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NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:EYE - US63845R1077 - Common Stock

28.3 USD
+0.25 (+0.89%)
Last: 12/24/2025, 8:27:36 PM
28.3 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/24/2025, 8:27:36 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall EYE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated EYE against 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has an average financial health and profitability rating. EYE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years EYE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -0.12%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.59% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of EYE (-0.27%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (2.98%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 12.17%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.12%
ROE -0.27%
ROIC 2.98%
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

EYE has a Operating Margin of 3.03%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 54.47% of its industry peers.
EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 58.69%, EYE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.18% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.03%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 58.69%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EYE is destroying value.
EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EYE has less shares outstanding
EYE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.36 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
EYE's Altman-Z score of 2.36 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 53.66% of its industry peers.
EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE (3.05) is better than 73.17% of its industry peers.
EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
EYE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.28) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.05
Altman-Z 2.36
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC9.18%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EYE's Current ratio of 0.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 91.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE has a worse Quick ratio (0.32) than 72.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.32
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.02% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.68% on average per year.
EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.53%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.52% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 46.39.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EYE.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EYE to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.59), we can say EYE is valued expensively.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.81, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EYE is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.03, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 46.39
Fwd PE 30.81
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EYE.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EYE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.06
EV/EBITDA 16.42
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

EYE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 27.02% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

EYE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (12/24/2025, 8:27:36 PM)

After market: 28.3 0 (0%)

28.3

+0.25 (+0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-05 2025-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/bmo
Inst Owners115.98%
Inst Owner Change6.72%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change2.32%
Market Cap2.24B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %15.04%
Short Ratio6.78
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)10.4%
PT rev (3m)14.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.32%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 46.39
Fwd PE 30.81
P/S 1.17
P/FCF 27.06
P/OCF 13.73
P/B 2.61
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.42
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.16%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.25%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.28%
SpS24.23
BVpS10.83
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.12%
ROE -0.27%
ROCE 3.78%
ROIC 2.98%
ROICexc 3.1%
ROICexgc 8.57%
OM 3.03%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 58.69%
FCFM 4.32%
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.59
Cap/Depr 88.98%
Cap/Sales 4.19%
Interest Coverage 2.85
Cash Conversion 109.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z 2.36
F-Score7
WACC9.18%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.38%
EBIT Next 3Y58.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of EYE stock?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.


Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.