FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 41 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. F scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years F had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
F has a better Return On Assets (2.06%) than 73.17% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Equity (13.11%) than 90.24% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 2.17%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for F is significantly below the industry average of 9.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 2.17% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of F (3.18%) is better than 78.05% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of F (2.82%) is better than 75.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin (8.38%) which is in line with its industry peers.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.18% | ||
| GM | 8.38% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
F has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.04, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.04, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 23.52. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 23.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a Debt to FCF ratio of 23.52. This is amongst the best in the industry. F outperforms 85.37% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.71. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.71 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. F is outperformed by 68.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC6.57%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.16 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio (1.16) which is in line with its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a better Quick ratio (1.02) than 60.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased by -9.36% in the last year.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.29% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.00% in the past year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.00% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.57% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-26.63%
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
EPS Next 5Y10%
Revenue Next Year-2.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.11%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 5.11 indicates a rather cheap valuation of F.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 95.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.96, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.03, F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
82.93% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.56% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.56%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 5.23. F pays more dividend than 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.57, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.56% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
F has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 53.04% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP53.04%
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
9.4
-0.05 (-0.53%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners59.16%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change7.93%
Market Cap37.38B
Analysts55.76
Price Target10.25 (9.04%)
Short Float %3.73%
Short Ratio1.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.56% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP53.04%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.5%
Min EPS beat(2)2.21%
Max EPS beat(2)14.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)14.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)17.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)66.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.66%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.18%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5%
PT rev (1m)-3.13%
PT rev (3m)-12.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)38.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-103.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-21.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-12.27%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.5%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.96 | ||
| P/S | 0.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.55 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.42 | ||
| P/B | 0.83 | ||
| P/tB | 0.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.72 |
EPS(TTM)1.84
EY19.57%
EPS(NY)1.35
Fwd EY14.36%
FCF(TTM)1.69
FCFY18.03%
OCF(TTM)3.88
OCFY41.26%
SpS46.52
BVpS11.27
TBVpS11.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 2.93% | ||
| ROIC | 2.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.7% | ||
| OM | 2.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.18% | ||
| GM | 8.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 9.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.64 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 120.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 114.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
F-Score7
WACC6.57%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
EPS Next Y-26.63%
EPS Next 2Y-5.35%
EPS Next 3Y-1.05%
EPS Next 5Y10%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
Revenue Next Year-2.46%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.38%
Revenue Next 3Y0.11%
Revenue Next 5Y0.57%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.38%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year19.81%
EBIT Next 3Y13.48%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y0.85%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y3.39%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%