FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 41 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has an average financial health and profitability rating. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F. F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
F's Return On Assets of 2.06% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of F (13.11%) is better than 90.24% of its industry peers.
F's Return On Invested Capital of 2.17% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 70.73% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is significantly below the industry average of 9.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 2.17% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.18%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 2.82%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.61% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of F (8.38%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.18% | ||
| GM | 8.38% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F's Altman-Z score of 1.04 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 63.41% of its industry peers.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 23.52. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 23.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (23.52) than 85.37% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.71. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.71, F is doing worse than 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC6.61%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.16. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F's Current ratio of 1.16 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 43.90% of its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of F (1.02) is better than 60.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.36%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.00% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.00% yearly.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y-26.63%
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
EPS Next 5Y10%
Revenue Next Year-2.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.11%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
F is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 5.23.
F's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.13 indicates a rather cheap valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.08, F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 82.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaper than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.56%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.23, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.56% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.57, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.56% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
F has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 53.04% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP53.04%
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
9.63
+0.23 (+2.45%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners59.16%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change7.93%
Market Cap38.29B
Analysts55.76
Price Target10.25 (6.44%)
Short Float %3.73%
Short Ratio1.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP53.04%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.5%
Min EPS beat(2)2.21%
Max EPS beat(2)14.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)14.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)17.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)66.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.66%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.18%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5%
PT rev (1m)-3.13%
PT rev (3m)-12.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)38.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-103.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-12.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.5%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.13 | ||
| P/S | 0.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.48 | ||
| P/B | 0.85 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.78 |
EPS(TTM)1.84
EY19.11%
EPS(NY)1.35
Fwd EY14.02%
FCF(TTM)1.69
FCFY17.6%
OCF(TTM)3.88
OCFY40.28%
SpS46.52
BVpS11.27
TBVpS11.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 2.93% | ||
| ROIC | 2.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.7% | ||
| OM | 2.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.18% | ||
| GM | 8.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 9.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.64 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 120.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 114.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
F-Score7
WACC6.61%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
EPS Next Y-26.63%
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
EPS Next 5Y10%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
Revenue Next Year-2.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.11%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.38%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year19.81%
EBIT Next 3Y13.48%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y0.85%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y3.39%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%