EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038

Current stock price

230.26 USD
-6.64 (-2.8%)
At close:
230.26 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. EXPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXPE was profitable.
  • EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
  • EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
EXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of EXPE (5.29%) is better than 72.22% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of EXPE (100.78%) is better than 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of EXPE (22.36%) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.54%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.56%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROIC 22.36%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
EXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • EXPE has a Profit Margin of 8.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXPE outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • EXPE has a Operating Margin of 14.68%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXPE outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • EXPE has a better Gross Margin (90.12%) than 98.41% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
EXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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5

2. EXPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXPE is creating value.
  • EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
  • EXPE has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
EXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
EXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.52, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.52, EXPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE is 1.98, which is an excellent value as it means it would take EXPE, only 1.98 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EXPE's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.98 is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 86.51% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48 is on the high side and indicates that EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • EXPE's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
  • Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Altman-Z 1.52
ROIC/WACC2.84
WACC7.88%
EXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of EXPE (0.73) is worse than 65.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
EXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. EXPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.98% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.61% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • EXPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.93% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y8.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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8

4. EXPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.40, which indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
  • EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.91, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.73 indicates a reasonable valuation of EXPE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.4
Fwd PE 11.73
EXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 65.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 92.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.07
EV/EBITDA 9.55
EXPE Per share dataEXPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EXPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.85%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • The stock price of EXPE dropped by -20.06% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • EXPE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.14.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.85, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.85%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXPE Yearly Dividends per shareEXPE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 15.46% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXPE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • EXPE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B
EXPE Dividend Payout.EXPE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:EXPE (4/9/2026, 4:21:01 PM)

After market: 230.26 0 (0%)

230.26

-6.64 (-2.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap28.21B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts73.64
Price Target287.65 (24.92%)
Short Float %5.8%
Short Ratio2.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.85%
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)0.18%
PT rev (3m)4.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)63.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.4
Fwd PE 11.73
P/S 1.92
P/FCF 9.07
P/OCF 7.27
P/B 21.97
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.55
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.94%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.53%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY11.02%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY13.75%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROCE 27.75%
ROIC 22.36%
ROICexc 84.52%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
FCFM 21.11%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Debt/EBITDA 1.47
Cap/Depr 86.81%
Cap/Sales 5.23%
Interest Coverage 10.15
Cash Conversion 127.21%
Profit Quality 240.34%
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 1.52
F-Score7
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC2.84
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y8.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 14.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 21.97.


What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.