28.52 USD
+0.6 (+2.15%)
28.98 USD
+0.46 (+1.61%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to EYE. EYE was compared to 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. EYE has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. EYE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EYE (-0.12%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -0.27%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of EYE (2.98%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
EYE's Operating Margin of 3.03% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 53.28% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EYE has declined.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 58.69%, EYE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.52% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EYE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EYE has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.37. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.37, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.05, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EYE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.05) than 73.77% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.28, EYE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.66% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC8.94%
2.3 Liquidity
EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.53, EYE is not doing good in the industry: 91.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE's Quick ratio of 0.32 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 68.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EYE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.02%.
EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.68% yearly.
Looking at the last year, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.53% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.12% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
3.2 Future
EYE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 24.52% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 46.75, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.37, EYE is valued quite expensively.
EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.71.
EYE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EYE to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.20), we can say EYE is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
65.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EYE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.54 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EYE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 21.65% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EYE does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
28.52
+0.6 (+2.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners108.99%
Inst Owner Change6.71%
Ins Owners1.95%
Ins Owner Change7.1%
Market Cap2.26B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target31.42 (10.17%)
Short Float %14.13%
Short Ratio5.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)6.76%
PT rev (3m)6.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)24.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.92%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 33.71 | ||
| P/S | 1.18 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.27 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.84 | ||
| P/B | 2.63 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.54 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.14%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY2.97%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.67%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.22%
SpS24.23
BVpS10.83
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROCE | 3.78% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.57% | ||
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% | ||
| FCFM | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.37 |
F-Score7
WACC8.94%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.03%
EPS Next 2Y24.02%
EPS Next 3Y21.65%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year6.74%
Revenue Next 2Y5.15%
Revenue Next 3Y5.69%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.78%
EBIT Next 3Y52.22%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EYE stock?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.