EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038
Current stock price
236.26 USD
-0.73 (-0.31%)
At close:
236.75 USD
+0.49 (+0.21%)
After Hours:
This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXPE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXPE was profitable.
- In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years EXPE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of EXPE (5.29%) is better than 73.02% of its industry peers.
- EXPE has a Return On Equity of 100.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 22.36%, EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.54%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.61%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.78%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
- EXPE has a better Operating Margin (14.68%) than 65.87% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 90.12%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% |
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
2. EXPE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- EXPE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.52, EXPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.98, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.48, EXPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for EXPE, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACC2.82
WACC7.92%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.73, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 68.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXPE has a Quick ratio of 0.73. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXPE underperforms 63.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. EXPE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.98% yearly.
- EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.61%.
- Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
3.2 Future
- EXPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.93% yearly.
- EXPE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.78% yearly.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. EXPE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- EXPE is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.78.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.61.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.03, which indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.79. EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.03 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 91.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
5. EXPE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.80%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.80, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
- EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 15.46% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXPE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of EXPE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
236.26
-0.73 (-0.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change-4.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap28.95B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts72.73
Price Target287.13 (21.53%)
Short Float %7.12%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.48)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)5.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.03 | ||
| P/S | 1.96 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.31 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.46 | ||
| P/B | 22.55 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.56 |
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.77%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.31%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY10.74%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY13.4%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROCE | 27.75% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 84.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% | ||
| FCFM | 21.11% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 86.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 240.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score7
WACC7.92%
ROIC/WACC2.82
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.
What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of EXPEDIA GROUP INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.46%.