FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated F against 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of F get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years F had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.76%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.97% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a better Return On Equity (11.24%) than 86.49% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.56%) than 70.27% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for F is below the industry average of 6.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.76% | ||
| ROE | 11.24% | ||
| ROIC | 1.56% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a better Operating Margin (2.36%) than 72.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin (8.01%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | 8.01% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
F has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.03, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.76% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 16.68. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 16.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 16.68, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.38 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of F (3.38) is worse than 67.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.01%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.13. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.13, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.24% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.97, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -21.16% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.03% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.16%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-71.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%-6.19%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.92% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-41.79%
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue Next Year-4.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.07%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.93 indicates a rather cheap valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.45, F is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.70, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 83.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.90. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.7 |
4.2 Price Multiples
F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 86.49% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.37% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.85
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.21%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.82. F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.21% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 59.55% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP59.55%
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
11.81
+0.04 (+0.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.21%
Inst Owner Change6.09%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change5%
Market Cap46.96B
Analysts54.55
Price Target10.29 (-12.87%)
Short Float %3.87%
Short Ratio1.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.21% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP59.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)350.9%
Min EPS beat(2)14.79%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)167.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)101.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)74.63%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)89.35%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.95%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.51%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.39%
PT rev (1m)7.07%
PT rev (3m)-2.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.63%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.43%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.7 | ||
| P/S | 0.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.65 | ||
| P/B | 1.05 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.65 |
EPS(TTM)1.49
EY12.62%
EPS(NY)1.36
Fwd EY11.5%
FCF(TTM)2.34
FCFY19.82%
OCF(TTM)4.46
OCFY37.73%
SpS45.99
BVpS11.22
TBVpS11.22
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.85
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.76% | ||
| ROE | 11.24% | ||
| ROCE | 2.45% | ||
| ROIC | 1.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.84% | ||
| OM | 2.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.74% | ||
| GM | 8.01% | ||
| FCFM | 5.09% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.38 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.68 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 12.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.6% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.6% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 149.55% | ||
| Profit Quality | 185.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.13 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.03 |
F-Score5
WACC7.01%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.16%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-71.43%
EPS Next Y-41.79%
EPS Next 2Y-14.1%
EPS Next 3Y-5.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.03%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%-6.19%
Revenue Next Year-4.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.07%
Revenue Next 5Y1.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.62%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year5.1%
EBIT Next 3Y10.77%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y168.97%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y65.01%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%