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NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - Nasdaq - NASDAQ:EYE - US63845R1077 - Common Stock

27.21 USD
+0.02 (+0.07%)
Last: 1/21/2026, 5:29:56 PM
27.54 USD
+0.33 (+1.21%)
After Hours: 1/21/2026, 5:29:56 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, EYE scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EYE was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EYE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. EYE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • EYE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year EYE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • EYE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -0.12%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Return On Equity (-0.27%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • EYE has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.98%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EYE outperforms 47.93% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 12.37%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.12%
ROE -0.27%
ROIC 2.98%
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

  • EYE has a Operating Margin (3.03%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • EYE's Gross Margin of 58.69% is amongst the best of the industry. EYE outperforms 87.60% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.03%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 58.69%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EYE is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • EYE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • EYE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.32 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.32, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE (3.05) is better than 73.55% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, EYE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.05
Altman-Z 2.32
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC9.35%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.53, EYE is not doing good in the industry: 90.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EYE's Quick ratio of 0.32 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 69.42% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.32
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.02% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.68% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.53% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.52% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.18% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue Next Year7.71%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 44.61, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • EYE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.32, EYE is valued quite expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.63, the valuation of EYE can be described as expensive.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 24.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 44.61
Fwd PE 29.63
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EYE is cheaper than 67.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.01
EV/EBITDA 15.83
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EYE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 27.02% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.6
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • EYE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (1/21/2026, 5:29:56 PM)

After market: 27.54 +0.33 (+1.21%)

27.21

+0.02 (+0.07%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-05
Earnings (Next)02-24
Inst Owners115.97%
Inst Owner Change0.13%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change1.74%
Market Cap2.16B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.56 (23.34%)
Short Float %12.53%
Short Ratio6.44
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)14.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.91%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 44.61
Fwd PE 29.63
P/S 1.12
P/FCF 26.01
P/OCF 13.21
P/B 2.51
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.83
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.24%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.38%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.84%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.57%
SpS24.23
BVpS10.83
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.6
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.19
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.12%
ROE -0.27%
ROCE 3.78%
ROIC 2.98%
ROICexc 3.1%
ROICexgc 8.57%
OM 3.03%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 58.69%
FCFM 4.32%
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 3.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.59
Cap/Depr 88.98%
Cap/Sales 4.19%
Interest Coverage 2.85
Cash Conversion 109.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.32
Altman-Z 2.32
F-Score7
WACC9.35%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year7.71%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.38%
EBIT Next 3Y58.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 44.61 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.51.


Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.