FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
11.92 USD
+0.18 (+1.53%)
11.93 USD
+0.01 (+0.08%)
F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. F is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.08%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.38% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 6.99%, F belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of F (1.22%) is better than 75.68% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for F is below the industry average of 5.68%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 1.70% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 78.38% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a better Operating Margin (1.59%) than 75.68% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin of 7.19%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 43.24% of its industry peers.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), F is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for F is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.98, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 15.57, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 15.57 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (15.57) than 81.08% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.64. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.64, F is not doing good in the industry: 64.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC6.96%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.10 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.10, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.95% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.95 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -15.24%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.72% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.66% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.85% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-35.41%
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue Next Year-0.12%
Revenue Next 2Y0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y1.03%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.58, the valuation of F can be described as reasonable.
F's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.40. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.37 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
86.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
F's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.94.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 81.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaper than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.86 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as F's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.99% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.92
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.22%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.53. F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.36.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.22% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
94.76% of the earnings are spent on dividend by F. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP94.76%
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
11.92
+0.18 (+1.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-1.96%
Market Cap47.44B
Analysts55.48
Price Target11.14 (-6.54%)
Short Float %4.52%
Short Ratio2.97
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.22% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP94.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)348.35%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)178.43%
Min EPS beat(4)2.21%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.35%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)59.26%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.52%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)1.99%
PT rev (3m)8.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.61%
EPS NY rev (3m)10.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.77%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.14%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.37 | ||
| P/S | 0.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.05 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.86 |
EPS(TTM)1.39
EY11.66%
EPS(NY)1.42
Fwd EY11.95%
FCF(TTM)2.55
FCFY21.35%
OCF(TTM)4.65
OCFY39.05%
SpS46.55
BVpS11.32
TBVpS11.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.92
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROCE | 1.65% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.52% | ||
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% | ||
| FCFM | 5.47% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 11.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 177.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 321.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score5
WACC6.96%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
EPS Next Y-35.41%
EPS Next 2Y-12.01%
EPS Next 3Y-3.99%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
Revenue Next Year-0.12%
Revenue Next 2Y0.08%
Revenue Next 3Y1.03%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y-26.33%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y91.17%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y44.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%