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FERGUSON ENTERPRISES INC (FERG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:FERG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US31488V1070 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

174.54  -2.96 (-1.67%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall FERG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated FERG against 48 industry peers in the Trading Companies & Distributors industry. While FERG has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. FERG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FERG was profitable.
FERG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
FERG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
FERG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FERG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFERG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500K 1M 1.5M 2M 2.5M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.00%, FERG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.85% of the companies in the same industry.
FERG has a better Return On Equity (29.81%) than 91.49% of its industry peers.
FERG has a better Return On Invested Capital (17.05%) than 89.36% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for FERG is significantly above the industry average of 9.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10%
ROE 29.81%
ROIC 17.05%
ROA(3y)11.94%
ROA(5y)10.74%
ROE(3y)37.96%
ROE(5y)33.06%
ROIC(3y)19.52%
ROIC(5y)17.16%
FERG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFERG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

FERG has a Profit Margin (5.68%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of FERG has grown nicely.
FERG has a Operating Margin (8.68%) which is in line with its industry peers.
FERG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 30.51%, FERG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.06% of the companies in the same industry.
FERG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.68%
PM (TTM) 5.68%
GM 30.51%
OM growth 3Y1.51%
OM growth 5Y5.66%
PM growth 3Y-3.22%
PM growth 5Y3.07%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.8%
FERG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFERG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FERG is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, FERG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, FERG has less shares outstanding
FERG has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
FERG Yearly Shares OutstandingFERG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50K 100K 150K 200K
FERG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFERG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5M 10M 15M

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1903.83 indicates that FERG is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 1903.83, FERG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FERG is 3.07, which is a good value as it means it would take FERG, 3.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.07, FERG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.09% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that FERG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
FERG has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.61) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 3.07
Altman-Z 1903.83
ROIC/WACC1.58
WACC10.79%
FERG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFERG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.68 indicates that FERG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.68, FERG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.43% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.91 indicates that FERG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
FERG's Quick ratio of 0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FERG is outperformed by 70.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.68
Quick Ratio 0.91
FERG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFERG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2M 4M 6M 8M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FERG shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -0.42%.
Measured over the past years, FERG shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.56% on average per year.
FERG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.64%.
FERG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.13% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.42%
EPS 3Y12.31%
EPS 5Y14.56%
EPS Q2Q%-7.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.64%
Revenue growth 3Y9.15%
Revenue growth 5Y6.13%
Sales Q2Q%0.83%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, FERG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.20% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.54% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-0.54%
EPS Next 2Y5.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
EPS Next 5Y8.2%
Revenue Next Year1.9%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y4.83%
Revenue Next 5Y7.54%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FERG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFERG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B 40B
FERG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFERG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8 10

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

FERG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.39.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of FERG is on the same level as its industry peers.
FERG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.24, the valuation of FERG can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as FERG.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.66, FERG is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.39
Fwd PE 16.24
FERG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFERG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

FERG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. FERG is more expensive than 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, FERG is valued a bit more expensive than 63.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26783.78
EV/EBITDA 12143.18
FERG Per share dataFERG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FERG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.26
EPS Next 2Y5.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FERG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.89%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.98, FERG pays a better dividend. On top of this FERG pays more dividend than 82.98% of the companies listed in the same industry.
FERG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.89%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of FERG grows each year by 14.98%, which is quite nice.
FERG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.98%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
FERG Yearly Dividends per shareFERG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

37.49% of the earnings are spent on dividend by FERG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of FERG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP37.49%
EPS Next 2Y5.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
FERG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFERG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500K 1M 1.5M 2M
FERG Dividend Payout.FERG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FERG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

FERGUSON ENTERPRISES INC

NYSE:FERG (3/3/2025, 1:58:57 PM)

174.54

-2.96 (-1.67%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Earnings (Last)12-10 2024-12-10/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-11 2025-03-11
Inst Owners91.55%
Inst Owner Change15.93%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner Change10.1%
Market Cap34.90B
Analysts80.83
Price Target219.14 (25.55%)
Short Float %1.38%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.89%
Yearly Dividend3.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.98%
DP37.49%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.04%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.26%
Max EPS beat(2)2.17%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.26%
Max EPS beat(4)2.17%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.72%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.69%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.68%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.81%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.57%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14.07%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.78%
PT rev (3m)-5.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.39
Fwd PE 16.24
P/S 1175.1
P/FCF 26783.78
P/OCF 21010.99
P/B 6171.4
P/tB 13568.94
EV/EBITDA 12143.18
EPS(TTM)9.49
EY5.44%
EPS(NY)10.75
Fwd EY6.16%
FCF(TTM)0.01
FCFY0%
OCF(TTM)0.01
OCFY0%
SpS0.15
BVpS0.03
TBVpS0.01
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.26
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10%
ROE 29.81%
ROCE 23.19%
ROIC 17.05%
ROICexc 18.02%
ROICexgc 25.5%
OM 8.68%
PM (TTM) 5.68%
GM 30.51%
FCFM 4.39%
ROA(3y)11.94%
ROA(5y)10.74%
ROE(3y)37.96%
ROE(5y)33.06%
ROIC(3y)19.52%
ROIC(5y)17.16%
ROICexc(3y)20.83%
ROICexc(5y)19.21%
ROICexgc(3y)29.84%
ROICexgc(5y)27.75%
ROCE(3y)26.54%
ROCE(5y)23.43%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.31%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.25%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.09%
OM growth 3Y1.51%
OM growth 5Y5.66%
PM growth 3Y-3.22%
PM growth 5Y3.07%
GM growth 3Y-0.08%
GM growth 5Y0.8%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF 3.07
Debt/EBITDA 1.18
Cap/Depr 103.77%
Cap/Sales 1.21%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 56.83%
Profit Quality 77.28%
Current Ratio 1.68
Quick Ratio 0.91
Altman-Z 1903.83
F-Score5
WACC10.79%
ROIC/WACC1.58
Cap/Depr(3y)114.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.25%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.25%
Profit Quality(3y)82.6%
Profit Quality(5y)91.33%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-0.42%
EPS 3Y12.31%
EPS 5Y14.56%
EPS Q2Q%-7.55%
EPS Next Y-0.54%
EPS Next 2Y5.31%
EPS Next 3Y7.29%
EPS Next 5Y8.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.64%
Revenue growth 3Y9.15%
Revenue growth 5Y6.13%
Sales Q2Q%0.83%
Revenue Next Year1.9%
Revenue Next 2Y3.83%
Revenue Next 3Y4.83%
Revenue Next 5Y7.54%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.23%
EBIT growth 3Y10.79%
EBIT growth 5Y12.13%
EBIT Next Year7.73%
EBIT Next 3Y8.6%
EBIT Next 5Y8.15%
FCF growth 1Y-1.73%
FCF growth 3Y9.57%
FCF growth 5Y11.47%
OCF growth 1Y0.06%
OCF growth 3Y10.66%
OCF growth 5Y7.74%