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FINCANTIERI SPA (FCT.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:FCT - Borsa Italiana Milan - IT0005599938 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

7.562  -0.01 (-0.16%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, FCT scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. FCT was compared to 107 industry peers in the Machinery industry. FCT has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. FCT has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year FCT has reported negative net income.
In the past year FCT had a positive cash flow from operations.
FCT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years FCT reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
FCT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFCT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

FCT's Return On Assets of -0.60% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FCT is outperformed by 68.32% of its industry peers.
FCT has a worse Return On Equity (-11.50%) than 76.24% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.85%, FCT is doing worse than 62.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.6%
ROE -11.5%
ROIC 3.85%
ROA(3y)-1.3%
ROA(5y)-1.72%
ROE(3y)-20.76%
ROE(5y)-21.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FCT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFCT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50

1.3 Margins

FCT has a Operating Margin of 2.17%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FCT underperforms 73.27% of its industry peers.
FCT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 22.86%, FCT is not doing good in the industry: 80.20% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
FCT's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.17%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-14.89%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.89%
GM growth 5Y-2.61%
FCT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFCT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

FCT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
FCT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
FCT has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FCT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
FCT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingFCT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B
FCT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFCT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.93, we must say that FCT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
FCT's Altman-Z score of 0.93 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FCT is outperformed by 70.30% of its industry peers.
FCT has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.89. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as FCT would need 6.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
FCT's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. FCT outperforms 54.46% of its industry peers.
FCT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.88. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of FCT (4.88) is worse than 95.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.88
Debt/FCF 6.89
Altman-Z 0.93
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC6.87%
FCT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFCT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.87 indicates that FCT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of FCT (0.87) is worse than 95.05% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that FCT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of FCT (0.74) is worse than 70.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.74
FCT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFCT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

FCT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 82.88%, which is quite impressive.
FCT shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.26%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.92% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.88%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1105%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.26%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.92%
Sales Q2Q%0.34%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 65.42% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
FCT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.33% yearly.
EPS Next Y176.74%
EPS Next 2Y115.68%
EPS Next 3Y80.87%
EPS Next 5Y65.42%
Revenue Next Year7.37%
Revenue Next 2Y8.77%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
FCT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFCT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
FCT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFCT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.6

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FCT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
FCT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.01.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, FCT is valued a bit more expensive than 73.27% of the companies in the same industry.
FCT is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 92.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 26.01
FCT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFCT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as FCT.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, FCT is valued cheaper than 84.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.24
EV/EBITDA 9.93
FCT.MI Per share dataFCT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FCT's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as FCT's earnings are expected to grow with 80.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y115.68%
EPS Next 3Y80.87%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for FCT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FINCANTIERI SPA

BIT:FCT (2/5/2025, 5:35:15 PM)

7.562

-0.01 (-0.16%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)11-14 2024-11-14
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners4.3%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.44B
Analysts71.67
Price Target6.45 (-14.71%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)5.63%
PT rev (3m)14.47%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.13%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 26.01
P/S 0.32
P/FCF 6.24
P/OCF 3.67
P/B 5.32
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.93
EPS(TTM)-0.31
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.29
Fwd EY3.84%
FCF(TTM)1.21
FCFY16.04%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY27.27%
SpS23.69
BVpS1.42
TBVpS-0.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.6%
ROE -11.5%
ROCE 6.42%
ROIC 3.85%
ROICexc 4.45%
ROICexgc 5.6%
OM 2.17%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.86%
FCFM 5.12%
ROA(3y)-1.3%
ROA(5y)-1.72%
ROE(3y)-20.76%
ROE(5y)-21.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-11.7%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.12%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-14.89%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.89%
GM growth 5Y-2.61%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.88
Debt/FCF 6.89
Debt/EBITDA 5.48
Cap/Depr 112.55%
Cap/Sales 3.59%
Interest Coverage 0.68
Cash Conversion 162.56%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.93
F-Score5
WACC6.87%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)137.49%
Cap/Depr(5y)150.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.88%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1105%
EPS Next Y176.74%
EPS Next 2Y115.68%
EPS Next 3Y80.87%
EPS Next 5Y65.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.26%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.92%
Sales Q2Q%0.34%
Revenue Next Year7.37%
Revenue Next 2Y8.77%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y735.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.99%
EBIT Next Year248.7%
EBIT Next 3Y71.49%
EBIT Next 5Y38.91%
FCF growth 1Y4164.88%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y111.19%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y72.51%