICexc(5y)9.6%
ROICexgc(3y)19.55%
ROICexgc(5y)19.56%
ROCE(3y)12.32%
ROCE(5y)12.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.13%
ROICexgc growth 5Y1.32%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.94%
OM growth 3Y-3.79%
OM growth 5Y-3.89%
PM growth 3Y-30.51%
PM growth 5Y-14.4%
GM growth 3Y0.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.44%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.04
Debt/FCF 5.51
Debt/EBITDA 2.57
Cap/Depr 75.92%
Cap/Sales 2.42%
Interest Coverage 5.99
Cash Conversion 84.36%
Profit Quality 380.66%
Current Ratio 0.75
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 2.12
F-Score4
WACC6.76%
ROIC/WACC1.23
Cap/Depr(3y)81.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.51%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.89%
Profit Quality(3y)224.08%
Profit Quality(5y)170.49%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.06%
EPS 3Y-4.93%
EPS 5Y-3.43%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-23.44%
EPS Next 2Y-12.18%
EPS Next 3Y-8.12%
EPS Next 5Y-3.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3%
Revenue growth 3Y3.03%
Revenue growth 5Y3.68%
Sales Q2Q%10.96%
Revenue Next Year-1.19%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.14%
Revenue Next 5Y0.16%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.82%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.87%
EBIT growth 5Y-0.36%
EBIT Next Year40.23%
EBIT Next 3Y12.2%
EBIT Next 5Y7.56%
FCF growth 1Y13.73%
FCF growth 3Y18.49%
FCF growth 5Y-2.2%
OCF growth 1Y8.13%
OCF growth 3Y7.33%
OCF growth 5Y-0.37%

FLOWERS FOODS INC / FLO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to FLO.


What is the valuation status of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for FLOWERS FOODS INC?

FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of FLOWERS FOODS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) is 7.44 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.33.


What is the financial health of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) stock?

The financial health rating of FLOWERS FOODS INC (FLO) is 2 / 10.