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FINCANTIERI SPA (FCT.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:FCT - Euronext Milan - IT0005599938 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

9.594  -0.38 (-3.79%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to FCT. FCT was compared to 105 industry peers in the Machinery industry. FCT may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. FCT is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

FCT had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year FCT had a positive cash flow from operations.
FCT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In multiple years FCT reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
FCT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFFCT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of FCT (-0.60%) is worse than 66.35% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -11.50%, FCT is doing worse than 74.04% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.85%, FCT is not doing good in the industry: 61.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.6%
ROE -11.5%
ROIC 3.85%
ROA(3y)-1.3%
ROA(5y)-1.72%
ROE(3y)-20.76%
ROE(5y)-21.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
FCT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICFCT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50

1.3 Margins

FCT has a Operating Margin of 2.17%. This is in the lower half of the industry: FCT underperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
FCT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
FCT's Gross Margin of 22.86% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. FCT is outperformed by 74.04% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of FCT has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.17%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.86%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-14.89%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.89%
GM growth 5Y-2.61%
FCT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsFCT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so FCT is destroying value.
FCT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for FCT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for FCT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
FCT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingFCT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B
FCT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsFCT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

FCT has an Altman-Z score of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that FCT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
FCT has a worse Altman-Z score (0.98) than 65.38% of its industry peers.
FCT has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.89. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as FCT would need 6.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of FCT (6.89) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
FCT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.88. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of FCT (4.88) is worse than 91.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.88
Debt/FCF 6.89
Altman-Z 0.98
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC7.13%
FCT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFFCT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.87 indicates that FCT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.87, FCT is doing worse than 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
FCT has a Quick Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that FCT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of FCT (0.74) is worse than 68.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.74
FCT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesFCT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 82.88% over the past year.
Looking at the last year, FCT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.26% in the last year.
FCT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.92% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.88%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1105.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.26%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.92%
Sales Q2Q%0.34%

3.2 Future

FCT is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 65.42% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y192%
EPS Next 2Y118.33%
EPS Next 3Y83.19%
EPS Next 5Y65.42%
Revenue Next Year7.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.83%
Revenue Next 3Y8.01%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
FCT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesFCT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
FCT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesFCT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.2 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for FCT. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 31.63, which means the current valuation is very expensive for FCT.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, FCT is valued a bit more expensive than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
FCT's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 31.63
FCT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsFCT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

61.54% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than FCT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
FCT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. FCT is cheaper than 80.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.92
EV/EBITDA 11.53
FCT.MI Per share dataFCT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

FCT's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
FCT's earnings are expected to grow with 83.19% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y118.33%
EPS Next 3Y83.19%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

FCT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FINCANTIERI SPA

BIT:FCT (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

9.594

-0.38 (-3.79%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)11-14 2024-11-14
Earnings (Next)03-24 2025-03-24/amc
Inst Owners5.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.10B
Analysts73.33
Price Target8.37 (-12.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)29.63%
PT rev (3m)36.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)19.89%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.34%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 31.63
P/S 0.41
P/FCF 7.92
P/OCF 4.66
P/B 6.75
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.53
EPS(TTM)-0.31
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.3
Fwd EY3.16%
FCF(TTM)1.21
FCFY12.63%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY21.48%
SpS23.68
BVpS1.42
TBVpS-0.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.6%
ROE -11.5%
ROCE 6.42%
ROIC 3.85%
ROICexc 4.45%
ROICexgc 5.6%
OM 2.17%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 22.86%
FCFM 5.12%
ROA(3y)-1.3%
ROA(5y)-1.72%
ROE(3y)-20.76%
ROE(5y)-21.54%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-11.7%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.12%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-14.89%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.89%
GM growth 5Y-2.61%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.88
Debt/FCF 6.89
Debt/EBITDA 5.48
Cap/Depr 112.55%
Cap/Sales 3.59%
Interest Coverage 0.68
Cash Conversion 162.56%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.87
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.98
F-Score5
WACC7.13%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)137.49%
Cap/Depr(5y)150.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.88%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-1105.83%
EPS Next Y192%
EPS Next 2Y118.33%
EPS Next 3Y83.19%
EPS Next 5Y65.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.26%
Revenue growth 3Y9.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.92%
Sales Q2Q%0.34%
Revenue Next Year7.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.83%
Revenue Next 3Y8.01%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1Y735.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.99%
EBIT Next Year248.7%
EBIT Next 3Y71.49%
EBIT Next 5Y38.91%
FCF growth 1Y4164.88%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y111.19%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y72.51%