NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EYE • US63845R1077

Current stock price

25.67 USD
-0.67 (-2.54%)
At close:
25.67 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This EYE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. EYE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EYE was profitable.
  • EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • EYE has a Return On Assets (1.49%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.40%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.13%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.03%. This is significantly below the industry average of 13.35%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.03%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(3.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.49%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 3.48%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EYE has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of EYE (58.77%) is better than 88.62% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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4

2. EYE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), EYE is destroying value.
  • EYE has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.28 indicates that EYE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 2.28, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.35, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE (3.35) is better than 71.54% of its industry peers.
  • EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of EYE (0.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Altman-Z 2.28
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC8.39%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EYE has a worse Current ratio (0.55) than 90.24% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.33 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • EYE has a worse Quick ratio (0.33) than 71.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. EYE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EYE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.45%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.44% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, EYE shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 9.00% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.03% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%

3.2 Future

  • EYE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.12% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.96%
EPS Next 2Y25.77%
EPS Next 3Y24.9%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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3

4. EYE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 32.09 indicates a quite expensive valuation of EYE.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as EYE.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.78. EYE is around the same levels.
  • EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.68.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EYE to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.54), we can say EYE is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.09
Fwd PE 25.68
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as EYE.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.76
EV/EBITDA 14.01
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EYE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 24.90% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.77%
EPS Next 3Y24.9%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. EYE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EYE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

EYE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (4/10/2026, 8:19:53 PM)

After market: 25.67 0 (0%)

25.67

-0.67 (-2.54%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners119.64%
Inst Owner Change0.13%
Ins Owners2.29%
Ins Owner Change16.13%
Market Cap2.04B
Revenue(TTM)1.99B
Net Income(TTM)29.60M
Analysts82.5
Price Target35.98 (40.16%)
Short Float %11.75%
Short Ratio7.08
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)72.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)146.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)46.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)146.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)45.79%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)36.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.01%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)5.92%
PT rev (3m)7.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.09
Fwd PE 25.68
P/S 1.03
P/FCF 27.76
P/OCF 13.94
P/B 2.35
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.01
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY3.12%
EPS(NY)1
Fwd EY3.89%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY3.6%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY7.17%
SpS25.02
BVpS10.95
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)1.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.04
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 4.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 8.41%
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
FCFM 3.7%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
ROICexc(3y)2.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.35%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)9.12%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)4.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.62%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 79.91%
Cap/Sales 3.66%
Interest Coverage 3.62
Cash Conversion 91.26%
Profit Quality 248.15%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
Altman-Z 2.28
F-Score8
WACC8.39%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)98.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
EPS Next Y24.96%
EPS Next 2Y25.77%
EPS Next 3Y24.9%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y72.85%
EBIT growth 3Y2.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.74%
EBIT Next Year137.35%
EBIT Next 3Y46.33%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y92.57%
FCF growth 3Y134.45%
FCF growth 5Y-14.22%
OCF growth 1Y9.46%
OCF growth 3Y7.07%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for EYE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is expected to grow by 24.96% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?

The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.