EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038
Current stock price
251.84 USD
+3.47 (+1.4%)
At close:
251.5 USD
-0.34 (-0.14%)
After Hours:
This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXPE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year EXPE was profitable.
- EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
- EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.29%, EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE has a Return On Equity of 100.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Return On Invested Capital of 22.36% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for EXPE is significantly above the industry average of 10.92%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (22.36%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (16.54%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.78%, EXPE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXPE has a Operating Margin of 14.68%. This is in the better half of the industry: EXPE outperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXPE's Gross Margin of 90.12% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 98.41% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% |
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
2. EXPE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXPE is creating value.
- EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for EXPE has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.56. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of EXPE (1.56) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- EXPE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.98) than 84.92% of its industry peers.
- EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- EXPE's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.48 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 40.48% of its industry peers.
- Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.56 |
ROIC/WACC2.8
WACC7.98%
2.3 Liquidity
- EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.73. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. EXPE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.98% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 7.61% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.38% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.84% on average per year.
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.38%
Revenue Next Year9.19%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.88%
Revenue Next 5Y6.84%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXPE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.75, EXPE is valued correctly.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 78.57% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.64. EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.86, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued cheaper than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.36, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of EXPE indicates a rather cheap valuation: EXPE is cheaper than 91.27% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.01 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 18.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
5. EXPE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.77%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- EXPE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.05.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.77, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.77% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
- EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- EXPE pays out 15.46% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- EXPE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
251.84
+3.47 (+1.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Industry Strength65.22
Industry Growth56.52
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07/amc
Inst Owners102.43%
Inst Owner Change0.4%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap30.86B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts73.64
Price Target290.65 (15.41%)
Short Float %5.98%
Short Ratio2.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.77% |
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.48)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)1.03%
PT rev (3m)0.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)64.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.93%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.78%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.86 | ||
| P/S | 2.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.95 | ||
| P/B | 24.03 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.01 |
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.35%
EPS(NY)19.58
Fwd EY7.77%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY10.08%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY12.57%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.7
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4012 (-75.62%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROCE | 27.75% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 84.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% | ||
| FCFM | 21.11% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 86.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 240.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.56 |
F-Score7
WACC7.98%
ROIC/WACC2.8
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.43%
EPS Next 2Y19.62%
EPS Next 3Y18.74%
EPS Next 5Y15.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.19%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.88%
Revenue Next 5Y6.84%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.72%
EBIT Next 3Y36.29%
EBIT Next 5Y24.11%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.
What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 15.75 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 24.03.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.