NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EYEUS63845R1077

Current stock price

26.28 USD
+0.35 (+1.35%)
At close:
26.28 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This EYE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. EYE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EYE was profitable.
  • In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • EYE has a Return On Assets (1.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.40%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.13%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 13.58%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.03%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(3.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

  • EYE's Profit Margin of 1.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EYE has declined.
  • EYE's Operating Margin of 3.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 58.87% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.77%, EYE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

4

2. EYE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.31. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • EYE's Altman-Z score of 2.31 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 55.65% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.35, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.35, EYE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.26, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Altman-Z 2.31
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC9.63%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.55, EYE is doing worse than 88.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Quick Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.33, EYE is not doing good in the industry: 66.94% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. EYE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 45.45% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.44% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, EYE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.00% in the last year.
  • EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.03% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%

3.2 Future

  • EYE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.12% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

3

4. EYE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 32.85 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EYE.
  • EYE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. EYE is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.17, the valuation of EYE can be described as expensive.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. EYE is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.85
Fwd PE 28.17
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EYE is cheaper than 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.38
EV/EBITDA 14.3
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 20.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%

0

5. EYE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for EYE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

EYE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (3/13/2026, 8:23:32 PM)

After market: 26.28 0 (0%)

26.28

+0.35 (+1.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners119.33%
Inst Owner Change3.52%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change14.75%
Market Cap2.08B
Revenue(TTM)1.99B
Net Income(TTM)29.60M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.97 (29.26%)
Short Float %12.73%
Short Ratio8.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)72.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)146.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)46.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)146.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)45.79%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)36.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.01%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.85
Fwd PE 28.17
P/S 1.05
P/FCF 28.38
P/OCF 14.25
P/B 2.4
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.3
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY3.04%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY3.55%
FCF(TTM)0.93
FCFY3.52%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY7.02%
SpS25.06
BVpS10.96
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.05
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 4.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 8.41%
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
FCFM 3.7%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
ROICexc(3y)2.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.35%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)9.12%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)4.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.62%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 79.91%
Cap/Sales 3.66%
Interest Coverage 3.62
Cash Conversion 91.26%
Profit Quality 248.15%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
Altman-Z 2.31
F-Score8
WACC9.63%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)98.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y72.85%
EBIT growth 3Y2.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.74%
EBIT Next Year134.24%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y92.57%
FCF growth 3Y134.45%
FCF growth 5Y-14.22%
OCF growth 1Y9.46%
OCF growth 3Y7.07%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 32.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.4.


Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.