FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.19 USD
-0.09 (-0.68%)
13.2103 USD
+0.02 (+0.15%)
Taking everything into account, F scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. F was compared to 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F. F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.56%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Return On Equity of 9.93%. This is amongst the best in the industry. F outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.45%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.83%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 1.91%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 7.53%, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 13.61, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 13.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
F's Debt to FCF ratio of 13.61 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.59) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.2%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.12. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of F (1.12) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.29% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.75% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.77, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 88.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.89.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.77 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.59. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.77 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued a bit cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.52%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.32, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.52% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
63.45% of the earnings are spent on dividend by F. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
13.19
-0.09 (-0.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change2.66%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-6%
Market Cap52.49B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target12.11 (-8.19%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio1.91
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.52% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)8.76%
PT rev (3m)11.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-76.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.77 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.41 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.57 | ||
| P/B | 1.11 | ||
| P/tB | 1.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.26 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.24%
EPS(NY)1.5
Fwd EY11.41%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.66%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY38.91%
SpS47.64
BVpS11.91
TBVpS11.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number19.02
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.2%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.77 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.11.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.