EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038

Current stock price

245.22 USD
-6.22 (-2.47%)
At close:
245.22 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. EXPE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year EXPE was profitable.
  • In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years EXPE had a positive operating cash flow.
EXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 5.29%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE has a better Return On Equity (100.78%) than 96.83% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE has a better Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) than 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROIC 22.36%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
EXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 100 -100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of EXPE (8.78%) is better than 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 14.68%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • EXPE has a better Gross Margin (90.12%) than 98.41% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
EXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. EXPE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXPE is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
EXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
EXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.57, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • EXPE's Altman-Z score of 1.57 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 48.41% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • EXPE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.98) than 84.92% of its industry peers.
  • EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of EXPE (3.48) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for EXPE, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Altman-Z 1.57
ROIC/WACC2.83
WACC7.89%
EXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.73, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 70.63% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
EXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. EXPE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 30.64% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.98% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.61%.
  • Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • EXPE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.38%
Revenue Next Year9.19%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.88%
Revenue Next 5Y6.84%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
EXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
EXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30

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7

4. EXPE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 15.34, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 79.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • EXPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.53 indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued cheaper than 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.23. EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.34
Fwd PE 12.53
EXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 63.49% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 91.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.66
EV/EBITDA 10.14
EXPE Per share dataEXPE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • EXPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 18.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. EXPE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.77%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.77%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
  • EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
EXPE Yearly Dividends per shareEXPE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 15.46% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXPE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • EXPE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B -4B
EXPE Dividend Payout.EXPE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:EXPE (4/27/2026, 6:39:10 PM)

After market: 245.22 0 (0%)

245.22

-6.22 (-2.47%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners102.43%
Inst Owner Change0.4%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap30.05B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts73.64
Price Target290.07 (18.29%)
Short Float %5.75%
Short Ratio2.27
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.77%
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)1.03%
PT rev (3m)0.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)64.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.93%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.34
Fwd PE 12.53
P/S 2.04
P/FCF 9.66
P/OCF 7.74
P/B 23.4
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.14
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.52%
EPS(NY)19.58
Fwd EY7.98%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY10.35%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY12.91%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4012 (-74.96%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.29%
ROE 100.78%
ROCE 27.75%
ROIC 22.36%
ROICexc 84.52%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 8.78%
GM 90.12%
FCFM 21.11%
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.48
Debt/FCF 1.98
Debt/EBITDA 1.47
Cap/Depr 86.81%
Cap/Sales 5.23%
Interest Coverage 10.15
Cash Conversion 127.21%
Profit Quality 240.34%
Current Ratio 0.73
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 1.57
F-Score7
WACC7.89%
ROIC/WACC2.83
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.19%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.88%
Revenue Next 5Y6.84%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.72%
EBIT Next 3Y36.29%
EBIT Next 5Y24.11%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 15.34 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 23.4.


What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?

The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.