FORD MOTOR CO (F)
US3453708600 - Common Stock
F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 42 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. F scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
F's Return On Assets of 1.23% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Equity (7.96%) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
F has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.51%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 69.05% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is significantly below the industry average of 9.90%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.23% | ||
| ROE | 7.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.51% |
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)1.47%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)7.7%
ROIC(3y)2.34%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F has a Profit Margin of 1.93%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
F has a Operating Margin of 2.05%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 69.05% of its industry peers.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 7.68%, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.93% | ||
| GM | 7.68% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y9.16%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.47%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), F is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has more shares outstanding
F has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.00, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F's Altman-Z score of 1.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 24.55, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 24.55 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (24.55) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.74. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.74 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. F is outperformed by 80.95% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.74 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1 |
ROIC/WACC0.23
WACC6.57%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.15. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of F (1.15) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.15. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -22.67% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.49% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.89% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.90% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.67%
EPS 3Y70.44%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%25.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.89%
Revenue growth 3Y11.49%
Revenue growth 5Y1.9%
Sales Q2Q%4.6%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.07% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.03% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.53%
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue Next Year4.1%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y1.37%
Revenue Next 5Y3.03%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 5.76, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.82, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.86), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued cheaper than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 95.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.32 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as F's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.79% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.96%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.84. F pays more dividend than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.96% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.00%!
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
F has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
88.50% of the earnings are spent on dividend by F. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP88.5%
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
FORD MOTOR CO
NYSE:F (12/27/2024, 8:17:12 PM)
After market: 10.03 0 (0%)10.03
-0.04 (-0.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners57.76%
Inst Owner Change-2.19%
Ins Owners0.25%
Ins Owner Change1.82%
Market Cap39.86B
Analysts66.88
Price Target11.74 (17.05%)
Short Float %2.42%
Short Ratio1.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.96% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)11%
DP88.5%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-15.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(2)2.21%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)23.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)109.53%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.06%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)12.56%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)102.84%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.6%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.21%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.12%
PT rev (3m)-8.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 5.82 | ||
| P/S | 0.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.68 | ||
| P/B | 0.9 | ||
| P/tB | 0.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.32 |
EPS(TTM)1.74
EY17.35%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY17.19%
FCF(TTM)1.61
FCFY16.07%
OCF(TTM)3.75
OCFY37.35%
SpS45.98
BVpS11.15
TBVpS11.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.61
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.23% | ||
| ROE | 7.96% | ||
| ROCE | 2.1% | ||
| ROIC | 1.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.86% | ||
| OM | 2.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.93% | ||
| GM | 7.68% | ||
| FCFM | 3.51% |
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)1.47%
ROE(3y)14.18%
ROE(5y)7.7%
ROIC(3y)2.34%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.11%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y10.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y9.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y9.16%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.47%
GM growth 3Y26.16%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.74 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.55 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 110.89% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.64% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 130.69% | ||
| Profit Quality | 181.53% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1 |
F-Score4
WACC6.57%
ROIC/WACC0.23
Cap/Depr(3y)94.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)85.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.53%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.6%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.67%
EPS 3Y70.44%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%25.64%
EPS Next Y-10.53%
EPS Next 2Y-7.84%
EPS Next 3Y-2.79%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.89%
Revenue growth 3Y11.49%
Revenue growth 5Y1.9%
Sales Q2Q%4.6%
Revenue Next Year4.1%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y1.37%
Revenue Next 5Y3.03%
EBIT growth 1Y-48.47%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y11.23%
EBIT Next Year35.1%
EBIT Next 3Y11.99%
EBIT Next 5Y11.18%
FCF growth 1Y143.3%
FCF growth 3Y-28.82%
FCF growth 5Y-1.58%
OCF growth 1Y61.71%
OCF growth 3Y-14.97%
OCF growth 5Y-0.14%