NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EYE • US63845R1077
Current stock price
26.28 USD
+0.35 (+1.35%)
At close:
26.28 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This EYE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EYE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EYE was profitable.
- In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- EYE has a Return On Assets (1.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.40%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.13%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 13.58%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (2.03%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(3.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.49% | ||
| ROE | 3.4% | ||
| ROIC | 3.13% |
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
1.3 Margins
- EYE's Profit Margin of 1.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EYE has declined.
- EYE's Operating Margin of 3.48% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 58.87% of its industry peers.
- EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.77%, EYE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- EYE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.49% | ||
| GM | 58.77% |
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
2. EYE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.31. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- EYE's Altman-Z score of 2.31 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 55.65% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.35, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.35, EYE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.58% of the companies in the same industry.
- EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.26, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.68% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.35 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC9.63%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.55, EYE is doing worse than 88.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- EYE has a Quick Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.33, EYE is not doing good in the industry: 66.94% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.55 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.33 |
3. EYE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 45.45% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.44% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, EYE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.00% in the last year.
- EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.03% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
3.2 Future
- EYE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.12% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. EYE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 32.85 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EYE.
- EYE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. EYE is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.17, the valuation of EYE can be described as expensive.
- EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.83. EYE is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.17 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- EYE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EYE is cheaper than 61.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 20.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
5. EYE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for EYE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
EYE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.28
+0.35 (+1.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04 2026-03-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners119.33%
Inst Owner Change3.52%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change14.75%
Market Cap2.08B
Revenue(TTM)1.99B
Net Income(TTM)29.60M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.97 (29.26%)
Short Float %12.73%
Short Ratio8.44
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)72.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)146.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)46.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)146.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)45.79%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)36.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.01%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.22%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.85 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.17 | ||
| P/S | 1.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.25 | ||
| P/B | 2.4 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.3 |
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY3.04%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY3.55%
FCF(TTM)0.93
FCFY3.52%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY7.02%
SpS25.06
BVpS10.96
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)1.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.05
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.49% | ||
| ROE | 3.4% | ||
| ROCE | 4.4% | ||
| ROIC | 3.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.2% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.41% | ||
| OM | 3.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.49% | ||
| GM | 58.77% | ||
| FCFM | 3.7% |
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
ROICexc(3y)2.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.35%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)9.12%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)4.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.62%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.26 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.35 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.43 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 79.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.62 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 91.26% | ||
| Profit Quality | 248.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.55 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.33 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.31 |
F-Score8
WACC9.63%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)98.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue Next Year4.9%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y5.63%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y72.85%
EBIT growth 3Y2.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.74%
EBIT Next Year134.24%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y92.57%
FCF growth 3Y134.45%
FCF growth 5Y-14.22%
OCF growth 1Y9.46%
OCF growth 3Y7.07%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 32.85 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.4.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.