NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EYE - US63845R1077 - Common Stock
24.72 USD
-0.19 (-0.76%)
EYE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has an average financial health and profitability rating. EYE is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EYE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.12%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.54% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE's Return On Equity of -0.27% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 54.10% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (2.98%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.78%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of EYE (3.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EYE has declined.
EYE has a Gross Margin of 58.69%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EYE outperforms 87.70% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EYE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has more shares outstanding
EYE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for EYE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.21 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of EYE (2.21) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
EYE's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.05 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 72.95% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
EYE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 61.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.21 |
ROIC/WACC0.34
WACC8.81%
2.3 Liquidity
EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EYE's Current ratio of 0.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 92.62% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Quick Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EYE has a worse Quick ratio (0.32) than 70.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EYE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.02%.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.68% on average per year.
EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.53%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 21.65% on average per year.
EYE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 40.52, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
EYE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.22.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
EYE is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 35.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EYE is valued a bit cheaper than 67.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EYE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 21.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for EYE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
NASDAQ:EYE (11/19/2025, 2:58:31 PM)
24.72
-0.19 (-0.76%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners108.99%
Inst Owner Change6.58%
Ins Owners1.95%
Ins Owner Change7.47%
Market Cap1.96B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target30.4 (22.98%)
Short Float %13.37%
Short Ratio5.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)3.29%
PT rev (3m)9.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)18.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.22 | ||
| P/S | 1.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.98 | ||
| P/B | 2.28 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.5 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.47%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY3.42%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY4.24%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY8.35%
SpS24.26
BVpS10.84
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.2
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROCE | 3.78% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.57% | ||
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% | ||
| FCFM | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.21 |
F-Score7
WACC8.81%
ROIC/WACC0.34
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.78%
EBIT Next 3Y52.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EYE stock?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.