FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.12 USD
-0.11 (-0.83%)
13.13 USD
+0.01 (+0.08%)
F gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 35 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. F may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
F has a Return On Assets of 1.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.14% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Equity (9.93%) than 88.57% of its industry peers.
F has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.45%) than 74.29% of its industry peers.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is below the industry average of 5.86%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F has a Profit Margin of 2.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.14% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
F has a better Operating Margin (1.91%) than 74.29% of its industry peers.
F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F has a Gross Margin (7.53%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
F has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for F has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
F has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
F has an Altman-Z score of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 13.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 13.61, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.14% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59 is on the high side and indicates that F has dependencies on debt financing.
F has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (2.59) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.19%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.12. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of F (1.12) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a Quick ratio (0.98) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
F shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -22.41%.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.29% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.75% in the past year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-40.78%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue Next Year1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.72 indicates a reasonable valuation of F.
F's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 88.57% of the companies in the same industry.
F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
F is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.71.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, F is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.25 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.25% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.49%, F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.84. F pays more dividend than 97.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.49% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
13.12
-0.11 (-0.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.19%
Inst Owner Change3.09%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0.75%
Market Cap52.28B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts56.77
Price Target13.12 (0%)
Short Float %4.73%
Short Ratio2.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.49% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)6.92%
PT rev (3m)19.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)35.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-67.96%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.72 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.71 | ||
| P/S | 0.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.39 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.25 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.29%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY11.48%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.76%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY39.07%
SpS47.58
BVpS11.89
TBVpS11.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number19.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.19%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-40.78%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y2.41%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year7.96%
EBIT Next 3Y11.67%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
What is the valuation status of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for F stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.72 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.1.
How sustainable is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.