27.42 USD
+1.08 (+4.1%)
27.42 USD
0 (0%)
EYE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EYE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. EYE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EYE was profitable.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years EYE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
EYE has a Return On Assets (-0.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE has a Return On Equity (-0.27%) which is in line with its industry peers.
EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (2.98%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 12.24%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
EYE has a Operating Margin of 3.03%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 54.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EYE has declined.
EYE's Gross Margin of 58.69% is amongst the best of the industry. EYE outperforms 86.89% of its industry peers.
EYE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has more shares outstanding
EYE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
EYE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.28. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EYE has a Altman-Z score of 2.28. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
EYE's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 72.95% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EYE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.28) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.28 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC9.27%
2.3 Liquidity
EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.53, EYE is doing worse than 90.98% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE has a Quick Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EYE has a worse Quick ratio (0.32) than 69.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EYE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.02%.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.68% on average per year.
EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.53%.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
3.2 Future
EYE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.52% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.18% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.2%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 44.95.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EYE.
EYE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.25, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 29.85, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EYE.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.98. EYE is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EYE.
67.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EYE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 27.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for EYE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
27.42
+1.08 (+4.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners115.97%
Inst Owner Change0.25%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change1.74%
Market Cap2.17B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.56 (22.39%)
Short Float %12.92%
Short Ratio6.06
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)14.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.95 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.85 | ||
| P/S | 1.13 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.22 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.31 | ||
| P/B | 2.53 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.38 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.22%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.35%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.81%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.51%
SpS24.23
BVpS10.83
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROCE | 3.78% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.57% | ||
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% | ||
| FCFM | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.28 |
F-Score7
WACC9.27%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.2%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.38%
EBIT Next 3Y58.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 44.95 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.53.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.