FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.21 USD
+0.09 (+0.69%)
13.21 USD
0 (0%)
F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. There are concerns on the financial health of F while its profitability can be described as average. F scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
F has a better Return On Assets (1.56%) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Equity (9.93%) than 91.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.24%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.40%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.91%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a Gross Margin (7.53%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has less shares outstanding
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for F is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 13.61, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 13.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (13.61) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.33, F is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.17
WACC7.2%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.12, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F's Quick ratio of 0.98 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -22.41% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.75% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.66% on average per year.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y-36.03%
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue Next Year0.04%
Revenue Next 2Y0.02%
Revenue Next 3Y0.21%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.79 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
F's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.83. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.39, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 86.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (32.68), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.22% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.37% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.59%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.34, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.39, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.59% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
13.21
+0.09 (+0.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.42%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-1.82%
Market Cap52.57B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts55.48
Price Target12.11 (-8.33%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio1.91
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.59% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)10.58%
PT rev (3m)15.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-49.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-47.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.29%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.79 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.39 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.57 | ||
| P/B | 1.11 | ||
| P/tB | 1.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.13 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.22%
EPS(NY)1.41
Fwd EY10.65%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.63%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY38.85%
SpS47.64
BVpS11.91
TBVpS11.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number19.02
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.24% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.51% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 14.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.2%
ROIC/WACC0.17
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-36.03%
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.04%
Revenue Next 2Y0.02%
Revenue Next 3Y0.21%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.79 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.11.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.