EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038
Current stock price
254.43 USD
-3.01 (-1.17%)
At close:
254.43 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXPE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXPE was profitable.
- In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- EXPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years EXPE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- EXPE's Return On Assets of 5.29% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 72.22% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Return On Equity of 100.78% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 22.36%, EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.78%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of EXPE (14.68%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of EXPE (90.12%) is better than 98.41% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% |
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
2. EXPE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXPE is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.59, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- EXPE's Altman-Z score of 1.59 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 49.21% of its industry peers.
- EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- EXPE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.98) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
- EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- EXPE has a Debt to Equity ratio (3.48) which is in line with its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for EXPE, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.59 |
ROIC/WACC2.83
WACC7.91%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.73, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 70.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXPE's Quick ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE is outperformed by 65.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. EXPE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.98% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.61% in the past year.
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y8.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXPE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.91, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.53.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.00, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 80.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.95, EXPE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 90.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 18.74% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
5. EXPE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.83%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.83% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
- EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXPE pays out 15.46% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of EXPE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
254.43
-3.01 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07
Inst Owners102.43%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap31.18B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts73.64
Price Target290.07 (14.01%)
Short Float %5.75%
Short Ratio2.27
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.83% |
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.48)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)1.03%
PT rev (3m)4.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)63.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.92%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13 | ||
| P/S | 2.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.03 | ||
| P/B | 24.28 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.38 |
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.28%
EPS(NY)19.58
Fwd EY7.69%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY9.98%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY12.45%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4012 (-75.87%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROCE | 27.75% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 84.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% | ||
| FCFM | 21.11% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 86.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 240.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.59 |
F-Score7
WACC7.91%
ROIC/WACC2.83
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.21%
Revenue Next 2Y8.09%
Revenue Next 3Y7.85%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.72%
EBIT Next 3Y36.29%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.
What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 15.91 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 24.28.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.