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FALCON MINERALS CORP (FLMN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:FLMN - Nasdaq - US30607B1098 - Common Stock

7.77  +0.04 (+0.52%)

After market: 7.36 -0.41 (-5.28%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to FLMN. FLMN was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. FLMN may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. FLMN is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FLMN was profitable.
FLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFLMN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.18%
ROE 10.92%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFLMN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.84%
PM (TTM) 17.26%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
FLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFLMN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20 40 60 80 100

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FLMN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, FLMN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
FLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingFLMN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M 80M
FLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFLMN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 3.80 indicates that FLMN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31 indicates that FLMN is not too dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.8
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
FLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFLMN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.35 indicates that FLMN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
FLMN has a Quick Ratio of 2.35. This indicates that FLMN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.35
Quick Ratio 2.35
FLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFLMN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 5M 10M 15M 20M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FLMN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1350.00%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for FLMN have been decreasing by -10.20% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 105.87% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue for FLMN have been decreasing by -11.22% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)1350%
EPS 3Y-10.2%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)105.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.22%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%78.4%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, FLMN will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.80% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 38.27% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y89.72%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
EPS Next 5Y10.8%
Revenue Next Year225.4%
Revenue Next 2Y103.24%
Revenue Next 3Y59.57%
Revenue Next 5Y38.27%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFLMN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M
FLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFLMN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FLMN is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.08.
FLMN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 28.64.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.32, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of FLMN.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of FLMN to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.44), we can say FLMN is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.08
Fwd PE 19.32
FLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFLMN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.83
FLMN Per share dataFLMN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0.5 1

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
FLMN's earnings are expected to grow with 21.23% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FLMN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.35%, which is a nice return.
FLMN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.52.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.35%

5.2 History

The dividend of FLMN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 71.60%!
FLMN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)71.6%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
FLMN Yearly Dividends per shareFLMN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

FLMN pays out 192.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
FLMN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP192.55%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
FLMN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFLMN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M
FLMN Dividend Payout.FLMN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FLMN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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FALCON MINERALS CORP

NASDAQ:FLMN (6/3/2022, 8:20:24 PM)

After market: 7.36 -0.41 (-5.28%)

7.77

+0.04 (+0.52%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-04 2022-05-04/amc
Earnings (Next)08-02 2022-08-02
Inst Owners0.93%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners9.6%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap672.18M
Analysts78.46
Price Target35.99 (363.19%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 9.35%
Yearly Dividend0.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)71.6%
DP192.55%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.08
Fwd PE 19.32
P/S 8.64
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 5.46
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.83
EPS(TTM)0.25
EY3.22%
EPS(NY)0.4
Fwd EY5.18%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS0.9
BVpS1.42
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.18%
ROE 10.92%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 50.84%
PM (TTM) 17.26%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y0%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.35
Quick Ratio 2.35
Altman-Z 3.8
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1350%
EPS 3Y-10.2%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y89.72%
EPS Next 2Y26.83%
EPS Next 3Y21.23%
EPS Next 5Y10.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)105.87%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.22%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%78.4%
Revenue Next Year225.4%
Revenue Next 2Y103.24%
Revenue Next 3Y59.57%
Revenue Next 5Y38.27%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A