EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038

Current stock price

228.37 USD
+0.72 (+0.32%)
At close:
228.37 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. EXPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXPE was profitable.
  • In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • EXPE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EXPE had a positive operating cash flow.
EXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.29%, EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE has a Return On Equity of 100.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE has a Return On Invested Capital of 22.36%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.48%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.54%) for EXPE is below the current ROIC(22.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROIC 22.36%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
EXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of EXPE (8.78%) is better than 73.02% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 14.68%, EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 90.12%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
EXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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5

2. EXPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so EXPE is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
EXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
EXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.50, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • EXPE has a Altman-Z score (1.50) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE is 1.98, which is an excellent value as it means it would take EXPE, only 1.98 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • EXPE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.98) than 84.92% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48 is on the high side and indicates that EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.48, EXPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Altman-Z 1.5
ROIC/WACC2.87
WACC7.8%
EXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • EXPE has a worse Quick ratio (0.73) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
EXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. EXPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.98% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.61% in the past year.
  • EXPE shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.16% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • EXPE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.78% yearly.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.13%
Revenue Next 2Y8.05%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
EXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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8

4. EXPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.28, which indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
  • EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.63, the valuation of EXPE can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued cheaper than 81.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say EXPE is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.28
Fwd PE 11.63
EXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.84% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 92.06% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9
EV/EBITDA 9.18
EXPE Per share dataEXPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EXPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.84%, which is pretty low.
  • EXPE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.11.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXPE Yearly Dividends per shareEXPE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 15.46% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXPE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • EXPE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B
EXPE Dividend Payout.EXPE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:EXPE (3/13/2026, 8:23:32 PM)

After market: 228.37 0 (0%)

228.37

+0.72 (+0.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change-4.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap27.98B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts72.73
Price Target287.13 (25.73%)
Short Float %6.02%
Short Ratio2.7
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)5.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)62.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.28
Fwd PE 11.63
P/S 1.9
P/FCF 9
P/OCF 7.21
P/B 21.79
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.18
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY7%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.6%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY11.11%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY13.87%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.63
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROCE 27.75%
ROIC 22.36%
ROICexc 84.52%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
FCFM 21.11%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Debt/EBITDA 1.47
Cap/Depr 86.81%
Cap/Sales 5.23%
Interest Coverage 10.15
Cash Conversion 127.21%
Profit Quality 240.34%
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 1.5
F-Score7
WACC7.8%
ROIC/WACC2.87
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.13%
Revenue Next 2Y8.05%
Revenue Next 3Y7.81%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.


Is the dividend of EXPEDIA GROUP INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.46%.