FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:F - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, F scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. F was compared to 40 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has an average financial health and profitability rating. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.06%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Return On Equity of 13.11% is amongst the best of the industry. F outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
F's Return On Invested Capital of 2.17% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is significantly below the industry average of 9.08%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 2.17% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.18%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 2.82%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 8.38%, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.11% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 2.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.18% | ||
| GM | 8.38% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), F is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.04) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 23.52. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 23.52 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F (23.52) is better than 81.58% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.71. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: F underperforms 76.32% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.52 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC6.58%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.16 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of F (1.16) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (1.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased by -9.36% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.29% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.00% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
3.2 Future
F is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.62% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-26.5%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
EPS Next 5Y11.62%
Revenue Next Year-2.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.79%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 5.19, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
89.47% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.98, F is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.06, the valuation of F can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 89.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.66.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
81.58% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 97.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.46%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.11, F pays a better dividend. On top of this F pays more dividend than 97.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
F has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 53.04% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of F is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP53.04%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
9.55
+0.26 (+2.8%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners59.16%
Inst Owner Change5.51%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change1.62%
Market Cap37.85B
Analysts55.63
Price Target10.75 (12.57%)
Short Float %3.03%
Short Ratio1.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.46% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP53.04%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.5%
Min EPS beat(2)2.21%
Max EPS beat(2)14.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)14.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)17.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)66.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.66%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.18%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)5%
PT rev (1m)-6.65%
PT rev (3m)-10.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-106.87%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-105.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-20.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.88%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.91%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.06 | ||
| P/S | 0.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.45 | ||
| P/B | 0.84 | ||
| P/tB | 0.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.74 |
EPS(TTM)1.84
EY19.27%
EPS(NY)1.35
Fwd EY14.16%
FCF(TTM)1.7
FCFY17.8%
OCF(TTM)3.89
OCFY40.75%
SpS46.67
BVpS11.31
TBVpS11.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.06% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 2.93% | ||
| ROIC | 2.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.7% | ||
| OM | 2.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.18% | ||
| GM | 8.38% | ||
| FCFM | 3.64% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.71 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 23.52 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 9.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 114.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.64 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 120.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 114.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.04 |
F-Score7
WACC6.58%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
EPS Next Y-26.5%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
EPS Next 5Y11.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
Revenue Next Year-2.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.38%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year39.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.03%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y0.85%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y3.39%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%