28.18 USD
-0.22 (-0.77%)
28.3 USD
+0.12 (+0.43%)
EYE gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 122 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of EYE get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. EYE is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EYE was profitable.
EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years EYE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -0.12%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -0.27%, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.28% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE's Return On Invested Capital of 2.98% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 45.90% of its industry peers.
EYE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.16%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.97%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(2.98%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
1.3 Margins
The Operating Margin of EYE (3.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 58.69%, EYE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.70% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% |
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EYE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EYE has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, EYE has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for EYE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.36. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.36, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.28% of the companies in the same industry.
EYE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EYE would need 3.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 3.05, EYE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.95% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that EYE is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of EYE (0.28) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.36 |
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC9.19%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.53 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE's Current ratio of 0.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EYE is outperformed by 91.80% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.32 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
EYE has a Quick ratio of 0.32. This is in the lower half of the industry: EYE underperforms 72.13% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EYE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.02%.
Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.68% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.53% in the last year.
EYE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 24.52% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EYE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.18% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 46.20, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EYE.
EYE's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
EYE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.26.
EYE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.68.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as EYE.
EYE is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
EYE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EYE is cheaper than 64.75% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.36 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 27.02% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for EYE!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
28.18
-0.22 (-0.77%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners115.98%
Inst Owner Change6.72%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change7.1%
Market Cap2.23B
Revenue(TTM)1.92B
Net Income(TTM)-2.31M
Analysts81.33
Price Target33.56 (19.09%)
Short Float %15.04%
Short Ratio6.78
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)14.36%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)30.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)30.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)37.55%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)15.61%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)78.1%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.14%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.14%
PT rev (1m)10.4%
PT rev (3m)14.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)12.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)32.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.68 | ||
| P/S | 1.16 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.68 | ||
| P/B | 2.6 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.36 |
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY2.16%
EPS(NY)0.92
Fwd EY3.26%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.71%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY7.31%
SpS24.23
BVpS10.83
TBVpS-1.14
PEG (NY)1.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number12.19
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.12% | ||
| ROE | -0.27% | ||
| ROCE | 3.78% | ||
| ROIC | 2.98% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.57% | ||
| OM | 3.03% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 58.69% | ||
| FCFM | 4.32% |
ROA(3y)-0.87%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)-2.25%
ROE(5y)2.22%
ROIC(3y)1.97%
ROIC(5y)3.59%
ROICexc(3y)2.16%
ROICexc(5y)4.2%
ROICexgc(3y)5.73%
ROICexgc(5y)11.7%
ROCE(3y)2.5%
ROCE(5y)4.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.81%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y-36.88%
ROICexc growth 5Y-10.66%
OM growth 3Y-36.53%
OM growth 5Y-14.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.94%
GM growth 5Y1.77%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.98
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.59 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.98% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.19% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.85 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.92% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.36 |
F-Score7
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)109.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.38%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.02%
EPS 3Y-27.94%
EPS 5Y-7.68%
EPS Q2Q%8.33%
EPS Next Y27.91%
EPS Next 2Y29.23%
EPS Next 3Y27.02%
EPS Next 5Y24.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.53%
Revenue growth 3Y-4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y1.12%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year7.92%
Revenue Next 2Y6.3%
Revenue Next 3Y6.17%
Revenue Next 5Y6.18%
EBIT growth 1Y74.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-39.25%
EBIT growth 5Y-13.48%
EBIT Next Year203.38%
EBIT Next 3Y58.06%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y98.46%
FCF growth 3Y-38.43%
FCF growth 5Y-9.78%
OCF growth 1Y8.08%
OCF growth 3Y-19.78%
OCF growth 5Y-4.14%
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.
What is the valuation status of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of EYE stock?
NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?
The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.
Is the dividend of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.