EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:EXPE • US30212P3038
Current stock price
236.65 USD
+1.47 (+0.63%)
At close:
236.65 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This EXPE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. EXPE Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- EXPE had positive earnings in the past year.
- EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years EXPE 4 years were profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years EXPE had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- EXPE has a better Return On Assets (5.29%) than 73.02% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of EXPE (100.78%) is better than 96.83% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 22.36%, EXPE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.54%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.57%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.54%) for EXPE is below the current ROIC(22.36%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
1.3 Margins
- EXPE's Profit Margin of 8.78% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 74.60% of its industry peers.
- EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- EXPE's Operating Margin of 14.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. EXPE outperforms 65.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
- EXPE has a better Gross Margin (90.12%) than 98.41% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of EXPE has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% |
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
2. EXPE Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- EXPE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- EXPE has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for EXPE has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- EXPE has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that EXPE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.52, EXPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.98. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.98 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- EXPE's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.98 is amongst the best of the industry. EXPE outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
- EXPE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.48, EXPE is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- Although EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACC2.82
WACC7.92%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of EXPE (0.73) is worse than 68.25% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.73 indicates that EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.73, EXPE is doing worse than 63.49% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 |
3. EXPE Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- EXPE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 30.64%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.98% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.61% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 23.16% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
3.2 Future
- EXPE is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.93% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.78% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
3.3 Evolution
- Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. EXPE Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.80, the valuation of EXPE can be described as correct.
- 76.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPE, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.54, EXPE is valued a bit cheaper.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.05, which indicates a correct valuation of EXPE.
- EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 81.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- EXPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPE is cheaper than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, EXPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.27% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.48 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- EXPE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- EXPE has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 19.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
5. EXPE Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.80%, EXPE is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, EXPE pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of EXPE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.43%.
- EXPE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 15.46% of the earnings are spent on dividend by EXPE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- EXPE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP15.46%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EXPE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
236.65
+1.47 (+0.63%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06
Inst Owners103.02%
Inst Owner Change-4.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap29.00B
Revenue(TTM)14.73B
Net Income(TTM)1.29B
Analysts72.73
Price Target287.13 (21.33%)
Short Float %7.12%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
Yearly Dividend1.59
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.43%
DP15.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-05 2026-03-05 (0.48)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.86%
Min EPS beat(2)7.27%
Max EPS beat(2)10.44%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.03%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)31.73%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-8.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.19%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.72%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.24%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.65%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.67%
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)5.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)16.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)74.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.05 | ||
| P/S | 1.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.32 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.47 | ||
| P/B | 22.58 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.48 |
EPS(TTM)15.99
EY6.76%
EPS(NY)19.63
Fwd EY8.3%
FCF(TTM)25.38
FCFY10.73%
OCF(TTM)31.67
OCFY13.38%
SpS120.24
BVpS10.48
TBVpS-52.29
PEG (NY)0.65
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number61.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.29% | ||
| ROE | 100.78% | ||
| ROCE | 27.75% | ||
| ROIC | 22.36% | ||
| ROICexc | 84.52% | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 14.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.78% | ||
| GM | 90.12% | ||
| FCFM | 21.11% |
ROA(3y)4.83%
ROA(5y)2.97%
ROE(3y)77.33%
ROE(5y)46.87%
ROIC(3y)16.54%
ROIC(5y)12.05%
ROICexc(3y)45.61%
ROICexc(5y)30.79%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.53%
ROCE(5y)14.96%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y80.26%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y12.94%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y42.79%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.65%
GM growth 5Y5.89%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 86.81% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.23% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 127.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | 240.34% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score7
WACC7.92%
ROIC/WACC2.82
Cap/Depr(3y)93.95%
Cap/Depr(5y)89.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.17%
Profit Quality(3y)220.15%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y22.78%
EPS Next 2Y19.87%
EPS Next 3Y19.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.61%
Revenue growth 3Y8.09%
Revenue growth 5Y23.16%
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year9.17%
Revenue Next 2Y8.06%
Revenue Next 3Y7.84%
Revenue Next 5Y6.78%
EBIT growth 1Y29.99%
EBIT growth 3Y22.07%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year111.36%
EBIT Next 3Y36.5%
EBIT Next 5Y24.27%
FCF growth 1Y33.53%
FCF growth 3Y3.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y25.77%
OCF growth 3Y4.09%
OCF growth 5YN/A
EXPEDIA GROUP INC / EXPE Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to EXPE.
What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?
EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What is the financial health of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) stock?
The financial health rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of EXPEDIA GROUP INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (EXPE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 15.46%.