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FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

10.21  +0.13 (+1.29%)

Premarket: 10.24 +0.03 (+0.29%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall F gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated F against 42 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. F scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
F Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFF Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

F has a Return On Assets of 1.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 72.50% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Equity (7.96%) than 77.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.51%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.34%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.39%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.23%
ROE 7.96%
ROIC 1.51%
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)1.47%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)7.7%
ROIC(3y)2.34%
ROIC(5y)N/A
F Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICF Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.93%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.50% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 2.05%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a worse Gross Margin (7.68%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.05%
PM (TTM) 1.93%
GM 7.68%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y9.16%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.47%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsF Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 10 15

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
F has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, F has more shares outstanding
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
F Yearly Shares OutstandingF Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B
F Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsF Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.01) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 24.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
F's Debt to FCF ratio of 24.55 is amongst the best of the industry. F outperforms 82.50% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.74. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.74, F is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.74
Debt/FCF 24.55
Altman-Z 1.01
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC6.59%
F Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFF Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.3 Liquidity

F has a Current Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a worse Current ratio (1.15) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.98
F Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesF Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -22.67% in the last year.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.49% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.89% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.90% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.67%
EPS 3Y70.44%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%25.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.89%
Revenue growth 3Y11.49%
Revenue growth 5Y1.9%
Sales Q2Q%4.6%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.07% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.92% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.53%
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y2.92%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
F Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesF Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50B 100B 150B
F Yearly EPS VS EstimatesF Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 5.87 indicates a rather cheap valuation of F.
95.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.28. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.92 indicates a rather cheap valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 91.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.87
Fwd PE 5.92
F Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsF Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of F indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 77.50% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.33
EV/EBITDA 11.38
F Per share dataF EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as F's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.62
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.91%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.83. F pays more dividend than 97.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, F pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.91%

5.2 History

The dividend of F is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.00%!
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
F has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
F Yearly Dividends per shareF Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

88.50% of the earnings are spent on dividend by F. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP88.5%
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
F Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendF Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B
F Dividend Payout.F Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.F Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

FORD MOTOR CO

NYSE:F (1/29/2025, 8:21:59 PM)

Premarket: 10.24 +0.03 (+0.29%)

10.21

+0.13 (+1.29%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)10-28 2024-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-05 2025-02-05/amc
Inst Owners57.76%
Inst Owner Change-0.21%
Ins Owners0.25%
Ins Owner Change1.82%
Market Cap40.58B
Analysts64.38
Price Target11.74 (14.99%)
Short Float %2.95%
Short Ratio1.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.91%
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)11%
DP88.5%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(2)2.21%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)109.53%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.06%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)12.56%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)102.84%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.6%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.21%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.12%
PT rev (3m)-8.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.92%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.87
Fwd PE 5.92
P/S 0.22
P/FCF 6.33
P/OCF 2.73
P/B 0.92
P/tB 0.92
EV/EBITDA 11.38
EPS(TTM)1.74
EY17.04%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY16.89%
FCF(TTM)1.61
FCFY15.79%
OCF(TTM)3.75
OCFY36.69%
SpS45.98
BVpS11.15
TBVpS11.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.62
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.23%
ROE 7.96%
ROCE 2.1%
ROIC 1.51%
ROICexc 1.86%
ROICexgc 1.86%
OM 2.05%
PM (TTM) 1.93%
GM 7.68%
FCFM 3.51%
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)1.47%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)7.7%
ROIC(3y)2.34%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.11%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y9.16%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.47%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.74
Debt/FCF 24.55
Debt/EBITDA 10.67
Cap/Depr 110.89%
Cap/Sales 4.64%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 130.69%
Profit Quality 181.53%
Current Ratio 1.15
Quick Ratio 0.98
Altman-Z 1.01
F-Score4
WACC6.59%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)94.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.6%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.67%
EPS 3Y70.44%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%25.64%
EPS Next Y-10.53%
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.89%
Revenue growth 3Y11.49%
Revenue growth 5Y1.9%
Sales Q2Q%4.6%
Revenue Next Year3.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y2.92%
EBIT growth 1Y-48.47%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y11.23%
EBIT Next Year38.62%
EBIT Next 3Y13.86%
EBIT Next 5Y11.18%
FCF growth 1Y143.3%
FCF growth 3Y-28.82%
FCF growth 5Y-1.58%
OCF growth 1Y61.71%
OCF growth 3Y-14.97%
OCF growth 5Y-0.14%