NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EYE • US63845R1077

Current stock price

25.14 USD
-2.29 (-8.35%)
At close:
25.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This EYE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. EYE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EYE was profitable.
  • EYE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EYE reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years EYE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
EYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEYE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 1.49%, EYE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.66% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EYE has a Return On Equity (3.40%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EYE has a Return On Invested Capital (3.13%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EYE is significantly below the industry average of 13.16%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (2.03%) for EYE is below the current ROIC(3.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
EYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEYE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10

1.3 Margins

  • EYE's Profit Margin of 1.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 57.72% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EYE has declined.
  • EYE has a better Operating Margin (3.48%) than 60.16% of its industry peers.
  • EYE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of EYE (58.77%) is better than 86.99% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EYE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
EYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEYE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40

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4

2. EYE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EYE is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for EYE has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • EYE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for EYE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EYE Yearly Shares OutstandingEYE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
EYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEYE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • EYE has an Altman-Z score of 2.26. This is not the best score and indicates that EYE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • EYE has a Altman-Z score (2.26) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EYE is 3.35, which is a good value as it means it would take EYE, 3.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EYE's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.35 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EYE outperforms 72.36% of its industry peers.
  • EYE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.26. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.26, EYE is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.35% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Altman-Z 2.26
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC8.49%
EYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEYE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • EYE has a Current Ratio of 0.55. This is a bad value and indicates that EYE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EYE has a worse Current ratio (0.55) than 89.43% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.33 indicates that EYE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.33, EYE is not doing good in the industry: 69.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
EYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEYE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. EYE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 45.45% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, EYE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.44% on average per year.
  • EYE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.00%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.03% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EYE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 19.12% on average per year.
  • EYE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEYE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
EYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEYE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. EYE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 31.43, which means the current valuation is very expensive for EYE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EYE is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of EYE to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.88), we can say EYE is valued slightly more expensively.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.95, EYE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 22.19.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.43
Fwd PE 26.95
EYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEYE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • EYE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • EYE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.19
EV/EBITDA 13.75
EYE Per share dataEYE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EYE's earnings are expected to grow with 20.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. EYE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for EYE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

EYE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:EYE (3/27/2026, 8:14:26 PM)

After market: 25.14 0 (0%)

25.14

-2.29 (-8.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)03-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners119.33%
Inst Owner Change3.52%
Ins Owners1.94%
Ins Owner Change15.38%
Market Cap2.00B
Revenue(TTM)1.99B
Net Income(TTM)29.60M
Analysts81.33
Price Target35.98 (43.12%)
Short Float %12.23%
Short Ratio7.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)72.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(2)146.42%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)46.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.54%
Max EPS beat(4)146.42%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)46.08%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)45.79%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)36.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.85%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.41%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.49%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.01%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.02%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)5.92%
PT rev (3m)7.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.43
Fwd PE 26.95
P/S 1
P/FCF 27.19
P/OCF 13.65
P/B 2.3
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.75
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY3.18%
EPS(NY)0.93
Fwd EY3.71%
FCF(TTM)0.92
FCFY3.68%
OCF(TTM)1.84
OCFY7.33%
SpS25.02
BVpS10.95
TBVpS-1
PEG (NY)1.89
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number14.04
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.49%
ROE 3.4%
ROCE 4.4%
ROIC 3.13%
ROICexc 3.2%
ROICexgc 8.41%
OM 3.48%
PM (TTM) 1.49%
GM 58.77%
FCFM 3.7%
ROA(3y)-0.99%
ROA(5y)0.89%
ROE(3y)-2.68%
ROE(5y)2.1%
ROIC(3y)2.03%
ROIC(5y)2.99%
ROICexc(3y)2.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.35%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)9.12%
ROCE(3y)2.85%
ROCE(5y)4.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.59%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.38%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.62%
OM growth 3Y2.39%
OM growth 5Y-13.36%
PM growth 3Y-10.81%
PM growth 5Y-6.82%
GM growth 3Y2.96%
GM growth 5Y1.69%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.26
Debt/FCF 3.35
Debt/EBITDA 1.43
Cap/Depr 79.91%
Cap/Sales 3.66%
Interest Coverage 3.62
Cash Conversion 91.26%
Profit Quality 248.15%
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.33
Altman-Z 2.26
F-Score8
WACC8.49%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)98.71%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.14%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45.45%
EPS 3Y9.46%
EPS 5Y-1.44%
EPS Q2Q%475%
EPS Next Y16.61%
EPS Next 2Y19.69%
EPS Next 3Y20.04%
EPS Next 5Y19.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.03%
Sales Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue Next Year5.01%
Revenue Next 2Y5.79%
Revenue Next 3Y6.23%
Revenue Next 5Y5.81%
EBIT growth 1Y72.85%
EBIT growth 3Y2.08%
EBIT growth 5Y-10.74%
EBIT Next Year134.24%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y92.57%
FCF growth 3Y134.45%
FCF growth 5Y-14.22%
OCF growth 1Y9.46%
OCF growth 3Y7.07%
OCF growth 5Y-9.04%

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC / EYE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to EYE.


What is the valuation status for EYE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC?

NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 31.43 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.3.


Can you provide the financial health for EYE stock?

The financial health rating of NATIONAL VISION HOLDINGS INC (EYE) is 4 / 10.