FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.45 USD
+0.15 (+1.13%)
13.4599 USD
+0.01 (+0.07%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. There are concerns on the financial health of F while its profitability can be described as average. F is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years F had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
F has a Return On Assets of 1.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.93%, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of F (1.45%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.83%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of F (2.48%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a Operating Margin of 1.91%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a Gross Margin (7.53%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for F is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 13.61, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 13.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 13.61, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.59 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. F is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.24%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.12, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F's Quick ratio of 0.98 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.29% yearly.
Looking at the last year, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.75% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.96, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaper than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.34, F is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.94, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
86.11% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
F's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.43.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of F indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
F's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.5 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.31% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.07
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.57%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.35. F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.57% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
13.45
+0.15 (+1.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.07%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-1.82%
Market Cap53.53B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target12.11 (-9.96%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio1.91
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.57% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)8.76%
PT rev (3m)11.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-77.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-77.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)-9.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.78%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.52%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.94 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.5 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.62 | ||
| P/B | 1.13 | ||
| P/tB | 1.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.36 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.04%
EPS(NY)1.5
Fwd EY11.19%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.23%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY38.16%
SpS47.64
BVpS11.91
TBVpS11.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.07
Graham Number19.02
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.24%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-41.46%
EPS Next 2Y-9.57%
EPS Next 3Y-4.31%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.66%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.15%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.96 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.13.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.