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FERROVIAL SE (FER) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:FER - Nasdaq - NL0015001FS8 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

44.39  -0.85 (-1.88%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to FER. FER was compared to 49 industry peers in the Construction & Engineering industry. While FER is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. FER has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FER was profitable.
In the past year FER had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years FER 4 years were profitable.
FER had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
FER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

FER has a Return On Assets of 1.71%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: FER outperforms 45.65% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.10%, FER is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.71%, FER is not doing good in the industry: 60.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for FER is significantly below the industry average of 11.92%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.71%) for FER is above the 3 year average (2.06%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 12.1%
ROIC 2.71%
ROA(3y)2.4%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)15.29%
ROE(5y)7.64%
ROIC(3y)2.06%
ROIC(5y)N/A
FER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

FER's Profit Margin of 5.34% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. FER outperforms 76.09% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of FER (6.93%) is better than 67.39% of its industry peers.
FER's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of FER (42.81%) is better than 93.48% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FER has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.93%
PM (TTM) 5.34%
GM 42.81%
OM growth 3Y37.8%
OM growth 5Y2.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.06%
GM growth 5Y2.82%
FER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FER is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for FER has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
FER has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
FER has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
FER Yearly Shares OutstandingFER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M
FER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.22, we must say that FER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.22, FER is doing worse than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FER is 12.20, which is on the high side as it means it would take FER, 12.20 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
FER has a Debt to FCF ratio of 12.20. This is in the lower half of the industry: FER underperforms 63.04% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.00 is on the high side and indicates that FER has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of FER (3.00) is worse than 84.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3
Debt/FCF 12.2
Altman-Z 1.22
ROIC/WACC0.46
WACC5.91%
FER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

FER has a Current Ratio of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that FER is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
FER has a worse Current ratio (0.93) than 80.43% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that FER may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
FER's Quick ratio of 0.86 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FER is outperformed by 80.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.93
Quick Ratio 0.86
FER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FER shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 22.70%, which is quite impressive.
FER shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.65% yearly.
The Revenue for FER has decreased by -52.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
FER shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -16.35% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.7%
EPS 3Y3.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-52.11%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.35%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.16%

3.2 Future

FER is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -13.76% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, FER will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -9.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-55.78%
EPS Next 2Y-18.72%
EPS Next 3Y-43.08%
EPS Next 5Y-13.76%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-30.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-19.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-9.43%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
FER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
FER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 80.71 indicates a quite expensive valuation of FER.
65.22% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than FER, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
FER's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 121.17 indicates a quite expensive valuation of FER.
67.39% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than FER, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
FER is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 80.71
Fwd PE 121.17
FER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, FER is valued a bit more expensive than 71.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as FER.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.66
EV/EBITDA 40.84
FER Per share dataFER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FER has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as FER's earnings are expected to decrease with -43.08% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-18.72%
EPS Next 3Y-43.08%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FER has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.92%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.77, FER pays a better dividend. On top of this FER pays more dividend than 97.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, FER pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.92%

5.2 History

The dividend of FER decreases each year by -9.43%.
FER has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.43%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
FER Yearly Dividends per shareFER Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

FER pays out 40.44% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
FER's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP40.44%
EPS Next 2Y-18.72%
EPS Next 3Y-43.08%
FER Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendFER Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B
FER Dividend Payout.FER Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.FER Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

FERROVIAL SE

NASDAQ:FER (2/21/2025, 8:17:41 PM)

44.39

-0.85 (-1.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryConstruction & Engineering
Earnings (Last)10-29 2024-10-29
Earnings (Next)02-27 2025-02-27
Inst Owners35.66%
Inst Owner Change11.05%
Ins Owners33.85%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap32.39B
Analysts75.38
Price Target45.78 (3.13%)
Short Float %0.21%
Short Ratio14.68
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.92%
Yearly Dividend0.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.43%
DP40.44%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.64%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.65%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)4.03%
PT rev (3m)6.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)10.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 80.71
Fwd PE 121.17
P/S 3.64
P/FCF 28.66
P/OCF 26.42
P/B 8.25
P/tB 9.88
EV/EBITDA 40.84
EPS(TTM)0.55
EY1.24%
EPS(NY)0.37
Fwd EY0.83%
FCF(TTM)1.55
FCFY3.49%
OCF(TTM)1.68
OCFY3.79%
SpS12.19
BVpS5.38
TBVpS4.49
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.71%
ROE 12.1%
ROCE 2.97%
ROIC 2.71%
ROICexc 3.32%
ROICexgc 3.45%
OM 6.93%
PM (TTM) 5.34%
GM 42.81%
FCFM 12.71%
ROA(3y)2.4%
ROA(5y)1.28%
ROE(3y)15.29%
ROE(5y)7.64%
ROIC(3y)2.06%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.76%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)2.88%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)2.26%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y20.78%
ROICexcg growth 5Y3.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y20.82%
ROICexc growth 5Y3.88%
OM growth 3Y37.8%
OM growth 5Y2.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y6.06%
GM growth 5Y2.82%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3
Debt/FCF 12.2
Debt/EBITDA 11.21
Cap/Depr 22.01%
Cap/Sales 1.08%
Interest Coverage 1.3
Cash Conversion 116.47%
Profit Quality 237.8%
Current Ratio 0.93
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z 1.22
F-Score8
WACC5.91%
ROIC/WACC0.46
Cap/Depr(3y)33.7%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.35%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.83%
Profit Quality(3y)254.01%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)22.7%
EPS 3Y3.65%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y-55.78%
EPS Next 2Y-18.72%
EPS Next 3Y-43.08%
EPS Next 5Y-13.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-52.11%
Revenue growth 3Y-16.35%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.16%
Revenue Next Year0.71%
Revenue Next 2Y-30.82%
Revenue Next 3Y-19.97%
Revenue Next 5Y-9.43%
EBIT growth 1Y37.53%
EBIT growth 3Y50.52%
EBIT growth 5Y10.63%
EBIT Next Year125.62%
EBIT Next 3Y39.78%
EBIT Next 5Y30.76%
FCF growth 1Y114.68%
FCF growth 3Y4.73%
FCF growth 5Y47.45%
OCF growth 1Y91.21%
OCF growth 3Y3.42%
OCF growth 5Y28.85%