289.25 USD
+3.66 (+1.28%)
292 USD
+2.75 (+0.95%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to EXPE. EXPE was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While EXPE has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. EXPE may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings would make EXPE suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXPE was profitable.
EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXPE reported negative net income in multiple years.
Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of EXPE (5.53%) is better than 70.68% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 103.81%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.49% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 18.46%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 91.73% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is in line with the industry average of 10.40%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.99%) for EXPE is below the current ROIC(18.46%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.53% | ||
| ROE | 103.81% | ||
| ROIC | 18.46% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXPE has a better Profit Margin (9.66%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.72%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.17% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 89.94%, EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.50% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.66% | ||
| GM | 89.94% |
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXPE is creating value.
EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
EXPE has a Altman-Z score (1.60) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE is 2.07, which is a good value as it means it would take EXPE, 2.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
EXPE has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.07. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 83.46% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.34. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
EXPE's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.34 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 45.11% of its industry peers.
Although EXPE does not score too well on debt/equity it has very limited outstanding debt, which is well covered by the FCF. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC2.31
WACC7.98%
2.3 Liquidity
EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.74. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.74, EXPE is doing worse than 61.65% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.74, EXPE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.60% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.19%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.87% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.29% in the past year.
EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.56% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.19%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%23.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.29%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%8.67%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.91% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.88% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y25.43%
EPS Next 2Y23.5%
EPS Next 3Y22.44%
EPS Next 5Y17.91%
Revenue Next Year7.5%
Revenue Next 2Y7.34%
Revenue Next 3Y7.22%
Revenue Next 5Y6.88%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.81 indicates a rather expensive valuation of EXPE.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.39.
EXPE is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.50.
75.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
EXPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as EXPE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 92.48% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 22.44% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.78
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y23.5%
EPS Next 3Y22.44%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.56%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.54, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.87, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.56% |
5.2 History
EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y23.5%
EPS Next 3Y22.44%
289.25
+3.66 (+1.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.48%
Inst Owner Change4.28%
Ins Owners0.51%
Ins Owner Change0.12%
Market Cap35.44B
Revenue(TTM)14.37B
Net Income(TTM)1.39B
Analysts72.73
Price Target272.86 (-5.67%)
Short Float %6.42%
Short Ratio3.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.56% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.37%
Min EPS beat(2)1.46%
Max EPS beat(2)7.27%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.2%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)30.46%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-11.57%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.66%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.96%
PT rev (1m)18.64%
PT rev (3m)19.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)22.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.93%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.5 | ||
| P/S | 2.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.39 | ||
| P/B | 26.51 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.33 |
EPS(TTM)14.6
EY5.05%
EPS(NY)18.67
Fwd EY6.45%
FCF(TTM)24.47
FCFY8.46%
OCF(TTM)30.8
OCFY10.65%
SpS117.28
BVpS10.91
TBVpS-51.69
PEG (NY)0.78
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number59.87
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.53% | ||
| ROE | 103.81% | ||
| ROCE | 25.12% | ||
| ROIC | 18.46% | ||
| ROICexc | 86.41% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 13.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.66% | ||
| GM | 89.94% | ||
| FCFM | 20.86% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y125.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.57%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.07 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.57 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.28% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.4% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 132.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | 215.99% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.74 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.74 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score9
WACC7.98%
ROIC/WACC2.31
Cap/Depr(3y)92.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)403.1%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.19%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%23.49%
EPS Next Y25.43%
EPS Next 2Y23.5%
EPS Next 3Y22.44%
EPS Next 5Y17.91%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.29%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%8.67%
Revenue Next Year7.5%
Revenue Next 2Y7.34%
Revenue Next 3Y7.22%
Revenue Next 5Y6.88%
EBIT growth 1Y28.99%
EBIT growth 3Y85.19%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year152.51%
EBIT Next 3Y45.47%
EBIT Next 5Y29.73%
FCF growth 1Y57.79%
FCF growth 3Y-8.85%
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y37.44%
OCF growth 3Y-6.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.2%
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to EXPE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of EXPE stock?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.