FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.16 USD
-0.12 (-0.9%)
13.15 USD
-0.01 (-0.08%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
F's Return On Assets of 1.56% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 9.93%, F belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.45%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.83%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.48%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Operating Margin of 1.91%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a Gross Margin (7.53%) which is in line with its industry peers.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), F is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 13.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a Debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
F's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.59 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. F is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.17%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio of 1.12. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.75% in the last year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.75, the valuation of F can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.11, F is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.75, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.21), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of F indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.55%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.30, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.55% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
13.16
-0.12 (-0.9%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change2.96%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-2.37%
Market Cap52.44B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target12.27 (-6.76%)
Short Float %4.54%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.55% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)1.34%
PT rev (3m)12.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-52.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-76.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)-8.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.82%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.35%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.75 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.57 | ||
| P/B | 1.11 | ||
| P/tB | 1.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.3 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.26%
EPS(NY)1.5
Fwd EY11.43%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.69%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY38.95%
SpS47.58
BVpS11.89
TBVpS11.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number19.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.17%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.11.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.