FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
12.41 USD
-0.49 (-3.8%)
12.43 USD
+0.02 (+0.16%)
Overall F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated F against 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years F always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
F has a Return On Assets of 1.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of F (9.93%) is better than 88.89% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.45%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is below the industry average of 5.83%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.48%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 1.91%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 7.53%, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
F has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: F outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 13.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 13.61, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of F (2.59) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.21
WACC7.07%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.12. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.12, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
Measured over the past years, F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.75%.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.27% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
F is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.19.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
F is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.25.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.08. F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued a bit cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.99
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.52%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.32, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.52% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
12.41
-0.49 (-3.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change2.66%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-6%
Market Cap49.39B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target12.11 (-2.42%)
Short Float %4.54%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.52% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)8.76%
PT rev (3m)11.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-76.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-78.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.87%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.25 | ||
| P/S | 0.26 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.42 | ||
| P/B | 1.04 | ||
| P/tB | 1.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.16 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.88%
EPS(NY)1.5
Fwd EY12.13%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY24.09%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY41.36%
SpS47.64
BVpS11.91
TBVpS11.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.99
Graham Number19.02
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.07%
ROIC/WACC0.21
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.19 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.04.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.