EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038

Current stock price

235.3 USD
-0.96 (-0.41%)
Last:

This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. EXPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXPE was profitable.
  • EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
  • EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • EXPE has a Return On Assets of 5.29%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXPE outperforms 73.02% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 100.78%, EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE's Return On Invested Capital of 22.36% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.61%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROIC 22.36%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
EXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • EXPE has a better Profit Margin (8.78%) than 74.60% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of EXPE (14.68%) is better than 65.87% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • EXPE has a Gross Margin of 90.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 98.41% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
EXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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5

2. EXPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • EXPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
  • EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
EXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • EXPE has a Altman-Z score (1.52) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EXPE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.98) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of EXPE (3.48) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Altman-Z 1.52
ROIC/WACC2.84
WACC7.87%
EXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of EXPE (0.73) is worse than 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 63.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
EXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. EXPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.98% yearly.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.61% in the past year.
  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.93% on average per year.
  • EXPE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.78% yearly.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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8

4. EXPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.72, EXPE is valued correctly.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.61, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.99, the valuation of EXPE can be described as reasonable.
  • EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 82.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.79, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.72
Fwd PE 11.99
EXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.27
EV/EBITDA 9.53
EXPE Per share dataEXPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%

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5

5. EXPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.80%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.80, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.8%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXPE Yearly Dividends per shareEXPE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • EXPE pays out 15.46% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of EXPE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B
EXPE Dividend Payout.EXPE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:EXPE (3/26/2026, 10:54:08 AM)

235.3

-0.96 (-0.41%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change-4.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap28.83B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts72.73
Price Target287.13 (22.03%)
Short Float %7.12%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.8%
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)5.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.72
Fwd PE 11.99
P/S 1.96
P/FCF 9.27
P/OCF 7.43
P/B 22.45
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.53
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.8%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.34%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY10.79%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY13.46%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROCE 27.75%
ROIC 22.36%
ROICexc 84.52%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
FCFM 21.11%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Debt/EBITDA 1.47
Cap/Depr 86.81%
Cap/Sales 5.23%
Interest Coverage 10.15
Cash Conversion 127.21%
Profit Quality 240.34%
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 1.52
F-Score7
WACC7.87%
ROIC/WACC2.84
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.


Is the dividend of EXPEDIA GROUP INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.46%.