FORD MOTOR CO (F) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:F - US3453708600 - Common Stock
14.2 USD
-0.2 (-1.39%)
14.2084 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to F. F was compared to 35 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. F has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on F. F also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
F had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year F had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: F reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years F had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.56%, F is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 9.93%, F belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.43% of the companies in the same industry.
F's Return On Invested Capital of 1.45% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
F had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.46%. This is below the industry average of 5.56%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
F has a Profit Margin of 2.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: F outperforms 77.14% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of F has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 1.91%, F is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of F has grown nicely.
F's Gross Margin of 7.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. F outperforms 48.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of F has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% |
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
F has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
F has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for F is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.02, we must say that F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
F has a Altman-Z score (1.02) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of F is 13.61, which is on the high side as it means it would take F, 13.61 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
F has a better Debt to FCF ratio (13.61) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
F has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.59, F is not doing good in the industry: 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.2
WACC7.38%
2.3 Liquidity
F has a Current Ratio of 1.12. This is a normal value and indicates that F is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
F has a Current ratio of 1.12. This is in the lower half of the industry: F underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.98 indicates that F may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.98, F perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for F have decreased strongly by -22.41% in the last year.
F shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.29% yearly.
F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.75%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.48% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.35% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.44% yearly.
EPS Next Y-40.78%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.35%
Revenue Next Year1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.52, which indicates a very decent valuation of F.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, F is valued cheaper than 88.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, F is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.43, the valuation of F can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F indicates a rather cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of F to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.92), we can say F is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of F indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: F is cheaper than 77.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than F, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 4.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.63 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
F has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
F's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.25% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.13
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
F has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.16%, which is a nice return.
F's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.92. F pays more dividend than 97.14% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, F pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.16% |
5.2 History
The dividend of F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
F has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
F pays out 63.45% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP63.45%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
14.2
-0.2 (-1.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.32%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner Change0.97%
Market Cap56.58B
Revenue(TTM)189.59B
Net Income(TTM)4.71B
Analysts55.86
Price Target13.12 (-7.61%)
Short Float %4.73%
Short Ratio2.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.16% |
Yearly Dividend0.77
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP63.45%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.43%
Min EPS beat(2)9.68%
Max EPS beat(2)21.18%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)183.17%
Min EPS beat(4)9.68%
Max EPS beat(4)687.01%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)103.19%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)72.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)55.21%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.39%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.39%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.57%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.88%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.29%
PT rev (1m)3.97%
PT rev (3m)17.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)25.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-67.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.26%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.43 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 4.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.77 | ||
| P/B | 1.19 | ||
| P/tB | 1.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.63 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY9.51%
EPS(NY)1.51
Fwd EY10.61%
FCF(TTM)2.99
FCFY21.03%
OCF(TTM)5.13
OCFY36.1%
SpS47.58
BVpS11.89
TBVpS11.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.13
Graham Number19.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.56% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 1.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.83% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.83% | ||
| OM | 1.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.48% | ||
| GM | 7.53% | ||
| FCFM | 6.28% |
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexgc growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.63
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 13.61 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 10.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 111.45% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 181.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 252.81% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.02 |
F-Score6
WACC7.38%
ROIC/WACC0.2
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.41%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%-8.16%
EPS Next Y-40.78%
EPS Next 2Y-9.52%
EPS Next 3Y-3.25%
EPS Next 5Y9.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year1.21%
Revenue Next 2Y0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y2.44%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.31%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year7.96%
EBIT Next 3Y11.67%
EBIT Next 5Y10.61%
FCF growth 1Y112.52%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y50.15%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%
FORD MOTOR CO / F FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for FORD MOTOR CO?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to F.
What is the valuation status of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to FORD MOTOR CO (F). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
FORD MOTOR CO (F) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for F stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 10.52 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.19.
How sustainable is the dividend of FORD MOTOR CO (F) stock?
The dividend rating of FORD MOTOR CO (F) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 63.45%.