EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:EXPE - US30212P3038 - Common Stock
258.25 USD
+38.55 (+17.55%)
259.5 USD
+1.25 (+0.48%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to EXPE. EXPE was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While EXPE belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. EXPE has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year EXPE was profitable.
In the past year EXPE had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: EXPE reported negative net income in multiple years.
EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
EXPE's Return On Assets of 4.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 59.85% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a Return On Equity of 132.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. EXPE outperforms 97.73% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 17.00%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.61% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.99%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.78%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (17.00%) for EXPE is above the 3 year average (10.99%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 132.42% | ||
| ROIC | 17% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
EXPE has a better Profit Margin (7.90%) than 65.91% of its industry peers.
EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of EXPE (12.15%) is better than 64.39% of its industry peers.
EXPE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
EXPE's Gross Margin of 89.58% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 98.48% of its industry peers.
EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.9% | ||
| GM | 89.58% |
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
EXPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, EXPE has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.17, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 62.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.11. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as EXPE would need 3.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of EXPE (3.11) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.34. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.34, EXPE is not doing good in the industry: 60.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.11 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACC2.19
WACC7.76%
2.3 Liquidity
EXPE has a Current Ratio of 0.75. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of EXPE (0.75) is worse than 61.36% of its industry peers.
EXPE has a Quick Ratio of 0.75. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXPE's Quick ratio of 0.75 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 43.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 26.19%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, EXPE shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.87% on average per year.
EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.64%.
EXPE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.56% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.19%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%23.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%8.67%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, EXPE will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.66% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18.26%
EPS Next 2Y18.88%
EPS Next 3Y19.13%
EPS Next 5Y15.66%
Revenue Next Year5.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.94%
Revenue Next 3Y6.42%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.69 indicates a rather expensive valuation of EXPE.
EXPE's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 76.52% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPE is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.93, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 77.27% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of EXPE to the average of the S&P500 Index (32.68), we can say EXPE is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than 62.88% of the companies in the same industry.
84.09% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
EXPE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)1.19
EPS Next 2Y18.88%
EPS Next 3Y19.13%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.75%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.33, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.75, EXPE pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.39.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.75% |
5.2 History
EXPE has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y18.88%
EPS Next 3Y19.13%
258.25
+38.55 (+17.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.64%
Inst Owner Change-0.51%
Ins Owners0.51%
Ins Owner Change0.26%
Market Cap31.95B
Revenue(TTM)13.69B
Net Income(TTM)1.11B
Analysts71.82
Price Target229.99 (-10.94%)
Short Float %5.7%
Short Ratio4.1
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.75% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.21%
Min EPS beat(2)1.46%
Max EPS beat(2)20.96%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.14%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.95%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)30.51%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-12.48%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)3.75%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.36%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.81%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.63%
PT rev (1m)1.09%
PT rev (3m)19.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.97%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.04%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.93 | ||
| P/S | 2.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 16 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.5 | ||
| P/B | 38.22 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.26 |
EPS(TTM)14.6
EY5.65%
EPS(NY)17.3
Fwd EY6.7%
FCF(TTM)16.14
FCFY6.25%
OCF(TTM)22.45
OCFY8.69%
SpS113.3
BVpS6.76
TBVpS-55.12
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)1.19
Graham Number47.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.1% | ||
| ROE | 132.42% | ||
| ROCE | 23.13% | ||
| ROIC | 17% | ||
| ROICexc | 181.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 12.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.9% | ||
| GM | 89.58% | ||
| FCFM | 14.25% |
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y125.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.57%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.11 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.92 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 180.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score8
WACC7.76%
ROIC/WACC2.19
Cap/Depr(3y)92.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)403.1%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)26.19%
EPS 3Y104.08%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%23.49%
EPS Next Y18.26%
EPS Next 2Y18.88%
EPS Next 3Y19.13%
EPS Next 5Y15.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.64%
Revenue growth 3Y16.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.56%
Sales Q2Q%8.67%
Revenue Next Year5.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.94%
Revenue Next 3Y6.42%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y7.31%
EBIT growth 3Y85.19%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year138.56%
EBIT Next 3Y42.43%
EBIT Next 5Y27.1%
FCF growth 1Y-13.96%
FCF growth 3Y-8.85%
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y-11.08%
OCF growth 3Y-6.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.2%
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to EXPE.
Can you provide the valuation status for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of EXPE stock?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 4 / 10.