FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
11.66 USD
+0.05 (+0.43%)
11.751 USD
+0.09 (+0.78%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 37 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of F get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. F scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
F has a better Return On Assets (1.08%) than 78.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.99%, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.22%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.63%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.70%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.38% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F's Operating Margin of 1.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin (7.19%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), F is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.98, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.16% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.57. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 15.57 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (15.57) than 83.78% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.64 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.64, F is not doing good in the industry: 64.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.18
WACC6.92%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F's Current ratio of 1.10 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 43.24% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.95 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio of 0.95. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 59.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -15.24%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 2.72% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.66% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.85% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-35.8%
EPS Next 2Y-12.08%
EPS Next 3Y-4.27%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue Next Year-0.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.39%
Revenue Next 3Y0.56%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.39 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 97.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.20, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
89.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
F's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.2 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued cheaper than 83.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 97.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.27% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.9
EPS Next 2Y-12.08%
EPS Next 3Y-4.27%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.10%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.27. F pays more dividend than 97.30% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.1% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 94.76% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP94.76%
EPS Next 2Y-12.08%
EPS Next 3Y-4.27%
11.66
+0.05 (+0.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.29%
Inst Owner Change2.09%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-1.96%
Market Cap46.41B
Analysts54.38
Price Target10.95 (-6.09%)
Short Float %4.22%
Short Ratio2.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.1% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP94.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)348.35%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)687.01%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)178.43%
Min EPS beat(4)2.21%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)98.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)71.35%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)59.26%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.57%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.52%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.81%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)1.26%
PT rev (3m)7.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.77%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.2 | ||
| P/S | 0.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.5 | ||
| P/B | 1.03 | ||
| P/tB | 1.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.83 |
EPS(TTM)1.39
EY11.92%
EPS(NY)1.42
Fwd EY12.2%
FCF(TTM)2.55
FCFY21.83%
OCF(TTM)4.65
OCFY39.92%
SpS46.55
BVpS11.32
TBVpS11.32
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.9
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.08% | ||
| ROE | 6.99% | ||
| ROCE | 1.65% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.52% | ||
| OM | 1.59% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.7% | ||
| GM | 7.19% | ||
| FCFM | 5.47% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.64 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.57 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 11.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.53% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 177.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 321.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score5
WACC6.92%
ROIC/WACC0.18
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.24%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-21.28%
EPS Next Y-35.8%
EPS Next 2Y-12.08%
EPS Next 3Y-4.27%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.72%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%4.76%
Revenue Next Year-0.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.39%
Revenue Next 3Y0.56%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y-26.33%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year5.54%
EBIT Next 3Y9.94%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y91.17%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y44.45%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%