EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038
Current stock price
225.81 USD
-7.03 (-3.02%)
At close:
225.81 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXPE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXPE was profitable.
- In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
- EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- EXPE has a better Return On Assets (5.29%) than 73.02% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of EXPE (100.78%) is better than 96.83% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Return On Invested Capital of 22.36% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.65%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
1.3 Margins
- EXPE's Profit Margin of 8.78% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 74.60% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 14.68%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXPE has a Gross Margin of 90.12%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 98.41% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% |
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
2. EXPE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXPE is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.51, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- EXPE has a Altman-Z score of 1.51. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXPE outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
- EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.98, EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48 is on the high side and indicates that EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
- EXPE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: EXPE outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for EXPE, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
ROIC/WACC2.84
WACC7.86%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- EXPE has a Current ratio of 0.73. This is in the lower half of the industry: EXPE underperforms 68.25% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- EXPE's Quick ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE is outperformed by 63.49% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. EXPE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.98% on average per year.
- EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.61%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.78% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. EXPE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.12, which indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 78.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.50 indicates a reasonable valuation of EXPE.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 82.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.51), we can say EXPE is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 92.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
5. EXPE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.80%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
- EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXPE pays out 15.46% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of EXPE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
225.81
-7.03 (-3.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change-4.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap27.67B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts72.73
Price Target287.13 (27.16%)
Short Float %7.12%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.48)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)5.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.12 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.5 | ||
| P/S | 1.88 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.13 | ||
| P/B | 21.55 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.39 |
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY7.08%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.69%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY11.24%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY14.02%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROCE | 27.75% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 84.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% | ||
| FCFM | 21.11% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 86.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 240.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.51 |
F-Score7
WACC7.86%
ROIC/WACC2.84
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.
What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of EXPEDIA GROUP INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.46%.