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EXPEDITORS INTL WASH INC (EXPD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:EXPD - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US3021301094 - Common Stock

112.74  +2.39 (+2.17%)

Premarket: 112.5 -0.24 (-0.21%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, EXPD scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. EXPD was compared to 21 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making EXPD a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. EXPD has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

EXPD had positive earnings in the past year.
EXPD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years EXPD has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years EXPD had a positive operating cash flow.
EXPD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFEXPD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 14.17%, EXPD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.74% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of EXPD (31.10%) is better than 89.47% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 24.91%, EXPD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.74% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for EXPD is significantly above the industry average of 10.93%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (24.91%) for EXPD is well below the 3 year average (33.11%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that EXPD had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.17%
ROE 31.1%
ROIC 24.91%
ROA(3y)19.84%
ROA(5y)17.92%
ROE(3y)38.54%
ROE(5y)33.73%
ROIC(3y)33.11%
ROIC(5y)28.96%
EXPD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICEXPD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

EXPD's Profit Margin of 7.39% is amongst the best of the industry. EXPD outperforms 94.74% of its industry peers.
EXPD's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of EXPD (9.47%) is better than 94.74% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of EXPD has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 32.68%, EXPD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
EXPD's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.47%
PM (TTM) 7.39%
GM 32.68%
OM growth 3Y1%
OM growth 5Y0.63%
PM growth 3Y3.69%
PM growth 5Y1.29%
GM growth 3Y4.54%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
EXPD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsEXPD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), EXPD is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, EXPD has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for EXPD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for EXPD. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
EXPD Yearly Shares OutstandingEXPD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
EXPD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsEXPD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

EXPD has an Altman-Z score of 6.97. This indicates that EXPD is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
EXPD has a better Altman-Z score (6.97) than 84.21% of its industry peers.
EXPD has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z 6.97
ROIC/WACC2.69
WACC9.25%
EXPD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFEXPD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

EXPD has a Current Ratio of 1.72. This is a normal value and indicates that EXPD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
EXPD has a better Current ratio (1.72) than 78.95% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.72 indicates that EXPD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
EXPD's Quick ratio of 1.72 is amongst the best of the industry. EXPD outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.72
Quick Ratio 1.72
EXPD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesEXPD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

EXPD shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -4.47%.
Measured over the past 5 years, EXPD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 7.80% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, EXPD shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -5.16% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, EXPD shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.71% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.47%
EPS 3Y7.58%
EPS 5Y7.8%
EPS Q2Q%31.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.16%
Revenue growth 3Y-1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.71%
Sales Q2Q%36.99%

3.2 Future

EXPD is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.36% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.83% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y9.58%
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EPS Next 5Y6.36%
Revenue Next Year11.23%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y4.46%
Revenue Next 5Y4.83%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
EXPD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesEXPD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B
EXPD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesEXPD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.98, EXPD is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of EXPD is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.29, EXPD is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 20.39, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of EXPD.
EXPD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. EXPD is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, EXPD is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.98
Fwd PE 20.39
EXPD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsEXPD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

EXPD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
63.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than EXPD, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.71
EV/EBITDA 14.39
EXPD Per share dataEXPD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
EXPD has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.29
PEG (5Y)2.82
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%, EXPD has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.64, EXPD pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.31, EXPD pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of EXPD grows each year by 8.50%, which is quite nice.
EXPD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
EXPD has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.5%
Div Incr Years28
Div Non Decr Years31
EXPD Yearly Dividends per shareEXPD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1

5.3 Sustainability

EXPD pays out 27.61% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of EXPD is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP27.61%
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EXPD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendEXPD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
EXPD Dividend Payout.EXPD Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.EXPD Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

EXPEDITORS INTL WASH INC

NYSE:EXPD (1/21/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

Premarket: 112.5 -0.24 (-0.21%)

112.74

+2.39 (+2.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-18 2025-02-18/amc
Inst Owners94.22%
Inst Owner Change-0.35%
Ins Owners0.64%
Ins Owner Change-0.13%
Market Cap15.78B
Analysts48.18
Price Target119.12 (5.66%)
Short Float %3.25%
Short Ratio3.94
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%
Yearly Dividend1.36
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.5%
DP27.61%
Div Incr Years28
Div Non Decr Years31
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)7.4%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.63%
Max EPS beat(2)18.42%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.95%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.07%
Max EPS beat(4)18.42%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.68%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)3.64%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)8.46%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)12.65%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)20.34%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.28%
Max Revenue beat(4)20.34%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.43%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.03%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.69%
PT rev (1m)-0.12%
PT rev (3m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)16.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)8.87%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.98
Fwd PE 20.39
P/S 1.59
P/FCF 26.71
P/OCF 24.97
P/B 6.7
P/tB 6.72
EV/EBITDA 14.39
EPS(TTM)5.13
EY4.55%
EPS(NY)5.53
Fwd EY4.9%
FCF(TTM)4.22
FCFY3.74%
OCF(TTM)4.52
OCFY4%
SpS70.89
BVpS16.84
TBVpS16.78
PEG (NY)2.29
PEG (5Y)2.82
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.17%
ROE 31.1%
ROCE 33.62%
ROIC 24.91%
ROICexc 46.35%
ROICexgc 46.6%
OM 9.47%
PM (TTM) 7.39%
GM 32.68%
FCFM 5.95%
ROA(3y)19.84%
ROA(5y)17.92%
ROE(3y)38.54%
ROE(5y)33.73%
ROIC(3y)33.11%
ROIC(5y)28.96%
ROICexc(3y)69.64%
ROICexc(5y)59.82%
ROICexgc(3y)69.99%
ROICexgc(5y)60.13%
ROCE(3y)44.69%
ROCE(5y)39.09%
ROICexcg growth 3Y4.89%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.83%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.86%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.8%
OM growth 3Y1%
OM growth 5Y0.63%
PM growth 3Y3.69%
PM growth 5Y1.29%
GM growth 3Y4.54%
GM growth 5Y1.63%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.92
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 61.14%
Cap/Sales 0.41%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 62.77%
Profit Quality 80.62%
Current Ratio 1.72
Quick Ratio 1.72
Altman-Z 6.97
F-Score4
WACC9.25%
ROIC/WACC2.69
Cap/Depr(3y)93.36%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.11%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.38%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.45%
Profit Quality(3y)114.68%
Profit Quality(5y)110.83%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.47%
EPS 3Y7.58%
EPS 5Y7.8%
EPS Q2Q%31.45%
EPS Next Y9.58%
EPS Next 2Y4.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EPS Next 5Y6.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-5.16%
Revenue growth 3Y-1%
Revenue growth 5Y2.71%
Sales Q2Q%36.99%
Revenue Next Year11.23%
Revenue Next 2Y5.43%
Revenue Next 3Y4.46%
Revenue Next 5Y4.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-12.21%
EBIT growth 3Y0%
EBIT growth 5Y3.35%
EBIT Next Year9.74%
EBIT Next 3Y3.34%
EBIT Next 5Y4.93%
FCF growth 1Y-68.37%
FCF growth 3Y18.62%
FCF growth 5Y14.06%
OCF growth 1Y-67.55%
OCF growth 3Y17.15%
OCF growth 5Y12.95%