FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
13.06 USD
-0.18 (-1.36%)
13.0893 USD
+0.03 (+0.22%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 36 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While F is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. F scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. Finally F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year F was profitable.
F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
F had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.56%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.93%, F belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of F (1.24%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for F is below the industry average of 5.46%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.24% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F's Profit Margin of 2.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
F's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
F's Operating Margin of 1.91% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 7.53%, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so F is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, F has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, F has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, F has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.01, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
F has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.61. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as F would need 13.61 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 13.61, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
F's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.33 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. F is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
ROIC/WACC0.17
WACC7.17%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio (1.12) which is in line with its industry peers.
F has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that F is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.98, F is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.56% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -22.41% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.75%.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.66% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, F will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-36.03%
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue Next Year0.04%
Revenue Next 2Y0.02%
Revenue Next 3Y0.21%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 9.67, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
F's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 94.44% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.76.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 9.28, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.11% of the companies are valued more expensively.
F's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.63.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. F is cheaper than 86.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, F is valued cheaper than 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.17 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of F may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.37% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.53%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.20. F pays more dividend than 97.22% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.53% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
63.45% of the earnings are spent on dividend by F. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
13.06
-0.18 (-1.36%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners63.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.2%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change-1.96%
Market Cap51.98B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts55.48
Price Target12.11 (-7.27%)
Short Float %4.44%
Short Ratio1.91
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.53% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)1.68%
PT rev (3m)6.08%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.66%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.92%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.28 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.54 | ||
| P/B | 1.1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.17 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY10.34%
EPS(NY)1.41
Fwd EY10.77%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY22.89%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY39.3%
SpS47.64
BVpS11.91
TBVpS11.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
Graham Number19.02
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.24% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.51% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 14.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.01 |
F-Score6
WACC7.17%
ROIC/WACC0.17
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-36.03%
EPS Next 2Y-12.55%
EPS Next 3Y-4.37%
EPS Next 5Y9.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year0.04%
Revenue Next 2Y0.02%
Revenue Next 3Y0.21%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year15.86%
EBIT Next 3Y11.13%
EBIT Next 5Y10.44%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
Can you provide the valuation status for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for FORD MOTOR CO?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 9.67 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.1.
Is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO sustainable?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.