FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.03 USD
-0.11 (-0.84%)
13.0298 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, F scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. F was compared to 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F. Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
F has a better Return On Assets (1.56%) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.93%, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.45%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is below the industry average of 5.86%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a better Operating Margin (1.91%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F's Gross Margin of 7.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, F has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F's Altman-Z score of 1.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 13.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 13.61, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of F (2.59) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.18%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio (1.12) which is in line with its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.29% yearly.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.75% in the last year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.27% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.41% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-41.52%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y-3.69%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year1.18%
Revenue Next 2Y0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y0.27%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.65 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.49, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.64, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.69. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.69% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y-3.69%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.57%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.24, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.57% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y-3.69%
13.03
-0.11 (-0.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.19%
Inst Owner Change3.09%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-2.64%
Market Cap51.92B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target12.62 (-3.15%)
Short Float %4.59%
Short Ratio1.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.57% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)4.21%
PT rev (3m)15.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-74.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.87%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.64 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.36 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.54 | ||
| P/B | 1.1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.21 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.36%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY11.57%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.91%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY39.34%
SpS47.58
BVpS11.89
TBVpS11.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
Graham Number19.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.18%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-41.52%
EPS Next 2Y-9.49%
EPS Next 3Y-3.69%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year1.18%
Revenue Next 2Y0.97%
Revenue Next 3Y0.27%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year8.29%
EBIT Next 3Y10.74%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.65 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.1.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.